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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat33%8789
8Bulls67%93107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.3
40.6
30.5
21
49%
3
7
1
1
0
7
0
3
3-6
50%
9-19
6-14
47%
48%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
31.1
27.7
17
52%
8
1
0
0
1
7
5
3
5-5
100%
6-14
6-11
43%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
30.3
24.4
4
25%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
21.9
24.4
6
60%
4
3
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
16.8
20.4
2
33%
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
33.1
22.2
11
69%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
1-1
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.3
30.4
21.8
11
66%
8
2
5
1
1
3
0
8
3-3
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-6
33%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
24.3
28.4
11
62%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
11.5
15.0
6
104%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.8
17.4
0
1-3
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
10.7
0
1-3
45%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.9
7.9
0
1-2
42%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
44.4
41.5
27
71%
7
5
1
1
1
6
2
5
0-0
-
6-11
6-13
55%
46%
5-8
63%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
39.1
40.0
26
63%
5
6
2
1
1
3
3
2
4-4
100%
11-19
8-16
58%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
38.3
37.4
9
65%
6
2
2
1
3
0
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.5
31.0
18.3
10
73%
4
2
4
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
27.7
25.0
14
58%
3
8
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
2-2
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.4
18.6
25.9
10
67%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
18.1
18.7
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
12.8
14.4
9
90%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.7
7.3
11.3
2
30%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
1.3
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
1.3
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.5
0.9
0
0-0
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.7
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.2
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.