| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 CHI | 105.7 | 87 | 88.3 |
 MIA | 90.8 | 87 | 85.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
CHI
82
+13
-5
95
MIA
70
+14
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHI | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 92 100% | 79 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | CHI | Allen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST) | 92 99.9% | 79 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 90 99.9% | 79 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot | 90 99.9% | 79 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 90 99.9% | 79 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 89 99.9% | 79 0.1% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 88 99.6% | 79 0.4% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Haslem 8' Hook Shot | 88 99.5% | 79 0.5% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 88 99.2% | 79 0.8% |
| Q4 - 1:08 | MIA | MISS Posey 21' Jump Shot | 88 99.4% | 79 0.6% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | CHI | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 88 99.0% | 79 1.0% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T17) | 88 99.3% | 79 0.7% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17) | 88 98.5% | 79 1.5% |
| Q4 - 1:29 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 98.7% | 79 1.3% |
| Q4 - 1:58 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16) | 88 98.7% | 79 1.3% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 88 97.4% | 79 2.6% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 87 96.8% | 79 3.2% |
| Q4 - 2:06 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 86 96.6% | 79 3.4% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot | 86 95.8% | 79 4.2% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 86 93.4% | 79 6.6% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Layup | 86 95.8% | 79 4.2% |
| Q4 - 2:10 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 86 93.4% | 79 6.6% |
| Q4 - 2:11 | MIA | MISS Posey 7' Jump Shot | 86 95.8% | 79 4.2% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 86 93.3% | 79 6.7% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 85 91.8% | 79 8.2% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | MIA | Wade 4' Hook Shot (24 PTS) | 84 91.7% | 79 8.3% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 84 93.2% | 77 6.8% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 84 95.8% | 77 4.2% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 84 93.2% | 77 6.8% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 83 92.8% | 77 7.2% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15) | 82 91.7% | 77 8.3% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 82 82.4% | 77 17.6% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 82 87.6% | 77 12.4% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 82 82.3% | 77 17.7% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot | 82 84.9% | 77 15.1% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 82 89.6% | 77 10.4% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | MIA | MISS Kapono 4' Jump Shot | 82 82.6% | 77 17.4% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16) | 82 79.3% | 77 20.7% |
| Q4 - 3:52 | CHI | MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 1 | 82 80.1% | 77 19.9% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14) | 80 73.0% | 77 27.0% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 80 64.9% | 77 35.1% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 67.6% | 77 32.4% |
| Q4 - 4:36 | CHI | Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 80 73.5% | 77 26.5% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot | 80 71.1% | 77 28.9% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | CHI | Wallace Tip Shot (9 PTS) | 80 65.1% | 77 34.9% |
| Q4 - 4:58 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 78 56.6% | 77 43.4% |
| Q4 - 4:59 | CHI | MISS Nocioni Layup | 78 49.5% | 77 50.5% |
| Q4 - 5:17 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 78 54.0% | 77 46.0% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIA | Posey Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 78 45.3% | 77 54.7% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | MIA | Posey Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 78 46.9% | 76 53.1% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | CHI | Posey STEAL (1 STL) | 78 61.8% | 75 38.2% |
| Q4 - 5:38 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 78 69.7% | 75 30.3% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 78 68.7% | 75 31.3% |
| Q4 - 5:40 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 78 65.9% | 75 34.1% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 78 61.9% | 75 38.1% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | CHI | MISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot | 78 64.4% | 75 35.6% |
| Q4 - 6:07 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P4.T12) | 78 66.9% | 75 33.1% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15) | 78 58.9% | 75 41.1% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot | 78 61.5% | 75 38.5% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 78 67.0% | 75 33.0% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | CHI | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 78 61.5% | 75 38.5% |
| Q4 - 6:51 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 10 AST) | 78 67.1% | 75 32.9% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 78 78.2% | 72 21.8% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | MIA | MISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 78 82.1% | 72 17.9% |
| Q4 - 7:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 78 75.4% | 72 24.6% |
| Q4 - 7:09 | CHI | MISS Deng Layup | 78 77.1% | 72 22.9% |
| Q4 - 7:21 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 78 80.8% | 72 19.2% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Layup | 78 79.3% | 72 20.7% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 78 75.6% | 72 24.4% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 77 72.9% | 72 27.1% |
| Q4 - 8:01 | MIA | Wade 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 76 68.2% | 72 31.8% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | CHI | Gordon 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 76 73.5% | 70 26.5% |
| Q4 - 8:47 | MIA | Mourning 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 74 68.4% | 70 31.6% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | CHI | Nocioni 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) | 74 71.5% | 68 28.5% |
| Q4 - 9:43 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 72 66.8% | 68 33.2% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 72 66.0% | 68 34.0% |
| Q4 - 9:44 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 | 72 63.2% | 68 36.8% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | CHI | Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST) | 72 59.5% | 68 40.5% |
| Q4 - 10:25 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 69 48.7% | 68 51.3% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 46.8% | 68 53.2% |
| Q4 - 10:43 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 69 42.6% | 68 57.4% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | CHI | MISS Wallace 5' Jump Bank Shot | 69 44.5% | 68 55.5% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | Wade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 69 48.1% | 68 51.9% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | CHI | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 69 53.3% | 66 46.7% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | CHI | MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 50.5% | 66 49.5% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 9 AST) | 68 53.6% | 66 46.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 68 58.7% | 64 41.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 68 58.7% | 64 41.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 57' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 62.5% | 64 37.5% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | CHI | Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST) | 68 57.7% | 64 42.3% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | CHI | Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 65 47.5% | 64 52.5% |
| Q3 - 0:24.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 65 45.9% | 64 54.1% |
| Q3 - 0:38.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14) | 65 42.4% | 64 57.6% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot | 65 44.0% | 64 56.0% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | MIA | Wade Layup (18 PTS) | 65 46.9% | 64 53.1% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 65 51.6% | 62 48.4% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 55.1% | 62 44.9% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | CHI | Deng 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST) | 65 51.7% | 62 48.3% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | MIA | Payton Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 63 47.0% | 62 53.0% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13) | 63 41.1% | 62 58.9% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | CHI | MISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot | 63 42.6% | 62 57.4% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 63 46.1% | 62 53.9% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | MISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot | 63 44.6% | 62 55.4% |
| Q3 - 2:44 | CHI | Deng 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 63 41.2% | 62 58.8% |
| Q3 - 3:05 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 61 37.2% | 62 62.8% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 61 35.9% | 62 64.1% |
| Q3 - 3:31 | CHI | Nocioni 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 61 32.9% | 62 67.1% |
| Q3 - 3:50 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 59 29.2% | 62 70.8% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | CHI | Deng 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Brown 1 AST) | 59 25.4% | 62 74.6% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 4 AST) | 57 22.8% | 62 77.2% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | CHI | Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 57 25.5% | 60 74.5% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | CHI | Duhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 54 19.9% | 60 80.1% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | CHI | MISS Duhon 20' Jump Shot | 54 17.8% | 60 82.2% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 54 20.3% | 60 79.7% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot | 54 19.4% | 60 80.6% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | CHI | Gordon Reverse Layup (18 PTS) | 54 17.5% | 60 82.5% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 52 15.4% | 60 84.6% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 52 15.1% | 60 84.9% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 52 13.7% | 60 86.3% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 52 15.2% | 59 84.8% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | CHI | MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot | 52 16.5% | 59 83.5% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 52 18.2% | 59 81.8% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | CHI | O'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK) | 52 16.5% | 59 83.5% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 18.2% | 59 81.8% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot | 52 16.5% | 59 83.5% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 52 18.2% | 59 81.8% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 52 18.6% | 58 81.4% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 52 20.5% | 57 79.5% |
| Q3 - 6:38 | CHI | Deng Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 51 20.0% | 57 80.0% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 50 18.2% | 57 81.8% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 50 17.4% | 57 82.6% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12) | 50 16.0% | 57 84.0% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | CHI | MISS Gordon Layup | 50 16.7% | 57 83.3% |
| Q3 - 7:18 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 50 18.5% | 57 81.5% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 50 20.6% | 55 79.4% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 21.5% | 55 78.5% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 50 23.7% | 55 76.3% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 50 22.7% | 55 77.3% |
| Q3 - 7:59 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 50 20.6% | 55 79.4% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIA | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 23.1% | 55 76.9% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | CHI | Deng Layup (12 PTS) | 50 21.0% | 55 79.0% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 48 18.9% | 55 81.1% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | CHI | MISS Brown 18' Jump Shot | 48 17.1% | 55 82.9% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 48 18.9% | 55 81.1% |
| Q3 - 8:41 | MIA | MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot | 48 18.1% | 55 81.9% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 48 16.4% | 55 83.6% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | CHI | MISS Deng 4' Hook Shot | 48 17.1% | 55 82.9% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (14 PTS) (Posey 2 AST) | 48 19.0% | 55 81.0% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 21.2% | 53 78.8% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | CHI | MISS Brown 17' Jump Shot | 48 22.0% | 53 78.0% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | MIA | Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 48 23.9% | 53 76.1% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 29.5% | 50 70.5% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | CHI | MISS Deng 21' Jump Shot | 48 30.4% | 50 69.6% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | CHI | Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 48 32.8% | 50 67.2% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | CHI | MISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot | 48 30.4% | 50 69.6% |
| Q3 - 10:22 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 48 32.8% | 50 67.2% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | CHI | Brown 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 48 35.7% | 48 64.3% |
| Q3 - 10:59 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 46 32.8% | 48 67.2% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 31.7% | 48 68.3% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 46 29.6% | 48 70.4% |
| Q3 - 11:12 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 30.5% | 48 69.5% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 46 32.7% | 48 67.3% |
| Q3 - 11:21 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot | 46 31.7% | 48 68.3% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | CHI | Gordon 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 46 29.6% | 48 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHI | 44 26.9% | 48 73.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 44 26.9% | 48 73.1% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 44 33.3% | 45 66.7% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | CHI | MISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 | 43 32.9% | 45 67.1% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 43 32.4% | 45 67.6% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 43 31.8% | 45 68.2% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | CHI | Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 43 30.3% | 45 69.7% |
| Q2 - 0:48.0 | CHI | MISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 | 42 29.9% | 45 70.1% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | CHI | Gordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 42 29.6% | 45 70.4% |
| Q2 - 0:59.0 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 28.2% | 45 71.8% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | MIA | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 42 29.5% | 45 70.5% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | MIA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 28.2% | 45 71.8% |
| Q2 - 1:08 | CHI | MISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot | 42 28.6% | 45 71.4% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 42 29.5% | 45 70.5% |
| Q2 - 1:46 | CHI | Deng 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST) | 42 33.6% | 43 66.4% |
| Q2 - 1:55 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 29.5% | 43 70.5% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 40 29.1% | 43 70.9% |
| Q2 - 2:18 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 40 27.8% | 43 72.2% |
| Q2 - 2:20 | CHI | MISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot | 40 28.5% | 43 71.5% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 40 30.2% | 43 69.8% |
| Q2 - 2:52 | CHI | Deng 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST) | 40 36.0% | 40 64.0% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | CHI | Bulls Rebound | 38 32.8% | 40 67.2% |
| Q2 - 2:58 | CHI | MISS Hinrich Driving Layup | 38 31.2% | 40 68.8% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | MIA | Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 38 33.1% | 40 66.9% |
| Q2 - 3:20 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 38 35.5% | 38 64.5% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot | 38 36.5% | 38 63.5% |
| Q2 - 3:33 | CHI | Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 38 38.6% | 38 61.4% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 38.2% | 38 61.8% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 | 38 36.8% | 38 63.2% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 38 35.5% | 38 64.5% |
| Q2 - 3:48 | CHI | MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 | 38 35.9% | 38 64.1% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 36 32.9% | 38 67.1% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 36 33.4% | 37 66.6% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 36 35.5% | 36 64.5% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 36 37.3% | 36 62.7% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | CHI | Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST) | 36 35.5% | 36 64.5% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | CHI | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 33 30.4% | 36 69.6% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 33 30.1% | 36 69.9% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 33 29.1% | 36 70.9% |
| Q2 - 5:02 | CHI | Deng 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST) | 33 28.0% | 36 72.0% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | O'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 31 26.0% | 36 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:45 | CHI | Deng Layup (4 PTS) | 31 28.0% | 34 72.0% |
| Q2 - 5:47 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 29 26.0% | 34 74.0% |
| Q2 - 5:48 | CHI | MISS Sefolosha Driving Layup | 29 24.4% | 34 75.6% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 25.9% | 34 74.1% |
| Q2 - 5:58 | CHI | MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 24.4% | 34 75.6% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | CHI | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 26.3% | 34 73.7% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | MISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 | 29 26.0% | 34 74.0% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 29 25.0% | 34 75.0% |
| Q2 - 6:20 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 25.9% | 33 74.1% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | CHI | MISS Deng Layup | 29 26.7% | 33 73.3% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | O'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 29 28.5% | 33 71.5% |
| Q2 - 6:49 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 29 25.9% | 33 74.1% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | CHI | MISS Sefolosha 20' Jump Shot | 29 26.7% | 33 73.3% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | CHI | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 28.7% | 33 71.3% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 28.0% | 33 72.0% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 26.4% | 33 73.6% |
| Q2 - 7:33 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot | 29 27.1% | 33 72.9% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (10 PTS) | 29 28.8% | 33 71.2% |
| Q2 - 8:17 | CHI | Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST) | 29 30.6% | 31 69.4% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MIA | Kapono Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 26 26.7% | 31 73.3% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 24.5% | 31 75.5% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | CHI | MISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 26 25.1% | 31 74.9% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | MIA | Posey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 26 26.7% | 31 73.3% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 26 24.5% | 31 75.5% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | CHI | MISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot | 26 25.1% | 31 74.9% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 26 26.7% | 31 73.3% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 26 24.6% | 31 75.4% |
| Q2 - 9:29 | CHI | MISS Nocioni Driving Layup | 26 25.2% | 31 74.8% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T4) | 26 26.7% | 31 73.3% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | CHI | Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 26 24.6% | 31 75.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | CHI | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 21.4% | 31 78.6% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 20.1% | 31 79.9% |
| Q2 - 10:12 | MIA | Payton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 21.4% | 31 78.6% |
| Q2 - 10:26 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 19.6% | 31 80.4% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | CHI | MISS Allen 18' Jump Shot | 23 20.1% | 31 79.9% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 23 21.4% | 31 78.6% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 22.0% | 30 78.0% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | CHI | Sefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 21.4% | 30 78.6% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | Mourning 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 23 23.0% | 30 77.0% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 24.8% | 28 75.2% |
| Q2 - 11:48 | CHI | MISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 25.4% | 28 74.6% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | CHI | 23 26.7% | 28 73.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 23 26.7% | 28 73.3% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 23 30.8% | 25 69.2% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 22 30.5% | 25 69.5% |
| Q1 - 0:17.0 | CHI | Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 21 28.4% | 25 71.6% |
| Q1 - 0:19.0 | MIA | MISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 27.9% | 25 72.1% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | CHI | Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST) | 21 26.9% | 25 73.1% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | MIA | Wade 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 18 23.0% | 25 77.0% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 18 25.1% | 23 74.9% |
| Q1 - 0:50.0 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 18 26.1% | 23 73.9% |
| Q1 - 0:56.0 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 18 25.1% | 23 74.9% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | CHI | Posey BLOCK (2 BLK) | 18 25.5% | 23 74.5% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | CHI | Sefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 26.6% | 23 73.4% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Layup | 18 26.1% | 23 73.9% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 25.2% | 23 74.8% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | CHI | Haslem BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 25.6% | 23 74.4% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | CHI | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 26.6% | 23 73.4% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 18 26.1% | 23 73.9% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | CHI | Deng 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST) | 18 25.2% | 23 74.8% |
| Q1 - 2:06 | CHI | Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 23.4% | 23 76.6% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 16 22.9% | 23 77.1% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 21.8% | 23 78.2% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | CHI | MISS Deng 18' Jump Shot | 16 22.3% | 23 77.7% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | MIA | Mourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 16 23.3% | 23 76.7% |
| Q1 - 2:54 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 25.2% | 21 74.8% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | CHI | MISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 25.7% | 21 74.3% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | Haslem Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 16 27.2% | 21 72.8% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | CHI | Wallace Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 16 28.8% | 19 71.2% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 16 30.9% | 19 69.1% |
| Q1 - 3:46 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 16 31.3% | 18 68.8% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 16 32.6% | 17 67.4% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | CHI | O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 16 33.3% | 17 66.7% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | CHI | Hinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 34.8% | 17 65.2% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | MIA | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 16 34.0% | 17 66.0% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | CHI | Wallace 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 16 32.4% | 17 67.6% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | MIA | Posey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 14 30.9% | 17 69.1% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 34.2% | 14 65.8% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | CHI | MISS Gordon 9' Jump Shot | 14 34.9% | 14 65.1% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 36.3% | 14 63.7% |
| Q1 - 5:30 | CHI | Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST) | 14 34.2% | 14 65.8% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 11 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 5:47 | CHI | MISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 29.4% | 14 70.6% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | CHI | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 11 30.1% | 14 69.9% |
| Q1 - 6:00 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 28.8% | 14 71.2% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | CHI | MISS Deng Driving Layup | 11 29.4% | 14 70.6% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 11 30.7% | 14 69.3% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 | 11 30.4% | 14 69.6% |
| Q1 - 6:22 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | MIA | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 33.6% | 12 66.4% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 11 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | CHI | MISS Brown 15' Jump Shot | 11 32.9% | 12 67.1% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | CHI | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 34.2% | 12 65.8% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot | 11 33.6% | 12 66.4% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | CHI | Wallace Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST) | 11 32.3% | 12 67.7% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | Posey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 9 30.8% | 12 69.2% |
| Q1 - 7:13 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 29.1% | 12 70.9% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 6' Running Jump Shot | 9 29.6% | 12 70.4% |
| Q1 - 7:41 | CHI | Deng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 30.8% | 12 69.2% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Jump Shot | 9 30.3% | 12 69.7% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 9 29.0% | 12 71.0% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | MIA | MISS Williams Driving Layup | 9 30.3% | 12 69.7% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | CHI | Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 9 29.1% | 12 70.9% |
| Q1 - 8:13 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 26.3% | 12 73.7% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | MIA | MISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 25.8% | 12 74.2% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | CHI | Brown Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 6 24.7% | 12 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 4 23.4% | 12 76.6% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 24.7% | 10 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | CHI | Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 24.5% | 10 75.5% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Williams Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) | 2 23.4% | 10 76.6% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | CHI | Brown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST) | 2 24.4% | 8 75.6% |
| Q1 - 10:00 | MIA | Haslem Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 0 23.4% | 8 76.6% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 0 24.5% | 6 75.5% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | CHI | MISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot | 0 25.0% | 6 75.0% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIA | O'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 0 26.1% | 6 73.9% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 0 27.4% | 4 72.6% |
| Q1 - 10:28 | CHI | Posey BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 27.9% | 4 72.1% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | MIA | O'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 0 29.1% | 4 70.9% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | CHI | Deng Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | CHI | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 32.1% | 2 67.9% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 0 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 0 31.9% | 2 68.1% |
| Q1 - 11:26 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 0 31.3% | 2 68.7% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 30.7% | 2 69.3% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | CHI | MISS Deng 12' Hook Shot | 0 31.1% | 2 68.9% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (2 PTS) | 0 32.1% | 2 67.9% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Williams | 0 33.9% | 0 66.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
8
23
35%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
CHI
15
40
38%
MIA
7
26
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
CHI
19
24
79%
MIA
13
27
48%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Bulls| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Gordon | 24 | 57% | 12.0 / 21 | |
| L. Deng | 22 | 58% | 11.0 / 19 | |
| B. Wallace | 13 | 65% | 6.5 / 10 | |
| A. Nocioni | 11 | 37% | 5.5 / 15 | |
| P. Brown | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| K. Hinrich | 6 | 25% | 3.0 / 12 | |
| C. Duhon | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| M. Allen | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| T. Sefolosha | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 24 | 46% | 12.0 / 26 | |
| S. O'Neal | 16 | 47% | 8.0 / 17 | |
| A. Mourning | 14 | 78% | 7.0 / 9 | |
| U. Haslem | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| J. Posey | 5 | 31% | 2.5 / 8 | |
| J. Williams | 5 | 42% | 2.5 / 6 | |
| A. Walker | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| J. Kapono | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CHI
82
+13
-5
95
MIA
70
+14
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHI
0.95 47.4%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Playoff Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.4 98.1 | CHI 105.7 MIA 90.8 +14.9 |
| Pace | 89.4 90.5 | CHI 88.3 +2.5 MIA 85.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 14.7 16.7 | CHI 16.3 +0.5 MIA 16.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 46.9% 48.2% | CHI 43.5% MIA 45.8% +2.3% |
| TO % | 16.0% 16.0% | CHI 5.0% +11.9% MIA 16.9% |
| ORB % | 28.9% 19.8% | CHI 20.4% MIA 23.8% +3.4% |
| FTrt | 39.0 36.5 | CHI 28.6 MIA 37.5 +8.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 63.4% 53.4% | CHI 56.3% MIA 58.1% +1.8% |
| STL % | 7.8% 6.9% | CHI 12.6% +10.3% MIA 2.3% |
| BLK % | 7.1% 8.6% | CHI 3.6% MIA 9.5% +5.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Playoff Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.5% 50.3% | CHI 47.4% +0.9% MIA 46.5% |
| Rim FG% | 52.2% 63.1% | CHI 34.8% MIA 69.0% +34.2% |
| Mid FG% | 41.3% 35.9% | CHI 37.5% +10.6% MIA 26.9% |
| 3P % | 35.5% 32.4% | CHI 42.9% +19.4% MIA 23.5% |
| FT % | 72.9% 61.5% | CHI 79.2% +31.1% MIA 48.1% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 26.9% 34.4% | CHI 27.4% MIA 40.3% +12.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 51.2% 42.8% | CHI 47.6% MIA 36.1% +11.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.0% 22.7% | CHI 25.0% +1.4% MIA 23.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.
| Game Totals | CHI | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.4 |
| Points | 92 | 79 |
| Rebounds | 42 | 49 |
| Assists | 18 | 18 |
| Steals | 11 | 2 |
| Blocks | 2 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 5 (0) | 17 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (3) | 10 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 32 (4) | 39 (2) |
| Field Goals | 32-84 | 31-72 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 8-23 | 20-29 |
| Midrange FG | 15-40 | 7-26 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-63 | 27-55 |
| 3-Point FG | 9-21 | 4-17 |
| Free Throws | 19-24 | 13-27 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.