FinalWin Prob.pScore
235%96
88
165%101
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
97.89088.8
PHX logo PHX
95.58990.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS88
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
97.0%
83
3.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)86
90.8%
83
9.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)85
89.3%
83
10.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)84
79.7%
83
20.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
81.3%
82
18.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)84
90.6%
81
9.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
95.1%
81
4.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)84
85.3%
81
14.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
86.7%
81
13.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
94.2%
81
5.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
92.1%
81
7.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)84
83.9%
81
16.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
51.6%
81
48.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHXMISS Marion 12' Turnaround Jump Shot81
45.7%
81
54.3%
Q4 - 1:08SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)81
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 1:08PHXBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)81
49.1%
81
50.9%
Q4 - 1:09PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 1:12PHXMISS Barbosa Layup81
43.5%
81
56.5%
Q4 - 1:31SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P4.T12)81
32.8%
81
67.2%
Q4 - 1:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
46.7%
81
53.3%
Q4 - 1:42PHXMISS Nash Layup81
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 1:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
33.9%
81
66.1%
Q4 - 1:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
30.6%
81
69.4%
Q4 - 2:14PHXMarion Layup (24 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)79
26.6%
81
73.4%
Q4 - 2:29SASParker 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)79
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q4 - 2:50PHXBell Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)77
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q4 - 2:55PHXSUNS Rebound77
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q4 - 2:55PHXMISS Thomas Layup77
23.6%
79
76.4%
Q4 - 3:10SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)77
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q4 - 3:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)76
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q4 - 3:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)75
15.0%
79
85.0%
Q4 - 3:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
9.3%
79
90.7%
Q4 - 3:29PHXMISS Nash Layup74
7.8%
79
92.2%
Q4 - 3:52SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)74
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 3:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q4 - 3:55PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
9.7%
79
90.3%
Q4 - 4:04PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 4:10PHXMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot74
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q4 - 4:34SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T10)74
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q4 - 4:45SASSpurs Rebound74
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q4 - 4:46SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot74
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q4 - 4:57PHXJones Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
10.4%
79
89.6%
Q4 - 5:04SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)74
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q4 - 5:18PHXJones Layup (9 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)71
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 5:29SASGinobili Layup (21 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)71
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 5:42PHXThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 5:54SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P2.T9)69
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q4 - 6:09PHXNash 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q4 - 6:21PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)69
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q4 - 6:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
23.3%
71
76.7%
Q4 - 6:28SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
27.9%
71
72.1%
Q4 - 6:31PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q4 - 6:55PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot69
23.2%
71
76.8%
Q4 - 7:11SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
28.4%
71
71.6%
Q4 - 7:12PHXMISS Nash Layup69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q4 - 7:24PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
22.5%
71
77.5%
Q4 - 7:25SASMISS Parker Layup69
24.2%
71
75.8%
Q4 - 7:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
28.4%
71
71.6%
Q4 - 7:45PHXMISS Barbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q4 - 8:05SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)69
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q4 - 8:19PHXJones Layup (7 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)66
15.7%
71
84.3%
Q4 - 8:41SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)66
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q4 - 9:02PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q4 - 9:02PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q4 - 9:21SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q4 - 9:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q4 - 9:29PHXMISS Thomas 11' Jump Bank Shot60
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q4 - 9:47SASFinley 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q4 - 10:00PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)58
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q4 - 10:13SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q4 - 10:13SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q4 - 10:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q4 - 10:13SASThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)56
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q4 - 10:24PHXThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q4 - 10:24PHXThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q4 - 10:43SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q4 - 11:08PHXBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)56
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q4 - 11:16PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)56
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q4 - 11:17PHXMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot56
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q4 - 11:39PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)56
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot56
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX56
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)56
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0PHXNash Reverse Layup (14 PTS)53
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot53
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0PHXMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot53
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 1:20SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 1:30PHXBarbosa Foul Turnover (P3.T12)53
13.6%
60
86.4%
Q3 - 1:42SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)53
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 2:06PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
8.6%
60
91.4%
Q3 - 2:24SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 2:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 2:24SASFinley Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)48
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 2:29PHXBell Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 2:35PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)47
7.1%
57
92.9%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot47
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 3:02PHXBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)47
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 3:14PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 3:16SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot47
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q3 - 3:43PHXNash 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 3:52PHXSUNS Rebound47
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 3:52PHXMISS Marion 7' Running Jump Shot47
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 4:00PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 4:02SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q3 - 4:14SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 4:16PHXMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot47
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 4:27PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)47
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q3 - 4:29SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.8%
52
82.2%
Q3 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q3 - 4:49PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot47
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 5:06PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 5:08SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q3 - 5:25SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q3 - 5:27PHXMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot47
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)47
17.5%
52
82.5%
Q3 - 6:23PHXBarbosa Layup (8 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)44
13.7%
52
86.3%
Q3 - 6:27SASBarbosa STEAL (1 STL)44
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q3 - 6:33PHXNash Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)44
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q3 - 6:39PHXSUNS Rebound44
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q3 - 6:40SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q3 - 6:54PHXBell Foul Turnover (P2.T9)44
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q3 - 6:56PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q3 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q3 - 7:13PHXMISS Barbosa Layup44
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q3 - 7:32PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
15.8%
50
84.2%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot44
16.5%
50
83.5%
Q3 - 7:58PHXThomas 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)44
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q3 - 8:12SASParker 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)44
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q3 - 8:33PHXThomas Layup (8 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)42
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS)42
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q3 - 9:09PHXNash Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)40
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q3 - 9:26SASDuncan Driving Layup (17 PTS)40
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q3 - 9:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q3 - 9:38SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q3 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q3 - 9:53PHXMISS Nash Layup38
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q3 - 10:05SASGinobili Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)38
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q3 - 10:17PHXThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)36
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q3 - 10:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)36
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q3 - 10:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 235
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q3 - 10:55PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 10:55PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
10.2%
45
89.8%
Q3 - 11:05PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q3 - 11:07SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot35
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q3 - 11:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q3 - 11:23PHXMISS Barbosa 17' Jump Shot35
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q3 - 11:34SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)35
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q3 - 11:50PHXBarbosa Foul Turnover (P2.T6)33
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS33
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound33
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)33
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0PHXMarion 16' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)31
8.4%
44
91.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 230
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 1:18PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 1:38SASDuncan Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
11.6%
40
88.4%
Q2 - 1:49SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 1:51PHXMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot28
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 2:05SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)28
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 2:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 2:14PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot26
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 2:26SASParker Layup (7 PTS)26
7.4%
40
92.6%
Q2 - 2:28SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
6.6%
40
93.4%
Q2 - 2:32SASThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)24
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 2:47PHXBarbosa Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)24
6.5%
40
93.5%
Q2 - 2:51PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)24
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot24
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 3:12SASSpurs Rebound24
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 3:12PHXMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot24
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 3:18PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)24
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 3:20PHXMISS Barbosa 10' Running Jump Shot24
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 3:27PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)24
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot24
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 3:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 3:44SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 4:15PHXMarion 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)24
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)24
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 4:45PHXSUNS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)22
10.1%
35
89.9%
Q2 - 5:09SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)22
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 5:23PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 5:24PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)22
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 5:27SASMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)22
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 5:34PHXMISS Bell Layup22
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 5:52SASParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 6:07PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)20
8.9%
35
91.1%
Q2 - 6:07PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)20
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 6:15PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)20
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 6:17SASMISS Finley 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 6:28SASMISS Finley 5' Jump Bank Shot20
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 6:41SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 6:43PHXMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot20
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 7:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
10.2%
33
89.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
9.9%
33
90.1%
Q2 - 7:16PHXJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
9.3%
33
90.7%
Q2 - 7:33PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)18
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 7:34SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot18
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 7:48PHXMISS Barbosa 16' Jump Shot18
10.9%
31
89.1%
Q2 - 8:08SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
10.3%
31
89.7%
Q2 - 8:26PHXJones 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)18
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 8:30PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)18
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 8:32PHXMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot18
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q2 - 8:54PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 218
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 8:55SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
13.3%
29
86.7%
Q2 - 9:06SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:07PHXMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 217
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 9:07PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 9:18SASOberto Foul Turnover (P1.T3)17
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q2 - 9:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
13.9%
28
86.1%
Q2 - 9:34PHXMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q2 - 9:44PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q2 - 9:46SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot17
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q2 - 10:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 10:05PHXMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot17
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 10:19SASOberto Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q2 - 10:31SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q2 - 10:58PHXBell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q2 - 11:20SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q2 - 11:44PHXMarion 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)13
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS13
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound13
14.2%
24
85.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.2%
24
85.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHXMISS Barbosa Layup13
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASVaughn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
13.3%
24
86.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0PHXBarbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)11
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASMISS Vaughn Layup11
11.5%
24
88.5%
Q1 - 1:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 1:10PHXMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot11
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:21PHXSUNS Rebound11
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 1:22PHXMISS Barbosa Layup11
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:32PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
11.3%
24
88.7%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot11
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 1:50PHXThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q1 - 1:50PHXThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 2:02PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 2:06SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot11
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 2:27PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
14.5%
22
85.5%
Q1 - 2:33PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
17.1%
19
82.9%
Q1 - 2:35SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 2:42PHXBell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 3:02PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 3:04SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot11
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 3:24PHXThomas Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 3:32PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:33SASMISS Vaughn Layup11
20.5%
17
79.5%
Q1 - 3:42SASMISS Finley Free Throw Technical11
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:02PHXMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)11
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:10PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot11
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 4:21PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 4:21PHXMarion Dunk (8 PTS)11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 4:26PHXMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot11
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 4:37PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 4:39SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot11
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 4:55PHXThomas 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)11
30.1%
12
69.9%
Q1 - 5:02PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 5:05SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot11
31.9%
10
68.1%
Q1 - 5:19PHXMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 5:27SASMarion STEAL (1 STL)11
31.3%
10
68.7%
Q1 - 5:40PHXMarion Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 5:56SASParker 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
35.0%
8
65.0%
Q1 - 6:06SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Bank Shot9
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 6:34PHXMarion Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)9
32.9%
8
67.1%
Q1 - 6:40PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 6:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 6:56PHXMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot9
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 7:16PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 7:17SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot9
34.7%
6
65.3%
Q1 - 7:33PHXMarion Dunk (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)9
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 7:40PHXSUNS Rebound9
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 7:40PHXMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot9
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 8:01SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 8:18SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 8:19PHXMISS Marion Tip Shot7
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 8:21PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 8:23PHXMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 8:26PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 8:27PHXMISS Barbosa 7' Jump Shot7
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:03PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot4
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 9:22SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:22SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 9:49PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:53PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:57SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:16PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:35PHXSUNS Rebound2
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 10:35SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:55PHXBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:55PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
30.9%
1
69.1%
Q1 - 11:05SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:23PHXMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASNash STEAL (1 STL)0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Thomas vs. Duncan: Tip to Oberto0
30.4%
0
69.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
PHX
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
11
17
65%
PHX
12
23
52%
Midrange
SAS
10
32
31%
PHX
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
PHX
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
SAS
22
28
79%
PHX
16
17
94%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2668%13.0 / 19
T. Duncan2155%10.5 / 19
M. Finley1359%6.5 / 11
T. Parker1139%5.5 / 14
B. Bowen945%4.5 / 10
F. Oberto6100%3.0 / 3
J. Vaughn225%1.0 / 4
B. Barry0-0.0 / 2
F. Elson0-0.0 / 1
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion2467%12.0 / 18
S. Nash1945%9.5 / 21
K. Thomas1550%7.5 / 15
R. Bell1045%5.0 / 11
J. Jones964%4.5 / 7
L. Barbosa831%4.0 / 13
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+9
-13
86
PHX
74
+13
-15
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
PHX
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
110.5
SAS 97.8 +2.3
PHX 95.5
Pace
89.0
94.3
SAS 88.8
PHX 90.2 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
14.3
SAS 16.2
PHX 16.0 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.0%
SAS 45.8% +1.0%
PHX 44.8%
TO %
14.9%
14.1%
SAS 13.4% +2.5%
PHX 15.9%
ORB %
26.4%
23.4%
SAS 15.4%
PHX 21.4% +6.0%
FTrt
31.7
29.8
SAS 38.9 +16.8
PHX 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
59.9%
SAS 51.7%
PHX 58.1% +6.4%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
SAS 8.9% +5.5%
PHX 3.4%
BLK %
8.6%
8.3%
SAS 10.2% +4.1%
PHX 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
54.6%
SAS 50.6% +1.7%
PHX 48.9%
Rim FG%
60.4%
58.1%
SAS 64.7% +12.5%
PHX 52.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
45.2%
SAS 31.3%
PHX 33.3% +2.0%
3P %
38.4%
37.9%
SAS 34.8%
PHX 38.9% +4.1%
FT %
72.4%
78.0%
SAS 78.6%
PHX 94.1% +15.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
32.1%
SAS 23.6%
PHX 29.9% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
45.0%
SAS 44.4% +2.3%
PHX 46.8%
3P Att. %
25.6%
22.9%
SAS 31.9% +8.6%
PHX 23.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASPHX
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8885
Rebounds3942
Assists1518
Steals83
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals29-7231-77
At-the-Rim FG11-1712-23
Midrange FG10-3212-36
2-Point FG21-4924-59
3-Point FG8-237-18
Free Throws22-2816-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
40.5
21
55%
12
2
1
5
1
3
2
10
7-11
64%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
40.4
9
45%
7
2
4
0
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
0%
3-6
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.5
11
39%
2
5
1
0
3
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 34
37.2
13
59%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
12.9
6
100%
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
38.0
26
68%
10
3
2
1
5
4
1
9
9-9
100%
4-7
57%
3-8
38%
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
16.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
6.4
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31
6.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
39
15
8
6
13
0
6
33
22-28
79%
21-49
43%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.