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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Suns35%95104
1Spurs65%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
44.7
39.8
12
55%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
44.3
42.3
12
61%
12
0
2
2
2
1
2
10
3-4
75%
3-6
6-11
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.3
41.0
37.3
24
77%
2
15
0
1
0
8
0
2
6-8
75%
6-9
5-10
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
31.5
27.1
26
60%
9
0
3
1
1
3
3
6
8-8
100%
9-18
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
26.5
29.4
14
60%
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
3
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.5
32.4
30.3
10
33%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-5
40%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-4
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.1
15.2
24.2
4
33%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.6
4.5
7.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.3
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.5
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
0.2
0
0-0
40%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.7
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.3
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
41.8
39.6
23
54%
6
7
2
1
0
5
1
5
5-5
100%
9-18
9-17
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.2
34.5
28.9
17
64%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
4-10
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.9
33.0
36.7
3
50%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
32.5
39.4
21
67%
11
2
0
1
3
6
3
8
3-4
75%
9-14
9-18
64%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
20.6
12.3
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.8
34.5
30.3
10
34%
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
2-7
29%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.4
18.8
10.2
12
75%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.7
12.3
21.7
0
0%
1
5
0
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.3
6.5
7.9
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
5.1
9.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
0.4
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.2
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.