Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Warriors47%112123
7Lakers53%113116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.8
28.8
28.4
13
74%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
58%
3-6
50%
Jimmy Butler III
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.6
36.0
30.9
11
70%
4
2
3
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.1
34.0
27.1
8
40%
11
5
0
1
1
5
2
9
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
56%
2-4
50%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.1
35.6
27.4
28
82%
8
6
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
8-10
80%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 37.1
34.3
29.4
37
68%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
13-14
93%
6-10
3-6
60%
54%
4-11
36%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.5
25.2
18
63%
9
4
0
1
0
2
7
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 25.0
14.7
18.4
4
41%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 31.3
12.6
21.2
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-3
0%
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
10.6
18.5
2
53%
2
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.2
8.3
12.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.6
5.5
0
0-1
49%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.1
4.6
0
1-1
62%
Taran Armstrong
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.2
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Jackson Rowe
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.3
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.1
33.7
27.2
24
72%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
6-9
2-4
67%
57%
3-6
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 40.3
39.9
35.0
33
87%
5
9
1
1
1
4
1
4
8-9
89%
5-7
7-12
71%
58%
5-8
63%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.9
14.8
18.6
2
25%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-4
25%
70%
0-0
-
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.8
40.0
35.4
31
73%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-3
67%
1-4
5-8
25%
58%
9-16
56%
Luka Dončić
G · 6'6" 218 · 26.1
37.8
35.0
19
47%
8
7
0
2
1
1
2
6
7-7
100%
6-11
6-10
55%
56%
0-6
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
29.4
29.5
2
17%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-5
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
17.4
21.3
3
30%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
1-5
20%
Jordan Goodwin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
14.3
12.9
0
0%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 26.0
12.6
12.6
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-1
0%
Dalton Knecht
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
7.9
0
1-1
59%
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 24.8
5.3
0
1-1
56%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.6
5.0
0
0-1
47%
Bronny James
G · 6'2" 210 · 20.5
4.9
0
0-1
49%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 28.5
4.3
0
0-1
51%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 31.8
3.9
0
0-1
58%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 33.2
Trey Jemison III
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.