for complete access.
All Games Monday, April 23, 2007
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Magic
30%85
90
8
Pistons
70%92
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
112.58077.7
DET logo DET
119.58284.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET90
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Milicic Layup87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLHill Driving Layup (21 PTS)85
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 283
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)83
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 283
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)82
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 1:14DETPISTONS Rebound82
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot82
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 1:29ORLNelson Driving Layup (9 PTS)82
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 1:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 1:37DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot80
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 1:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)80
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 1:40DETMISS Wallace Layup80
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMilicic Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)80
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:20DETMcDyess Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)78
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)78
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 2:54DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)78
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:24ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)78
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 3:40DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T5)76
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)76
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:04ORLMISS Howard 11' Hook Shot76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 4:24ORLMagic Rebound76
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 4:26DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 4:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:43DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot76
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 4:59ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 4:59ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 275
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 5:13DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 5:13DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 5:41ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)75
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 6:09DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)73
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 6:32ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)73
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 7:00DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)70
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 7:19ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)70
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 7:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q4 - 7:37DETMISS Webber Layup68
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 7:56ORLDooling 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 8:10DETHunter Palming Turnover (P1.T4)66
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 8:10DETWebber REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)66
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 8:12DETMISS Webber Tip Shot66
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 8:13DETWebber REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 8:17DETMISS Delfino 16' Jump Shot66
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 8:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 8:32DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot66
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 8:48ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 8:51ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 8:53DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 9:09DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMISS Dooling 17' Running Jump Shot63
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 9:32DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 9:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q4 - 9:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:50ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot63
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 10:08DETWebber Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)63
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 10:14ORLWebber STEAL (2 STL)63
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q4 - 10:42DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)63
5.1%
73
94.9%
Q4 - 10:45DETPISTONS Rebound63
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Webber Layup63
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q4 - 11:11ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)63
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 11:16ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q4 - 11:18DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q4 - 11:37ORLMilicic Dunk (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)61
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL59
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 31' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot59
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLMagic Rebound59
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot59
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (10 PTS)59
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 1:16DETBillups 17' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)59
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 1:38ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)59
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 1:46ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot56
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 2:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 2:10ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 256
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 2:10ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 256
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:24ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 2:26DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot56
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 2:48ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)56
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 2:48ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 3:03DETBillups Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)54
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 3:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 3:07ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 3:34DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)54
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 3:46ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)54
8.6%
62
91.4%
Q3 - 4:05DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 4:05DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 4:23ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)52
8.8%
60
91.2%
Q3 - 4:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 4:40DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 4:56DETPISTONS Rebound52
8.8%
60
91.2%
Q3 - 4:58ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 5:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 5:10DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot52
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q3 - 5:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q3 - 5:24ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot52
9.8%
60
90.2%
Q3 - 5:51DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
10.9%
60
89.1%
Q3 - 6:12ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 6:12ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
12.5%
58
87.5%
Q3 - 6:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot50
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 6:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 6:33DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot50
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 6:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 6:36DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot50
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 6:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS Nelson Layup50
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 7:07ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 7:09DETMISS McDyess 9' Jump Shot50
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q3 - 7:26ORLHill Dunk (16 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)50
9.8%
58
90.2%
Q3 - 7:46DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)48
8.7%
58
91.3%
Q3 - 7:51DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q3 - 7:53ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot48
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 8:09DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:09DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 8:22ORLBattie 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)48
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 8:25ORLMagic Rebound46
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 8:26ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q3 - 8:43DETWallace 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)46
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 9:04ORLHill Layup (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)46
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q3 - 9:22ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q3 - 9:25DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot44
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q3 - 9:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)44
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 9:49ORLMISS Nelson Layup44
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 9:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q3 - 9:58DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot44
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q3 - 10:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q3 - 10:12ORLMISS Battie Layup44
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 10:35ORLMagic Rebound44
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q3 - 10:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 10:46DETWallace Tip Shot (12 PTS)44
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q3 - 10:48DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q3 - 10:51DETMISS Prince 7' Running Hook Shot44
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q3 - 11:01DETWebber REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q3 - 11:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 14' Turnaround Jump Shot44
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q3 - 11:16ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Technical44
15.1%
50
84.9%
Q3 - 11:38DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)44
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET44
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound44
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS McDyess 38' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)42
19.6%
45
80.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 241
21.3%
44
78.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot41
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETWebber Tip Shot (7 PTS)41
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot41
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)41
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 1:01DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot41
25.3%
42
74.7%
Q2 - 1:20DETWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 1:20ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 141
24.6%
42
75.4%
Q2 - 1:38ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 1:39DETMISS Webber Free Throw 2 of 239
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 1:39DETWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 1:39DETWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 1:40DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot39
23.0%
41
77.0%
Q2 - 1:58ORLAriza Tip Shot (2 PTS)39
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 2:00ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
19.0%
41
81.0%
Q2 - 2:01ORLMISS Milicic Layup37
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 2:20DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 2:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 2:31ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot37
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 2:53DETWallace 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)37
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 3:04DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 3:05ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 237
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 3:05ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
23.2%
39
76.8%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
21.7%
39
78.3%
Q2 - 3:22DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 236
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 3:22DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 3:48ORLHill Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)36
21.5%
38
78.5%
Q2 - 3:53ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 3:55DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 4:08DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 4:09ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 234
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 4:09ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 4:24DETWebber 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)33
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 4:48ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)33
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 4:53ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 4:55DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 5:07ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q2 - 5:07ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 5:28ORLMagic Rebound29
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 5:29DETMISS Delfino Free Throw 2 of 229
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 5:29DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
11.3%
38
88.7%
Q2 - 5:51DETPISTONS Rebound29
12.1%
37
87.9%
Q2 - 5:52ORLMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot29
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 5:58ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 6:00DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot29
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 6:23ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)29
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 6:36ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot26
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 6:48DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 6:51DETMISS Murray 7' Jump Shot26
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 7:01DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 7:03ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot26
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 7:23DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)26
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 7:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 7:28DETMISS McDyess 12' Jump Shot26
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 7:46ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T6)26
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 8:04DETWebber Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)26
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q2 - 8:05DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 8:06DETMISS Delfino Layup26
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 8:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 8:12ORLMISS Howard Layup26
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 8:32ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 8:34DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot26
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 8:52ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 9:16DETMcDyess 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)24
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 9:31ORLAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q2 - 9:46DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 224
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 9:46DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)24
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 10:09ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)24
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q2 - 10:27DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q2 - 10:27DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 10:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:43DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 10:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:49DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot22
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 11:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 11:06ORLWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)22
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 11:11ORLMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot22
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:34DETPrince 12' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)22
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)22
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup22
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)22
15.7%
28
84.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETPrince Dunk (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)20
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q1 - 1:10ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q1 - 1:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
14.3%
26
85.7%
Q1 - 1:23DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot18
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 1:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 1:37ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot18
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 1:45ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
14.3%
26
85.7%
Q1 - 1:48DETMISS McDyess 7' Jump Shot18
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q1 - 1:57ORLHill Tip Shot (4 PTS)18
13.4%
26
86.6%
Q1 - 1:58ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
12.1%
26
87.9%
Q1 - 2:01ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot16
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 2:20DETMcDyess Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q1 - 2:42ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
13.4%
24
86.6%
Q1 - 2:53DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)14
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 3:12ORLNelson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)14
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 3:51DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)14
14.7%
22
85.3%
Q1 - 4:10ORLTurkoglu Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)14
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 4:21ORLMagic Rebound14
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 4:23ORLMISS Hill Layup14
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 4:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 4:29DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot14
17.9%
19
82.1%
Q1 - 4:51ORLTurkoglu 13' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 5:08DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 5:14ORLWebber STEAL (1 STL)12
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 5:35DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)12
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 5:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot12
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 6:15DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 6:22ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)12
22.2%
13
77.8%
Q1 - 6:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 6:26ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot12
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 6:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 6:43DETMISS Wallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot12
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 6:58DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 212
22.2%
13
77.8%
Q1 - 6:58DETHamilton Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (2 PTS)12
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 7:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 7:01ORLMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot12
23.8%
12
76.2%
Q1 - 7:17DETWebber Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 7:36ORLHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:50DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)10
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 8:12ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 8:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 8:26ORLWebber BLOCK (1 BLK)8
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 8:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Battie 16' Jump Shot8
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 8:54DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 8:54DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 28
26.4%
6
73.6%
Q1 - 9:02ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
25.7%
6
74.3%
Q1 - 9:02ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 9:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.7%
6
75.3%
Q1 - 9:07DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot6
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:33ORLTurkoglu 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)6
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:42DETMISS Webber 8' Hook Shot4
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 9:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 9:59ORLMISS Howard Layup4
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 10:16DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)4
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 10:35ORLBattie 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 10:37ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
23.2%
3
76.8%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot2
22.1%
3
77.9%
Q1 - 10:47ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.2%
3
76.8%
Q1 - 10:49DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot2
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 11:07ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
21.8%
3
78.2%
Q1 - 11:26DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
20.5%
3
79.5%
Q1 - 11:36DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:39ORLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
24.3%
0
75.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.7%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
26
54%
DET
10
18
56%
Midrange
ORL
18
42
43%
DET
14
41
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
DET
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
ORL
17
26
65%
DET
26
33
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2279%11.0 / 14
G. Hill2166%10.5 / 16
D. Milicic1063%5.0 / 8
J. Nelson935%4.5 / 13
D. Howard840%4.0 / 10
C. Arroyo844%4.0 / 9
T. Battie531%2.5 / 8
K. Dooling583%2.5 / 3
T. Ariza220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2255%11.0 / 20
C. Billups2175%10.5 / 14
T. Prince1864%9.0 / 14
R. Wallace1757%8.5 / 15
C. Webber1056%5.0 / 9
A. McDyess932%4.5 / 14
C. Delfino113%0.5 / 4
R. Murray0-0.0 / 1
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
71
+16
-9
87
DET
76
+19
-6
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.7%
DET
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
104.7
ORL 112.5
DET 119.5 +7.0
Pace
85.5
86.2
ORL 77.7
DET 84.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
17.5
ORL 18.5
DET 17.0 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
46.8%
ORL 48.0% +1.8%
DET 46.2%
TO %
16.4%
14.5%
ORL 9.3%
DET 6.1% +3.2%
ORB %
28.3%
28.8%
ORL 30.0%
DET 34.8% +4.8%
FTrt
39.4
34.6
ORL 34.2
DET 42.3 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
61.6%
ORL 54.3%
DET 68.8% +14.5%
STL %
4.9%
8.1%
ORL 1.3%
DET 4.9% +3.6%
BLK %
6.0%
7.8%
ORL 11.9% +6.0%
DET 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
50.7%
ORL 51.7% +0.1%
DET 51.6%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.9%
ORL 53.8%
DET 55.6% +1.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
39.8%
ORL 42.9% +8.8%
DET 34.1%
3P %
34.5%
35.0%
ORL 37.5%
DET 42.1% +4.6%
FT %
57.9%
76.7%
ORL 65.4%
DET 78.8% +13.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.9%
26.3%
ORL 34.2% +11.1%
DET 23.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
51.8%
ORL 55.3%
DET 52.6% +2.7%
3P Att. %
10.0%
21.9%
ORL 10.5%
DET 24.4% +13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8082
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9098
Rebounds4244
Assists1922
Steals14
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals35-7632-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2610-18
Midrange FG18-4214-41
2-Point FG32-6824-59
3-Point FG3-88-19
Free Throws17-2626-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Grant Hill
G · 6'8" 225 · 35
38.0
21
66%
8
4
0
1
1
2
2
6
9-13
69%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
35.9
22
79%
2
2
0
2
2
6
1
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
35.5
8
40%
11
1
0
0
3
3
4
7
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
29.4
9
35%
6
3
0
0
2
2
1
5
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
1-4
25%
Tony Battie
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
27.1
5
31%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
28.0
10
63%
6
0
0
3
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
19.2
8
44%
3
4
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
13.8
2
20%
1
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
13.3
5
83%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
Pat Garrity
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Travis Diener
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Augustine
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
42
19
1
7
9
0
12
30
17-26
65%
32-68
47%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.