FinalWin Prob.pScore
1458%114
111
2142%111
119
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.8103105.0
CHI logo CHI
116.7102100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.1BullsCoby White makes two point cutting layup (Josh Giddey assists)111
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 0:24.4HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Take) (Josh Giddey draws the foul)111
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:25.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point tip layup111
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:26.7HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound109
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.9HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point stepback jump shot109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.2BullsMatas Buzelis makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)109
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.4BullsKevin Huerter defensive rebound109
2.1%
114
97.9%
Q4 - 0:41.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot109
3.0%
114
97.0%
Q4 - 0:43.4BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)109
5.2%
114
94.8%
Q4 - 0:54.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)109
3.6%
114
96.4%
Q4 - 1:02HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound106
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 1:03BullsJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot106
1.2%
114
98.8%
Q4 - 1:20BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound106
1.2%
114
98.8%
Q4 - 1:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot106
1.5%
114
98.5%
Q4 - 1:34BullsMatas Buzelis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)106
2.9%
114
97.1%
Q4 - 1:48HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)106
4.9%
112
95.1%
Q4 - 2:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound106
7.9%
112
92.1%
Q4 - 2:02BullsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot106
6.4%
112
93.6%
Q4 - 2:12BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound106
4.1%
112
95.9%
Q4 - 2:14HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot106
4.9%
112
95.1%
Q4 - 2:26HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound106
7.3%
112
92.7%
Q4 - 2:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot106
4.8%
112
95.2%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
7.2%
112
92.8%
Q4 - 2:40BullsJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot106
6.0%
112
94.0%
Q4 - 2:56HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)106
6.1%
112
93.9%
Q4 - 3:11BullsJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating bank jump shot104
4.3%
112
95.7%
Q4 - 3:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)104
5.7%
110
94.3%
Q4 - 3:34BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (offensive foul)102
7.7%
110
92.3%
Q4 - 3:34BullsNikola Vucevic offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)102
5.4%
110
94.6%
Q4 - 3:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround jump shot102
5.1%
110
94.9%
Q4 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
3.6%
110
96.4%
Q4 - 4:08BullsMatas Buzelis misses two point jump shot100
3.2%
110
96.8%
Q4 - 4:23HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)100
2.4%
110
97.6%
Q4 - 4:37BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)97
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 4:46BullsCoby White defensive rebound97
2.4%
107
97.6%
Q4 - 4:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot97
2.7%
107
97.3%
Q4 - 5:01BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 297
5.6%
107
94.4%
Q4 - 5:01BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 297
5.8%
106
94.2%
Q4 - 5:01HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)97
6.0%
105
94.0%
Q4 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 297
7.2%
105
92.8%
Q4 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 296
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 5:11BullsCoby White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)95
6.8%
105
93.2%
Q4 - 5:21BullsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)95
5.5%
105
94.5%
Q4 - 5:39BullsBulls defensive rebound95
9.5%
102
90.5%
Q4 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot95
10.4%
102
89.6%
Q4 - 5:54BullsCoby White makes two point driving finger roll layup95
12.9%
102
87.1%
Q4 - 6:05HeatKyle Anderson personal foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)95
19.9%
100
80.1%
Q4 - 6:26HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)95
19.7%
100
80.3%
Q4 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound92
12.8%
100
87.2%
Q4 - 6:44BullsJosh Giddey misses two point pullup jump shot92
11.7%
100
88.3%
Q4 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)92
9.4%
100
90.6%
Q4 - 7:15BullsCoby White makes two point driving floating jump shot90
9.9%
100
90.1%
Q4 - 7:24BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound90
11.7%
98
88.3%
Q4 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot90
12.8%
98
87.2%
Q4 - 7:46BullsCoby White makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)90
15.4%
98
84.6%
Q4 - 7:55BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound90
18.1%
96
81.9%
Q4 - 7:57BullsKyle Anderson blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point turnaround hook shot90
21.6%
96
78.4%
Q4 - 8:08HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
20.2%
96
79.8%
Q4 - 8:23BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
24.9%
96
75.1%
Q4 - 8:35HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)90
20.1%
96
79.9%
Q4 - 8:39BullsKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)88
16.9%
96
83.1%
Q4 - 8:55BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound88
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 8:56HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 288
13.8%
96
86.2%
Q4 - 8:56HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 288
15.7%
96
84.3%
Q4 - 8:56BullsTalen Horton-Tucker shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)88
18.1%
96
81.9%
Q4 - 8:59BullsJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)88
16.9%
96
83.1%
Q4 - 9:10BullsZach Collins defensive rebound88
15.0%
96
85.0%
Q4 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot88
16.0%
96
84.0%
Q4 - 9:21HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound88
18.6%
96
81.4%
Q4 - 9:23BullsTalen Horton-Tucker misses three point jump shot88
17.4%
96
82.6%
Q4 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)88
14.9%
96
85.1%
Q4 - 9:40HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound88
18.5%
96
81.5%
Q4 - 9:42BullsZach Collins misses two point floating jump shot88
17.3%
96
82.7%
Q4 - 9:49HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 288
14.9%
96
85.1%
Q4 - 9:49HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 287
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 9:49BullsTalen Horton-Tucker shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)87
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 9:56HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound87
15.3%
96
84.7%
Q4 - 9:58BullsCoby White misses three point stepback jump shot87
14.3%
96
85.7%
Q4 - 10:07HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 287
14.0%
96
86.0%
Q4 - 10:07HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 286
13.3%
96
86.7%
Q4 - 10:07BullsJosh Giddey shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)86
15.1%
96
84.9%
Q4 - 10:12HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound86
14.3%
96
85.7%
Q4 - 10:14HeatJosh Giddey blocks Kyle Anderson's two point cutting layup86
12.3%
96
87.7%
Q4 - 10:22BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 286
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 10:22BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 286
14.5%
95
85.5%
Q4 - 10:22HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)86
14.8%
94
85.2%
Q4 - 10:31BullsZach Collins defensive rebound86
16.6%
94
83.4%
Q4 - 10:33HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot86
17.7%
94
82.3%
Q4 - 10:42BullsPatrick Williams makes two point driving layup (Josh Giddey assists)86
20.2%
94
79.8%
Q4 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)86
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 11:03HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound86
29.2%
92
70.8%
Q4 - 11:05BullsCoby White misses three point pullup jump shot86
27.9%
92
72.1%
Q4 - 11:13BullsTalen Horton-Tucker offensive rebound86
25.0%
92
75.0%
Q4 - 11:17BullsZach Collins misses three point jump shot86
27.8%
92
72.2%
Q4 - 11:38HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating bank jump shot86
24.9%
92
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
21.4%
92
78.6%
Q3 - 0:00.7HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound84
23.1%
92
76.9%
Q3 - 0:04.7BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot84
22.1%
92
77.9%
Q3 - 0:09.1BullsCoby White defensive rebound84
19.8%
92
80.2%
Q3 - 0:10.3HeatZach Collins blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot84
20.8%
92
79.2%
Q3 - 0:30.3HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound84
23.0%
92
77.0%
Q3 - 0:32.5BullsZach Collins misses three point jump shot84
22.0%
92
78.0%
Q3 - 0:39.8HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)84
19.7%
92
80.3%
Q3 - 0:53.2HeatHeat defensive rebound82
16.8%
92
83.2%
Q3 - 0:54.5BullsDavion Mitchell blocks Coby White's two point driving layup82
16.0%
92
84.0%
Q3 - 1:06HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)82
15.9%
92
84.1%
Q3 - 1:22BullsKevin Huerter makes two point driving layup80
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q3 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)80
15.8%
90
84.2%
Q3 - 1:49BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)78
13.6%
90
86.4%
Q3 - 2:11BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound78
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q3 - 2:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot78
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q3 - 2:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
15.1%
90
84.9%
Q3 - 2:19BullsJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot78
14.4%
90
85.6%
Q3 - 2:24BullsKevin Huerter defensive rebound78
12.8%
90
87.2%
Q3 - 2:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot78
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q3 - 2:45BullsMatas Buzelis makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)78
15.1%
90
84.9%
Q3 - 2:57BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound78
19.8%
87
80.2%
Q3 - 2:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot78
20.7%
87
79.3%
Q3 - 3:11BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)78
24.3%
87
75.7%
Q3 - 3:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Davion Mitchell assists)78
26.9%
85
73.1%
Q3 - 3:23HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound76
24.3%
85
75.7%
Q3 - 3:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot76
21.8%
85
78.2%
Q3 - 3:39HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound76
24.2%
85
75.8%
Q3 - 3:42BullsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot76
23.1%
85
76.9%
Q3 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)76
20.8%
85
79.2%
Q3 - 4:12BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point layup (Dalen Terry assists)74
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q3 - 4:26HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot74
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q3 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound72
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q3 - 4:36BullsDalen Terry misses three point jump shot72
19.1%
83
80.9%
Q3 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 272
17.2%
83
82.8%
Q3 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 271
16.8%
83
83.2%
Q3 - 4:51BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
18.6%
83
81.4%
Q3 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
18.5%
83
81.5%
Q3 - 5:08BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point floating jump shot71
17.8%
83
82.2%
Q3 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)71
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q3 - 5:29BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point cutting layup (Josh Giddey assists)69
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 5:44HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 269
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q3 - 5:44HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 268
15.6%
81
84.4%
Q3 - 5:44BullsKevin Huerter shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)67
15.0%
81
85.0%
Q3 - 5:54BullsDalen Terry personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)67
14.2%
81
85.8%
Q3 - 6:11BullsKevin Huerter makes three point running jump shot (Dalen Terry assists)67
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q3 - 6:18BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound67
19.5%
78
80.5%
Q3 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot67
20.3%
78
79.7%
Q3 - 6:32BullsKevin Huerter makes two point running layup (Josh Giddey assists)67
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 6:35BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound67
24.5%
76
75.5%
Q3 - 6:38HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot67
25.4%
76
74.6%
Q3 - 6:49BullsMatas Buzelis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 7:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)67
25.8%
76
74.2%
Q3 - 7:21BullsJosh Giddey makes three point running pullup jump shot65
23.5%
76
76.5%
Q3 - 7:28BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound65
28.6%
73
71.4%
Q3 - 7:29HeatNikola Vucevic blocks Bam Adebayo's two point cutting layup65
29.6%
73
70.4%
Q3 - 7:42BullsKevin Huerter makes two point running layup (Coby White assists)65
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q3 - 7:46BullsCoby White defensive rebound65
34.7%
71
65.3%
Q3 - 7:48HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving layup65
35.8%
71
64.2%
Q3 - 8:02BullsJosh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)65
39.2%
71
60.8%
Q3 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 265
45.2%
68
54.8%
Q3 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 264
44.6%
68
55.4%
Q3 - 8:10BullsJosh Giddey shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
43.8%
68
56.2%
Q3 - 8:14BullsKevin Huerter turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)63
42.5%
68
57.5%
Q3 - 8:27HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot63
38.5%
68
61.5%
Q3 - 8:45BullsJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot60
32.8%
68
67.2%
Q3 - 9:04HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)60
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q3 - 9:22HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound57
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 9:25BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot57
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 9:32BullsMatas Buzelis defensive rebound57
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot57
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 9:47BullsCoby White makes two point driving floating bank jump shot57
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 10:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)57
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 10:29BullsMatas Buzelis makes two point running dunk (Josh Giddey assists)54
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Vucevic steals)54
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 10:45BullsJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)54
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 11:02BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound54
37.7%
60
62.3%
Q3 - 11:04HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot54
38.7%
60
61.3%
Q3 - 11:11HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound54
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q3 - 11:13BullsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot54
40.0%
60
60.0%
Q3 - 11:30HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)54
37.6%
60
62.4%
Q3 - 11:45BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)52
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
37.6%
58
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.5BullsDalen Terry makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)52
41.8%
58
58.2%
Q2 - 0:18.3BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound52
48.0%
55
52.0%
Q2 - 0:20.6HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot52
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q2 - 0:35.8BullsJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 1 of 152
50.9%
55
49.1%
Q2 - 0:35.8HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)52
51.5%
54
48.5%
Q2 - 0:48.8HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup52
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q2 - 1:05BullsKevin Huerter personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)50
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q2 - 1:09HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound50
54.6%
52
45.4%
Q2 - 1:12BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot50
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q2 - 1:13BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound50
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q2 - 1:18BullsKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating bank jump shot50
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q2 - 1:26BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound50
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q2 - 1:30BullsMatas Buzelis misses three point jump shot50
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q2 - 1:37BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound50
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q2 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround hook shot50
52.6%
52
47.4%
Q2 - 1:59BullsJosh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Huerter assists)50
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q2 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)50
57.5%
50
42.5%
Q2 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound48
55.1%
50
44.9%
Q2 - 2:23HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot48
52.8%
50
47.2%
Q2 - 2:37BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point tip layup48
55.1%
50
44.9%
Q2 - 2:37BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound48
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q2 - 2:38BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point tip layup48
59.8%
48
40.2%
Q2 - 2:38BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound48
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q2 - 2:39BullsKel'el Ware blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point putback layup48
59.8%
48
40.2%
Q2 - 2:42BullsNikola Vucevic offensive rebound48
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q2 - 2:44BullsJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot48
59.8%
48
40.2%
Q2 - 3:03HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup48
57.7%
48
42.3%
Q2 - 3:04HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound46
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q2 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup46
53.2%
48
46.8%
Q2 - 3:08BullsJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)46
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q2 - 3:17BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound46
52.1%
48
47.9%
Q2 - 3:19HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
53.2%
48
46.8%
Q2 - 3:38BullsNikola Vucevic makes three point running jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)46
55.6%
48
44.4%
Q2 - 3:45HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)46
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q2 - 4:01BullsJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup (Kevin Huerter assists)46
63.7%
45
36.3%
Q2 - 4:09BullsMatas Buzelis defensive rebound46
65.8%
43
34.2%
Q2 - 4:11HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot46
66.7%
43
33.3%
Q2 - 4:21BullsMatas Buzelis makes regular free throw 2 of 246
68.6%
43
31.4%
Q2 - 4:21BullsMatas Buzelis makes regular free throw 1 of 246
69.0%
42
31.0%
Q2 - 4:21HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Matas Buzelis draws the foul)46
69.5%
41
30.5%
Q2 - 4:30BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q2 - 4:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup46
71.4%
41
28.6%
Q2 - 4:52BullsJosh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)46
73.1%
41
26.9%
Q2 - 5:05HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
76.8%
38
23.2%
Q2 - 5:25BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point driving floating jump shot43
73.3%
38
26.7%
Q2 - 5:39BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound43
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 5:41HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 5:49HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound43
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q2 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 5:57HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound43
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q2 - 5:59BullsJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating bank jump shot43
76.6%
36
23.4%
Q2 - 6:10HeatKyle Anderson makes two point turnaround hook shot43
74.7%
36
25.3%
Q2 - 6:21HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound41
73.1%
36
26.9%
Q2 - 6:23BullsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot41
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 6:41HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup41
70.5%
36
29.5%
Q2 - 7:01BullsMatas Buzelis makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)39
68.5%
36
31.5%
Q2 - 7:13HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (offensive goaltending)39
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 7:14HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound39
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 7:16HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup39
73.2%
33
26.8%
Q2 - 7:30HeatHeat defensive rebound39
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 7:34BullsMatas Buzelis misses three point stepback jump shot39
74.1%
33
25.9%
Q2 - 7:43BullsMatas Buzelis defensive rebound39
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 7:44HeatJosh Giddey blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup39
73.3%
33
26.7%
Q2 - 7:53BullsJosh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
74.8%
33
25.2%
Q2 - 8:07BullsKevin Huerter defensive rebound39
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 8:08HeatMatas Buzelis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup39
73.0%
33
27.0%
Q2 - 8:21BullsJulian Phillips makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Giddey assists)39
74.5%
33
25.5%
Q2 - 8:29BullsZach Collins defensive rebound39
76.2%
31
23.8%
Q2 - 8:30HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point pullup jump shot39
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 8:41BullsPatrick Williams turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)39
78.2%
31
21.8%
Q2 - 9:05HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving bank jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)39
75.9%
31
24.1%
Q2 - 9:25BullsCoby White turnover (offensive foul)37
74.1%
31
25.9%
Q2 - 9:25BullsCoby White offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)37
72.0%
31
28.0%
Q2 - 9:44HeatKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
72.0%
31
28.0%
Q2 - 9:57BullsPatrick Williams turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)37
74.1%
31
25.9%
Q2 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)37
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 10:21BullsDalen Terry turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)35
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 10:30HeatKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot35
68.0%
31
32.0%
Q2 - 10:46BullsPatrick Williams makes two point cutting dunk (Dalen Terry assists)33
65.9%
31
34.1%
Q2 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 233
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 10:55HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 232
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 10:55BullsZach Collins shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
69.2%
29
30.8%
Q2 - 11:15BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 232
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q2 - 11:15BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 232
68.1%
28
31.9%
Q2 - 11:15HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)32
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 11:21HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Patrick Williams steals)32
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 11:35HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound32
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 11:37BullsCoby White misses two point pullup jump shot32
71.3%
27
28.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 0:03.5BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot32
71.0%
27
29.0%
Q1 - 0:10.4HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dalen Terry steals)32
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound32
71.6%
27
28.4%
Q1 - 0:30.4BullsCoby White misses two point driving bank jump shot32
71.0%
27
29.0%
Q1 - 0:42.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot32
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q1 - 0:59.6BullsDalen Terry makes three point running jump shot (Coby White assists)30
67.7%
27
32.3%
Q1 - 1:06BullsCoby White defensive rebound30
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q1 - 1:07HeatCoby White blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving floating jump shot30
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q1 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
73.4%
24
26.6%
Q1 - 1:26BullsTalen Horton-Tucker misses two point driving layup30
72.9%
24
27.1%
Q1 - 1:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point running pullup jump shot30
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q1 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q1 - 1:51BullsTalen Horton-Tucker misses two point fadeaway jump shot28
69.1%
24
30.9%
Q1 - 2:13HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)28
67.4%
24
32.6%
Q1 - 2:30HeatHeat defensive rebound25
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q1 - 2:32BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot25
63.0%
24
37.0%
Q1 - 2:42BullsZach Collins defensive rebound25
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q1 - 2:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot25
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q1 - 2:55BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 2 of 225
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q1 - 2:55BullsCoby White makes regular free throw 1 of 225
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Coby White draws the foul)25
64.2%
22
35.8%
Q1 - 3:05BullsCoby White defensive rebound25
65.1%
22
34.9%
Q1 - 3:08HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot25
65.9%
22
34.1%
Q1 - 3:28BullsTalen Horton-Tucker makes two point driving bank jump shot25
67.5%
22
32.5%
Q1 - 3:36HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)25
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 3:48HeatKel'el Ware makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)25
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 4:02BullsJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)23
66.7%
20
33.3%
Q1 - 4:11HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving bank jump shot23
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 4:25BullsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)21
63.1%
20
36.9%
Q1 - 4:29BullsJosh Giddey offensive rebound21
66.3%
17
33.7%
Q1 - 4:31BullsJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot21
67.6%
17
32.4%
Q1 - 4:42BullsDalen Terry defensive rebound21
66.2%
17
33.8%
Q1 - 4:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot21
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 4:59HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound21
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q1 - 5:02BullsKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating jump shot21
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q1 - 5:16BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound21
66.0%
17
34.0%
Q1 - 5:18HeatAlec Burks misses two point pullup jump shot21
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 5:31BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)21
67.7%
17
32.3%
Q1 - 5:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)21
68.8%
15
31.2%
Q1 - 6:10BullsJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 2 of 219
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 6:10BullsJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 1 of 219
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)19
67.8%
13
32.2%
Q1 - 6:21BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound19
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot19
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 6:41BullsJosh Giddey makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Huerter assists)19
69.7%
13
30.3%
Q1 - 6:49BullsJosh Giddey offensive rebound19
70.8%
11
29.2%
Q1 - 6:53BullsJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot19
71.6%
11
28.4%
Q1 - 7:06BullsKevin Huerter offensive rebound19
70.4%
11
29.6%
Q1 - 7:08BullsMatas Buzelis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot19
71.3%
11
28.7%
Q1 - 7:15HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Matas Buzelis steals)19
70.3%
11
29.7%
Q1 - 7:27BullsKevin Huerter makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)19
71.3%
11
28.7%
Q1 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)19
72.9%
8
27.1%
Q1 - 7:51HeatAlec Burks makes flagrant free throw 1 of 116
70.8%
8
29.2%
Q1 - 7:51BullsCoby White flagrant 1 (Alec Burks draws the foul)15
70.6%
8
29.4%
Q1 - 8:02BullsKevin Huerter makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)12
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 8:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup12
66.7%
6
33.3%
Q1 - 8:25HeatHeat offensive rebound10
65.7%
6
34.3%
Q1 - 8:27HeatJosh Giddey blocks Andrew Wiggins's three point jump shot10
64.8%
6
35.2%
Q1 - 8:42BullsMatas Buzelis makes two point running layup10
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 8:47BullsMatas Buzelis defensive rebound10
66.2%
4
33.8%
Q1 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup10
66.4%
4
33.6%
Q1 - 8:56BullsCoby White turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)10
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 9:05BullsJosh Giddey defensive rebound10
65.6%
4
34.4%
Q1 - 9:08HeatKel'el Ware misses two point pullup jump shot10
65.8%
4
34.2%
Q1 - 9:21BullsKevin Huerter personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)10
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 9:21HeatHeat defensive rebound10
66.1%
4
33.9%
Q1 - 9:24BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot10
65.7%
4
34.3%
Q1 - 9:45HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup10
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 9:45HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound8
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup8
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 10:00BullsKevin Huerter makes two point running layup8
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 10:06HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)8
63.5%
2
36.5%
Q1 - 10:16HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound8
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 10:18BullsCoby White misses three point running pullup jump shot8
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Vucevic steals)8
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 10:41BullsJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup8
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk8
62.8%
0
37.2%
Q1 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound6
62.5%
0
37.5%
Q1 - 10:50HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip layup6
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:50HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound6
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot6
61.9%
0
38.1%
Q1 - 10:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
62.0%
0
38.0%
Q1 - 10:59BullsCoby White misses two point driving floating bank jump shot6
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 11:16HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:30HeatHeat defensive rebound3
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:33BullsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot3
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)3
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 12:00Kel'el Ware vs. Nikola Vucevic (Bam Adebayo gains possession)0
58.2%
0
41.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
CHI
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
5
8
63%
CHI
8
12
67%
Midrange
MIA
27
51
53%
CHI
24
40
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
CHI
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
11
17
65%
CHI
13
13
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3056%15.0 / 27
B. Adebayo1850%9.0 / 18
D. Mitchell1771%8.5 / 12
A. Wiggins1458%7.0 / 12
K. Ware1267%6.0 / 9
A. Burks770%3.5 / 5
K. Anderson660%3.0 / 5
H. Highsmith550%2.5 / 5
D. Robinson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Giddey2870%14.0 / 20
K. Huerter2269%11.0 / 16
N. Vučević2067%10.0 / 15
C. White1850%9.0 / 18
M. Buzelis1777%8.5 / 11
D. Terry6100%3.0 / 3
P. Williams450%2.0 / 4
T. Horton-Tucker225%1.0 / 4
J. Phillips2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Collins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+12
-13
102
CHI
86
+10
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
CHI
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
113.2
MIA 107.8
CHI 116.7 +8.9
Pace
97.2
103.7
MIA 105.0 +4.9
CHI 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
13.3
MIA 13.7 +0.7
CHI 14.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
55.3%
MIA 54.3%
CHI 59.6% +5.3%
TO %
12.8%
13.4%
MIA 11.6% +2.9%
CHI 14.5%
ORB %
22.3%
22.3%
MIA 23.4%
CHI 26.3% +2.9%
FTrt
23.2
21.4
MIA 18.5 +3.9
CHI 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
67.2%
MIA 63.6%
CHI 71.7% +8.1%
STL %
8.3%
7.2%
MIA 10.7% +2.9%
CHI 7.8%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
MIA 5.8%
CHI 11.9% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.0%
MIA 54.4%
CHI 62.0% +7.6%
Rim FG%
62.5%
61.6%
MIA 62.5%
CHI 66.7% +4.2%
Mid FG%
44.4%
46.2%
MIA 52.9%
CHI 60.0% +7.1%
3P %
36.7%
36.7%
MIA 36.4%
CHI 37.8% +1.4%
FT %
79.1%
80.9%
MIA 64.7%
CHI 100.0% +35.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
33.2%
MIA 8.7%
CHI 13.5% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
21.1%
MIA 55.4%
CHI 44.9% +10.5%
3P Att. %
42.9%
45.7%
MIA 35.9%
CHI 41.6% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points111119
Rebounds3946
Assists2833
Steals118
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1014
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (5)36 (1)
Field Goals44-9246-89
At-the-Rim FG5-88-12
Midrange FG27-5124-40
2-Point FG32-5932-52
3-Point FG12-3314-37
Free Throws11-1713-13
Fast Break Pts1524
2nd Chance Pts159
Points in Paint5654
Pts off Turnovers1620
Bench Points3014
Biggest Lead1114

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
35.6
30
56%
4
4
1
0
3
0
1
3
2-2
100%
11-19
58%
2-7
29%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28
35.2
18
50%
6
3
1
0
1
1
0
6
4-6
67%
4-12
33%
2-3
67%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30
27.1
14
58%
6
5
1
0
3
1
2
4
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
25.3
12
67%
7
1
1
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34
15.5
7
70%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27
35.6
17
71%
3
8
4
1
1
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
25.4
5
50%
8
4
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#20 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 32
21.9
6
60%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
18.3
2
17%
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Sprained Right Ankle
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Broken
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Discomfort
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 37
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
54%
39
28
11
3
13
10
11
28
11-17
65%
32-59
54%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.