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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs32%9581
1Suns68%101101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
36.4
37.3
13
39%
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-6
50%
5-13
8-16
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.9
35.4
30.3
13
65%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
3-6
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
34.6
38.5
29
63%
11
1
0
1
2
2
2
9
5-7
71%
12-20
9-17
60%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.2
27.5
32.8
11
61%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
12.6
14.5
5
73%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.8
27.5
27.2
6
33%
5
5
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
17.1
13.3
0
0%
4
1
2
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.7
16.6
24.6
2
100%
4
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.4
15.2
8.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
11.6
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
2.8
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
2.8
1.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.2
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
37.8
41.3
5
63%
10
1
1
2
3
1
0
10
0-0
-
1-2
6-11
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.2
36.4
34.5
20
52%
1
16
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
6-15
4-9
40%
52%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
35.2
37.8
27
69%
9
0
2
1
0
3
1
8
7-8
88%
10-16
8-15
63%
53%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
34.6
41.7
18
77%
3
0
1
1
0
4
1
2
5-6
83%
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
28.1
11.5
12
86%
4
0
3
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
46%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.4
31.2
34.2
13
50%
3
3
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.1
27.1
25.5
6
33%
7
5
2
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.6
7.4
11.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.5
1.1
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
1.1
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.3
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.7
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.