FinalWin Prob.pScore
549%89
97
1651%90
93
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
110.28883.3
ORL logo ORL
106.98792.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETORL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET97
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)95
97.8%
93
2.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)95
97.6%
91
2.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)94
97.3%
91
2.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)93
93.9%
91
6.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)93
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Milicic 11' Jump Shot91
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
85.2%
88
14.8%
Q4 - 1:06ORLTurkoglu 3' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)89
71.7%
88
28.3%
Q4 - 1:15DETBillups Driving Layup (23 PTS)89
79.7%
86
20.3%
Q4 - 1:28ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)87
70.3%
86
29.7%
Q4 - 1:39DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Webber 4 AST)87
56.2%
86
43.8%
Q4 - 2:00ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)85
45.1%
86
54.9%
Q4 - 2:26DETWebber 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)85
32.1%
86
67.9%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMAGIC Rebound83
27.4%
86
72.6%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
27.4%
86
72.6%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 283
30.3%
85
69.7%
Q4 - 3:01DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)83
24.4%
85
75.6%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHill Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)80
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)80
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 3:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
24.3%
83
75.7%
Q4 - 3:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q4 - 3:24ORLMISS Milicic 17' Jump Shot80
24.3%
83
75.7%
Q4 - 3:41DETWebber Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)80
21.9%
83
78.1%
Q4 - 4:02ORLMilicic 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)80
28.7%
83
71.3%
Q4 - 4:24DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
36.3%
81
63.7%
Q4 - 4:24DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
34.3%
81
65.7%
Q4 - 4:46ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)78
28.4%
81
71.6%
Q4 - 5:00DETWebber Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)78
36.1%
79
63.9%
Q4 - 5:15DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
46.5%
79
53.5%
Q4 - 5:16ORLMISS Milicic Layup78
43.8%
79
56.2%
Q4 - 5:18ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)78
38.0%
79
62.0%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Nelson 30' 3PT Jump Shot78
43.8%
79
56.2%
Q4 - 5:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
37.9%
79
62.1%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot78
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q4 - 5:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)78
46.4%
79
53.6%
Q4 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)78
62.7%
76
37.3%
Q4 - 5:58ORLMISS Howard Layup78
68.2%
76
31.8%
Q4 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)78
62.7%
76
37.3%
Q4 - 5:58ORLMISS Milicic 5' Jump Shot78
68.2%
76
31.8%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
62.7%
76
37.3%
Q4 - 6:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Jump Shot78
66.6%
76
33.4%
Q4 - 6:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
61.1%
76
38.9%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Webber 6' Hook Shot78
63.6%
76
36.4%
Q4 - 6:51ORLMilicic 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)78
69.0%
76
31.0%
Q4 - 7:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)78
72.8%
74
27.2%
Q4 - 7:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
78.4%
74
21.6%
Q4 - 7:07DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot78
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 7:09DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot78
74.6%
74
25.4%
Q4 - 7:27ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)78
78.5%
74
21.5%
Q4 - 7:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
86.0%
71
14.0%
Q4 - 7:45DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot78
87.1%
71
12.9%
Q4 - 8:09ORLHoward 3' Hook Shot (26 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)78
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q4 - 8:18ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
90.0%
69
10.0%
Q4 - 8:19DETMISS McDyess 14' Jump Shot78
90.7%
69
9.3%
Q4 - 8:35ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)78
92.1%
69
7.9%
Q4 - 9:03DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)78
88.8%
69
11.2%
Q4 - 9:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 9:08ORLMISS Dooling Reverse Layup75
82.1%
69
17.9%
Q4 - 9:18DETDooling STEAL (1 STL)75
79.4%
69
20.6%
Q4 - 9:34ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)75
83.3%
69
16.7%
Q4 - 9:34ORLMAGIC Rebound75
79.4%
69
20.6%
Q4 - 9:34ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot75
82.2%
69
17.8%
Q4 - 10:01DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)75
77.9%
69
22.1%
Q4 - 10:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
74.2%
69
25.8%
Q4 - 10:19ORLMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot73
72.8%
69
27.2%
Q4 - 10:32ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q4 - 10:34DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
70.9%
69
29.1%
Q4 - 10:51DETPistons Rebound73
74.3%
69
25.7%
Q4 - 10:51DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot73
70.9%
69
29.1%
Q4 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)73
73.0%
69
27.0%
Q4 - 11:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)73
74.5%
68
25.5%
Q4 - 11:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
76.9%
67
23.1%
Q4 - 11:30DETMISS McDyess Layup73
78.1%
67
21.9%
Q4 - 11:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)73
80.7%
67
19.3%
Q4 - 11:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
80.7%
67
19.3%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot73
78.1%
67
21.9%
Q4 - 11:45DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot73
78.1%
67
21.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
80.7%
67
19.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
76.9%
67
23.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot73
77.1%
67
22.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
79.6%
67
20.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Ariza Layup73
78.5%
67
21.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
76.1%
67
23.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
75.3%
67
24.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
72.1%
67
27.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)71
67.8%
67
32.2%
Q3 - 1:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
58.2%
67
41.8%
Q3 - 1:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 168
57.3%
67
42.7%
Q3 - 1:18ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 1:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot68
65.7%
65
34.3%
Q3 - 1:36DETMcDyess 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13)68
62.5%
65
37.5%
Q3 - 1:59ORLHill Layup (15 PTS)68
67.2%
65
32.8%
Q3 - 2:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
69.7%
63
30.3%
Q3 - 2:08DETMISS McDyess 4' Jump Shot68
71.0%
63
29.0%
Q3 - 2:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
73.9%
63
26.1%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
73.4%
63
26.6%
Q3 - 2:26ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
71.5%
63
28.5%
Q3 - 2:36DETDavis Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T12)68
73.6%
62
26.4%
Q3 - 2:51DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
76.9%
62
23.1%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 268
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 3:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
73.1%
62
26.9%
Q3 - 3:15DETPrince Tip Shot (5 PTS)68
73.1%
62
26.9%
Q3 - 3:17DETMISS Hamilton Layup66
66.7%
62
33.3%
Q3 - 3:24ORLDooling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)66
69.6%
62
30.4%
Q3 - 3:30ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q3 - 3:31DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot66
66.7%
62
33.3%
Q3 - 3:52ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)66
69.6%
62
30.4%
Q3 - 4:09DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 4:11DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 4:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Jump Shot63
63.8%
60
36.2%
Q3 - 4:36DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)63
60.6%
60
39.4%
Q3 - 4:50ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)60
52.7%
60
47.3%
Q3 - 5:04DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
60.4%
57
39.6%
Q3 - 5:04DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
60.0%
57
40.0%
Q3 - 5:19DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
56.7%
57
43.3%
Q3 - 5:21ORLMISS Milicic 4' Hook Shot58
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q3 - 5:43DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
52.2%
57
47.8%
Q3 - 5:43DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
51.7%
57
48.3%
Q3 - 5:56DETPistons Rebound56
48.4%
57
51.6%
Q3 - 5:56ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup56
47.0%
57
53.0%
Q3 - 6:17DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 6:17DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
43.6%
57
56.4%
Q3 - 6:29DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q3 - 6:31DETMISS Hamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot54
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q3 - 6:47DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q3 - 6:49ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot54
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 7:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 7:03DETMISS Webber 20' Jump Shot54
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q3 - 7:20ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)54
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q3 - 7:33DETWallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)54
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 7:55ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
33.3%
57
66.7%
Q3 - 8:11DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
36.9%
55
63.1%
Q3 - 8:11DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 251
36.0%
55
64.0%
Q3 - 8:23ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)51
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q3 - 8:38DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)51
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 9:02ORLHoward Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)51
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMAGIC Rebound51
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q3 - 9:11ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
43.3%
53
56.7%
Q3 - 9:24DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q3 - 9:24DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
39.9%
53
60.1%
Q3 - 9:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 9:26DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot49
35.0%
53
65.0%
Q3 - 9:52ORLNelson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q3 - 10:05DETNelson STEAL (1 STL)49
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 10:37ORLHoward Layup (15 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)49
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q3 - 10:55DETWebber 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)49
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q3 - 11:20ORLNelson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)47
45.1%
49
54.9%
Q3 - 11:28ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
51.9%
46
48.1%
Q3 - 11:30DETMISS Hamilton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot47
53.0%
46
47.0%
Q3 - 11:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
55.5%
46
44.5%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 247
55.0%
46
45.0%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 247
53.2%
46
46.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL47
51.8%
46
48.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETHamilton Layup (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)47
51.8%
46
48.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
48.8%
45
51.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
52.5%
44
47.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Wallace 30' 3PT Jump Shot45
53.2%
44
46.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
54.8%
44
45.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 245
55.5%
43
44.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS)45
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 1:18ORLHill Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)43
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q2 - 1:25ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
55.9%
41
44.1%
Q2 - 1:27DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
56.4%
41
43.6%
Q2 - 1:46ORLHoward Layup (13 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)43
57.6%
41
42.4%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 1:50ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
62.2%
39
37.8%
Q2 - 1:50ORLMISS Milicic Tip Shot43
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 1:54ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot43
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 2:10DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
61.1%
39
38.9%
Q2 - 2:21DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 2:22ORLMISS Howard Layup40
54.0%
39
46.0%
Q2 - 2:41DETWebber Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)40
52.0%
39
48.0%
Q2 - 2:59ORLHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)38
48.6%
39
51.4%
Q2 - 3:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
45.7%
39
54.3%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Webber Free Throw 2 of 238
46.1%
39
53.9%
Q2 - 3:16DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 238
47.9%
39
52.1%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
50.0%
38
50.0%
Q2 - 3:44DETDelfino Layup (8 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)38
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q2 - 4:02ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 4:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 4:13DETMISS Murray Layup36
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q2 - 4:20ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 4:33ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 4:34DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 236
46.4%
37
53.6%
Q2 - 4:34DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
48.2%
37
51.8%
Q2 - 4:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 4:55DETDelfino 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)35
43.1%
37
56.9%
Q2 - 5:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)33
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Ariza Layup33
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 5:04ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 5:07ORLMISS Milicic 6' Jump Shot33
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 5:28DETWebber Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)33
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 5:38ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
35.3%
37
64.7%
Q2 - 5:52DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 5:52DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
32.0%
37
68.0%
Q2 - 5:55ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
30.3%
37
69.7%
Q2 - 6:15DETDelfino 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 6:28DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
26.6%
37
73.4%
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot27
25.8%
37
74.2%
Q2 - 7:00DETTurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)27
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 7:22ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)27
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 7:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 7:30DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot27
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 7:54ORLDooling Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)27
31.7%
35
68.3%
Q2 - 8:11DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
33.9%
33
66.1%
Q2 - 8:11DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 226
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 8:13DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 8:16ORLMISS Dooling Layup26
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q2 - 8:20ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 8:22DETMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot26
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 8:42ORLAriza Layup (2 PTS)26
34.3%
33
65.7%
Q2 - 8:51ORLMAGIC Rebound26
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot26
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q2 - 9:07DETMurray Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 9:21ORLDooling Driving Layup (6 PTS)24
34.6%
31
65.4%
Q2 - 9:35DETMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
36.6%
29
63.4%
Q2 - 10:07ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)24
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q2 - 10:26DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T7)24
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q2 - 10:40ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)24
39.4%
29
60.6%
Q2 - 10:54ORLMAGIC Rebound24
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q2 - 10:54ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot24
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q2 - 10:54ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q2 - 10:56ORLMISS Ariza Layup24
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q2 - 10:57ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q2 - 10:59ORLMISS Howard Layup24
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q2 - 11:03DETAriza STEAL (1 STL)24
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q2 - 11:08ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
44.0%
27
56.0%
Q2 - 11:24DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)24
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q2 - 11:41ORLDooling 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound22
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 35' 3PT Jump Shot22
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLDooling Slam Dunk (2 PTS)22
43.7%
25
56.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETHoward STEAL (2 STL)22
46.6%
23
53.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
48.4%
23
51.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 222
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot22
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)22
49.0%
22
51.0%
Q1 - 1:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 1:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 1:04ORLMISS Howard Follow Up Dunk19
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot19
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 1:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 1:19DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot19
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q1 - 1:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 1:34DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
42.6%
22
57.4%
Q1 - 1:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 2:07DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 2:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
46.6%
19
53.4%
Q1 - 2:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 217
46.3%
19
53.7%
Q1 - 2:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
45.1%
19
54.9%
Q1 - 2:34DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 2:34DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 2:54ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)15
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 3:04ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
46.5%
16
53.5%
Q1 - 3:06DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot15
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 3:31ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)15
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 3:44DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
51.1%
14
48.9%
Q1 - 3:44DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMAGIC Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#1)13
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 4:05DETHoward STEAL (1 STL)13
46.5%
14
53.5%
Q1 - 4:14ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)13
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 4:20DETHill STEAL (1 STL)13
50.9%
12
49.1%
Q1 - 4:32ORLHill Layup (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)13
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 4:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
55.3%
10
44.7%
Q1 - 4:39DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot13
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 4:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 5:02DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 5:18DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Howard Layup13
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 5:33DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
57.5%
10
42.5%
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup13
56.8%
10
43.2%
Q1 - 6:05ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
54.8%
10
45.2%
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot13
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 6:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.9%
10
43.1%
Q1 - 6:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot13
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 6:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
54.8%
10
45.2%
Q1 - 6:27DETMISS Webber 7' Hook Bank Shot13
55.5%
10
44.5%
Q1 - 6:51ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)13
56.9%
10
43.1%
Q1 - 7:00ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 7:02DETMISS Wallace 17' Turnaround Jump Shot13
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 7:25ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)13
60.3%
8
39.7%
Q1 - 7:41DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 7:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 7:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot13
63.3%
6
36.7%
Q1 - 8:07DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 8:07DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 8:17DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:20DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
59.1%
6
40.9%
Q1 - 8:44ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 8:44ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
61.1%
5
38.9%
Q1 - 8:57DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)11
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 9:01DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:03ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Shot9
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 9:11DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)9
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 9:30ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 9:30ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
55.2%
3
44.8%
Q1 - 9:42ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 9:44DETMISS Webber Free Throw 2 of 26
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 9:44DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 26
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 9:53DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 9:55DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot6
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 10:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 10:15ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot6
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 10:28DETWebber 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 10:42ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 24
54.4%
2
45.6%
Q1 - 10:42ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 24
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 10:56DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 11:20ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
50.7%
2
49.3%
Q1 - 11:39DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
50.8%
0
49.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.4%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
10
16
63%
ORL
24
40
60%
Midrange
DET
14
34
41%
ORL
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
ORL
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
31
38
82%
ORL
19
31
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2574%12.5 / 17
R. Hamilton1959%9.5 / 16
T. Prince1381%6.5 / 8
R. Wallace1354%6.5 / 12
C. Webber1150%5.5 / 11
C. Delfino8100%4.0 / 4
A. McDyess420%2.0 / 10
R. Murray440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2966%14.5 / 22
G. Hill1777%8.5 / 11
D. Milicic1450%7.0 / 14
J. Nelson1150%5.5 / 11
K. Dooling1155%5.5 / 10
H. Turkoglu623%3.0 / 13
J. Redick375%1.5 / 2
T. Ariza217%1.0 / 6
T. Battie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+12
-15
85
ORL
73
+20
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.4%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.7
102.9
DET 110.2 +3.3
ORL 106.9
Pace
86.2
85.5
DET 83.3
ORL 92.3 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
17.5
16.1
DET 17.3
ORL 15.6 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.8%
49.5%
DET 50.8% +2.7%
ORL 48.1%
TO %
14.5%
16.4%
DET 16.4%
ORL 15.0% +1.4%
ORB %
28.8%
28.3%
DET 27.8%
ORL 35.7% +7.9%
FTrt
34.6
39.4
DET 58.5 +18.2
ORL 40.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.6%
52.2%
DET 56.7% +3.9%
ORL 52.8%
STL %
8.1%
4.9%
DET 12.5% +4.5%
ORL 8.0%
BLK %
7.8%
6.0%
DET 4.3% +4.3%
ORL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
50.9%
DET 56.4% +6.9%
ORL 49.5%
Rim FG%
55.9%
59.5%
DET 62.5% +2.5%
ORL 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.3%
DET 41.2% +6.7%
ORL 34.5%
3P %
35.0%
34.5%
DET 40.0% +15.0%
ORL 25.0%
FT %
76.7%
57.9%
DET 81.6% +20.3%
ORL 61.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.3%
41.9%
DET 24.6%
ORL 51.9% +27.3%
Mid Att. %
51.8%
48.1%
DET 52.3%
ORL 37.7% +14.6%
3P Att. %
21.9%
10.0%
DET 23.1% +12.7%
ORL 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.
Game TotalsDETORL
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9793
Rebounds3741
Assists1719
Steals117
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)26 (0)
Field Goals30-6536-77
At-the-Rim FG10-1624-40
Midrange FG14-3410-29
2-Point FG24-5034-69
3-Point FG6-152-8
Free Throws31-3819-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
45.7
25
74%
4
6
0
0
2
3
1
3
10-10
100%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
38.3
13
81%
6
3
0
1
3
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
35.4
11
50%
10
4
1
0
2
4
2
8
1-6
17%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 33
35.2
13
54%
8
2
1
0
0
5
1
7
6-6
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
33.8
19
59%
1
0
1
0
4
2
0
1
6-6
100%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33
19.8
4
20%
6
1
2
1
2
5
3
3
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
16.4
4
40%
0
1
4
0
1
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25
10.0
8
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
5.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
G · 6'2" 195 · 36
C · 6'10" 250 · 30
#12 · F · 6'7" 209 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'0" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
37
17
11
3
15
0
10
27
31-38
82%
24-50
48%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.