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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 14, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat39%90102
7Nets61%9392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
45.2
39.9
31
66%
7
8
2
2
0
4
0
7
9-10
90%
11-19
8-16
58%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
36.6
26.5
20
76%
11
1
2
1
0
1
1
10
4-5
80%
8-11
3-6
73%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
35.6
33.3
20
84%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
5-8
63%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.2
35.1
32.4
16
48%
8
2
0
0
1
3
4
4
2-8
25%
7-13
7-13
54%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.5
28.4
29.3
3
25%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
24.6
30.9
7
53%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
4-6
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.8
22.4
23.7
3
38%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-4
25%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.3
11.9
9.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
5.1
0
0-1
39%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.3
45.7
38.2
26
44%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
12-21
7-14
57%
45%
0-7
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
44.9
30.4
20
59%
14
0
0
0
1
1
5
9
2-2
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.1
44.3
40.3
17
46%
13
12
0
2
0
2
3
10
6-6
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
1-6
17%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.9
35.8
38.9
17
61%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
32.4
29.4
7
62%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-6
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
23.4
20.3
4
34%
9
0
0
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-4
25%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.7
7.5
7.8
1
17%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.3
5.8
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
0.1
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.4
14.1
0
1-2
43%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-0
45%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.