FinalWin Prob.pScore
1121%89
88
279%100
97
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
96.79196.9
SAS logo SAS
106.69185.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS88
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot88
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)88
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENIverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (17 PTS)85
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 1:12DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)85
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 1:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)83
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 1:29SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 1:49SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 1:52DENMISS Camby 1' Dunk83
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 2:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 2:11SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot83
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 2:33DENIverson 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 2:57SASParker 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)81
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 3:23DENIverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)81
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 3:36SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:39SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 3:40DENMISS Iverson 1' Layup78
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 3:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)78
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 278
1.9%
86
98.1%
Q4 - 4:15DENBlake 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 4:21DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)76
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:22SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot76
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 4:49DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Blake 7 AST)76
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 4:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 4:56DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot73
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)73
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 5:19DENBowen STEAL (3 STL)73
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:30DENNuggets Rebound73
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 5:32SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:52DENCamby Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)73
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 6:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)71
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 6:06SASMISS Oberto Layup71
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 6:27DENNene 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)71
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 6:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:42SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 7:02DENNene 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)69
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 7:16SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 7:44DENKleiza 1' Layup (5 PTS)67
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:01SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)65
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 8:09DENDuncan BLOCK (5 BLK)65
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 8:22DENNuggets Rebound65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 8:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS Nene 2' Layup65
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 8:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Nene 1' Layup65
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 8:27DENMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 8:52SASGinobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 9:11SASFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 9:12DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot65
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q4 - 9:22SASGinobili 4' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q4 - 9:36DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 9:36DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)64
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Iverson 1' Layup63
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 9:40SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)63
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 9:53DENIverson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)63
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 10:08SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 10:08SASSPURS Rebound63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q4 - 10:35DENKleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)63
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 10:59SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 10:59SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q4 - 11:14DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T10)60
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 11:29DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 11:31DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 11:47SASVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)60
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS60
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Bank Shot60
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot60
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENAnthony 2' Layup (21 PTS)60
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 1:03SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)58
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 1:22DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)58
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 1:34SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 1:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 1:48SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot56
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 1:57DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)56
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q3 - 2:17SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)55
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 2:22DENBowen STEAL (2 STL)55
2.8%
67
97.2%
Q3 - 2:35SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS)55
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 2:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 2:43DENHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)55
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 2:47SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 3:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)55
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 3:08DENAnthony Layup (16 PTS)55
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 3:10DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot53
3.2%
65
96.8%
Q3 - 3:25DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)53
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q3 - 3:26SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup53
3.4%
65
96.6%
Q3 - 3:41DENIverson Layup (12 PTS)53
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 4:06DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)51
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Ginobili 8' Jump Shot51
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 4:26SASSPURS Rebound51
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 4:27DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 4:50SASParker 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)51
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 5:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 5:08DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot51
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 5:32SASOberto 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)51
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 5:51DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 5:51DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 5:58SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)49
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q3 - 6:13DENNene 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)49
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 6:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)47
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 6:22SASMISS Bowen 1' Layup47
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 6:36SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
2.6%
61
97.4%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 247
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 247
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q3 - 6:57SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)47
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 7:29DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)47
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 7:50SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 8:17DENAnthony 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 8:33SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)43
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 8:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
4.5%
54
95.5%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot43
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 9:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)43
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 243
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q3 - 9:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 9:11DENParker STEAL (1 STL)43
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q3 - 9:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 9:15DENMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot43
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 9:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)43
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 9:19DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot43
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 9:35DENNuggets Rebound43
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 9:35DENMISS Blake 3PT Jump Shot43
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 9:51SASElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
6.0%
53
94.0%
Q3 - 9:51SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q3 - 10:08DENIverson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
6.9%
51
93.1%
Q3 - 10:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)41
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 10:25SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot41
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 10:39DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)41
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 10:45DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)41
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot41
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q3 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 11:04DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot41
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q3 - 11:28SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)41
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q3 - 11:44SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q3 - 11:45DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot41
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS41
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.6%
49
92.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENAnthony Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)41
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)39
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)39
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)36
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot36
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENCamby 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)36
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 1:07SASParker 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)34
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 1:27DENIverson 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)34
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 1:35DENBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 1:37SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 2:01SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)32
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 2:03DENMISS Iverson Layup32
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 2:07DENBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot32
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 2:17SASFinley Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)32
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 2:31DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)32
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 2:50SASDuncan Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)32
4.2%
46
95.8%
Q2 - 2:56SASSPURS Rebound32
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot32
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 3:11SASSPURS Rebound32
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 3:12DENDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)32
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 3:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)32
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup32
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 3:42DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)32
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 3:51SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)32
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 3:59SASSPURS Rebound32
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:00SASMISS Parker 1' Layup32
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 4:15DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 4:15DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:18SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 4:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Camby 11' Jump Shot30
5.9%
41
94.1%
Q2 - 4:41SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 4:55DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)30
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 4:55DENCamby 1' Layup (4 PTS)30
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 4:57DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot28
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:20SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)28
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:42DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 5:42DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 227
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 5:52SASOberto Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)27
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 6:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 227
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 6:10DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 6:29SASDuncan 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)26
8.9%
34
91.1%
Q2 - 6:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 6:39DENMISS Smith 1' Layup26
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 6:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
10.9%
32
89.1%
Q2 - 6:45SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup26
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 6:57SASSPURS Rebound26
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q2 - 6:58DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)26
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 7:34DENNene 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)26
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 7:46DENNuggets Rebound24
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 7:46DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup24
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q2 - 7:50DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 7:52DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q2 - 8:05SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)24
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q2 - 8:07DENNene Layup (4 PTS)24
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q2 - 8:30SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q2 - 8:49DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q2 - 8:49DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q2 - 8:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot20
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 9:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Najera 12' Jump Shot20
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:16SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 9:25SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 9:26DENMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot20
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 9:49SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:49SASHorry Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)20
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q2 - 9:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Finley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot20
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q2 - 10:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q2 - 10:22DENMISS Iverson 11' Jump Shot20
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q2 - 10:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)20
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Vaughn 15' Jump Shot20
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q2 - 10:45DENIverson 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)20
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q2 - 10:54DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)18
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 10:56SASMISS Oberto 7' Jump Shot18
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 11:05SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 11:07DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q2 - 11:28SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)18
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q2 - 11:44DENIverson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)18
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN18
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)18
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENIverson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)16
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup16
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENAnthony 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)16
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot14
9.5%
21
90.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 1:21DENCamby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)14
9.4%
21
90.6%
Q1 - 1:35SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 1:35SASOberto 1' Layup (4 PTS)12
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 1:36SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:36SASMISS Oberto 1' Layup12
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Oberto Layup12
9.8%
19
90.2%
Q1 - 1:45SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:47DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot12
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 2:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 2:11SASMISS Bowen 11' Jump Shot12
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 2:26SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot12
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 2:38DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
10.1%
19
89.9%
Q1 - 2:41SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
9.9%
19
90.1%
Q1 - 2:56DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 3:11SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
10.2%
19
89.8%
Q1 - 3:11SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 3:19DENIverson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
11.0%
17
89.0%
Q1 - 3:34SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 3:34SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 3:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 3:40DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)10
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 3:59SASParker Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)10
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 4:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 4:06DENMISS Iverson 1' Layup10
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 4:12DENBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 4:14SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot10
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 4:29SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
12.6%
13
87.4%
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Najera 1' Layup10
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 4:33DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 4:34DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot10
13.0%
13
87.0%
Q1 - 4:53SASOberto Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 5:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 5:08DENMISS Camby 1' Layup10
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 5:18DENNuggets Rebound10
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot10
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 5:25DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)10
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 5:42SASDuncan 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)10
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 5:57DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 5:57DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
16.5%
9
83.5%
Q1 - 5:58DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 6:00DENMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot8
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)8
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 6:29SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 6:31DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot8
16.9%
7
83.1%
Q1 - 6:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 6:44SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 6:44SASMISS Elson 1' Tip Shot8
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 6:45SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 6:45SASMISS Elson 1' Tip Shot8
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot8
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 7:04DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 7:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 7:14SASMISS Parker 1' Layup8
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 7:27SASSPURS Rebound8
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 7:27DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)8
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 7:35SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
17.4%
7
82.6%
Q1 - 7:53SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 7:55SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.0%
7
83.0%
Q1 - 8:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:04DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup8
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 8:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:13SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:34SASSPURS Rebound8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:34SASMISS Parker 1' Layup8
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:48DENNene 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)8
16.0%
7
84.0%
Q1 - 8:56SASParker 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)6
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 9:08SASSPURS Rebound6
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:08DENMISS Blake 17' Jump Shot6
16.1%
5
83.9%
Q1 - 9:26SASFinley Layup (5 PTS)6
17.1%
5
82.9%
Q1 - 9:28SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot6
18.9%
3
81.1%
Q1 - 9:39SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 9:41DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot6
18.3%
3
81.7%
Q1 - 9:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
19.3%
3
80.7%
Q1 - 9:55SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot6
18.9%
3
81.1%
Q1 - 10:16DENBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 10:19DENBlake REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 10:20DENMISS Nene 1' Layup3
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 10:40SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)3
15.9%
3
84.1%
Q1 - 10:45SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.8%
3
85.2%
Q1 - 10:48DENMISS Iverson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot3
15.1%
3
84.9%
Q1 - 11:12SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)3
15.7%
3
84.3%
Q1 - 11:19SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:21DENMISS Iverson 1' Layup3
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:24SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
18.8%
0
81.2%
Q1 - 11:33DENBlake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)3
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Camby: Tip to Finley0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
42
48%
SAS
18
32
56%
Midrange
DEN
7
30
23%
SAS
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
SAS
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
DEN
13
17
76%
SAS
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2652%13.0 / 25
A. Iverson2040%10.0 / 25
Nene1753%8.5 / 16
M. Camby1038%5.0 / 13
S. Blake880%4.0 / 5
L. Kleiza563%2.5 / 4
J. Smith220%1.0 / 5
E. Najera0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2255%11.0 / 20
T. Parker2053%10.0 / 19
M. Ginobili1761%8.5 / 14
M. Finley1464%7.0 / 11
B. Bowen975%4.5 / 6
F. Oberto840%4.0 / 10
B. Barry3150%1.5 / 1
F. Elson225%1.0 / 4
R. Horry250%1.0 / 2
J. Vaughn0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+17
-12
96
SAS
79
+14
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.91 45.4%
SAS
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
107.6
DEN 96.7 +9.9
SAS 106.6
Pace
86.7
89.0
DEN 96.9 +11.0
SAS 85.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
17.1
DEN 14.9 +1.9
SAS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.2%
50.8%
DEN 42.6%
SAS 47.5% +4.9%
TO %
16.9%
14.9%
DEN 11.2% +1.4%
SAS 12.6%
ORB %
31.6%
26.4%
DEN 29.2% +4.2%
SAS 25.0%
FTrt
26.4
31.7
DEN 19.3
SAS 28.8 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.4%
56.3%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 57.1% +7.1%
STL %
6.4%
8.0%
DEN 7.7% +2.2%
SAS 5.5%
BLK %
6.8%
8.6%
DEN 6.1%
SAS 8.3% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.4%
53.1%
DEN 45.4%
SAS 51.1% +5.7%
Rim FG%
56.5%
60.4%
DEN 47.6%
SAS 56.3% +8.7%
Mid FG%
32.9%
38.9%
DEN 23.3%
SAS 32.4% +9.1%
3P %
31.9%
38.4%
DEN 43.8% +0.9%
SAS 42.9%
FT %
78.1%
72.4%
DEN 76.5%
SAS 91.3% +14.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.6%
33.2%
DEN 47.7% +7.7%
SAS 40.0%
Mid Att. %
41.3%
41.2%
DEN 34.1% +8.4%
SAS 42.5%
3P Att. %
18.1%
25.6%
DEN 18.2% +0.7%
SAS 17.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points8897
Rebounds4444
Assists1720
Steals75
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)34 (5)
Field Goals34-8835-80
At-the-Rim FG20-4218-32
Midrange FG7-3011-34
2-Point FG27-7229-66
3-Point FG7-166-14
Free Throws13-1721-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 32
44.5
20
40%
0
5
3
0
4
4
0
0
0-0
-
7-22
32%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 240 · 23
44.1
26
52%
10
1
1
0
4
2
6
4
8-9
89%
6-17
35%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
38.7
10
38%
18
0
2
3
1
4
1
17
2-4
50%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 25
36.4
17
53%
7
2
0
1
1
4
4
3
1-2
50%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 172 · 27
34.6
8
80%
4
7
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 234 · 22
16.2
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
13.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
11.8
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 209 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
45%
44
17
7
4
12
0
14
30
13-17
76%
27-72
38%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.