FinalWin Prob.pScore
134%88
91
366%93
86
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
95.89595.8
DAL logo DAL
90.59595.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS91
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.9%
86
3.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)89
88.6%
86
11.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)88
86.6%
86
13.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (26 PTS)87
77.0%
86
23.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:19)87
83.7%
84
16.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Duncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper87
87.5%
84
12.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
87.6%
84
12.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALMISS Harris Reverse Layup87
84.8%
84
15.2%
Q4 - 1:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)87
73.7%
84
26.3%
Q4 - 1:10SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
77.0%
84
23.0%
Q4 - 1:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
80.5%
84
19.5%
Q4 - 1:31DALMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot87
77.0%
84
23.0%
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
67.6%
84
32.4%
Q4 - 2:06DALHarris Foul Turnover (P4.T15)85
58.0%
84
42.0%
Q4 - 2:09DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
41.7%
84
58.3%
Q4 - 2:11SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot85
46.6%
84
53.4%
Q4 - 2:33DALHarris 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)85
58.4%
84
41.6%
Q4 - 2:45SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)85
63.8%
82
36.2%
Q4 - 2:58SASSpurs Rebound82
45.2%
82
54.8%
Q4 - 2:59DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 282
43.3%
82
56.7%
Q4 - 2:59DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
37.2%
82
62.8%
Q4 - 3:24SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)82
40.8%
81
59.2%
Q4 - 3:39DALHarris 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)80
33.6%
81
66.4%
Q4 - 3:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:18)80
41.9%
79
58.1%
Q4 - 3:52SASMISS Ginobili 9' Turnaround Jump Shot80
44.8%
79
55.2%
Q4 - 4:16DALHoward Running Layup (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)80
51.9%
79
48.1%
Q4 - 4:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
60.7%
77
39.3%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
63.6%
77
36.4%
Q4 - 4:47SASSpurs Rebound80
70.0%
77
30.0%
Q4 - 4:48DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper80
67.3%
77
32.7%
Q4 - 5:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
56.9%
77
43.1%
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Duncan 4' Turnaround Jump Shot80
59.5%
77
40.5%
Q4 - 5:29DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)80
65.4%
77
34.6%
Q4 - 5:41SASBarry 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
72.3%
75
27.7%
Q4 - 6:09DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)78
62.2%
75
37.8%
Q4 - 6:26SASGinobili 10' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)78
68.2%
73
31.8%
Q4 - 6:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
62.4%
73
37.6%
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot76
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q4 - 6:44DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
54.0%
73
46.0%
Q4 - 6:46SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot76
56.6%
73
43.4%
Q4 - 7:01DALStackhouse Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)76
59.5%
73
40.5%
Q4 - 7:25SASDuncan 7' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)76
52.0%
73
48.0%
Q4 - 7:48DALDaniels Running Layup (8 PTS)74
46.0%
73
54.0%
Q4 - 8:01SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)74
50.8%
71
49.2%
Q4 - 8:22DALHoward Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q4 - 8:27SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)71
44.5%
69
55.5%
Q4 - 8:41SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
51.1%
69
48.9%
Q4 - 8:43DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot71
49.1%
69
50.9%
Q4 - 9:03SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)71
43.4%
69
56.6%
Q4 - 9:03SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)70
42.3%
69
57.7%
Q4 - 9:09SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
37.9%
69
62.1%
Q4 - 9:12DALMISS Van Horn 4' Running Jump Shot69
36.1%
69
63.9%
Q4 - 9:28SASBowen Foul Turnover (P2.T16)69
32.2%
69
67.8%
Q4 - 9:28SASSpurs Rebound69
37.9%
69
62.1%
Q4 - 9:28SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)69
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q4 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q4 - 9:36DALMISS Harris Layup69
36.2%
69
63.8%
Q4 - 9:48SASGriffin STEAL (1 STL)69
32.2%
69
67.8%
Q4 - 9:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
38.0%
69
62.0%
Q4 - 9:53SASGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)69
33.9%
69
66.1%
Q4 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
37.6%
69
62.4%
Q4 - 10:07DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Fadeaway Jumper69
35.9%
69
64.1%
Q4 - 10:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound69
32.1%
69
67.9%
Q4 - 10:18DALMISS Harris 11' Running Jump Shot69
35.9%
69
64.1%
Q4 - 10:34SASGinobili 15' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)69
32.1%
69
67.9%
Q4 - 10:52DALVan Horn Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)67
27.7%
69
72.3%
Q4 - 11:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:17)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q4 - 11:10SASMISS Van Exel 7' Running Jump Shot67
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q4 - 11:17SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
37.5%
67
62.5%
Q4 - 11:19DALMISS Howard Layup67
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q4 - 11:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q4 - 11:22DALMISS Harris Layup67
35.9%
67
64.1%
Q4 - 11:44SASFinley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL67
37.5%
67
62.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
33.8%
67
66.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
36.9%
67
63.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot67
35.5%
67
64.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALMISS Van Horn 3PT Jump Shot67
35.5%
67
64.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
31.4%
67
68.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)65
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)65
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALMISS Van Horn Layup65
40.4%
64
59.6%
Q3 - 1:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
36.4%
64
63.6%
Q3 - 1:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
35.0%
64
65.0%
Q3 - 1:16DALHarris 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
32.1%
64
67.9%
Q3 - 1:31SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
36.4%
62
63.6%
Q3 - 1:31SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
35.7%
62
64.3%
Q3 - 1:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
32.1%
62
67.9%
Q3 - 1:38DALMISS Daniels Layup61
30.8%
62
69.2%
Q3 - 1:53SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)61
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 1:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 1:59DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot58
19.8%
62
80.2%
Q3 - 2:16SASBarry Foul Turnover (P3.T13)58
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 2:39DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)58
21.0%
62
79.0%
Q3 - 2:44DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 2:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)58
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q3 - 2:46DALMISS Dampier Layup58
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot58
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 3:09SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 3:17SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 3:19DALMISS Howard 4' Turnaround Jump Shot56
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 3:34SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)56
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 3:47DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 4:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)56
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot56
19.3%
60
80.7%
Q3 - 4:18DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)56
21.5%
60
78.5%
Q3 - 4:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)56
24.1%
58
75.9%
Q3 - 4:28SASDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)56
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q3 - 4:53DALHoward 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 5:18SASFinley Slam Dunk (9 PTS)56
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 5:23DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)54
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q3 - 5:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)54
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q3 - 5:28SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot54
25.5%
56
74.5%
Q3 - 5:55DALNowitzki Layup (15 PTS)54
27.9%
56
72.1%
Q3 - 5:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)54
31.1%
54
68.9%
Q3 - 5:58DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot54
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q3 - 6:19SASDuncan Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)54
30.9%
54
69.1%
Q3 - 6:28DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)52
27.8%
54
72.2%
Q3 - 6:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)52
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 6:35SASMISS Finley 6' Running Jump Shot52
25.5%
54
74.5%
Q3 - 6:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
27.8%
54
72.2%
Q3 - 6:45DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot52
26.8%
54
73.2%
Q3 - 7:12SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)52
24.3%
54
75.7%
Q3 - 7:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 7:39DALMISS Harris Driving Layup49
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q3 - 7:50DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q3 - 7:52SASMISS Duncan 4' Turnaround Jump Shot49
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 8:18DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)49
19.6%
54
80.4%
Q3 - 8:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)49
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot49
25.4%
51
74.6%
Q3 - 8:49DALHoward 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q3 - 9:08SASDuncan Running Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)49
30.1%
49
69.9%
Q3 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q3 - 9:29DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot47
26.4%
49
73.6%
Q3 - 9:48SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)47
24.4%
49
75.6%
Q3 - 9:57SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
19.5%
49
80.5%
Q3 - 10:00DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Fadeaway Jumper44
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q3 - 10:15SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q3 - 10:31DALDampier 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)41
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q3 - 10:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)41
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot41
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q3 - 10:59SASSpurs Rebound41
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q3 - 11:00DALMISS Harris 9' Running Jump Shot41
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q3 - 11:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)41
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q3 - 11:18SASDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)41
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q3 - 11:32DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T11)41
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q3 - 11:37DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q3 - 11:48DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL41
15.5%
47
84.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASDaniels STEAL (1 STL)41
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Van Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 0:19.0SASSpurs Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#10)41
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
17.6%
47
82.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 241
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 241
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T9)41
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P2.T9)41
17.5%
47
82.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)41
16.2%
47
83.8%
Q2 - 1:11DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 1:11DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 1:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
20.7%
45
79.3%
Q2 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 240
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q2 - 1:26DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
19.7%
45
80.3%
Q2 - 1:39SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
18.6%
45
81.4%
Q2 - 1:39SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 239
18.1%
45
81.9%
Q2 - 1:45SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q2 - 1:47DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot39
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 2:07SASGinobili Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)39
16.7%
45
83.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)37
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 2:24SASBarry Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q2 - 2:38DALVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 2:38DALVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 2:38DALVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot37
17.2%
43
82.8%
Q2 - 3:00SASSpurs Rebound37
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 3:00DALMISS Harris Driving Layup37
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 3:17SASGinobili 20' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)37
16.8%
43
83.2%
Q2 - 3:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)35
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 3:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 3:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)35
16.8%
41
83.2%
Q2 - 3:45SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot35
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 4:08DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)35
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 4:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 4:16SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 4:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
24.6%
38
75.4%
Q2 - 4:33DALMISS Harris Running Layup35
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 4:56SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 4:56SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 5:02SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 5:06DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Fadeaway Jumper33
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 5:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 5:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)32
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 5:35SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 5:38DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot31
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 5:51SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:09DALDaniels Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)31
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 6:31DALDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.9%
36
81.1%
Q2 - 6:34SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot31
19.5%
36
80.5%
Q2 - 6:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)31
21.0%
36
79.0%
Q2 - 6:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
22.9%
34
77.1%
Q2 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 7:30DALDaniels Running Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)29
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 7:34DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 7:36SASDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)29
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 7:49DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 7:49DALDiop Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 7:51DALMISS Daniels 11' Running Jump Shot29
28.4%
30
71.6%
Q2 - 8:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q2 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 228
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 8:25DALVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)28
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 8:47SASVan Exel Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q2 - 8:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q2 - 8:57DALMISS Griffin 8' Fadeaway Jumper26
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 9:08DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 9:08DALMISS Daniels Layup26
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 9:21DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 9:23DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper26
28.1%
27
71.9%
Q2 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)26
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 9:34SASMISS Duncan 6' Turnaround Jump Shot26
27.2%
27
72.8%
Q2 - 9:52DALHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T6)26
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q2 - 9:57SASDampier STEAL (1 STL)26
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q2 - 10:02SASVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:04DALMISS Dampier Layup26
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 10:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)26
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q2 - 10:35DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q2 - 10:35DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 10:35DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 10:37DALMISS Daniels 8' Jump Shot23
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q2 - 10:59SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)23
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q2 - 11:17DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q2 - 11:28SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 11:39DALDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Stackhouse 34' 3PT Jump Shot20
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound20
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)20
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Layup20
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)20
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot20
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot20
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 1:09DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot20
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 1:20SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 1:20SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 219
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:26SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:29DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot19
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 1:49SASGinobili 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 2:02DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 2:02DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 2:09SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 2:28DALHoward 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 2:50SASHorry Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)15
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 3:11DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)13
17.3%
21
82.7%
Q1 - 3:22DALMAVERICKS Rebound13
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 3:22SASDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)13
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 3:28SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS Stackhouse Running Layup13
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 3:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
19.8%
18
80.2%
Q1 - 3:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 3:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 3:49SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot11
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 4:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 4:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)11
18.8%
17
81.2%
Q1 - 4:32SASFinley 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 4:52DALNowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)9
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 5:08DALMAVERICKS Rebound9
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 5:10SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot9
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 5:27DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)9
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 5:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)9
22.7%
12
77.3%
Q1 - 5:38SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot9
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 6:08DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 6:28SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)9
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 6:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
24.3%
10
75.7%
Q1 - 6:39DALMISS Harris Driving Layup7
23.8%
10
76.2%
Q1 - 6:57SASFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 7:07DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)5
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 7:15DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 7:16DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot5
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 7:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)5
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 25
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 7:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 7:38DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)4
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 7:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Duncan 8' Hook Shot4
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 7:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:00DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot4
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 8:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:07SASStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)4
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:23DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)4
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 8:42SASDiop STEAL (1 STL)4
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 8:58DALStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 9:10SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 9:31DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
30.2%
3
69.8%
Q1 - 9:39SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)4
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
27.1%
3
72.9%
Q1 - 9:44SASMISS Parker Driving Layup2
25.9%
3
74.1%
Q1 - 9:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 9:56DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot2
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 10:03DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:05DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Layup2
26.4%
3
73.6%
Q1 - 10:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:16SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
25.8%
3
74.2%
Q1 - 10:38DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
27.0%
3
73.0%
Q1 - 10:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 10:46SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot2
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 10:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 11:00DALMISS Diop 6' Hook Shot2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:15SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:25DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 11:40SASParker Running Layup (2 PTS)2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Duncan: Tip to Bowen0
28.2%
0
71.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.2%
DAL
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
25
60%
DAL
16
34
47%
Midrange
SAS
10
32
31%
DAL
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
DAL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
SAS
29
34
85%
DAL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3075%15.0 / 20
T. Duncan2448%12.0 / 25
M. Finley1673%8.0 / 11
T. Parker825%4.0 / 16
R. Horry660%3.0 / 5
B. Barry5125%2.5 / 2
N. Van Exel250%1.0 / 2
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2668%13.0 / 19
J. Howard1747%8.5 / 18
J. Stackhouse1031%5.0 / 16
K. Van Horn1063%5.0 / 8
M. Daniels850%4.0 / 8
D. Harris723%3.5 / 15
E. Dampier660%3.0 / 5
D. Diop250%1.0 / 2
A. Griffin0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+5
-16
84
DAL
80
+14
-15
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.08 54.2%
DAL
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.9
SAS 95.8 +5.3
DAL 90.5
Pace
89.4
89.2
SAS 95.8 +0.4
DAL 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 15.0 +0.1
DAL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
48.1%
SAS 46.3% +4.7%
DAL 41.6%
TO %
13.8%
13.5%
SAS 17.2%
DAL 14.0% +3.2%
ORB %
22.9%
29.7%
SAS 11.8%
DAL 25.5% +13.7%
FTrt
42.0
35.0
SAS 50.7 +26.6
DAL 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
42.2%
SAS 37.9%
DAL 46.9% +9.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
SAS 7.4%
DAL 7.4%
BLK %
8.5%
7.3%
SAS 10.1%
DAL 14.0% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
52.6%
SAS 54.2% +8.9%
DAL 45.3%
Rim FG%
62.8%
57.4%
SAS 60.0% +12.9%
DAL 47.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.5%
SAS 31.3%
DAL 31.4% +0.1%
3P %
39.2%
31.7%
SAS 40.0% +4.3%
DAL 35.7%
FT %
77.7%
80.9%
SAS 85.3% +0.3%
DAL 85.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
31.0%
SAS 37.3%
DAL 41.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
50.2%
SAS 47.8%
DAL 42.2% +5.6%
3P Att. %
20.7%
18.8%
SAS 14.9%
DAL 16.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.823.9
Points9186
Rebounds3942
Assists1115
Steals77
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)30 (4)
Field Goals29-6732-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2516-34
Midrange FG10-3211-35
2-Point FG25-5727-69
3-Point FG4-105-14
Free Throws29-3417-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 33
45.0
16
73%
6
2
2
1
2
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
38.0
30
75%
10
2
3
1
3
3
2
8
12-13
92%
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
35.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
34.6
8
25%
4
3
0
0
3
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-13
23%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 30
32.7
24
48%
8
1
1
1
3
5
2
6
8-10
80%
8-21
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
21.9
5
125%
3
2
0
0
3
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
17.8
6
60%
4
0
1
2
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
14.3
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
#40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
54%
39
11
7
7
16
0
4
35
29-34
85%
25-57
44%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.