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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 19, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs34%8891
3Mavericks66%9386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
45.0
37.9
16
74%
6
2
2
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
38.0
33.2
30
76%
10
2
3
1
1
3
2
8
12-13
92%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.9
35.0
35.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
34.6
37.7
8
25%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-13
8-16
23%
51%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.1
32.7
42.0
24
47%
8
1
1
1
1
3
2
6
8-10
80%
8-21
8-16
38%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
21.9
23.5
5
102%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.7
17.8
11.7
6
65%
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4
4-6
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.5
14.3
10.0
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.2
0.5
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
0.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
45.9
42.7
26
67%
21
5
1
1
0
3
2
19
8-8
100%
9-15
7-15
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.1
41.6
34.4
17
48%
6
1
1
1
2
3
2
4
2-2
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
39.4
32.1
10
31%
3
4
0
1
1
3
1
2
0-2
0%
2-9
4-10
22%
42%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
31.2
32.6
7
24%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-13
4-9
23%
48%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
6.0
19.2
2
50%
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
26.3
22.3
6
61%
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.4
18.5
9.0
8
51%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.9
15.9
3.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
13.8
6.5
10
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.9
1.4
0.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
41.6
1
6-12
48%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
0.2
0
0-0
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.