FinalWin Prob.pScore
740%89
104
1060%92
96
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
110.69499.6
MIA logo MIA
104.39287.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI104
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIDeng Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (22 PTS)102
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIMISS Deng Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2101
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T9)101
97.9%
96
2.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
94.9%
96
5.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot101
96.9%
96
3.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
93.6%
96
6.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)100
93.0%
96
7.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)99
88.7%
96
11.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper99
86.0%
96
14.0%
Q4 - 1:07CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P6.T21)99
76.8%
96
23.2%
Q4 - 1:25MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)99
84.0%
96
16.0%
Q4 - 1:34CHIBulls Turnover: Backcourt (T#20)99
88.0%
94
12.0%
Q4 - 1:44CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
92.1%
94
7.9%
Q4 - 1:47CHIMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot99
88.7%
94
11.3%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)99
91.8%
94
8.2%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (25 PTS)99
92.4%
93
7.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 399
93.0%
92
7.0%
Q4 - 2:14CHIWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)99
93.5%
92
6.5%
Q4 - 2:14CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 298
92.0%
92
8.0%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)98
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot98
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 2:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 2:27CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 298
96.1%
90
3.9%
Q4 - 2:27CHIWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)98
96.7%
90
3.3%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)97
96.6%
90
3.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)97
97.3%
88
2.7%
Q4 - 2:44CHIMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot97
97.8%
88
2.2%
Q4 - 2:58CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot97
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 3:10CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
96.4%
88
3.6%
Q4 - 3:10CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
96.2%
88
3.8%
Q4 - 3:16MIAO'Neal Layup (23 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)95
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 3:30CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)95
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 3:30CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)94
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAO'Neal 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)93
92.2%
86
7.8%
Q4 - 4:01CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)93
94.6%
84
5.4%
Q4 - 4:01CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
94.3%
84
5.7%
Q4 - 4:18CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
92.6%
84
7.4%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot91
91.8%
84
8.2%
Q4 - 4:39CHIGordon 6' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)91
89.6%
84
10.4%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)89
85.9%
84
14.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHEAT Rebound87
62.3%
84
37.7%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)87
70.1%
84
29.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 287
71.8%
83
28.2%
Q4 - 5:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)87
69.8%
83
30.2%
Q4 - 5:35CHIO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)87
72.0%
83
28.0%
Q4 - 6:02MIAPosey 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
73.7%
83
26.3%
Q4 - 6:27CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)87
78.5%
81
21.5%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)84
67.6%
81
32.4%
Q4 - 6:49CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
59.6%
81
40.4%
Q4 - 6:49CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
58.6%
81
41.4%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
51.9%
81
48.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
57.9%
79
42.1%
Q4 - 7:23CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
60.2%
79
39.8%
Q4 - 7:43CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
65.4%
79
34.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 282
64.4%
79
35.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 282
62.0%
79
38.0%
Q4 - 7:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)82
58.0%
79
42.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot82
63.2%
79
36.8%
Q4 - 7:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
58.0%
79
42.0%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot82
63.2%
79
36.8%
Q4 - 8:06CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)82
56.9%
79
43.1%
Q4 - 8:25CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
50.7%
79
49.3%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
48.7%
79
51.3%
Q4 - 8:46CHIHinrich 10' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)80
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 8:55CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
38.1%
79
61.9%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot78
36.3%
79
63.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)78
32.1%
79
67.9%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot78
36.4%
79
63.6%
Q4 - 9:19CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P5.T19)78
32.4%
79
67.6%
Q4 - 9:27CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
38.2%
79
61.8%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
37.4%
79
62.6%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
33.6%
79
66.4%
Q4 - 9:33CHIO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)78
32.4%
79
67.6%
Q4 - 9:45CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
38.2%
79
61.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot78
36.4%
79
63.6%
Q4 - 10:06CHIGordon Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)78
32.6%
79
67.4%
Q4 - 10:06CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 377
31.9%
79
68.1%
Q4 - 10:06CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 377
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q4 - 10:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
33.0%
79
67.0%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot77
31.3%
79
68.7%
Q4 - 10:35CHIBrown Layup (6 PTS)77
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q4 - 10:36CHIBulls Rebound75
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q4 - 10:38CHIMISS Brown 9' Hook Shot75
20.8%
79
79.2%
Q4 - 10:47CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
23.8%
79
76.2%
Q4 - 10:49CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot75
20.8%
79
79.2%
Q4 - 11:04MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)75
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 11:20CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)75
20.4%
79
79.6%
Q4 - 11:33MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)72
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q4 - 11:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
17.1%
77
82.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 272
20.0%
77
80.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI72
20.3%
76
79.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
24.3%
76
75.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
23.0%
76
77.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIBrown 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)72
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)70
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 270
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 1:02MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
16.0%
76
84.0%
Q3 - 1:19CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)69
18.7%
74
81.3%
Q3 - 1:25CHIBulls Rebound67
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 1:26CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot67
14.2%
74
85.8%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q3 - 1:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 2:01CHINocioni Reverse Layup (10 PTS)67
19.0%
72
81.0%
Q3 - 2:06CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot65
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q3 - 2:29CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)65
13.9%
72
86.1%
Q3 - 2:46CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot63
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
10.0%
72
90.0%
Q3 - 2:56CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 3:10CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
12.7%
72
87.3%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 263
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 263
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 3:30CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)63
10.7%
72
89.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 3:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 3:48CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Hook Shot60
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 4:01CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot60
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 4:25CHIGordon 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)60
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)58
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 4:51CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q3 - 4:51CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 4:54CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot56
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 5:15CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 256
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 5:41CHIWade STEAL (3 STL)56
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 5:52CHIBulls Rebound56
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Williams 10' Running Jump Shot56
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 6:01CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot56
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
14.1%
64
85.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot56
15.6%
64
84.4%
Q3 - 6:40CHIGordon 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
14.1%
64
85.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS)54
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 7:13CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot54
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 7:29MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 7:48CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
18.6%
60
81.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q3 - 8:33CHIDeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)51
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 8:36CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
21.8%
57
78.2%
Q3 - 8:38CHIMISS Wallace Driving Layup51
19.8%
57
80.2%
Q3 - 8:48CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
21.8%
57
78.2%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
20.9%
57
79.1%
Q3 - 8:55CHIPosey STEAL (2 STL)51
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
21.8%
57
78.2%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 251
23.0%
56
77.0%
Q3 - 9:32CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)51
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)51
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot51
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q3 - 10:08CHIDeng Layup (15 PTS)51
27.2%
54
72.8%
Q3 - 10:09CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 10:11CHIMISS Deng Layup49
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 10:19CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
24.7%
54
75.3%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot49
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q3 - 10:35CHIBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)49
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q3 - 10:45CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
24.7%
54
75.3%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q3 - 11:05CHIWallace Dunk (9 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)49
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 11:39CHIBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q3 - 11:39CHIBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
21.8%
52
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI45
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound45
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot45
18.5%
52
81.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)45
20.3%
52
79.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
23.2%
50
76.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
20.3%
50
79.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Haslem Dunk43
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHIPosey BLOCK (2 BLK)43
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 1:23CHIWallace Layup (7 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)43
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q2 - 1:30CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup41
20.2%
48
79.8%
Q2 - 1:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 1:41CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot41
19.8%
48
80.2%
Q2 - 2:00MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)41
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 2:09CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot41
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 2:27CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot41
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 2:47CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P2.T11)41
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q2 - 2:51CHIBulls Rebound41
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 2:52CHIMISS Hinrich Driving Layup41
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)41
26.4%
46
73.6%
Q2 - 3:35CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)41
28.4%
44
71.6%
Q2 - 3:47CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 4:05CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 4:27CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot38
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 4:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 4:42CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot38
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIAWalker Driving Layup (12 PTS)38
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
26.4%
42
73.6%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 5:18CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
26.4%
42
73.6%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)35
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 5:44CHIDeng 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)35
26.4%
39
73.6%
Q2 - 6:00CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 133
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 6:05CHIWilliams STEAL (1 STL)33
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q2 - 6:13CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 6:15CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.3%
37
72.7%
Q2 - 6:25CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
29.2%
37
70.8%
Q2 - 6:26MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Hook Shot33
28.4%
37
71.6%
Q2 - 6:46CHIWallace 10' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)33
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 7:11MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 7:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 7:20CHIMISS Hinrich 12' Jump Shot31
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 7:33MIAO'Neal 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)31
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 7:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 7:51CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)31
33.9%
33
66.1%
Q2 - 8:38CHIWallace Layup (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)31
38.4%
30
61.6%
Q2 - 8:44CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup29
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 8:53CHIMISS Wallace Layup29
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)29
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q2 - 9:28CHISefolosha Foul Turnover (P1.T9)29
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 9:33CHIBulls Rebound29
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 9:34CHIMISS Gordon 17' Fadeaway Jumper29
39.0%
28
61.0%
Q2 - 9:59MIAWalker Running Layup (5 PTS)29
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 10:08CHIWalker STEAL (2 STL)29
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 10:18CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.9%
26
55.1%
Q2 - 10:27CHIWade STEAL (2 STL)29
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q2 - 10:44MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 229
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 10:48CHIPosey STEAL (1 STL)29
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 11:06CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)29
49.8%
23
50.2%
Q2 - 11:11CHIBulls Rebound29
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q2 - 11:13CHIMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot29
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q2 - 11:18CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Bank Shot29
51.5%
23
48.5%
Q2 - 11:32CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)29
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q2 - 11:32CHIBulls Rebound29
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q2 - 11:33CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot29
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q2 - 11:46CHIBulls Rebound29
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q2 - 11:46CHIPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)29
50.6%
23
49.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIHinrich Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)29
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)27
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot27
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
53.9%
20
46.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0CHIMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)27
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAPosey Reverse Layup (5 PTS)27
53.9%
20
46.1%
Q1 - 1:04MIAHEAT Rebound27
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:05CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)27
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
58.5%
18
41.5%
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 227
58.2%
18
41.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 227
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 1:45CHIDuhon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)27
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 2:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.9%
18
46.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Walker Layup25
53.3%
18
46.7%
Q1 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup25
53.3%
18
46.7%
Q1 - 2:26CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 2:29CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.9%
18
46.1%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot25
53.3%
18
46.7%
Q1 - 2:46CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)25
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 2:59MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T3)23
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q1 - 3:09CHIWalker STEAL (1 STL)23
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 3:22MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
53.1%
15
46.9%
Q1 - 3:44CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
53.8%
15
46.2%
Q1 - 3:50CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
55.6%
15
44.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot23
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 4:10CHINocioni 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)23
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 4:24MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 4:40CHIWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 220
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 4:58CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot20
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 5:16CHIDeng 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)20
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 5:23CHIBulls Rebound18
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 5:24CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 5:44CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)18
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 5:58MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)16
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 6:23CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)16
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 6:32CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
42.7%
11
57.3%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot14
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 6:52CHIDuhon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)14
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS)12
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.1%
9
59.9%
Q1 - 7:15CHIMISS Brown 9' Hook Shot12
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHaslem 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 7:48CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 7:48CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 7:58CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 210
41.2%
7
58.8%
Q1 - 8:19CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)10
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 8:31MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
38.6%
7
61.4%
Q1 - 8:48CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 9:08MIAKapono 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 9:31CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:53CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)4
36.3%
3
63.7%
Q1 - 9:59CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot1
32.5%
3
67.5%
Q1 - 10:20CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P1.T1)1
31.3%
3
68.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)1
33.1%
3
66.9%
Q1 - 10:58CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 10:58CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 20
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:09CHIBulls Rebound0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:10CHIO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:14CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:24CHIMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:39CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Williams0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
7
16
44%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
CHI
23
40
57%
MIA
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
CHI
29
37
78%
MIA
16
35
46%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2761%13.5 / 22
L. Deng2460%12.0 / 20
K. Hinrich2265%11.0 / 17
B. Wallace1161%5.5 / 9
A. Nocioni1056%5.0 / 9
P. Brown660%3.0 / 5
C. Duhon450%2.0 / 4
T. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2847%14.0 / 30
S. O'Neal2350%11.5 / 23
A. Walker1255%6.0 / 11
J. Posey1063%5.0 / 8
E. Jones675%3.0 / 4
J. Williams531%2.5 / 8
U. Haslem536%2.5 / 7
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
J. Kapono250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
76
+16
-18
92
MIA
83
+13
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
98.1
CHI 110.6 +6.3
MIA 104.3
Pace
89.4
90.5
CHI 99.6 +12.5
MIA 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.7
CHI 14.5 +2.1
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
48.2%
CHI 52.8% +3.4%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
16.0%
16.0%
CHI 19.4%
MIA 8.5% +10.9%
ORB %
28.9%
19.8%
CHI 22.2%
MIA 24.0% +1.8%
FTrt
39.0
36.5
CHI 52.1 +8.9
MIA 43.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
53.4%
CHI 57.1% +16.6%
MIA 40.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.9%
CHI 5.3%
MIA 9.8% +4.5%
BLK %
7.1%
8.6%
CHI 6.1%
MIA 10.7% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.3%
CHI 55.9% +6.4%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
52.2%
63.1%
CHI 43.8%
MIA 68.0% +24.2%
Mid FG%
41.3%
35.9%
CHI 57.5% +23.4%
MIA 34.1%
3P %
35.5%
32.4%
CHI 33.3%
MIA 40.0% +6.7%
FT %
72.9%
61.5%
CHI 78.4% +32.7%
MIA 45.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.9%
34.4%
CHI 22.5%
MIA 30.9% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
51.2%
42.8%
CHI 56.3%
MIA 50.6% +5.7%
3P Att. %
22.0%
22.7%
CHI 21.1% +2.6%
MIA 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points10496
Rebounds4433
Assists2015
Steals59
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)18 (3)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (10)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (1)21 (2)
Field Goals35-7137-81
At-the-Rim FG7-1617-25
Midrange FG23-4014-41
2-Point FG30-5631-66
3-Point FG5-156-15
Free Throws29-3716-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 26
41.6
22
65%
1
6
1
0
2
4
0
1
7-7
100%
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 240 · 33
40.9
11
61%
8
2
3
1
0
3
0
8
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
37.7
27
61%
5
2
0
0
6
4
1
4
11-14
79%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 220 · 22
36.6
24
60%
11
3
0
1
5
5
2
9
6-8
75%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 239 · 38
16.9
6
60%
4
1
0
0
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
31.0
4
50%
6
4
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
· 6'7" 225 · 27
27.6
10
56%
8
2
0
2
2
5
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 220 · 23
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 21
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33
F · 6'10" 255 · 29
F · 6'8" 270 · 25
#11 · G · 5'10" 173 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · C · 7'2" 240 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#38 · · 6'9" 210 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
44
20
5
4
18
0
6
38
29-37
78%
30-56
54%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.