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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors29%9397
13Nets71%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
44.9
33.4
9
77%
8
0
2
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
42.5
31.5
23
46%
7
9
1
1
3
3
0
7
6-7
86%
7-20
5-11
35%
48%
1-2
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
40.4
35.4
17
67%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
2-2
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.9
40.0
38.9
12
52%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
32.9
27.4
14
56%
2
6
4
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
1-2
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.1
15.1
17.4
19
78%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
6-9
3-7
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
12.0
7.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
9.0
20.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.6
3.3
11.3
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.9
8.1
0
1-2
49%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.2
2.0
0
0-0
36%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.4
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.9
43.8
38.3
24
69%
5
3
1
1
1
5
1
4
11-12
92%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.1
42.2
37.6
18
71%
8
15
2
2
0
4
2
6
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
3-6
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
41.7
39.9
21
47%
5
2
0
1
0
4
1
4
7-8
88%
4-16
7-14
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
36.5
21.9
3
65%
6
0
2
0
0
3
0
6
1-3
33%
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.5
28.0
30.7
10
83%
8
2
0
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
56%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.8
23.7
25.7
15
84%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
13.6
18.2
5
63%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
6.6
11.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.4
3.9
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-2
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.4
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
0.6
0
0-0
43%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.0
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.8
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.