FinalWin Prob.pScore
239%88
103
361%91
104
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.78989.5
DAL logo DAL
115.69089.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound103
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot103
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASSpurs Rebound103
8.0%
104
92.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2103
7.0%
104
93.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2103
6.5%
104
93.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)103
3.0%
104
97.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)103
31.4%
104
68.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)103
34.2%
103
65.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)103
58.3%
102
41.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot103
75.0%
102
25.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASGinobili 11' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)103
53.1%
102
46.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALStackhouse Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)101
35.9%
102
64.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (22 PTS)101
51.9%
100
48.1%
Q4 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)99
37.1%
100
62.9%
Q4 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)99
38.6%
99
61.4%
Q4 - 1:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
48.4%
98
51.6%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 299
50.5%
98
49.5%
Q4 - 1:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)99
59.2%
98
40.8%
Q4 - 1:46SASSpurs Rebound98
49.4%
98
50.6%
Q4 - 1:46DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
45.4%
98
54.6%
Q4 - 2:06SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)98
35.2%
98
64.8%
Q4 - 2:25DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
51.6%
98
48.4%
Q4 - 2:25DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)98
54.2%
97
45.8%
Q4 - 2:41SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)98
57.4%
96
42.6%
Q4 - 2:54DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
69.9%
96
30.1%
Q4 - 2:54DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 298
71.7%
95
28.3%
Q4 - 3:08SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)98
66.4%
95
33.6%
Q4 - 3:16DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)95
50.2%
95
49.8%
Q4 - 3:16DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
52.7%
94
47.3%
Q4 - 3:26SASDuncan 3' Hook Shot (35 PTS)95
56.1%
93
43.9%
Q4 - 3:42DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
46.9%
93
53.1%
Q4 - 3:42DALDampier Tip Shot (5 PTS)93
46.9%
93
53.1%
Q4 - 3:44DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot93
62.2%
91
37.8%
Q4 - 3:45SASTerry STEAL (1 STL)93
55.7%
91
44.3%
Q4 - 3:48DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)93
65.1%
91
34.9%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)93
55.9%
91
44.1%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)90
37.9%
91
62.1%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)90
38.9%
90
61.1%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)90
46.6%
89
53.4%
Q4 - 4:23DALMISS Harris 9' Running Jump Shot90
53.5%
89
46.5%
Q4 - 4:41SASParker Driving Layup (15 PTS)90
46.6%
89
53.4%
Q4 - 4:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
37.9%
89
62.1%
Q4 - 4:52DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
38.9%
88
61.1%
Q4 - 5:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
45.4%
87
54.6%
Q4 - 5:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)87
43.8%
87
56.2%
Q4 - 5:28DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
37.7%
87
62.3%
Q4 - 5:28DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
39.6%
86
60.4%
Q4 - 5:43SASBowen Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)86
45.5%
85
54.5%
Q4 - 5:48DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)84
37.7%
85
62.3%
Q4 - 6:10SASFinley 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)84
30.0%
85
70.0%
Q4 - 6:31DALStackhouse 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)82
24.9%
85
75.1%
Q4 - 6:55SASBowen Driving Layup (5 PTS)82
30.0%
83
70.0%
Q4 - 7:13DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
26.1%
83
73.9%
Q4 - 7:13DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
26.9%
82
73.1%
Q4 - 7:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)80
31.0%
81
69.0%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 280
31.9%
81
68.1%
Q4 - 7:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)80
35.2%
81
64.8%
Q4 - 7:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q4 - 7:35DALMISS Harris Driving Layup79
29.7%
81
70.3%
Q4 - 7:50SASDuncan Layup (29 PTS)79
25.3%
81
74.7%
Q4 - 7:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
21.0%
81
79.0%
Q4 - 7:52SASMISS Bowen 8' Jump Shot77
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q4 - 8:16DALHarris Driving Layup (18 PTS)77
22.0%
81
78.0%
Q4 - 8:33SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)77
26.5%
79
73.5%
Q4 - 8:48DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)74
17.8%
79
82.2%
Q4 - 9:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
15.3%
79
84.7%
Q4 - 9:05SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot74
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 9:21DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
18.8%
79
81.2%
Q4 - 9:21DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 274
19.2%
78
80.8%
Q4 - 9:35DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q4 - 9:36SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
19.8%
78
80.2%
Q4 - 9:57DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)74
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q4 - 10:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)74
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q4 - 10:18SASGinobili Running Layup (16 PTS)73
27.4%
75
72.6%
Q4 - 10:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
23.5%
75
76.5%
Q4 - 10:32DALMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot71
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q4 - 11:04SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)71
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q4 - 11:44DALDaniels Running Layup (4 PTS)69
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL69
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound69
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot69
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
20.3%
73
79.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
17.8%
73
82.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot67
16.9%
73
83.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)65
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 265
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 2 of 265
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 265
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)65
14.9%
72
85.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASMISS Ginobili Running Layup65
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 1:11DALHarris 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 1:12DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:15DALMISS Harris Layup65
20.6%
70
79.4%
Q3 - 1:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 1:35SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot65
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 1:51SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 1:53SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot65
19.3%
70
80.7%
Q3 - 2:09DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)65
22.0%
70
78.0%
Q3 - 2:14SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
18.7%
70
81.3%
Q3 - 2:34DALHoward 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)63
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 2:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot63
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 3:12SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)63
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 3:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 3:42DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot61
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 3:58SASGinobili Running Layup (12 PTS)61
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q3 - 4:13DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)59
13.0%
68
87.0%
Q3 - 4:28SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)59
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 4:43DALTerry 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 4:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)59
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Finley Driving Layup59
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 4:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 4:57DALMISS Harris Layup59
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 5:21SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 5:45DALNowitzki Running Layup (18 PTS)57
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 6:05SASDuncan Layup (23 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)57
15.9%
64
84.1%
Q3 - 6:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 6:20DALMISS Terry 16' Fadeaway Jumper55
13.4%
64
86.6%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan Tip Shot (21 PTS)55
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 6:39SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup53
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 6:58DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 7:17SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 252
13.7%
61
86.3%
Q3 - 7:33DALTerry Driving Layup (12 PTS)52
14.4%
61
85.6%
Q3 - 7:49DALJump Ball Diop vs. Horry: Tip to Nowitzki52
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 7:51SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q3 - 7:51SASMISS Horry Layup52
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Parker Layup52
16.9%
59
83.1%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)52
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q3 - 8:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
19.3%
58
80.7%
Q3 - 8:21SASDuncan Driving Layup (19 PTS)52
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 8:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
19.0%
57
81.0%
Q3 - 8:36DALMISS Howard Driving Layup50
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 8:54SASDuncan Layup (17 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)50
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q3 - 9:07SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 9:09DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper48
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q3 - 9:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)48
13.2%
57
86.8%
Q3 - 9:22SASMISS Parker 7' Hook Shot48
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 9:30SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 9:31SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 9:34SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 9:35SASMISS Horry Layup48
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 10:01DALHoward 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)48
15.5%
57
84.5%
Q3 - 10:17SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 10:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 10:18SASDiop BLOCK (3 BLK)48
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 10:44DALHoward Driving Layup (7 PTS)48
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 10:48DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
21.6%
53
78.4%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot48
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q3 - 11:06DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 11:18SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)48
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q3 - 11:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 11:25DALMISS Howard 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q3 - 11:43DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot48
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL48
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot48
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0DALTerry Foul Turnover (P2.T8)48
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASParker Driving Layup (11 PTS)48
22.8%
53
77.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALMISS Harris Driving Layup46
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 1:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 1:02DALMISS Stackhouse 10' Jump Shot44
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q2 - 1:26SASDuncan Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)44
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q2 - 1:31DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q2 - 1:50SASParker Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:07DALDaniels 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)40
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q2 - 2:26SASParker 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 2:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)38
11.1%
51
88.9%
Q2 - 2:59SASOberto Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)38
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 3:17DALDampier Layup (2 PTS)36
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 3:18DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 3:20DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot36
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 3:44SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 3:44SASOberto Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)36
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Shot34
12.1%
46
87.9%
Q2 - 4:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 4:05DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 234
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 4:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 4:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 4:25DALMISS Harris Driving Layup34
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 4:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q2 - 4:34SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)34
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 4:45SASSpurs Rebound34
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Ginobili 19' Fadeaway Jumper34
13.9%
45
86.1%
Q2 - 5:10DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)34
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 5:30SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)34
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 5:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 5:47DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 232
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 5:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 5:51DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 5:53DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot32
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 5:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)32
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 5:57DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot32
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 6:09DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 6:10SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
16.0%
42
84.0%
Q2 - 6:25DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)32
17.2%
42
82.8%
Q2 - 6:30SASHarris STEAL (1 STL)32
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 6:45DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 6:45DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
22.9%
38
77.1%
Q2 - 6:57SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 231
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 6:57SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 6:58DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot31
23.7%
37
76.3%
Q2 - 7:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)31
22.8%
37
77.2%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 230
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 7:18SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 7:20DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Fadeaway Jumper30
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q2 - 7:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 7:30SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 130
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 7:45SASSpurs Rebound28
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 7:46DALMISS Terry 14' Fadeaway Jumper28
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 8:01SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)28
17.8%
37
82.2%
Q2 - 8:01SASSpurs Rebound28
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 8:01SASMISS Duncan 40' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 8:03SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 8:06SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)28
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
19.6%
37
80.4%
Q2 - 8:26DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 228
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 8:26DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 228
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 8:42SASBarry Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)28
17.8%
37
82.2%
Q2 - 8:59DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
19.5%
37
80.5%
Q2 - 9:18SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 227
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 9:38DALTerry 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)27
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 9:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 9:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 10:12DALStackhouse 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 10:32SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)25
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 10:55DALStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)22
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 11:14SASFinley 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)22
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 11:28DALStackhouse 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)20
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASVan Exel 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)20
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 35' 3PT Jump Shot18
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker Driving Layup18
19.2%
27
80.8%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)18
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 218
18.9%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
18.5%
27
81.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper17
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 1:23SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)17
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q1 - 1:39DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 1:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 1:49SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot15
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 2:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 2:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 2:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 2:15SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup15
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 2:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 2:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 2:44SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 3:03DALHoward Layup (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)15
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 3:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 3:10SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup15
24.4%
21
75.6%
Q1 - 3:20DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 3:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 3:33DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot15
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 3:49SASGinobili 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 4:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 4:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 4:18SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 4:18SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
23.5%
19
76.5%
Q1 - 4:35DALHarris Driving Layup (9 PTS)11
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 4:55SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 4:55SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 5:18DALHarris 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)9
22.8%
17
77.2%
Q1 - 5:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 5:38SASMISS Oberto 9' Turnaround Jump Shot9
24.6%
15
75.4%
Q1 - 5:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 5:53DALMISS Diop Layup9
25.3%
15
74.7%
Q1 - 6:09SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)9
24.4%
15
75.6%
Q1 - 6:09SASSpurs Rebound9
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot9
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASSpurs Rebound9
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 6:12SASDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)9
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 6:34DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 6:39DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.4%
15
75.6%
Q1 - 6:40SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot9
24.9%
15
75.1%
Q1 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 6:58DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 19
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 7:02DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
27.8%
13
72.2%
Q1 - 7:05SASDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)9
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 7:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 7:26DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 29
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 7:26DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 7:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 7:28DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot9
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 7:50SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)9
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 8:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)7
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 8:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)7
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 8:09DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)7
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 8:16DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Horry Layup7
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:27SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 8:29DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot7
32.2%
9
67.8%
Q1 - 8:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
31.0%
9
69.0%
Q1 - 8:32SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 8:32SASMISS Parker Layup7
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:37SASMISS Parker Layup7
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:51DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
30.6%
9
69.4%
Q1 - 9:02SASDuncan Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
30.6%
9
69.4%
Q1 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan Layup5
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 9:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 9:07SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot5
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 9:25DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 9:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 9:40SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot5
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 9:54DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 9:54DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:57DALMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot5
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:12SASDuncan Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 10:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:30DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot3
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot3
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:56DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)3
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 11:08SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 11:14SASBarry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:22SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:40DALMAVERICKS Rebound0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:54DALTerry Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Duncan: Tip to Terry0
34.1%
0
65.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
39
59%
DAL
18
26
69%
Midrange
SAS
13
33
39%
DAL
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
DAL
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
Free Throws
SAS
22
32
69%
DAL
39
50
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3567%17.5 / 26
M. Ginobili2455%12.0 / 22
T. Parker1542%7.5 / 18
B. Barry880%4.0 / 5
B. Bowen770%3.5 / 5
M. Finley643%3.0 / 7
F. Oberto433%2.0 / 6
R. Horry214%1.0 / 7
N. Van Exel2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2768%13.5 / 20
D. Harris2467%12.0 / 18
J. Terry1959%9.5 / 16
J. Howard1246%6.0 / 13
J. Stackhouse1042%5.0 / 12
E. Dampier583%2.5 / 3
M. Daniels450%2.0 / 4
D. Diop375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+19
-9
99
DAL
76
+13
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
109.9
SAS 115.7 +0.2
DAL 115.6
Pace
89.4
89.2
SAS 89.5
DAL 89.5 +0.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 16.1
DAL 16.1 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
48.1%
SAS 49.4% +0.2%
DAL 49.2%
TO %
13.8%
13.5%
SAS 11.1% +2.6%
DAL 13.7%
ORB %
22.9%
29.7%
SAS 32.5%
DAL 34.3% +1.8%
FTrt
42.0
35.0
SAS 39.0
DAL 75.8 +36.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.9%
42.2%
SAS 30.8%
DAL 37.5% +6.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.3%
SAS 9.0% +5.7%
DAL 3.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.3%
SAS 4.9%
DAL 6.9% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
52.6%
SAS 50.5%
DAL 57.8% +7.3%
Rim FG%
62.8%
57.4%
SAS 59.0%
DAL 69.2% +10.2%
Mid FG%
41.0%
42.5%
SAS 39.4% +2.3%
DAL 37.1%
3P %
39.2%
31.7%
SAS 30.0% +10.0%
DAL 20.0%
FT %
77.7%
80.9%
SAS 68.8%
DAL 78.0% +9.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.4%
31.0%
SAS 47.6% +8.2%
DAL 39.4%
Mid Att. %
40.0%
50.2%
SAS 40.2% +12.8%
DAL 53.0%
3P Att. %
20.7%
18.8%
SAS 12.2% +4.6%
DAL 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points103104
Rebounds3639
Assists1212
Steals83
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)9 (3)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals39-8232-66
At-the-Rim FG23-3918-26
Midrange FG13-3313-35
2-Point FG36-7231-61
3-Point FG3-101-5
Free Throws22-3239-50
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 30
41.2
35
67%
12
2
1
2
1
6
3
9
5-8
63%
15-22
68%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 35
38.9
7
70%
2
1
1
0
2
5
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
38.5
15
42%
4
4
2
0
2
4
2
2
3-4
75%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 34
27.1
8
80%
5
2
2
0
2
4
1
4
2-3
67%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 240 · 36
11.4
2
14%
4
1
0
0
0
4
3
1
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
32.1
24
55%
4
1
0
0
2
4
0
4
10-11
91%
7-14
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33
27.4
6
43%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
11.7
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 31
10.7
4
33%
3
0
0
1
0
4
3
0
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
G · 6'3" 205 · 24
#40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
51%
36
12
8
3
9
0
13
23
22-32
69%
36-72
50%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.