for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 24, 2007
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Heat
33%87
89
8
Bulls
67%93
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.79285.7
CHI logo CHI
116.39299.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI89
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)89
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIMISS Thomas Layup86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMourning Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (2 PTS)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHISefolosha 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41CHIDeng 19' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIABrown STEAL (4 STL)84
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)84
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:33CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper84
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 3:51CHISefolosha Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)84
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:11MIAWalker Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:16CHIGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 4:47CHIBULLS Rebound82
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47CHIMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:37CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot82
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:19CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 6:34CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS O'Neal Layup82
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 6:56CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)82
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 7:16CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Walker Layup82
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 7:44CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)82
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 7:49CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
3.6%
91
96.4%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade Layup82
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 8:01MIAHeat Rebound82
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 8:01MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)82
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 8:12CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P3.T15)82
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 8:15CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 8:34CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)82
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 8:48MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)82
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 9:06CHIBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)80
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 9:06CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 9:07CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS)80
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 9:59CHIDeng 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)78
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)78
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q4 - 10:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q4 - 10:30CHIMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot76
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)76
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 11:02CHIDeng Layup (14 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)74
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWade Running Layup (15 PTS)74
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 11:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 11:32CHIMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot72
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 11:51MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 11:51MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 271
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI71
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)71
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T19)68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIDeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIADeng STEAL (2 STL)68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Gordon Layup68
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:00CHIDeng Layup (12 PTS)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 1:00CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 1:02CHIMISS Nocioni 7' Jump Shot68
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 1:27CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot68
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:50CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)68
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q3 - 1:51CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 1:53CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot68
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 2:12MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)68
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 2:34CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Deng 6 AST)66
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 2:39CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 2:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 2:59CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 3:19MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS)66
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Kapono Layup64
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 3:47CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 3:47CHIWallace Tip Shot (9 PTS)64
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 3:49CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 4:01CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 4:03CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q3 - 4:08CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup64
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 4:19CHIDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 4:38CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper64
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 4:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 4:53CHIMISS Deng 11' Jump Shot64
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 5:05MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)64
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q3 - 5:06CHINocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)61
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)61
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 5:49CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)59
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 6:03CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 6:05CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot59
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)59
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 6:30CHIBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q3 - 6:30CHIBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)59
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 7:00MIAPosey Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 7:00MIAPosey Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 7:03CHIMISS Hinrich 4' Jump Shot57
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 7:17MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS)57
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 7:40CHIGordon 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)55
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)55
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 8:17CHIBrown 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)55
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 8:27CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
7.4%
66
92.6%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot55
7.7%
66
92.3%
Q3 - 8:47CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)55
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 8:59CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 9:13CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIABrown STEAL (3 STL)55
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 9:24CHIMISS Gordon 10' Jump Shot55
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 254
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 9:54CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)54
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
13.0%
61
87.0%
Q3 - 10:21CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)52
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 10:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)52
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 10:36MIAHeat Rebound52
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 10:36MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)52
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 10:37MIAHeat Rebound52
14.9%
59
85.1%
Q3 - 10:37MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)52
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 11:02CHIBrown 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)52
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 11:13CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot52
17.4%
57
82.6%
Q3 - 11:47CHIHinrich 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)52
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
21.0%
55
79.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
23.5%
55
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 32' 3PT Jump Shot52
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)52
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)50
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)50
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)48
21.0%
52
79.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)48
24.4%
50
75.6%
Q2 - 1:30CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)48
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q2 - 1:48MIAKapono Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)48
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q2 - 2:01CHIDuhon Foul Turnover (P1.T8)46
26.2%
48
73.8%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)46
24.0%
48
76.0%
Q2 - 2:37CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)44
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 3:03MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
26.0%
45
74.0%
Q2 - 3:25CHIGordon Driving Layup (11 PTS)41
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 3:41MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
19.9%
43
80.1%
Q2 - 3:51CHIMISS Nocioni Running Layup38
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)38
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS)38
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS O'Neal Layup36
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:12MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)36
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:26CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)36
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 4:39CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 4:53CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot34
12.6%
43
87.4%
Q2 - 5:14CHIBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)34
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 5:25CHIBULLS Rebound34
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS O'Neal Layup34
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 5:46CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 5:55CHIBULLS Rebound34
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot34
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 6:02MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 6:04CHIMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Bank Shot34
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 6:08CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 6:09CHIMISS Gordon 11' Jump Shot34
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 6:27MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)34
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 6:49CHIWallace Driving Layup (7 PTS)34
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIAKapono 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
18.1%
39
81.9%
Q2 - 7:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 7:14CHIMISS Deng 12' Hook Shot32
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 7:30MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)32
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 7:51CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)32
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 8:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 132
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 8:13CHIMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot30
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)30
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 8:53CHIHinrich Driving Layup (7 PTS)28
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
15.8%
35
84.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 9:31CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot25
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 9:39CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 9:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 9:59CHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 225
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 9:59CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 10:22MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 10:45CHISefolosha 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
12.5%
34
87.5%
Q2 - 11:00CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 11:21CHIWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 11:21CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 223
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 11:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 11:32MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q2 - 11:48CHISefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)21
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)21
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)21
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot21
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0CHIMISS Nocioni Layup21
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0CHIMISS Sefolosha 20' Jump Shot21
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q1 - 1:20CHIWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)20
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20.3%
22
79.7%
Q1 - 1:42CHIMISS Gordon 23' Jump Shot17
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 1:54MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)17
19.1%
22
80.9%
Q1 - 2:11CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)17
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 2:15CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot17
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 2:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot17
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 2:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.4%
19
74.6%
Q1 - 2:40CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot17
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 2:53MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 3:18CHIWallace Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)15
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 3:24CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade Layup15
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 3:33MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 3:35CHIMISS Brown 16' Fadeaway Jumper15
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 3:51MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)15
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 4:16CHIGordon Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 4:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 4:45CHIMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot13
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
23.3%
15
76.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
22.0%
15
78.0%
Q1 - 5:15CHIMISS Deng 9' Hook Shot11
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 5:23CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot11
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 5:47CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
22.0%
15
78.0%
Q1 - 5:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 5:51CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot11
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 6:07MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 6:23MIAHeat Rebound9
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 6:23CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot9
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)9
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:57CHIBrown 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)7
20.6%
12
79.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)7
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:31CHIGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)5
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:36CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 7:38MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot5
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 7:57CHIBrown Dunk (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)5
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:25CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
19.5%
8
80.5%
Q1 - 8:25CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 8:28CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot2
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 8:53CHIGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:01MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)2
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 9:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 9:16CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)2
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:37CHIGordon 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)2
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 9:59CHIHinrich 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:24CHIMISS Deng Layup2
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:35CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:14CHIGordon 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 11:16CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:18CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:20MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)2
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:24CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot2
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
28.7%
0
71.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
27.2%
0
72.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
CHI
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
28
61%
CHI
10
16
63%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
CHI
22
45
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
CHI
11
16.5
17
65%
97%
Free Throws
MIA
16
20
80%
CHI
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2150%10.5 / 21
S. O'Neal1753%8.5 / 16
J. Kapono1169%5.5 / 8
J. Posey1179%5.5 / 7
A. Walker1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem660%3.0 / 5
A. Mourning6100%3.0 / 3
J. Williams425%2.0 / 8
E. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2771%13.5 / 19
L. Deng2662%13.0 / 21
K. Hinrich1458%7.0 / 12
P. Brown1071%5.0 / 7
A. Nocioni1071%5.0 / 7
B. Wallace964%4.5 / 7
T. Sefolosha9113%4.5 / 4
T. Thomas225%1.0 / 4
C. Duhon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+10
-20
82
CHI
74
+11
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
CHI
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.1
103.4
MIA 96.7 +19.6
CHI 116.3
Pace
90.5
89.4
MIA 85.7
CHI 99.2 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.7
MIA 16.8
CHI 14.5 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
46.9%
MIA 50.0%
CHI 62.2% +12.2%
TO %
16.0%
16.0%
MIA 20.4%
CHI 18.6% +1.8%
ORB %
19.8%
28.9%
MIA 17.6%
CHI 29.4% +11.8%
FTrt
36.5
39.0
MIA 27.4 +12.0
CHI 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.4%
63.4%
MIA 61.8%
CHI 65.1% +3.3%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
MIA 9.8%
CHI 12.0% +2.2%
BLK %
8.6%
7.1%
MIA 6.6%
CHI 8.8% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
50.5%
MIA 53.6%
CHI 62.2% +8.6%
Rim FG%
63.1%
52.2%
MIA 60.7%
CHI 62.5% +1.8%
Mid FG%
35.9%
41.3%
MIA 41.4%
CHI 48.9% +7.5%
3P %
32.4%
35.5%
MIA 31.3%
CHI 64.7% +33.4%
FT %
61.5%
72.9%
MIA 80.0%
CHI 83.3% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
26.9%
MIA 38.4% +17.8%
CHI 20.5%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
51.2%
MIA 39.7% +18.0%
CHI 57.7%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.0%
MIA 21.9% +0.1%
CHI 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.822.3
Points89107
Rebounds3038
Assists2128
Steals911
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)28 (2)
Field Goals34-7343-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2810-16
Midrange FG12-2922-45
2-Point FG29-5732-61
3-Point FG5-1611-17
Free Throws16-2010-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
40.6
21
50%
3
7
1
0
7
1
0
3
3-6
50%
9-19
47%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
31.1
17
53%
8
1
0
1
7
3
5
3
5-5
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
30.3
4
25%
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
21.9
6
60%
4
3
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
F · 6'6" 200 · 36
16.8
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
33.1
11
69%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
30.4
11
79%
8
2
5
1
3
5
0
8
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
24.3
11
61%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
11.5
6
100%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
Earl Barron
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Wayne Simien
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Chris Quinn
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
54%
30
21
9
4
20
0
6
24
16-20
80%
29-57
51%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.