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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs38%88118
3Mavericks62%92123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.1
46.8
39.0
31
58%
13
6
1
1
3
3
2
11
7-8
88%
12-23
7-15
52%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
46.8
26.1
14
64%
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
45.6
36.5
33
57%
3
1
2
1
0
5
1
2
9-14
64%
12-22
8-15
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.9
44.3
36.8
5
42%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
38.1
24.1
5
63%
7
3
1
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
26.7
31.7
26
95%
3
2
4
1
0
1
3
0
6-6
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
4-4
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.7
9.4
16.1
2
114%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.5
7.4
9.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
0.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.2
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
50.7
36.4
32
58%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
10-19
5-11
53%
48%
2-6
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
46.8
41.8
28
75%
9
3
0
1
1
6
0
9
14-15
93%
7-11
7-15
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
40.5
32.1
18
71%
6
6
0
1
2
3
2
4
4-6
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
31.2
36.6
8
31%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
47%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
12.7
18.7
0
0%
4
0
0
1
3
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
38.5
29.0
26
63%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
7-16
4-8
44%
42%
3-3
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
36.2
22.4
8
67%
9
0
0
0
1
0
6
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
8.5
14.2
3
34%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
14.6
0
1-3
45%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.9
5.3
0
0-1
45%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-0
47%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
0.2
0
0-0
50%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.