FinalWin Prob.pScore
833%90
105
567%95
106
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
112.993105.9
MIA logo MIA
111.69584.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA105
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0NJNWade STEAL (1 STL)105
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)105
8.0%
106
92.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot105
6.0%
106
94.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0NJNCarter Dunk (33 PTS) (Jefferson 5 AST)105
14.9%
106
85.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
8.3%
106
91.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
8.1%
106
91.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0NJNCarter Driving Layup (31 PTS)103
6.8%
106
93.2%
Q4 - 1:06NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)101
4.4%
106
95.6%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2101
4.1%
106
95.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
3.2%
106
96.8%
Q4 - 1:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
4.1%
105
95.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot101
6.5%
105
93.5%
Q4 - 1:28NJNCarter 5' Jump Shot (29 PTS)101
5.2%
105
94.8%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T14)99
3.8%
105
96.2%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 1:44NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot99
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)99
4.2%
105
95.8%
Q4 - 2:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
9.8%
102
90.2%
Q4 - 2:12NJNMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
11.7%
102
88.3%
Q4 - 2:25NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
17.6%
102
82.4%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 299
16.3%
102
83.7%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 299
14.0%
102
86.0%
Q4 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
9.6%
102
90.4%
Q4 - 2:43NJNMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
11.6%
102
88.4%
Q4 - 3:02MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS)99
18.5%
102
81.5%
Q4 - 3:23NJNMurray 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)99
22.4%
100
77.6%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)97
19.4%
100
80.6%
Q4 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
25.4%
98
74.6%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot97
30.8%
98
69.2%
Q4 - 4:00NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)97
25.2%
98
74.8%
Q4 - 4:00NJNMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 296
24.0%
98
76.0%
Q4 - 4:00NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
25.6%
98
74.4%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
23.4%
98
76.6%
Q4 - 4:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
18.7%
98
81.3%
Q4 - 4:18NJNMISS Murray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot96
20.7%
98
79.3%
Q4 - 4:41NJNWade BLOCK (1 BLK)96
35.7%
96
64.3%
Q4 - 4:53NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
42.4%
96
57.6%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 296
41.1%
96
58.9%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 296
37.4%
96
62.6%
Q4 - 5:11NJNJefferson 21' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)96
32.5%
96
67.5%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)94
25.9%
96
74.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
19.8%
96
80.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Payton Layup94
23.9%
96
76.1%
Q4 - 5:55NJNCarter Foul Turnover (P2.T13)94
19.8%
96
80.2%
Q4 - 6:11NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
26.4%
96
73.6%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 294
25.5%
96
74.5%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 294
21.9%
96
78.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAHEAT Rebound94
20.2%
96
79.8%
Q4 - 6:29NJNMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 294
21.0%
96
79.0%
Q4 - 6:29NJNMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
24.2%
96
75.8%
Q4 - 6:39NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
20.9%
96
79.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
20.1%
96
79.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
17.1%
96
82.9%
Q4 - 7:00NJNJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)93
20.2%
95
79.8%
Q4 - 7:22MIAPayton 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)90
13.8%
95
86.2%
Q4 - 7:40NJNCarter Driving Layup (26 PTS)90
16.9%
93
83.1%
Q4 - 7:46NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
13.8%
93
86.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot88
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
11.8%
93
88.2%
Q4 - 8:09NJNMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot88
12.6%
93
87.4%
Q4 - 8:11NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
14.7%
93
85.3%
Q4 - 8:13NJNMISS Carter 6' Jump Shot88
12.6%
93
87.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
14.7%
93
85.3%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 8:51NJNJefferson Layup (28 PTS)88
14.6%
92
85.4%
Q4 - 8:58MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)86
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 9:12MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 9:14NJNMISS Jefferson 15' Fadeaway Jumper86
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 9:32MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)86
12.5%
92
87.5%
Q4 - 9:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
15.2%
90
84.8%
Q4 - 9:46NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 286
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 9:46NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)86
18.0%
90
82.0%
Q4 - 9:49NJNJefferson Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)85
15.3%
90
84.7%
Q4 - 10:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)84
13.3%
90
86.7%
Q4 - 10:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 10:19NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
11.4%
90
88.6%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMourning Dunk (11 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)84
13.2%
90
86.8%
Q4 - 10:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
15.8%
88
84.2%
Q4 - 10:53NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Fadeaway Jumper84
16.8%
88
83.2%
Q4 - 11:12MIAWade Reverse Layup (15 PTS)84
19.9%
88
80.1%
Q4 - 11:30NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
23.4%
86
76.6%
Q4 - 11:30NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
22.7%
86
77.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 282
21.2%
85
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
19.7%
85
80.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
19.7%
85
80.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
21.3%
85
78.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
23.8%
85
76.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot82
22.7%
85
77.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0NJNJefferson Layup (24 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)82
20.3%
85
79.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Williams 6' Running Jump Shot80
16.3%
85
83.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
14.4%
85
85.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0NJNMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot80
15.2%
85
84.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
17.7%
85
82.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
23.9%
82
76.1%
Q3 - 1:31NJNMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 280
24.4%
82
75.6%
Q3 - 1:31NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
26.5%
82
73.5%
Q3 - 1:31NJNNets Rebound79
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 1:33NJNMISS Kidd Driving Layup79
21.6%
82
78.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q3 - 1:59NJNMISS Carter Driving Layup79
28.9%
80
71.1%
Q3 - 2:09NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
31.5%
80
68.5%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot79
30.2%
80
69.8%
Q3 - 2:31NJNJefferson Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)79
27.3%
80
72.7%
Q3 - 2:36MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)77
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q3 - 2:56NJNMurray 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)77
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q3 - 3:16MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)75
18.4%
80
81.6%
Q3 - 3:45NJNWalker STEAL (2 STL)75
24.1%
77
75.9%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)75
27.7%
77
72.3%
Q3 - 4:17NJNJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)75
30.7%
75
69.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAHaslem 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)72
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot72
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 4:47NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 4:47NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
26.6%
73
73.4%
Q3 - 4:49NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
24.4%
73
75.6%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
23.3%
73
76.7%
Q3 - 5:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q3 - 5:11NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
22.3%
73
77.7%
Q3 - 5:35MIAWalker Driving Layup (16 PTS)70
24.5%
73
75.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
27.4%
71
72.6%
Q3 - 5:43NJNMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)70
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
34.5%
69
65.5%
Q3 - 6:01NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot70
35.3%
69
64.7%
Q3 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
38.1%
69
61.9%
Q3 - 6:33NJNKidd Driving Layup (18 PTS)70
45.6%
66
54.4%
Q3 - 6:38NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
42.0%
66
58.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Walker Reverse Layup68
40.7%
66
59.3%
Q3 - 6:59NJNJefferson Driving Layup (15 PTS)68
37.9%
66
62.1%
Q3 - 7:07NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot66
32.9%
66
67.1%
Q3 - 7:23NJNKrstic Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)66
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 7:34NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
34.1%
66
65.9%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot66
32.9%
66
67.1%
Q3 - 8:00NJNJefferson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)66
30.2%
66
69.8%
Q3 - 8:20NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
27.5%
66
72.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 264
27.1%
66
72.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
25.2%
66
74.8%
Q3 - 8:39NJNCarter 12' Jump Shot (24 PTS)64
27.1%
65
72.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)62
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 9:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 9:02NJNMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 162
27.3%
63
72.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)60
24.2%
63
75.8%
Q3 - 9:53NJNKidd 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)60
29.9%
60
70.1%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWalker Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 10:14NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot58
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 10:23MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)58
32.9%
58
67.1%
Q3 - 10:41NJNJefferson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)58
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
32.9%
56
67.1%
Q3 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
35.3%
54
64.7%
Q3 - 11:16NJNMISS Carter 8' Hook Shot56
36.3%
54
63.7%
Q3 - 11:26MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)56
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q3 - 11:45NJNCarter 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS)56
35.3%
54
64.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
32.4%
54
67.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJNMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)54
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0NJNMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
23.8%
54
76.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot51
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q2 - 1:00NJNKidd Driving Layup (14 PTS)51
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 1:15MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:32NJNKidd 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)49
30.1%
49
69.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWalker 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)47
26.3%
49
73.7%
Q2 - 2:03NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q2 - 2:03NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
28.9%
47
71.1%
Q2 - 2:16MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
29.5%
45
70.5%
Q2 - 2:31NJNMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 245
32.9%
44
67.1%
Q2 - 3:04NJNKrstic Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)45
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 3:22NJNPosey STEAL (1 STL)45
31.5%
44
68.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)45
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 3:52NJNMISS Collins 20' Jump Shot45
37.9%
42
62.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)45
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q2 - 4:22NJNCollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)45
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 4:39NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Wade 8' Hook Shot45
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 4:50NJNMourning STEAL (2 STL)45
42.0%
40
58.0%
Q2 - 4:57NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
44.0%
40
56.0%
Q2 - 5:17NJNCarter Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)45
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS)43
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 5:50NJNCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T6)43
41.4%
38
58.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIAMourning 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
44.0%
38
56.0%
Q2 - 6:37NJNCarter 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)43
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 6:47MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)41
44.1%
36
55.9%
Q2 - 6:47MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 241
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 6:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q2 - 6:49NJNMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)41
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T7)41
45.7%
35
54.3%
Q2 - 7:19NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 7:19NJNMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 240
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 7:37MIAPayton Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)40
43.2%
35
56.8%
Q2 - 7:57NJNJefferson 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
45.7%
33
54.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T6)38
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 8:24MIAHEAT Rebound38
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
42.0%
33
58.0%
Q2 - 8:33NJNMourning STEAL (1 STL)38
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 8:49NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot38
42.0%
33
58.0%
Q2 - 8:58NJNWalker STEAL (1 STL)38
40.1%
33
59.9%
Q2 - 9:15MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)38
42.2%
33
57.8%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 9:35NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup38
47.8%
30
52.2%
Q2 - 9:55MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
49.8%
30
50.2%
Q2 - 10:15NJNKidd 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 10:41MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 10:50MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot36
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q2 - 11:09NJNVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 11:09NJNMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 235
55.1%
24
44.9%
Q2 - 11:12NJNThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot35
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Posey Driving Layup35
54.8%
24
45.2%
Q2 - 11:39NJNMurray Layup (6 PTS)35
53.2%
24
46.8%
Q2 - 11:41NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q2 - 11:43NJNMISS Carter 19' Fadeaway Jumper33
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
48.5%
24
51.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS)33
49.8%
24
50.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0NJNVaughn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)33
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)31
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0NJNCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)31
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)30
52.3%
20
47.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 1:11NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)29
49.7%
20
50.3%
Q1 - 1:47NJNMurray 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)29
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 1:59NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot27
49.0%
18
51.0%
Q1 - 2:20MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
47.5%
18
52.5%
Q1 - 2:22NJNMISS Carter 6' Running Hook Shot27
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)27
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound27
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 3:01NJNMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot27
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)27
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 3:30NJNJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)27
50.8%
16
49.2%
Q1 - 3:40NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
53.4%
16
46.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot27
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 3:56NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)27
50.9%
16
49.1%
Q1 - 4:01NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
45.1%
16
54.9%
Q1 - 4:21NJNMurray Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 4:23NJNMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 4:25NJNMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 4:31MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
41.6%
16
58.4%
Q1 - 4:57NJNKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)22
39.0%
16
61.0%
Q1 - 5:05NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
34.4%
16
65.6%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot19
33.8%
16
66.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound19
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 5:20NJNMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot19
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 5:30MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 5:50NJNJefferson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
36.3%
14
63.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)17
33.9%
14
66.1%
Q1 - 6:29NJNKidd 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)17
35.7%
12
64.3%
Q1 - 6:49MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:04NJNKrstic Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 7:34NJNMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 8:03NJNJefferson Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)14
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 8:07NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Walker 5' Running Jump Shot12
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:27NJNKrstic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 8:27NJNMISS Krstic Free Throw 1 of 211
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 8:46MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 8:57NJNCarter Reverse Layup (8 PTS)11
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
36.9%
3
63.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 9:22NJNMISS Krstic 14' Jump Shot9
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 9:36MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)9
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAHEAT Rebound9
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:09NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:11NJNKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll9
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:21NJNMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot9
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:28NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:37NJNJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)9
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:00NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 16
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:17NJNCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)6
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:23NJNCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot3
32.1%
0
67.9%
Q1 - 11:42NJNCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)3
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:47MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collins: Tip to Williams0
26.6%
0
73.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.24 61.8%
MIA
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
16
21
76%
MIA
21
29
72%
Midrange
NJN
17
34
50%
MIA
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
NJN
18
26
69%
MIA
15
29
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter3359%16.5 / 28
R. Jefferson3369%16.5 / 24
J. Kidd2077%10.0 / 13
L. Murray1458%7.0 / 12
J. Vaughn375%1.5 / 2
J. Collins125%0.5 / 2
N. Krstic113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2364%11.5 / 18
D. Wade2146%10.5 / 23
S. O'Neal1765%8.5 / 13
J. Williams1260%6.0 / 10
A. Mourning1192%5.5 / 6
G. Payton1071%5.0 / 7
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
79
+4
-14
83
MIA
81
+9
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
1.24 61.8%
MIA
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
105.5
NJN 112.9 +1.3
MIA 111.6
Pace
88.9
90.9
NJN 105.9 +21.2
MIA 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.3
NJN 13.6 +3.4
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.7%
52.5%
NJN 58.8%
MIA 60.7% +1.9%
TO %
13.7%
16.6%
NJN 14.1%
MIA 13.8% +0.3%
ORB %
25.0%
24.8%
NJN 9.1%
MIA 18.4% +9.3%
FTrt
35.1
42.7
NJN 35.1
MIA 38.7 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.5%
50.2%
NJN 52.5% +16.8%
MIA 35.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.7%
NJN 9.7% +3.4%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
5.0%
7.9%
NJN 0.0%
MIA 3.6% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.9%
NJN 61.8% +4.2%
MIA 57.6%
Rim FG%
57.1%
62.8%
NJN 76.2% +3.8%
MIA 72.4%
Mid FG%
43.3%
44.0%
NJN 50.0% +3.3%
MIA 46.7%
3P %
30.7%
33.3%
NJN 36.8%
MIA 43.8% +7.0%
FT %
76.1%
65.5%
NJN 69.2% +17.5%
MIA 51.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
36.9%
NJN 28.4%
MIA 38.7% +10.3%
Mid Att. %
42.3%
36.7%
NJN 45.9%
MIA 40.0% +5.9%
3P Att. %
23.0%
26.4%
NJN 25.7% +4.3%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsNJNMIA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points105106
Rebounds3437
Assists2115
Steals96
Blocks02
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (1)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)30 (3)
Field Goals40-7442-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2121-29
Midrange FG17-3414-30
2-Point FG33-5535-59
3-Point FG7-197-16
Free Throws18-2615-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 33
46.4
20
77%
6
8
4
0
4
4
0
6
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 29
46.3
33
59%
7
5
1
0
2
4
1
6
6-9
67%
12-18
67%
1-7
14%
F · 6'7" 233 · 26
36.7
33
69%
7
5
3
0
1
3
0
7
4-5
80%
10-18
56%
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 255 · 27
33.6
1
25%
4
0
0
0
2
5
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 23
28.6
1
13%
2
0
1
0
4
5
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
30.0
14
58%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
11.6
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 265 · 31
6.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39
F · 6'9" 221 · 26
· 6'7" 195 · 24
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22
#34 · F · 6'9" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
62%
34
21
9
0
14
0
3
31
18-26
69%
33-55
60%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.