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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs35%9688
1Suns65%10185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
40.5
35.8
21
56%
12
2
1
1
5
1
2
10
7-11
64%
7-14
8-16
50%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.9
40.4
34.7
9
45%
7
2
4
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
42%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
39.5
40.6
11
40%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
9-17
38%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.2
37.2
31.5
13
55%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
12.9
16.6
6
104%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.8
38.0
32.4
26
69%
10
3
2
2
1
5
1
9
9-9
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
3-8
38%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.4
16.1
14.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.3
6.4
6.9
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
6.0
7.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
2.9
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.7
16.7
1
1-2
42%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.2
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.7
46.7
41.9
10
45%
4
0
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.3
46.0
38.9
19
46%
2
12
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
52%
3-7
43%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
45.8
43.1
24
68%
17
1
1
2
1
2
4
13
4-4
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
54%
2-4
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
36.1
27.5
15
49%
12
3
0
0
2
1
3
9
5-5
100%
5-13
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.5
33.9
31.4
8
31%
4
2
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
48%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.6
28.6
6.0
9
65%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
0-1
80%
39%
0-1
0%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
3.0
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
29.6
1
7-13
53%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.1
19.6
0
2-5
52%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.7
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.3
0.4
0
0-0
38%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.5
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.