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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz30%101105
6Warriors70%107125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.5
40.5
38.8
19
81%
11
5
1
1
0
3
3
8
3-4
75%
8-10
10-18
80%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
38.9
36.1
15
50%
5
5
0
1
3
5
1
4
2-2
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.0
35.6
38.4
15
56%
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.9
27.4
37.7
14
53%
4
6
0
1
0
7
0
4
2-3
67%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
2-4
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.8
16.5
18.0
9
50%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
7-7
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.9
25.8
27.3
12
55%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
20.6
21.5
7
66%
4
2
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.2
20.0
13.0
7
51%
6
0
1
1
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
6.9
5.3
6
90%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
2.8
5.3
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.7
2.8
0.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
2.1
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
38.4
25.4
13
67%
13
0
0
1
1
1
4
9
3-6
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.3
35.0
41.6
25
74%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
47%
5-9
56%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.1
34.7
39.8
32
69%
4
9
6
2
0
3
1
3
6-7
86%
10-14
5-11
71%
47%
2-6
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.2
31.4
23.6
15
55%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
4-7
57%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.1
28.3
41.9
8
65%
1
5
1
1
1
3
1
0
4-5
80%
2-2
4-9
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.2
24.9
38.2
8
80%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.5
20.7
9.6
10
51%
3
2
2
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.3
18.9
15.8
14
88%
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
8-9
89%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
2.5
0.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.2
1.7
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 31.2
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.