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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 10, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nets33%8889
6Heat67%94111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 25.9
35.9
31.7
16
50%
3
1
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
8-14
4-9
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 33.1
34.8
41.1
15
61%
3
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
42%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.3
33.5
39.0
22
68%
5
5
1
1
1
2
2
3
11-12
92%
4-9
6-14
44%
45%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
26.9
28.3
14
52%
7
0
0
0
2
3
2
5
6-8
75%
4-10
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
21.0
24.5
5
58%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 39.4
28.4
21.9
3
31%
4
1
2
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
22.3
26.1
11
67%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
40%
2-4
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
13.2
13.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.7
9.0
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.1
6.0
0.9
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
33%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 22.3
6.0
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 23.7
2.9
1.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.3
37.8
39.6
31
75%
5
6
4
2
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
9-16
8-17
56%
49%
3-3
100%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.5
35.2
28.7
14
60%
2
5
0
1
0
7
0
2
5-6
83%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
32.5
27.3
11
66%
10
4
0
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
31.9
33.8
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.2
28.9
30.1
21
49%
6
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
3-10
30%
9-17
7-12
53%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.3
29.6
25.3
5
51%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.8
15.6
25.0
11
138%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
3-3
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.2
10.4
6.6
7
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.8
7.4
11.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.9
6.0
8.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
4.7
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.