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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns45%10094
8Clippers55%10291
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.0
47.2
37.2
32
61%
19
3
4
2
1
3
4
15
5-5
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
51%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 32.3
43.2
36.4
12
52%
3
10
1
1
0
4
0
3
6-6
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
0-4
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.2
40.9
22.1
19
49%
14
2
2
1
0
1
2
12
3-3
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
45%
2-7
29%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.1
39.0
39.8
11
36%
6
7
1
1
4
3
1
5
3-5
60%
4-13
6-11
31%
51%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.6
33.8
37.5
14
63%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 23.5
23.3
33.3
6
34%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.6
10.9
19.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34.2
1.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.0
7.3
0
1-2
42%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 33.6
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 23.1
1.2
0
0-0
34%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
0.5
0
0-0
47%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 27.2
42.4
42.1
20
50%
9
8
2
1
5
1
3
6
6-7
86%
7-17
9-18
41%
51%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.7
41.3
37.0
14
50%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
33.8
26.6
11
45%
7
1
1
0
4
2
0
7
1-3
33%
5-11
4-7
45%
51%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.5
33.0
32.0
6
28%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 25.0
17.3
19.8
10
63%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
27.6
21.5
7
32%
14
5
1
0
0
3
1
13
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 20.7
22.3
28.5
3
26%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
21.8
24.9
18
101%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
5-6
83%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
0.5
1.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.1
2.1
0
0-0
51%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.