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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
May 13, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs39%88103
3Mavericks61%91104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
41.2
36.3
35
66%
12
2
1
1
2
1
3
9
5-8
63%
15-22
6-13
68%
48%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.9
38.9
34.5
7
70%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
38.5
33.7
15
42%
4
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
6-16
7-14
38%
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.4
27.1
20.5
8
75%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-4
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.7
11.4
23.5
2
15%
4
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
2-4
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.8
32.1
31.1
24
58%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
10-11
91%
7-14
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.2
27.4
24.8
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.5
11.7
7.7
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
10.7
3.1
4
34%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0-2
0%
2-5
0-1
40%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.7
1.2
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.0
8.0
0
1-1
47%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.9
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
43.4
39.3
27
69%
15
3
1
1
1
3
4
11
21-24
88%
3-9
7-15
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
40.6
29.4
19
60%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.2
36.9
24.8
24
64%
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
10-11
91%
7-13
3-6
54%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.0
34.9
40.0
12
47%
7
0
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-6
67%
4-9
6-13
44%
47%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
19.1
18.5
3
61%
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 31.5
27.6
31.7
10
42%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
5-10
4-9
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
24.1
19.8
5
87%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.3
13.0
16.3
4
52%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.9
0.5
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31.9
11.5
0
1-2
45%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
3.9
0
0-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.4
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.