for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat40%90103
10Nets60%9392
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
41.8
38.5
30
66%
7
10
2
2
1
6
2
5
14-15
93%
5-13
8-16
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.2
36.3
29.3
19
55%
9
3
2
0
0
4
2
7
3-5
60%
8-15
7-12
53%
56%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
34.5
32.7
16
67%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
4-9
44%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.5
26.9
31.7
7
38%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
22.7
29.9
9
73%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-5
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
35.5
27.3
8
100%
10
2
2
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.8
28.2
19.9
7
44%
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.3
10.8
8.4
7
63%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
5-8
63%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
3.4
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
9.0
0
0-1
40%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
7.3
0
1-2
42%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.9
44.4
34.1
17
59%
4
6
1
1
0
5
0
4
2-3
67%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.1
43.6
37.7
10
39%
8
12
0
2
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.3
41.2
36.0
43
57%
6
3
0
1
0
3
2
4
6-9
67%
14-28
6-12
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
36.5
22.9
2
26%
11
0
1
1
0
2
4
7
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
33.6
27.7
8
27%
8
3
0
0
1
0
1
7
0-2
0%
4-14
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
17.5
23.6
9
56%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-4
75%
40%
1-4
25%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
15.7
13.3
3
80%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.7
7.6
8.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.4
24.9
1
2-4
43%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
3.4
0
0-0
40%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.7
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.