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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Bulls40%89104
10Heat60%9296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
41.6
26.7
22
64%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
40.9
37.6
11
64%
8
2
3
1
1
0
0
8
3-6
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
37.7
43.0
27
61%
5
2
0
1
0
6
1
4
11-14
79%
5-11
6-13
45%
45%
2-5
40%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
36.6
39.4
24
58%
11
3
0
1
1
5
2
9
6-8
75%
9-17
8-16
53%
50%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.5
16.9
25.1
6
61%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
31.0
18.4
4
50%
6
4
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.4
27.6
21.6
10
56%
8
2
0
0
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
4.2
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
3.5
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.5
0.4
0
0-0
42%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.2
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.1
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.3
43.0
35.9
28
45%
9
5
3
2
0
4
5
4
4-10
40%
12-25
8-16
48%
49%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
32.3
29.4
23
52%
13
1
1
0
2
2
6
7
3-12
25%
10-17
7-12
59%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
27.3
27.8
5
32%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
24.4
23.2
5
37%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
15.4
28.2
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.3
35.8
26.2
10
63%
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
26.0
18.7
6
80%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
22.5
25.9
12
52%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
13.3
12.8
5
87%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.8
8.7
0
1-1
46%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
6.2
0
1-2
46%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.9
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.