FinalWin Prob.pScore
251%96
96
1049%95
89
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.79089.1
DEN logo DEN
98.99090.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS96
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENMISS Blake 14' Jump Shot94
99.4%
89
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)94
98.0%
89
2.0%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 293
97.8%
89
2.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASSpurs Rebound93
98.1%
89
1.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)93
94.0%
89
6.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENBlake 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)90
76.8%
89
23.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASNene STEAL (1 STL)90
85.3%
87
14.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
90.6%
87
9.4%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS Iverson 7' Jump Shot90
88.0%
87
12.0%
Q4 - 1:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
79.9%
87
20.1%
Q4 - 1:15SASDuncan Tip Shot (22 PTS)90
79.9%
87
20.1%
Q4 - 1:15SASMISS Duncan Layup88
60.8%
87
39.2%
Q4 - 1:38DENNene Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)88
69.6%
87
30.4%
Q4 - 1:43DENNUGGETS Rebound88
77.8%
85
22.2%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot88
83.5%
85
16.5%
Q4 - 1:48DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
77.5%
85
22.5%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS Blake 22' Jump Shot88
83.0%
85
17.0%
Q4 - 2:16SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
75.8%
85
24.2%
Q4 - 2:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 287
73.2%
85
26.8%
Q4 - 2:32SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
79.6%
85
20.4%
Q4 - 2:34DENMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
76.0%
85
24.0%
Q4 - 2:58SASBowen Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)87
64.6%
85
35.4%
Q4 - 3:02DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)85
58.4%
85
41.6%
Q4 - 3:26SASParker Driving Layup (15 PTS)85
43.3%
85
56.7%
Q4 - 3:34SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 3:36DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
35.0%
85
65.0%
Q4 - 3:42DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)83
29.0%
85
71.0%
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
31.4%
85
68.6%
Q4 - 4:07DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (29 PTS) (Camby 3 AST)83
37.2%
85
62.8%
Q4 - 4:25SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)83
45.7%
83
54.3%
Q4 - 4:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
28.7%
83
71.3%
Q4 - 4:34DENMISS Iverson 6' Running Jump Shot80
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q4 - 4:53SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q4 - 4:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
19.2%
83
80.8%
Q4 - 5:25DENIverson Reverse Layup (22 PTS)79
24.3%
83
75.7%
Q4 - 5:34DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
30.7%
81
69.3%
Q4 - 5:38SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot79
33.0%
81
67.0%
Q4 - 5:46SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
38.5%
81
61.5%
Q4 - 5:48DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot79
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 6:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
32.1%
81
67.9%
Q4 - 6:10SASMISS Parker Layup79
34.5%
81
65.5%
Q4 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
40.1%
81
59.9%
Q4 - 6:17DENMISS Nene Layup79
37.6%
81
62.4%
Q4 - 6:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
32.0%
81
68.0%
Q4 - 6:32SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
34.4%
81
65.6%
Q4 - 6:58DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)79
40.0%
81
60.0%
Q4 - 7:19SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)79
47.3%
79
52.7%
Q4 - 7:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
34.8%
79
65.2%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Iverson Reverse Layup76
32.6%
79
67.4%
Q4 - 7:55DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
28.0%
79
72.0%
Q4 - 7:57SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
30.0%
79
70.0%
Q4 - 8:18DENNene Layup (16 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)76
35.5%
79
64.5%
Q4 - 8:36SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
41.5%
77
58.5%
Q4 - 8:59DENSmith Dunk (2 PTS)74
35.5%
77
64.5%
Q4 - 9:04SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)74
42.1%
75
57.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
48.3%
75
51.7%
Q4 - 9:18DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot74
46.4%
75
53.6%
Q4 - 9:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
42.1%
75
57.9%
Q4 - 9:37SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot74
44.0%
75
56.0%
Q4 - 9:53DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
48.3%
75
51.7%
Q4 - 9:53DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
49.4%
74
50.6%
Q4 - 10:22SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)74
53.6%
73
46.4%
Q4 - 10:33SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q4 - 10:35DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
40.9%
73
59.1%
Q4 - 10:54SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
36.8%
73
63.2%
Q4 - 10:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q4 - 11:12SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
32.6%
73
67.4%
Q4 - 11:14DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot69
31.1%
73
68.9%
Q4 - 11:36SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)69
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q4 - 11:50DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)67
23.8%
73
76.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
19.9%
73
80.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)67
19.9%
73
80.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot67
22.6%
73
77.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENIverson 4' Running Finger Roll (18 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan Layup (18 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)67
29.1%
71
70.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot65
23.8%
71
76.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)65
21.3%
71
78.7%
Q3 - 1:14DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P6.T14)62
16.6%
71
83.4%
Q3 - 1:29DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
13.9%
71
86.1%
Q3 - 1:31SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 1:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Ginobili 12' Running Jump Shot62
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 1:43SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 1:46SASCamby BLOCK (4 BLK)62
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 1:55DENNajera Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)62
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 2:08SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T9)62
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 2:29DENIverson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q3 - 2:46SASDuncan Layup (16 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)62
26.7%
67
73.3%
Q3 - 3:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q3 - 3:03DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 260
24.0%
67
76.0%
Q3 - 3:03DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 3:20SASDuncan 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)60
24.2%
66
75.8%
Q3 - 3:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 3:30DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot58
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 3:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
18.2%
66
81.8%
Q3 - 3:45SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot58
19.1%
66
80.9%
Q3 - 4:00DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)58
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 4:15SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
28.1%
63
71.9%
Q3 - 4:15SASHorry Follow Up Dunk (3 PTS)58
28.1%
63
71.9%
Q3 - 4:17SASMISS Ginobili 6' Running Jump Shot56
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 4:32DENIverson Layup (14 PTS)56
25.2%
63
74.8%
Q3 - 4:37SASIverson STEAL (1 STL)56
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 4:50DENIverson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)56
32.3%
61
67.7%
Q3 - 5:04SASDuncan 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)56
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 5:20DENAnthony Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)54
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 5:36DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Parker Layup54
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 5:40DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)54
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 5:59SASDuncan Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)54
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 6:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
26.7%
59
73.3%
Q3 - 6:10DENMISS Camby 21' Jump Shot52
25.7%
59
74.3%
Q3 - 6:34SASGinobili 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)52
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 6:51SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q3 - 6:53DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 7:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)50
18.6%
59
81.4%
Q3 - 7:08SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot50
19.5%
59
80.5%
Q3 - 7:32DENCamby Layup (10 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)50
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 7:48DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)50
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 250
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 7:50SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 8:04SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 8:07DENMISS Iverson Driving Finger Roll49
23.9%
57
76.1%
Q3 - 8:31SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)49
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 8:47DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
24.8%
57
75.2%
Q3 - 8:47DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)49
25.3%
56
74.7%
Q3 - 8:58SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)49
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 9:27DENAnthony Running Layup (19 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)47
25.2%
55
74.8%
Q3 - 9:46SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)47
28.0%
53
72.0%
Q3 - 9:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q3 - 9:56DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup44
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 10:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 10:03DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 10:17DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)44
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q3 - 10:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)44
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q3 - 10:48SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot44
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q3 - 11:07SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q3 - 11:07SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
23.4%
52
76.6%
Q3 - 11:10DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)42
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q3 - 11:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q3 - 11:21SASMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot42
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q3 - 11:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q3 - 11:34DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q3 - 11:47DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 11:49SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot42
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN42
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
24.8%
50
75.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)42
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENCamby Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)42
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Kleiza Dunk42
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot42
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T10)42
32.7%
48
67.3%
Q2 - 1:04SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS)42
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 1:15DENMISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 1:30DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)40
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q2 - 1:32SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot40
26.6%
48
73.4%
Q2 - 1:48DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
27.5%
48
72.5%
Q2 - 1:48DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
28.3%
47
71.7%
Q2 - 2:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
31.5%
46
68.5%
Q2 - 2:04SASMISS Elson 17' Jump Shot40
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 2:21DENCamby Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)40
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 2:42SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)40
37.1%
44
62.9%
Q2 - 2:44SASSpurs Rebound40
39.8%
44
60.2%
Q2 - 2:44SASCamby BLOCK (3 BLK)40
37.9%
44
62.1%
Q2 - 3:10DENCamby 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)40
40.6%
44
59.4%
Q2 - 3:32SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS)40
43.2%
42
56.8%
Q2 - 3:38DENIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)38
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 3:52SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T5)38
37.4%
42
62.6%
Q2 - 4:08SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 4:09DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 138
40.4%
42
59.6%
Q2 - 4:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)38
43.6%
40
56.4%
Q2 - 4:16SASMISS Duncan Layup38
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 4:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 4:31DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 4:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
43.6%
40
56.4%
Q2 - 4:38SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 4:38SASMISS Oberto Tip Shot38
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 4:40SASMISS Ginobili 16' Running Jump Shot38
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 4:56DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)38
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 5:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
49.5%
37
50.5%
Q2 - 5:17SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 5:39DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T7)36
49.5%
37
50.5%
Q2 - 5:49SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)36
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 6:03DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
44.4%
37
55.6%
Q2 - 6:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:14SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
47.5%
35
52.5%
Q2 - 6:31DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)34
49.8%
35
50.2%
Q2 - 6:45SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)34
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 6:59SASSpurs Rebound32
44.3%
35
55.7%
Q2 - 6:59DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot32
43.3%
35
56.7%
Q2 - 7:23SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
41.8%
35
58.2%
Q2 - 7:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 7:47DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot30
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 7:57SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)30
36.7%
35
63.3%
Q2 - 8:12DENNajera Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)28
34.7%
35
65.3%
Q2 - 8:26SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 8:43DENNajera 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)26
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q2 - 8:58DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 9:03SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot26
37.9%
31
62.1%
Q2 - 9:26DENIverson 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q2 - 9:36DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 9:39SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q2 - 9:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 9:59DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 10:14DENJump Ball Najera vs. Parker: Tip to Iverson26
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 10:25SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 10:27DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 10:43SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)26
41.9%
29
58.1%
Q2 - 10:49DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q2 - 11:03SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)24
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 11:26DENIverson Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q2 - 11:37SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
42.1%
27
57.9%
Q2 - 11:44SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)21
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN20
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound20
33.0%
27
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Najera 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
34.5%
27
65.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASVaughn 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)20
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)18
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup18
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENIverson Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)18
40.1%
22
59.9%
Q1 - 1:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 1:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)15
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 1:16DENMISS Camby Tip Shot15
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)15
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 1:17DENMISS Camby Tip Shot15
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:18DENMISS Najera Layup15
34.8%
22
65.2%
Q1 - 1:27DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.6%
22
66.4%
Q1 - 1:30SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q1 - 1:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 1:45DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 115
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q1 - 1:48DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 1:51SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot15
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 2:13DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)15
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 2:30SASVaughn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 2:42DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 2:55DENNUGGETS Rebound13
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 2:55DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 3:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot13
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 3:35DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)13
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:35DENCamby Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:37DENMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot13
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 3:48DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)13
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 3:57SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 3:57SASElson Dunk (6 PTS)13
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 4:00SASCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)11
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 4:17DENNene Layup (8 PTS)11
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 4:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot11
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 4:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)11
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Elson Free Throw 2 of 211
47.4%
12
52.6%
Q1 - 4:34SASMISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 211
48.7%
12
51.3%
Q1 - 4:52DENAnthony Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)11
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 5:06SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 5:19DENNene Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)11
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 5:36SASElson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)11
55.6%
8
44.4%
Q1 - 5:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 5:49DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
53.8%
8
46.2%
Q1 - 5:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
51.4%
8
48.6%
Q1 - 5:55SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)9
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 6:12SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 6:14DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot9
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:35DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot9
52.0%
8
48.0%
Q1 - 6:55DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)9
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 7:06SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)9
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 7:22DENIverson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 7:41DENNUGGETS Rebound7
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 7:41SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot7
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 7:57DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)7
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 8:07DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 8:09SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot7
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 8:33SASSpurs Rebound7
57.3%
4
42.7%
Q1 - 8:33DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot7
56.7%
4
43.3%
Q1 - 8:49SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)7
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 9:07DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup4
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 9:21SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 9:21SASElson Layup (2 PTS)4
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 9:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot2
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 9:43DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 10:05SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 10:25DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)0
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 10:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 10:37SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot0
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:44SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 10:58SASFinley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:06SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 11:10DENMISS Blake 14' Fadeaway Jumper0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 11:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 11:24SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot0
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 11:49DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)0
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Duncan: Tip to Anthony0
49.6%
0
50.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 52.2%
DEN
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
30
67%
DEN
27
36
75%
Midrange
SAS
9
26
35%
DEN
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
DEN
2
3.0
16
13%
19%
Free Throws
SAS
14
20
70%
DEN
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2250%11.0 / 22
M. Ginobili1853%9.0 / 17
T. Parker1568%7.5 / 11
B. Bowen1063%5.0 / 8
M. Finley941%4.5 / 11
F. Elson857%4.0 / 7
R. Horry675%3.0 / 4
J. Vaughn675%3.0 / 4
F. Oberto250%1.0 / 2
B. Barry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2976%14.5 / 19
A. Iverson2241%11.0 / 27
Nene1882%9.0 / 11
M. Camby1063%5.0 / 8
E. Najera660%3.0 / 5
S. Blake217%1.0 / 6
J. Smith220%1.0 / 5
L. Kleiza0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+11
-10
91
DEN
74
+10
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 52.2%
DEN
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
101.8
SAS 106.7
DEN 98.9 +7.8
Pace
89.0
86.7
SAS 89.1
DEN 90.9 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
15.3
SAS 16.2
DEN 15.8 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
45.2%
SAS 50.6% +1.9%
DEN 48.7%
TO %
14.9%
16.9%
SAS 10.9% +4.9%
DEN 15.8%
ORB %
26.4%
31.6%
SAS 22.7% +4.3%
DEN 18.4%
FTrt
31.7
26.4
SAS 24.7 +4.2
DEN 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
52.4%
SAS 67.6% +5.4%
DEN 62.2%
STL %
8.0%
6.4%
SAS 11.1% +5.5%
DEN 5.6%
BLK %
8.6%
6.8%
SAS 3.2%
DEN 7.1% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
48.4%
SAS 52.2% +0.5%
DEN 51.7%
Rim FG%
60.4%
56.5%
SAS 66.7%
DEN 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
32.9%
SAS 34.6% +3.8%
DEN 30.8%
3P %
38.4%
31.9%
SAS 32.0% +19.5%
DEN 12.5%
FT %
72.4%
78.1%
SAS 70.0%
DEN 81.3% +11.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
40.6%
SAS 37.0%
DEN 46.2% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
41.3%
SAS 32.1% +1.2%
DEN 33.3%
3P Att. %
25.6%
18.1%
SAS 30.9% +10.4%
DEN 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points9689
Rebounds4141
Assists2523
Steals105
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals37-8137-78
At-the-Rim FG20-3027-36
Midrange FG9-268-26
2-Point FG29-5635-62
3-Point FG8-252-16
Free Throws14-2013-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
39.7
10
63%
4
3
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
39.6
22
50%
11
6
1
0
1
1
3
8
4-6
67%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
38.1
15
68%
1
4
1
0
4
2
0
1
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 34
22.1
9
41%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
17.7
8
57%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
30.9
18
53%
5
6
5
0
4
2
0
5
5-5
100%
2-7
29%
3-8
38%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
17.6
6
75%
6
2
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
13.6
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
12.1
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
8.5
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
#2 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
41
25
10
2
10
0
10
31
14-20
70%
29-56
52%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.