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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs48%9596
10Nuggets52%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
41.0
32.9
20
46%
13
4
1
1
5
3
7
6
2-2
100%
9-21
7-13
43%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
39.6
34.7
21
46%
4
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
9-21
7-15
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.9
34.6
27.1
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
29.8
29.6
16
70%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
44%
5-7
71%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
11.7
11.6
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
30.6
28.7
19
69%
7
5
1
1
0
2
1
6
10-11
91%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.7
28.8
17.6
10
63%
6
2
2
1
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
2-5
40%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.1
10.0
23.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.2
8.5
12.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.3
5.4
9.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
6.1
0
1-2
44%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.9
44.9
40.8
20
42%
2
4
0
2
0
3
0
2
6-9
67%
7-17
6-14
41%
44%
0-3
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
44.3
39.7
28
54%
12
2
0
1
0
3
6
6
6-11
55%
8-18
7-16
44%
47%
2-3
67%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
37.8
36.9
6
38%
10
2
0
1
2
1
1
9
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
36.7
33.8
18
71%
7
3
0
1
1
2
4
3
4-4
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.2
35.9
34.0
7
58%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
19.7
16.4
0
0%
10
1
1
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.6
15.9
10.2
12
51%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.3
4.9
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.7
4.2
0
0-0
41%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.9
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
3.2
0
0-1
39%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.0
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.