Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks46%112109
17Heat54%114131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 26.4
35.7
36.2
17
55%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
8-8
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.9
33.0
33.6
18
83%
5
5
2
3
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
7-9
5-10
78%
54%
1-1
100%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
31.8
28.7
13
42%
9
3
1
1
2
2
5
4
0-1
0%
5-13
5-7
38%
65%
1-2
50%
Zaccharie Risacher
F · 6'8" 200 · 19.9
25.6
26.3
11
80%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 22.3
12.0
14.3
5
83%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Caris LeVert
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
32.4
25.1
17
66%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
3-8
38%
Terance Mann
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.4
29.0
20.0
13
74%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
24.3
27.0
7
35%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
1-6
17%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 30.8
16.2
17.8
8
67%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
59%
0-1
0%
Keaton Wallace
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
3.6
0
0-0
50%
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 32.2
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.4
Vít Krejčí
G · 6'8" 195 · 24.7
Daeqwon Plowden
G-F · 6'6" 216 · 26.5
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
37.0
27.3
20
118%
0
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
5-5
100%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.6
35.3
34.1
20
78%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
1-2
50%
8-10
7-12
80%
56%
1-2
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.1
34.4
35.6
24
63%
2
10
3
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
3-8
5-10
38%
53%
4-8
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
29.4
26.2
12
100%
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
60%
2-2
100%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 30.0
28.8
34.6
15
56%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
8-10
80%
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
32.7
20.8
24
75%
5
6
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
57%
6-13
46%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
27.1
5.5
14
119%
7
5
1
0
1
0
4
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
56%
4-5
80%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
8.0
6.8
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.6
5.0
15.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
1.8
16.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
0.7
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.9
9.7
0
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.5
2.3
0
0-0
51%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.2
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.