FinalWin Prob.pScore
348%95
96
1052%96
91
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
110.38777.5
DEN logo DEN
102.289102.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN96
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)96
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)95
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENAnthony Layup (28 PTS)94
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)94
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENNUGGETS Rebound94
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)94
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot94
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)94
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Duncan Layup94
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENSmith Driving Dunk (12 PTS)94
98.2%
89
1.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASHorry 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)94
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 1:04DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
96.5%
87
3.5%
Q4 - 1:04DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
97.0%
86
3.0%
Q4 - 1:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)92
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot92
98.2%
85
1.8%
Q4 - 1:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 1:27DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.8%
85
2.2%
Q4 - 1:36SASParker Driving Layup (21 PTS)92
96.2%
85
3.8%
Q4 - 1:55DENNene Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)90
93.4%
85
6.6%
Q4 - 2:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)90
94.9%
83
5.1%
Q4 - 2:13SASDuncan Finger Roll (20 PTS)90
94.9%
83
5.1%
Q4 - 2:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
93.5%
83
6.5%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Ginobili Tip Shot88
90.1%
83
9.9%
Q4 - 2:17SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot88
90.0%
83
10.0%
Q4 - 2:44DENNene Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)88
93.6%
83
6.4%
Q4 - 2:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
94.8%
81
5.2%
Q4 - 2:49DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot88
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 2:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)88
93.5%
81
6.5%
Q4 - 3:01SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)88
94.5%
81
5.5%
Q4 - 3:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 3:22DENMISS Nene Layup88
95.7%
81
4.3%
Q4 - 3:37SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
91.0%
81
9.0%
Q4 - 3:37SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
90.6%
81
9.4%
Q4 - 3:51SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
88.1%
81
11.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot86
86.8%
81
13.2%
Q4 - 4:08SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)86
83.6%
81
16.4%
Q4 - 4:35DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Blake 7 AST)86
88.5%
81
11.5%
Q4 - 4:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
94.2%
78
5.8%
Q4 - 4:47SASMISS Horry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot86
94.8%
78
5.2%
Q4 - 5:03SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
94.1%
78
5.9%
Q4 - 5:05DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 286
93.9%
78
6.1%
Q4 - 5:05DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
92.4%
78
7.6%
Q4 - 5:23SASParker 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)86
94.1%
77
5.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
92.1%
77
7.9%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 5:45SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)84
89.2%
77
10.8%
Q4 - 6:04DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T14)82
83.5%
77
16.5%
Q4 - 6:15DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
78.2%
77
21.8%
Q4 - 6:17SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot82
79.9%
77
20.1%
Q4 - 6:36DENBlake 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)82
83.6%
77
16.4%
Q4 - 6:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
86.9%
75
13.1%
Q4 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot82
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 7:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 7:16DENNene Tip Shot (14 PTS)82
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 7:19DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot82
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q4 - 7:34SASVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)82
90.7%
73
9.3%
Q4 - 7:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
93.1%
73
6.9%
Q4 - 7:52DENAnthony Follow Up Dunk (23 PTS)82
93.1%
73
6.9%
Q4 - 7:54DENMISS Anthony 6' Running Jump Shot82
95.5%
71
4.5%
Q4 - 8:10SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)82
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 8:35DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)79
89.3%
71
10.7%
Q4 - 8:35DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)79
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 8:56DENNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
91.5%
69
8.5%
Q4 - 8:58SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot79
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 9:11DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)79
92.2%
69
7.8%
Q4 - 9:27SASOberto Layup (4 PTS)79
90.2%
69
9.8%
Q4 - 9:29SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
88.0%
69
12.0%
Q4 - 9:30SASMISS Oberto Layup77
86.1%
69
13.9%
Q4 - 9:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
88.1%
69
11.9%
Q4 - 9:52DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot77
87.2%
69
12.8%
Q4 - 10:12DENNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q4 - 10:35DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)77
86.8%
69
13.2%
Q4 - 10:49SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)77
83.7%
69
16.3%
Q4 - 11:00DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
86.8%
69
13.2%
Q4 - 11:00DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q4 - 11:11SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)77
87.9%
67
12.1%
Q4 - 11:16DENIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)77
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q4 - 11:22DENNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
87.9%
67
12.1%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Parker 5' Turnaround Jump Shot77
88.6%
67
11.4%
Q4 - 11:36SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q4 - 11:36SASGinobili Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
89.8%
67
10.2%
Q4 - 11:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
85.5%
67
14.5%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
84.7%
67
15.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Iverson 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
84.7%
67
15.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASHorry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)75
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)72
74.3%
67
25.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)72
81.4%
64
18.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
84.3%
64
15.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
83.5%
64
16.5%
Q3 - 1:03SASFinley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)72
80.1%
64
19.9%
Q3 - 1:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
73.3%
64
26.7%
Q3 - 1:10DENMISS Smith Layup69
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 1:13SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)69
69.2%
64
30.8%
Q3 - 1:14SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
73.3%
64
26.7%
Q3 - 1:19DENMISS Iverson 15' Fadeaway Jumper69
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 1:38SASHorry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)69
69.2%
64
30.8%
Q3 - 1:43DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)66
60.5%
64
39.5%
Q3 - 1:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
55.6%
64
44.4%
Q3 - 1:46SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
54.8%
64
45.2%
Q3 - 2:04DENIverson 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)64
50.3%
64
49.7%
Q3 - 2:24SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)64
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 2:45DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
45.7%
62
54.3%
Q3 - 2:45DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
46.5%
61
53.5%
Q3 - 2:49DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
50.0%
60
50.0%
Q3 - 2:53SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot61
51.5%
60
48.5%
Q3 - 3:13SASSpurs Rebound61
54.8%
60
45.2%
Q3 - 3:15DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot61
53.4%
60
46.6%
Q3 - 3:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
50.1%
60
49.9%
Q3 - 3:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
48.7%
60
51.3%
Q3 - 3:49DENNene Layup (10 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)59
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 3:54DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
50.1%
58
49.9%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
51.5%
58
48.5%
Q3 - 4:20DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)59
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 4:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
58.2%
56
41.8%
Q3 - 4:28DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot59
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 4:43SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
58.2%
56
41.8%
Q3 - 5:01DENBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)57
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q3 - 5:26SASHorry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)57
62.0%
53
38.0%
Q3 - 5:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
58.3%
53
41.7%
Q3 - 5:44DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 255
57.8%
53
42.2%
Q3 - 5:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
54.9%
53
45.1%
Q3 - 6:10SASParker 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)55
57.5%
52
42.5%
Q3 - 6:30SASSpurs Rebound53
53.9%
52
46.1%
Q3 - 6:30DENMISS Nene Layup53
52.5%
52
47.5%
Q3 - 6:37DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q3 - 6:39SASCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)53
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 6:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
53.9%
52
46.1%
Q3 - 6:47DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup53
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q3 - 6:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
49.6%
52
50.4%
Q3 - 6:55SASMISS Elson 6' Jump Hook Shot53
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 7:12DENIverson 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
53.4%
52
46.6%
Q3 - 7:35DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
56.7%
50
43.3%
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Elson 20' Jump Shot53
58.0%
50
42.0%
Q3 - 7:46DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
61.0%
50
39.0%
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)53
56.7%
50
43.3%
Q3 - 8:19SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q3 - 8:21DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 251
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 8:21DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 251
50.3%
50
49.7%
Q3 - 8:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q3 - 8:31SASDuncan Tip Shot (12 PTS)51
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot49
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q3 - 8:59DENBlake Reverse Layup (2 PTS)49
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 9:06DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
49.0%
48
51.0%
Q3 - 9:09SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot49
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 9:26DENAnthony 13' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)49
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q3 - 9:28DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 9:31DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot49
58.9%
46
41.1%
Q3 - 9:52SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)49
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 10:15DENIverson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)47
52.9%
46
47.1%
Q3 - 10:36SASParker 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
56.0%
44
44.0%
Q3 - 10:59DENIverson 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
52.8%
44
47.2%
Q3 - 11:16SASElson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)45
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q3 - 11:32DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
52.7%
42
47.3%
Q3 - 11:32DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q3 - 11:45DENNUGGETS Rebound43
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q3 - 11:46SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot43
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot43
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot43
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
58.5%
40
41.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
58.6%
40
41.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 243
58.3%
40
41.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 243
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENNUGGETS Rebound43
56.3%
40
43.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot43
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)43
58.6%
40
41.4%
Q2 - 1:17SASDuncan Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)43
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 1:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 1:35SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
56.9%
38
43.1%
Q2 - 1:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 1:45DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot41
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 2:01SASBowen Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)41
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 2:20DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)39
52.1%
38
47.9%
Q2 - 2:32DENMISS Anthony Free Throw Technical39
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 2:40DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
55.5%
36
44.5%
Q2 - 2:42SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
56.3%
36
43.7%
Q2 - 2:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
58.2%
36
41.8%
Q2 - 2:50DENMISS Anthony Layup39
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 3:10SASParker 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)39
54.8%
36
45.2%
Q2 - 3:29DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)37
52.1%
36
47.9%
Q2 - 3:41SASGinobili Driving Dunk (11 PTS)37
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 3:46SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)35
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 4:05DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)34
43.1%
36
56.9%
Q2 - 4:05DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 234
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 4:17SASBowen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)34
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 4:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 4:35DENMISS Smith Driving Layup34
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q2 - 4:52DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 4:54SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 4:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 5:01SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot34
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q2 - 5:21DENNene Layup (8 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)34
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 5:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
48.7%
33
51.3%
Q2 - 5:44SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 5:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
51.8%
33
48.2%
Q2 - 5:55DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot34
50.8%
33
49.2%
Q2 - 6:15SASDuncan Backcourt Turnover (P3.T5)34
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 6:30SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
51.9%
33
48.1%
Q2 - 6:33DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot34
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 6:54SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)34
48.6%
33
51.4%
Q2 - 7:01SASSpurs Rebound31
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:04SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)31
41.9%
33
58.1%
Q2 - 7:10SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:10SASMISS Finley Tip Shot31
41.9%
33
58.1%
Q2 - 7:11SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Parker Layup31
41.9%
33
58.1%
Q2 - 7:13SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:15DENMISS Nene Layup31
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 7:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 7:21DENMISS Nene Layup31
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 7:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Finley 17' Fadeaway Jumper31
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 7:47DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 7:59SASParker Driving Layup (9 PTS)31
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 8:12DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 8:15DENNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)29
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 8:17DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot29
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q2 - 8:24DENNUGGETS Rebound29
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 8:24DENMISS Iverson Reverse Layup29
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q2 - 8:30DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot29
44.3%
30
55.7%
Q2 - 8:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Hook Shot29
44.3%
30
55.7%
Q2 - 8:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 8:52DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot29
45.4%
30
54.6%
Q2 - 9:01DENSmith Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)29
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 9:19SASGinobili Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)29
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 9:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 9:38DENMISS Najera 8' Jump Shot27
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 9:40DENNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
41.0%
29
59.0%
Q2 - 9:42DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 9:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
41.0%
29
59.0%
Q2 - 9:48DENMISS Iverson 13' Fadeaway Jumper27
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 10:03SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (6 PTS)27
40.9%
29
59.1%
Q2 - 10:20DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 10:20DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q2 - 10:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q2 - 10:40SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 224
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q2 - 10:54DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)24
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q2 - 11:00DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.6%
27
61.4%
Q2 - 11:03SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot24
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q2 - 11:22DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
41.1%
27
58.9%
Q2 - 11:22DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
41.5%
26
58.5%
Q2 - 11:22DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Iverson 10' Jump Shot24
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASOberto Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)24
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN22
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound22
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Najera 11' Running Jump Shot22
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)22
39.0%
25
61.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)19
34.1%
25
65.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASParker 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)19
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 1:14DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)15
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 1:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q1 - 1:25SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot15
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 1:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:35DENMISS Iverson 10' Jump Shot15
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 1:42DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
32.6%
21
67.4%
Q1 - 1:44SASMISS Oberto 17' Jump Shot15
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)15
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 2:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 2:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
37.0%
19
63.0%
Q1 - 2:07DENMISS Anthony Layup15
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 2:12SASNajera STEAL (1 STL)15
37.0%
19
63.0%
Q1 - 2:29DENIverson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
39.0%
19
61.0%
Q1 - 2:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 2:49SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 2:52SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 3:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 3:19DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 3:21SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot15
42.0%
17
58.0%
Q1 - 3:31DENNajera Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)15
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 3:34DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Anthony 12' Turnaround Jump Shot15
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 3:51SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 4:05DENIverson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 4:20SASParker 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)13
41.3%
15
58.7%
Q1 - 4:32DENNajera 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)11
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 4:49SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)11
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 5:02DENAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)11
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 5:12SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)11
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 5:18SASSpurs Rebound8
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 5:20DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot8
37.0%
13
63.0%
Q1 - 5:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 5:36SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)8
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 5:53DENNene 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)8
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 6:05DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot8
40.3%
11
59.7%
Q1 - 6:27DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)8
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 6:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 6:32DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot8
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 6:50SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 7:09DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 7:18SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 7:41DENAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)6
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 7:56SASElson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 8:13DENCamby Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 8:26DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 8:28SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 8:34SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Camby 7' Jump Shot4
47.3%
4
52.7%
Q1 - 8:54SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)4
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 9:09DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:23SASDuncan Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 9:38SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 9:41DENMISS Camby Driving Layup0
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 9:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:55SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 10:10DENNene Layup (2 PTS)0
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 10:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 10:35SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot0
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:51DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 10:58DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 11:01SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot0
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 11:19DENCamby Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)0
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 11:37SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:45SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:48DENMISS Camby 8' Jump Shot0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Duncan: Tip to0
45.7%
0
54.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.6%
DEN
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
28
61%
DEN
17
29
59%
Midrange
SAS
11
37
30%
DEN
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
DEN
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
SAS
13
14
93%
DEN
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2146%10.5 / 23
T. Duncan2045%10.0 / 22
M. Ginobili1973%9.5 / 13
M. Finley1673%8.0 / 11
R. Horry1063%5.0 / 8
F. Elson450%2.0 / 4
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
B. Bowen217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2854%14.0 / 26
A. Iverson2042%10.0 / 24
Nene1869%9.0 / 13
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
S. Blake758%3.5 / 6
M. Camby638%3.0 / 8
E. Najera0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+15
-11
91
DEN
75
+18
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.03 51.6%
DEN
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
101.8
SAS 110.3 +8.1
DEN 102.2
Pace
89.0
86.7
SAS 77.5
DEN 102.3 +24.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.1
15.3
SAS 18.6
DEN 14.1 +4.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
45.2%
SAS 48.3% +3.5%
DEN 44.8%
TO %
14.9%
16.9%
SAS 11.5% +1.9%
DEN 13.4%
ORB %
26.4%
31.6%
SAS 31.1%
DEN 35.7% +4.6%
FTrt
31.7
26.4
SAS 16.3
DEN 39.0 +22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
52.4%
SAS 62.2% +4.6%
DEN 57.6%
STL %
8.0%
6.4%
SAS 8.0% +4.6%
DEN 3.4%
BLK %
8.6%
6.8%
SAS 13.8% +7.6%
DEN 6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
48.4%
SAS 51.6% +2.7%
DEN 48.9%
Rim FG%
60.4%
56.5%
SAS 60.7% +2.1%
DEN 58.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
32.9%
SAS 29.7%
DEN 36.1% +6.4%
3P %
38.4%
31.9%
SAS 42.9% +17.9%
DEN 25.0%
FT %
72.4%
78.1%
SAS 92.9% +19.6%
DEN 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.2%
40.6%
SAS 32.6%
DEN 37.7% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
41.2%
41.3%
SAS 43.0% +3.7%
DEN 46.8%
3P Att. %
25.6%
18.1%
SAS 24.4% +8.8%
DEN 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes26.920.9
Points9691
Rebounds4146
Assists2319
Steals73
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)31 (3)
Field Goals37-8633-77
At-the-Rim FG17-2817-29
Midrange FG11-3713-36
2-Point FG28-6530-65
3-Point FG9-213-12
Free Throws13-1422-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
41.0
20
45%
13
4
1
5
3
0
7
6
2-2
100%
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.6
21
46%
4
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
9-21
43%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
34.6
2
17%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 225 · 34
29.8
16
73%
5
3
0
0
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
5-7
71%
C · 7'0" 240 · 31
11.7
4
50%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
30.6
19
73%
7
5
1
0
2
4
1
6
10-11
91%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
28.8
10
63%
6
2
2
3
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
10.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
8.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
5.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
#2 · C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
41
23
7
9
11
0
14
27
13-14
93%
28-65
43%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.