Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Spurs20%109114
3Warriors80%121111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
27.7
27.3
11
50%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
3-9
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
35.7
28.5
20
101%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
55%
6-9
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 32.6
10.7
20.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.4
35.0
29.9
21
58%
3
5
2
1
1
2
1
2
4-7
57%
7-10
5-10
70%
51%
1-5
20%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.9
29.1
25.7
12
93%
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
3-5
60%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 25.5
30.5
21.3
21
56%
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
54%
1-5
20%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.8
29.3
22.8
14
68%
4
4
0
1
2
2
0
4
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
3-7
43%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
22.6
18.6
11
51%
8
1
0
0
1
0
3
5
4-4
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
1-6
17%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.1
19.3
18.5
4
67%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 21.9
10.5
0
1-2
51%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.0
7.5
0
0-1
50%
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
5.5
0
0-1
49%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
5.0
0
1-1
60%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.5
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 21.3
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.3
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.9
31.2
21.0
7
32%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
1-7
14%
Jimmy Butler III
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.6
38.4
26.5
28
90%
4
7
2
1
0
1
2
2
16-17
94%
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
2-2
100%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.1
33.4
24.8
13
74%
9
8
2
1
1
3
3
6
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
2-4
50%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
33.2
27.0
7
32%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 37.1
36.6
28.0
30
61%
8
3
2
1
0
1
2
6
1-1
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
56%
5-14
36%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 31.3
26.5
20.3
12
46%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
4-10
40%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.5
18.1
20.3
12
55%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
1-4
25%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
12.1
16.2
2
114%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
59%
0-0
-
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
7.7
14.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-2
0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
2.8
9.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
65%
0-0
-
Jackson Rowe
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
7.4
0
1-1
56%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
7.0
0
1-2
53%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.7
6.1
0
1-1
51%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.1
4.6
0
1-1
52%
Taran Armstrong
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-1
54%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.4
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.