Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Bulls35%8687
6Pistons65%91108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
40.0
35.9
16
52%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
4-12
7-15
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
34.1
31.1
13
71%
1
1
1
1
0
3
1
0
5-5
100%
1-3
4-9
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
34.0
35.2
2
11%
6
7
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-4
50%
0-3
4-8
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.7
29.2
34.9
13
50%
7
0
1
1
3
0
2
5
5-9
56%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.6
8.1
13.8
3
85%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
22.3
14.3
18
65%
4
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
8-11
73%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
21.8
24.6
3
26%
1
6
1
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.4
21.7
19.7
12
49%
1
2
0
0
0
4
0
1
3-5
60%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
16.7
14.8
3
75%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.9
4.3
13.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
4.3
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.5
3.4
0.3
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.2
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.2
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.2
40.9
37.6
25
55%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
3-7
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.2
40.6
39.1
24
68%
9
6
0
1
0
5
4
5
4-4
100%
7-14
6-13
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.6
39.1
31.0
14
55%
1
10
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
3-6
50%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.2
27.0
21.8
22
89%
7
3
1
1
1
3
3
4
2-3
67%
10-11
3-6
91%
44%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
18.3
34.2
10
113%
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
24.4
20.6
5
46%
7
0
1
1
0
3
3
4
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.7
16.9
11.7
1
13%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.2
15.1
13.8
4
34%
8
0
1
0
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.4
11.3
15.8
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.1
4.7
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
1.9
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.7
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.3
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.0
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.