Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Grizzlies39%119109
7Nuggets61%123117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
15.3
17.5
2
20%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-4
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.6
36.9
32.1
18
53%
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
6-11
60%
54%
2-7
29%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.9
33.2
27.8
8
69%
16
1
1
1
2
2
3
13
2-4
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
61%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
33.8
33.0
24
59%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
54%
3-8
38%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
33.6
29.5
21
45%
2
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-5
60%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
2-8
25%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.4
31.3
27.0
11
47%
1
7
0
2
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
2-5
40%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.2
25.5
27.3
8
62%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
58%
2-5
40%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.8
23.4
13.1
12
87%
6
4
1
0
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
2-4
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
6.7
8.9
5
125%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
58%
1-1
100%
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
0.2
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
6.4
0
1-1
50%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.6
5.6
0
0-1
65%
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.0
5.0
0
0-1
53%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 26.1
3.6
0
1-1
56%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.9
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.6
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.6
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.8
29.5
34.5
7
36%
12
0
0
1
0
1
3
9
3-4
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
60%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
40.7
32.5
33
64%
5
0
1
1
1
0
4
1
5-6
83%
11-16
4-7
69%
60%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.1
40.9
36.1
26
59%
16
13
2
2
0
5
3
13
3-7
43%
10-17
9-14
59%
63%
1-2
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
33.7
35.3
12
61%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-7
5-8
71%
62%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 28.1
31.6
34.3
15
53%
5
7
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.4
26.9
20.8
14
63%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.6
19.7
24.9
8
45%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.5
9.9
26.7
0
0%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
7.1
11.8
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
67%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
11.9
0
1-2
55%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
7.1
0
1-1
60%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 28.0
6.4
0
0-1
59%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
5.5
0
0-1
54%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
3.9
0
0-1
52%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 31.0
3.7
0
0-1
53%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 23.1
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.