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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs51%9696
10Nuggets49%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.9
39.7
31.2
10
63%
4
3
3
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
39.6
37.2
22
51%
11
6
1
1
0
1
3
8
4-6
67%
9-19
8-15
47%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
38.1
37.3
15
66%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
7-11
8-16
64%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
22.1
29.6
9
38%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
2-8
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
17.7
11.4
8
59%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.8
30.9
29.8
18
52%
5
6
5
1
0
4
0
5
5-5
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
3-8
38%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.7
17.6
23.8
6
77%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
13.6
15.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.3
12.1
6.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-3
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
8.5
10.0
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.9
45.2
42.7
22
40%
0
7
1
2
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
9-22
7-15
41%
44%
0-3
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
40.0
35.4
18
80%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-5
80%
7-9
5-10
78%
52%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
38.4
42.3
29
70%
6
3
0
1
0
6
1
5
5-6
83%
9-13
8-17
69%
47%
2-5
40%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
35.3
37.3
10
63%
17
3
0
1
4
1
4
13
0-0
-
5-8
4-9
63%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.2
34.9
34.7
2
17%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.3
16.9
10.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
14.9
18.2
6
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.6
14.5
13.1
2
20%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
12.1
0
1-2
47%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.7
2.7
0
0-0
41%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
2.2
0
0-0
37%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.0
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.