FinalWin Prob.pScore
1960%113
97
2740%109
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.09693.3
UTA logo UTA
95.89698.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:02.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound97
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.8JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 297
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 0:11.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 296
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 0:11.8JazzWalker Kessler personal foul (Take) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)95
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 0:13.2JazzCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 295
97.6%
92
2.4%
Q4 - 0:13.2JazzCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 295
97.9%
91
2.1%
Q4 - 0:13.2HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)95
98.1%
90
1.9%
Q4 - 0:16.3HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Filipowski steals)95
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 0:16.6JazzLauri Markkanen makes two point cutting dunk (Collin Sexton assists)95
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 295
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.9HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 294
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:20.9JazzIsaiah Collier personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)93
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:25.6JazzIsaiah Collier personal foul (Take) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)93
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:28.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound93
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 0:31.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot93
98.0%
88
2.0%
Q4 - 0:52.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound93
97.2%
88
2.8%
Q4 - 0:54.9JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot93
96.5%
88
3.5%
Q4 - 1:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot93
93.9%
88
6.1%
Q4 - 1:19HeatHeat offensive rebound90
82.8%
88
17.2%
Q4 - 1:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup90
75.2%
88
24.8%
Q4 - 1:35JazzIsaiah Collier makes two point driving layup (Kyle Filipowski assists)90
80.5%
88
19.5%
Q4 - 1:40HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Isaiah Collier draws the foul)90
85.4%
86
14.6%
Q4 - 2:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)90
85.1%
86
14.9%
Q4 - 2:18HeatHeat defensive rebound88
80.6%
86
19.4%
Q4 - 2:23JazzCollin Sexton misses two point driving floating jump shot88
77.4%
86
22.6%
Q4 - 2:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot88
67.4%
86
32.6%
Q4 - 3:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound86
60.3%
86
39.7%
Q4 - 3:11HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot86
50.4%
86
49.6%
Q4 - 3:31JazzWalker Kessler makes two point tip layup86
58.5%
86
41.5%
Q4 - 3:33JazzWalker Kessler offensive rebound86
65.9%
84
34.1%
Q4 - 3:34JazzCollin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot86
71.6%
84
28.4%
Q4 - 3:53JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound86
66.0%
84
34.0%
Q4 - 3:54HeatWalker Kessler blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot86
68.7%
84
31.3%
Q4 - 4:13JazzCollin Sexton makes two point driving layup86
74.5%
84
25.5%
Q4 - 4:31JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound86
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 4:33HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot86
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 4:46JazzJazz turnover (shot clock violation)86
85.9%
82
14.1%
Q4 - 5:09JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound86
78.0%
82
22.0%
Q4 - 5:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 286
78.8%
82
21.2%
Q4 - 5:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 286
82.1%
82
17.9%
Q4 - 5:10JazzKyle Filipowski shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)85
81.1%
82
18.9%
Q4 - 5:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
78.7%
82
21.3%
Q4 - 5:31JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot85
76.9%
82
23.1%
Q4 - 5:48JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound85
72.2%
82
27.8%
Q4 - 5:50HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot85
74.4%
82
25.6%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound85
78.8%
82
21.2%
Q4 - 6:01JazzBam Adebayo blocks Patty Mills's two point pullup jump shot85
75.4%
82
24.6%
Q4 - 6:22HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)85
70.9%
82
29.1%
Q4 - 6:27JazzKyle Filipowski turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)83
65.9%
82
34.1%
Q4 - 6:37JazzDrew Eubanks offensive rebound83
58.1%
82
41.9%
Q4 - 6:39JazzPatty Mills misses three point stepback jump shot83
63.6%
82
36.4%
Q4 - 6:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot83
58.0%
82
42.0%
Q4 - 7:15JazzDrew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 280
47.2%
82
52.8%
Q4 - 7:15JazzDrew Eubanks makes regular free throw 1 of 280
48.6%
81
51.4%
Q4 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)80
50.3%
80
49.7%
Q4 - 7:18JazzKyle Filipowski offensive rebound80
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q4 - 7:20JazzTyler Herro blocks Cody Williams's two point driving dunk80
57.6%
80
42.4%
Q4 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)80
52.1%
80
47.9%
Q4 - 7:56JazzDrew Eubanks makes two point alley-oop dunk (Patty Mills assists)77
40.7%
80
59.3%
Q4 - 8:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)77
47.0%
78
53.0%
Q4 - 8:18JazzPatty Mills turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
53.7%
78
46.3%
Q4 - 8:19JazzPatty Mills makes flagrant free throw 1 of 177
46.9%
78
53.1%
Q4 - 8:19HeatKel'el Ware flagrant 1 (Patty Mills draws the foul)77
47.8%
77
52.2%
Q4 - 8:28JazzDrew Eubanks defensive rebound77
70.0%
74
30.0%
Q4 - 8:29HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround jump shot77
71.7%
74
28.3%
Q4 - 8:47JazzJohnny Juzang makes two point pullup jump shot77
75.4%
74
24.6%
Q4 - 9:14HeatNikola Jovic makes two point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)77
78.3%
72
21.7%
Q4 - 9:28HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound75
74.8%
72
25.2%
Q4 - 9:30JazzPatty Mills misses three point jump shot75
73.3%
72
26.7%
Q4 - 9:46HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk75
69.5%
72
30.5%
Q4 - 9:47HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound73
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q4 - 9:48HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running layup73
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q4 - 9:53HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound73
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q4 - 9:56JazzPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot73
63.4%
72
36.6%
Q4 - 10:01JazzJohnny Juzang defensive rebound73
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 10:03HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot73
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q4 - 10:06HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound73
64.8%
72
35.2%
Q4 - 10:09HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot73
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q4 - 10:23JazzCody Williams turnover (offensive foul)73
64.8%
72
35.2%
Q4 - 10:23JazzCody Williams offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)73
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 10:46HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)73
59.1%
72
40.9%
Q4 - 10:54HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound70
49.1%
72
50.9%
Q4 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot70
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q4 - 11:04JazzCody Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)70
49.3%
72
50.7%
Q4 - 11:04HeatHeat offensive rebound70
49.3%
72
50.7%
Q4 - 11:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot70
45.6%
72
54.4%
Q4 - 11:22JazzPatty Mills makes two point jump shot70
49.3%
72
50.7%
Q4 - 11:25HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)70
54.2%
70
45.8%
Q4 - 11:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound70
59.4%
70
40.6%
Q4 - 11:30JazzJohnny Juzang misses three point jump shot70
57.9%
70
42.1%
Q4 - 11:44HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)70
54.2%
70
45.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
49.3%
70
50.7%
Q3 - 0:00.2JazzPatty Mills defensive rebound68
45.3%
70
54.7%
Q3 - 0:01.8HeatPatty Mills blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point jump shot68
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 0:02.6JazzIsaiah Collier makes two point driving layup68
50.1%
70
49.9%
Q3 - 0:24.3JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound68
54.9%
68
45.1%
Q3 - 0:26.6HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot68
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 0:40.6JazzKyle Filipowski makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Drew Eubanks assists)68
59.6%
68
40.4%
Q3 - 0:57.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)68
64.2%
66
35.8%
Q3 - 1:06HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound66
59.8%
66
40.2%
Q3 - 1:08JazzNikola Jovic blocks Cody Williams's two point driving floating jump shot66
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 1:24HeatKel'el Ware makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)66
55.2%
66
44.8%
Q3 - 1:40HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound64
50.7%
66
49.3%
Q3 - 1:43JazzPatty Mills misses three point running pullup jump shot64
49.3%
66
50.7%
Q3 - 1:47JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound64
46.0%
66
54.0%
Q3 - 1:49HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot64
47.5%
66
52.5%
Q3 - 2:09JazzDrew Eubanks makes two point cutting layup (Isaiah Collier assists)64
51.4%
66
48.6%
Q3 - 2:19JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound64
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 2:21HeatAlec Burks misses three point running jump shot64
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 2:26JazzKyle Filipowski turnover (lost ball) (Kel'el Ware steals)64
59.9%
64
40.1%
Q3 - 2:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot64
55.3%
64
44.7%
Q3 - 3:04JazzPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)61
47.9%
64
52.1%
Q3 - 3:13JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound61
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 3:16HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot61
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 3:16HeatHeat offensive rebound61
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 3:18HeatCody Williams blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup61
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 3:23HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound61
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 3:25HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot61
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 3:30JazzCody Williams personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)61
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 3:31HeatHeat offensive rebound61
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 3:32HeatLauri Markkanen blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot61
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 3:47JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)61
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 3:57JazzJohnny Juzang defensive rebound61
67.2%
58
32.8%
Q3 - 3:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot61
68.5%
58
31.5%
Q3 - 4:11HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound61
71.1%
58
28.9%
Q3 - 4:13JazzCollin Sexton misses two point driving floating jump shot61
70.0%
58
30.0%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)61
67.3%
58
32.7%
Q3 - 4:54JazzIsaiah Collier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot58
60.3%
58
39.7%
Q3 - 5:10JazzIsaiah Collier defensive rebound58
63.6%
56
36.4%
Q3 - 5:12HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot58
64.8%
56
35.2%
Q3 - 5:22JazzCollin Sexton makes two point driving layup58
67.4%
56
32.6%
Q3 - 5:42HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)58
70.5%
54
29.5%
Q3 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
67.4%
54
32.6%
Q3 - 5:52JazzIsaiah Collier misses three point pullup jump shot56
66.3%
54
33.7%
Q3 - 6:03JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound56
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 6:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot56
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 6:15JazzWalker Kessler turnover (offensive foul)56
67.5%
54
32.5%
Q3 - 6:15JazzWalker Kessler offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)56
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 6:23JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound56
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 6:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot56
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 6:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound56
67.5%
54
32.5%
Q3 - 6:33JazzCollin Sexton misses three point pullup jump shot56
66.3%
54
33.7%
Q3 - 6:47JazzJohnny Juzang defensive rebound56
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot56
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 7:04JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)56
67.2%
54
32.8%
Q3 - 7:13JazzLauri Markkanen defensive rebound56
72.8%
51
27.2%
Q3 - 7:15HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot56
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 7:27JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Collin Sexton assists)56
75.9%
51
24.1%
Q3 - 7:41JazzJohnny Juzang defensive rebound56
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q3 - 7:43HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot56
81.2%
48
18.8%
Q3 - 8:07JazzJohnny Juzang makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)56
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 8:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup56
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q3 - 8:23JazzJohnny Juzang turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)54
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q3 - 8:40HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
82.1%
45
17.9%
Q3 - 8:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound54
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q3 - 8:48JazzBam Adebayo blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point driving floating jump shot54
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q3 - 9:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot54
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q3 - 9:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound52
80.2%
45
19.8%
Q3 - 9:16JazzLauri Markkanen misses two point stepback jump shot52
79.4%
45
20.6%
Q3 - 9:30JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound52
77.5%
45
22.5%
Q3 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot52
78.3%
45
21.7%
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
80.2%
45
19.8%
Q3 - 9:44JazzCollin Sexton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot52
79.4%
45
20.6%
Q3 - 9:53JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound52
77.5%
45
22.5%
Q3 - 9:54HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot52
78.3%
45
21.7%
Q3 - 10:09JazzCollin Sexton makes two point pullup jump shot52
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q3 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)52
81.4%
43
18.6%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound50
79.8%
43
20.2%
Q3 - 10:45JazzCollin Sexton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
79.0%
43
21.0%
Q3 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot50
77.1%
43
22.9%
Q3 - 11:21JazzWalker Kessler makes two point putback dunk48
74.9%
43
25.1%
Q3 - 11:22JazzWalker Kessler offensive rebound48
77.0%
41
23.0%
Q3 - 11:24JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot48
78.6%
41
21.4%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)48
77.0%
41
23.0%
Q3 - 11:43JazzIsaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)46
74.9%
41
25.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
72.1%
41
27.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)46
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q2 - 0:08.2JazzCollin Sexton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot43
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 0:29.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)43
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 0:35.5JazzWalker Kessler turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)41
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 0:37.6JazzWalker Kessler offensive rebound41
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 0:41.8JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot41
66.4%
39
33.6%
Q2 - 0:49.9HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)41
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 1:06JazzWalker Kessler makes two point alley-oop layup (Collin Sexton assists)38
59.0%
39
41.0%
Q2 - 1:19HeatKel'el Ware turnover (offensive goaltending)38
62.1%
37
37.9%
Q2 - 1:29HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound38
64.7%
37
35.3%
Q2 - 1:31HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot38
62.9%
37
37.1%
Q2 - 1:52HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound38
64.7%
37
35.3%
Q2 - 1:53JazzWalker Kessler misses regular free throw 2 of 238
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 1:53JazzWalker Kessler makes regular free throw 1 of 238
62.9%
37
37.1%
Q2 - 1:53HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Walker Kessler draws the foul)38
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)38
64.5%
36
35.5%
Q2 - 2:20HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound36
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 2:21JazzKel'el Ware blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point driving dunk36
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 2:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)36
59.0%
36
41.0%
Q2 - 2:35JazzLauri Markkanen turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)36
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 2:52HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)36
59.0%
36
41.0%
Q2 - 3:05JazzCollin Sexton makes two point turnaround jump shot34
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 3:13JazzWalker Kessler offensive rebound34
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 3:16JazzKyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot34
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 3:26JazzIsaiah Collier defensive rebound34
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 3:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
60.2%
34
39.8%
Q2 - 3:49HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound34
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 3:50JazzKel'el Ware blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point driving layup34
61.5%
34
38.5%
Q2 - 4:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)34
59.6%
34
40.4%
Q2 - 4:12JazzCollin Sexton turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)31
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 4:20HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
51.5%
34
48.5%
Q2 - 4:24JazzIsaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)31
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 4:38JazzJazz defensive rebound31
51.5%
34
48.5%
Q2 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot31
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 4:45HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound31
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q2 - 4:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 5:02HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound31
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 5:04JazzCollin Sexton misses two point pullup jump shot31
54.2%
34
45.8%
Q2 - 5:09JazzLauri Markkanen offensive rebound31
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 5:11JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot31
54.2%
34
45.8%
Q2 - 5:18HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)31
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 5:27JazzJazz offensive rebound31
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 5:29JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot31
54.2%
34
45.8%
Q2 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)31
51.9%
34
48.1%
Q2 - 5:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound29
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 5:58JazzHaywood Highsmith blocks Collin Sexton's two point driving layup29
48.8%
34
51.2%
Q2 - 6:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)29
47.1%
34
52.9%
Q2 - 6:44JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)27
45.0%
34
55.0%
Q2 - 6:48JazzJazz offensive rebound27
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 6:49JazzKyle Filipowski misses two point driving floating jump shot27
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 6:53HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Filipowski steals)27
49.7%
31
50.3%
Q2 - 7:06JazzCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 2 of 227
53.0%
31
47.0%
Q2 - 7:06JazzCollin Sexton makes regular free throw 1 of 227
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 7:06HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Collin Sexton draws the foul)27
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 7:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup27
55.4%
29
44.6%
Q2 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound25
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q2 - 7:29HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot25
51.1%
29
48.9%
Q2 - 7:41HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound25
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q2 - 7:43JazzPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot25
52.2%
29
47.8%
Q2 - 7:47JazzMicah Potter defensive rebound25
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot25
51.1%
29
48.9%
Q2 - 8:03JazzCody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 225
53.2%
29
46.8%
Q2 - 8:03JazzCody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 225
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 8:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Cody Williams draws the foul)25
54.4%
27
45.6%
Q2 - 8:07HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Cody Williams steals)25
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q2 - 8:09HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound25
58.2%
27
41.8%
Q2 - 8:11HeatCody Williams blocks Terry Rozier's three point running jump shot25
56.2%
27
43.8%
Q2 - 8:16JazzPatty Mills turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)25
58.2%
27
41.8%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 225
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 224
54.9%
27
45.1%
Q2 - 8:27JazzJohnny Juzang shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)24
56.8%
27
43.2%
Q2 - 8:32JazzMicah Potter turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)24
55.7%
27
44.3%
Q2 - 8:51JazzDrew Eubanks defensive rebound24
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q2 - 8:54HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot24
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 9:03HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound24
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 9:05JazzPatty Mills misses two point pullup jump shot24
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q2 - 9:22JazzMicah Potter defensive rebound24
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot24
53.6%
27
46.4%
Q2 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound24
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 9:35JazzJohnny Juzang misses three point pullup jump shot24
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q2 - 9:56HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 224
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 9:56HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 223
52.5%
27
47.5%
Q2 - 9:56JazzMicah Potter shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)23
54.5%
27
45.5%
Q2 - 10:14HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound23
53.5%
27
46.5%
Q2 - 10:16JazzDrew Eubanks misses two point turnaround hook shot23
52.7%
27
47.3%
Q2 - 10:31JazzMicah Potter defensive rebound23
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 10:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup23
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q2 - 10:38HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound23
53.4%
27
46.6%
Q2 - 10:40JazzPatty Mills misses three point jump shot23
52.6%
27
47.4%
Q2 - 10:49HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Cody Williams steals)23
50.9%
27
49.1%
Q2 - 11:01JazzCody Williams personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)23
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 11:16JazzJohnny Juzang misses two point pullup jump shot23
53.0%
27
47.0%
Q2 - 11:27HeatAlec Burks makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)23
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
46.7%
27
53.3%
Q2 - 11:37JazzJohnny Juzang misses two point driving floating jump shot20
45.9%
27
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound20
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.4HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot20
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q1 - 0:02.7JazzDrew Eubanks turnover (out of bounds lost ball)20
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q1 - 0:13.3HeatNikola Jovic makes two point putback layup20
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q1 - 0:14.8HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound18
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:17.1HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup18
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 0:22.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound18
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:24.4HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot18
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 0:35.6HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound18
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:36.8JazzJohnny Juzang misses two point tip layup18
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q1 - 0:36.9JazzJohnny Juzang offensive rebound18
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q1 - 0:38.9JazzPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot18
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q1 - 0:41.9HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q1 - 0:51.8HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound18
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:53.9JazzJohnny Juzang misses three point pullup jump shot18
41.5%
27
58.5%
Q1 - 1:06JazzDrew Eubanks defensive rebound18
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 1:08HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot18
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q1 - 1:18JazzJohnny Juzang personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)18
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 1:39JazzCody Williams makes three point jump shot (Drew Eubanks assists)18
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 1:51HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Cody Williams steals)18
47.3%
24
52.7%
Q1 - 2:09JazzKyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 218
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q1 - 2:09JazzKyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 218
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q1 - 2:09HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Kyle Filipowski draws the foul)18
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q1 - 2:13HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Drew Eubanks draws the foul)18
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 2:20JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound18
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 2:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot18
52.9%
22
47.1%
Q1 - 2:34HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound18
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q1 - 2:36JazzDrew Eubanks misses two point turnaround hook shot18
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)18
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 3:11HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 3:14JazzIsaiah Collier misses three point pullup jump shot16
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 3:22JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound16
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 3:24HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot16
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 3:30HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound16
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot16
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 3:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound16
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 3:39JazzLauri Markkanen misses two point alley-oop dunk16
49.5%
22
50.5%
Q1 - 3:54HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)16
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 4:12JazzLauri Markkanen makes two point cutting dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)13
46.0%
22
54.0%
Q1 - 4:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 4:49JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)10
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)10
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 5:09JazzCody Williams personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)7
45.3%
17
54.7%
Q1 - 5:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound7
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 5:19JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point running jump shot7
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 5:24JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound7
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 5:26HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot7
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 5:39JazzWalker Kessler makes two point reverse layup (Collin Sexton assists)7
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 5:52JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound7
47.3%
15
52.7%
Q1 - 5:53HeatKyle Filipowski blocks Kel'el Ware's two point alley-oop dunk7
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 6:12JazzLauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 2 of 27
49.8%
15
50.2%
Q1 - 6:12JazzLauri Markkanen misses regular free throw 1 of 27
50.0%
14
50.0%
Q1 - 6:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)7
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 6:23JazzCollin Sexton defensive rebound7
49.8%
14
50.2%
Q1 - 6:26HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot7
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 6:42JazzCollin Sexton makes three point running pullup jump shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)7
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 6:50JazzLauri Markkanen defensive rebound7
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 6:52HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot7
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 7:03JazzIsaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 27
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 7:03JazzIsaiah Collier makes regular free throw 1 of 27
57.4%
10
42.6%
Q1 - 7:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Isaiah Collier draws the foul)7
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 7:10JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound7
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 7:12HeatWalker Kessler blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving dunk7
58.8%
9
41.2%
Q1 - 7:19HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound7
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 7:21JazzWalker Kessler misses two point tip layup7
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:21JazzWalker Kessler offensive rebound7
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 7:22JazzLauri Markkanen misses two point floating jump shot7
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:32JazzLauri Markkanen offensive rebound7
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 7:36JazzLauri Markkanen misses two point pullup jump shot7
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:52JazzKyle Filipowski defensive rebound7
58.3%
9
41.7%
Q1 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 27
58.5%
9
41.5%
Q1 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 27
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:53JazzJohnny Juzang shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
59.1%
9
40.9%
Q1 - 8:03JazzCollin Sexton makes two point pullup jump shot6
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 8:11JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound6
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot6
60.5%
7
39.5%
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
61.4%
7
38.6%
Q1 - 8:26JazzLauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot6
61.0%
7
39.0%
Q1 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 36
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 35
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 34
59.7%
7
40.3%
Q1 - 8:36JazzIsaiah Collier shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)3
59.5%
7
40.5%
Q1 - 8:50JazzIsaiah Collier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
57.8%
7
42.2%
Q1 - 8:59JazzLauri Markkanen defensive rebound3
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 9:01HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot3
57.1%
7
42.9%
Q1 - 9:20JazzCollin Sexton makes two point running layup3
58.0%
7
42.0%
Q1 - 9:22HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Collin Sexton steals)3
59.0%
5
41.0%
Q1 - 9:34HeatHeat defensive rebound3
60.1%
5
39.9%
Q1 - 9:37JazzCollin Sexton misses three point jump shot3
59.7%
5
40.3%
Q1 - 9:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Johnny Juzang steals)3
59.0%
5
41.0%
Q1 - 10:06JazzCollin Sexton makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)3
60.0%
5
40.0%
Q1 - 10:16JazzJohnny Juzang defensive rebound3
60.6%
3
39.4%
Q1 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot3
60.8%
3
39.2%
Q1 - 10:29JazzCollin Sexton turnover (back court violation)3
61.2%
3
38.8%
Q1 - 10:43JazzIsaiah Collier offensive rebound3
60.4%
3
39.6%
Q1 - 10:46JazzJohnny Juzang misses three point jump shot3
60.8%
3
39.2%
Q1 - 10:56JazzWalker Kessler defensive rebound3
60.2%
3
39.8%
Q1 - 10:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot3
60.4%
3
39.6%
Q1 - 11:15JazzLauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)3
60.5%
3
39.5%
Q1 - 11:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Walker Kessler (Haywood Highsmith gains possession)0
59.5%
0
40.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
UTA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
12
75%
UTA
7
10
70%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
UTA
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
50
28%
42%
UTA
11
16.5
36
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
11
15
73%
UTA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2364%11.5 / 18
J. Jaquez2077%10.0 / 13
B. Adebayo1550%7.5 / 15
N. Jović1137%5.5 / 15
T. Rozier935%4.5 / 13
K. Ware880%4.0 / 5
A. Burks643%3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith536%2.5 / 7
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen2346%11.5 / 25
C. Sexton2357%11.5 / 20
W. Kessler975%4.5 / 6
P. Mills941%4.5 / 11
I. Collier867%4.0 / 6
D. Eubanks660%3.0 / 5
J. Juzang528%2.5 / 9
C. Williams563%2.5 / 4
K. Filipowski450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+18
-14
100
UTA
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
UTA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
110.3
MIA 101.0
UTA 95.8 +5.2
Pace
97.2
100.8
MIA 93.3
UTA 98.9 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.7
MIA 15.4
UTA 14.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
53.3%
MIA 47.3% +0.9%
UTA 46.4%
TO %
12.8%
16.2%
MIA 12.5% +3.3%
UTA 15.8%
ORB %
22.3%
26.9%
MIA 25.5% +2.1%
UTA 23.4%
FTrt
23.2
25.2
MIA 16.5
UTA 20.5 +4.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.3%
MIA 72.2% +11.6%
UTA 60.6%
STL %
8.3%
6.6%
MIA 10.4% +1.0%
UTA 9.4%
BLK %
7.6%
8.5%
MIA 14.9%
UTA 17.1% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.4%
MIA 48.5%
UTA 49.5% +1.0%
Rim FG%
62.5%
63.8%
MIA 75.0% +5.0%
UTA 70.0%
Mid FG%
44.4%
43.1%
MIA 44.8% +4.3%
UTA 40.5%
3P %
36.7%
35.0%
MIA 28.0%
UTA 30.6% +2.6%
FT %
79.1%
77.4%
MIA 73.3%
UTA 88.2% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
28.8%
MIA 13.2% +1.1%
UTA 12.0%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
26.2%
MIA 31.9% +12.7%
UTA 44.6%
3P Att. %
42.9%
44.9%
MIA 54.9% +11.6%
UTA 43.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9792
Rebounds4949
Assists2620
Steals109
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (1)
Fouls1215
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)38 (1)
Field Goals36-9133-83
At-the-Rim FG9-127-10
Midrange FG13-2915-37
2-Point FG22-4122-47
3-Point FG14-5011-36
Free Throws11-1515-17
Fast Break Pts177
2nd Chance Pts1611
Points in Paint3442
Pts off Turnovers1518
Bench Points2524
Biggest Lead1110

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
37.4
23
64%
7
5
1
1
1
1
0
7
5-5
100%
3-7
43%
4-9
44%
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 24
36.2
20
77%
7
7
2
0
3
1
2
5
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
32.8
9
35%
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-8
13%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
28.7
15
50%
7
3
3
2
1
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
1-2
50%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
22.0
5
36%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
27.3
11
37%
6
5
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
2-8
25%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
19.3
8
80%
7
1
1
2
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
18.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
18.1
6
43%
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-7
29%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
NWT – Personal
#1 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Team Suspension
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
49
26
10
7
14
12
13
36
11-15
73%
22-41
54%
14-50
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.