FinalWin Prob.pScore
1328%86
91
572%93
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09185.8
CHI logo CHI
106.79095.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHIBULLS Rebound91
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
6.7%
93
93.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
12.4%
92
87.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Nocioni Layup91
23.3%
92
76.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)91
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Deng Tip Shot89
9.3%
92
90.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot89
9.3%
92
90.7%
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)89
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 1:32CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P4.T13)86
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)86
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 1:51CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)83
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)83
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 2:15CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)83
4.1%
89
95.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 2:45CHIGordon Foul Turnover (P5.T12)81
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q4 - 3:06MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)81
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 3:19CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)79
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 3:39MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)79
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 3:49CHIMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot76
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q4 - 4:03CHIBULLS Rebound76
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 4:25CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)76
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 4:31CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q4 - 4:50CHIGordon 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)76
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 4:58MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T11)76
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q4 - 5:10CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q4 - 5:10CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 276
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q4 - 5:17MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
15.1%
78
84.9%
Q4 - 5:31CHIWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)74
12.8%
78
87.2%
Q4 - 5:32CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)74
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 5:34CHIMISS Deng 9' Jump Shot74
11.7%
78
88.3%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)74
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q4 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q4 - 6:01CHIMISS Gordon 11' Jump Shot72
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)72
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q4 - 6:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 6:29CHIMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 6:46CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)70
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
4.5%
78
95.5%
Q4 - 6:57CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 7:06CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 7:25CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)70
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 7:25CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)70
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 7:36CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 7:37CHIMISS Hinrich 8' Jump Shot70
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 8:15CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot68
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIAHeat Rebound66
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q4 - 9:08CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)66
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 9:08CHIMISS Wallace 5' Jump Shot66
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q4 - 9:09CHIMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot66
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q4 - 9:31CHIBULLS Rebound66
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot66
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q4 - 9:53CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q4 - 10:06MIAPosey Driving Layup (5 PTS)66
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q4 - 10:28CHIDeng Reverse Layup (26 PTS)64
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q4 - 10:46MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)64
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q4 - 10:57MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q4 - 10:59CHIMISS Thomas 9' Hook Shot62
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q4 - 11:20CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot62
4.4%
72
95.6%
Q4 - 11:37MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
5.1%
72
94.9%
Q4 - 11:38CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI62
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound62
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)62
4.6%
72
95.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)59
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 1:09CHIThomas Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)59
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 1:14CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 1:16MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)59
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAHeat Rebound59
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)59
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 1:35MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 1:37CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot59
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 1:52CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
5.9%
68
94.1%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Walker Reverse Layup59
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 2:13CHIMISS Wallace Layup59
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 2:28MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 2:41CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)57
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 2:50CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)57
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot57
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 3:14CHIDeng 13' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Gordon 11 AST)57
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)57
6.6%
66
93.4%
Q3 - 3:49CHISefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 10 AST)55
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 4:04MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T9)55
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 4:08CHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 4:22CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 255
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 255
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHeat Rebound55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Walker Layup55
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Walker Layup55
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 4:39MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 4:40CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Jump Shot55
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 4:46CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 4:47CHIMISS Gordon Layup55
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 5:09MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 5:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 5:24CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)55
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 5:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 5:50CHIMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot55
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 5:53CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q3 - 5:54CHIMISS Deng Layup55
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q3 - 6:09CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Layup55
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q3 - 6:35CHISefolosha 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)55
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 6:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q3 - 6:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 7:11CHIGordon 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 7:25MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)53
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 7:46CHIDeng Layup (22 PTS)50
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIADeng STEAL (1 STL)50
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound50
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 8:06CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot50
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 8:20MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)50
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 8:49CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 9 AST)48
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 9:00CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 9:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q3 - 9:10CHIMISS Gordon 8' Jump Shot48
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q3 - 9:24CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
10.5%
55
89.5%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot48
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 9:41CHINocioni 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gordon 8 AST)48
12.0%
55
88.0%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)48
13.6%
53
86.4%
Q3 - 10:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
15.5%
53
84.5%
Q3 - 10:08CHIMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot48
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 10:14CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot48
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 10:34CHIDeng 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)48
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 247
16.7%
51
83.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)47
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q3 - 11:01CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P3.T8)46
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 11:11CHIBULLS Rebound46
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q3 - 11:32CHIBrown 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)46
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 11:43CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot46
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHISefolosha Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 7 AST)46
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)46
22.4%
47
77.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0CHIMISS Wallace Follow Up Dunk46
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHIMISS Thomas Layup46
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHeat Rebound44
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.6%
47
81.4%
Q2 - 1:06CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 1:08CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 1:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:51CHIMISS Sefolosha 22' Jump Shot44
18.7%
47
81.3%
Q2 - 1:55CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
18.0%
47
82.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot44
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 2:18CHINocioni Layup (7 PTS) (Gordon 6 AST)44
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 2:29CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot44
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:52CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)44
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 2:57CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
28.8%
42
71.2%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)44
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 3:11CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)44
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q2 - 3:16CHIBULLS Rebound44
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot44
29.8%
42
70.2%
Q2 - 3:28CHIGordon Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)44
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 3:35MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)44
30.4%
41
69.6%
Q2 - 3:52CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
28.3%
41
71.7%
Q2 - 3:52CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
28.6%
40
71.4%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)42
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 4:25CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 4:25CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 4:38MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS)40
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 4:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot38
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 4:58CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Jump Shot38
26.9%
37
73.1%
Q2 - 5:05CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Williams 12' Jump Shot38
25.7%
37
74.3%
Q2 - 5:12CHIWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
25.0%
37
75.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 5:53CHIDeng Layup (16 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)37
25.2%
37
74.8%
Q2 - 5:58CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
27.2%
35
72.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
27.9%
35
72.1%
Q2 - 6:23CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)37
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 6:28MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)37
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 6:38CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot37
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 6:46CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 6:46CHIMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot37
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 7:07MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)37
31.1%
33
68.9%
Q2 - 7:31CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)35
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q2 - 7:38CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot35
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 8:01CHIGordon Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)35
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 8:03CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot35
31.5%
31
68.5%
Q2 - 8:30CHIGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 9:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 9:01CHIMISS Deng 14' Fadeaway Jumper33
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 9:24CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 9:27MIANocioni BLOCK (2 BLK)33
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 9:45MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 9:47CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 9:56CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot33
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 10:22CHIGordon Layup (10 PTS)33
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 10:28CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 10:30MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)33
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 10:44CHIGordon 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)33
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q2 - 11:14CHIMISS Duhon Layup31
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q2 - 11:20CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q2 - 11:22CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Jump Shot31
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)31
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)28
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0CHIMISS Duhon 10' Running Jump Shot28
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.6%
25
72.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot28
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
29.4%
24
70.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)28
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q1 - 1:23CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
27.2%
23
72.8%
Q1 - 1:23CHIMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 225
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
27.4%
22
72.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 1:43CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot23
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 1:58CHIJump Ball Gordon vs. Payton: Tip to Nocioni23
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 2:09CHIDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 2:09CHIDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 2:11CHIDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 2:13MIAMISS Walker 23' Jump Shot23
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot23
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 2:56CHIDeng Layup (12 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 3:36CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)21
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 4:14CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWalker 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:23CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 4:23CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 4:23CHIBULLS Rebound16
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 4:24CHIMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot16
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 4:41MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)16
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 4:44CHIDeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 4:47CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 4:49CHIMISS Nocioni 9' Jump Shot16
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 5:25CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 5:31CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 5:58CHINocioni Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)14
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 6:33CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P2.T2)12
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 6:48CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 112
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade Dunk10
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 7:13CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 210
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 7:13CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 210
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 7:30CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot10
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 7:41CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot10
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 7:52MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 8:13CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 8:29MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 8:34CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 8:56CHIDeng 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)4
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 9:05CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS O'Neal Layup4
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 9:33CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)4
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 9:35CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:37CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.8%
8
83.2%
Q1 - 9:42CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot4
16.3%
8
83.7%
Q1 - 10:01CHIWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)4
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 10:21MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 10:37CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 10:37CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
17.3%
5
82.7%
Q1 - 10:41CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot2
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 11:14CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:51CHIDeng Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Deng0
20.5%
0
79.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
CHI
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
21
52%
CHI
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
13
32
41%
CHI
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
CHI
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
MIA
22
27
81%
CHI
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2155%10.5 / 19
A. Walker2059%10.0 / 17
S. O'Neal1963%9.5 / 15
U. Haslem1169%5.5 / 8
J. Williams956%4.5 / 8
J. Posey583%2.5 / 3
J. Kapono440%2.0 / 5
E. Jones220%1.0 / 5
A. Mourning0-0.0 / 2
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng3369%16.5 / 24
B. Gordon2450%12.0 / 24
A. Nocioni1753%8.5 / 16
T. Sefolosha964%4.5 / 7
B. Wallace429%2.0 / 7
C. Duhon338%1.5 / 4
K. Hinrich214%1.0 / 7
P. Brown250%1.0 / 2
T. Thomas233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+7
-12
86
CHI
77
+16
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
CHI
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
98.1
103.4
MIA 100.0
CHI 106.7 +6.7
Pace
90.5
89.4
MIA 85.8
CHI 95.8 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.7
MIA 16.8
CHI 15.0 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
46.9%
MIA 47.3% +2.8%
CHI 44.5%
TO %
16.0%
16.0%
MIA 12.4%
CHI 12.2% +0.2%
ORB %
19.8%
28.9%
MIA 10.8%
CHI 31.0% +20.2%
FTrt
36.5
39.0
MIA 37.0 +4.1
CHI 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.4%
63.4%
MIA 54.8%
CHI 77.1% +22.3%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
MIA 5.5% +1.1%
CHI 4.4%
BLK %
8.6%
7.1%
MIA 7.7%
CHI 11.3% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
50.5%
MIA 51.7% +1.2%
CHI 50.5%
Rim FG%
63.1%
52.2%
MIA 52.4%
CHI 59.1% +6.7%
Mid FG%
35.9%
41.3%
MIA 40.6%
CHI 44.2% +3.6%
3P %
32.4%
35.5%
MIA 35.0% +17.4%
CHI 17.6%
FT %
61.5%
72.9%
MIA 81.5%
CHI 85.2% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
26.9%
MIA 28.8% +1.9%
CHI 26.8%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
51.2%
MIA 43.8% +8.6%
CHI 52.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.0%
MIA 27.4% +6.7%
CHI 20.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9196
Rebounds3346
Assists1727
Steals54
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)33 (4)
Field Goals31-7335-82
At-the-Rim FG11-2113-22
Midrange FG13-3219-43
2-Point FG24-5332-65
3-Point FG7-203-17
Free Throws22-2723-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
33.0
21
55%
2
3
1
1
5
5
0
2
7-7
100%
7-15
47%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
30.4
9
56%
2
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
26.8
19
63%
6
3
0
1
2
6
2
4
1-3
33%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
24.6
11
69%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 36
23.6
2
20%
3
0
1
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
30.2
20
59%
3
3
0
1
1
5
1
2
6-6
100%
1-7
14%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
27.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
15.9
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
14.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
13.6
0
0%
1
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
33
17
5
5
12
0
4
29
22-27
81%
24-53
45%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.