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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 29, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls39%8992
9Heat61%9379
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
45.1
39.9
24
59%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
9-10
90%
3-9
5-12
33%
45%
3-7
43%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
43.5
37.8
22
57%
12
1
4
1
0
1
3
9
2-3
67%
10-18
8-16
56%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
35.6
39.2
13
68%
11
2
1
2
1
1
2
9
7-8
88%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
31.4
35.3
6
25%
3
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
4-9
0%
45%
2-6
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.5
18.8
19.9
8
38%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
4-10
2-5
40%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.4
26.4
25.0
11
37%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-9
3-6
22%
49%
2-5
40%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
18.7
25.6
6
75%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
10.0
7.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
9.8
1.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
0.8
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.5
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.2
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.7
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.3
45.2
39.6
24
46%
5
10
0
2
1
7
2
3
8-9
89%
8-20
9-18
40%
48%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.3
44.4
31.3
5
28%
18
2
1
1
2
2
1
17
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-6
17%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
32.0
24.0
8
44%
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
30.7
30.9
16
47%
7
0
0
0
2
3
3
4
0-7
0%
8-14
7-13
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
23.6
27.5
5
42%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.8
18.4
5.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
16.4
12.7
14
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-7
29%
6-6
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
15.3
23.9
4
41%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
12.4
20.9
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
0.8
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.9
0.8
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
23.0
1
1-2
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.