FinalWin Prob.pScore
1933%107
114
1467%114
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09591.3
GSW logo GSW
102.196100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.114
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:00.1HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)114
100%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.1WarriorsLindy Waters III makes two point cutting layup (Moses Moody assists)114
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.1WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.7WarriorsGui Santos misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.4HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Pat Spencer draws the foul)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.2WarriorsGui Santos defensive rebound114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05WarriorsLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12WarriorsPat Spencer defensive rebound114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34WarriorsPat Spencer makes two point driving layup114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47WarriorsPat Spencer turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25WarriorsDennis Schroder turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)110
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 3:50HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound108
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 3:53WarriorsKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot108
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 4:02WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound108
98.8%
94
1.2%
Q4 - 4:05HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot108
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 4:25HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound108
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 4:28WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point running jump shot108
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 4:32WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound108
98.9%
94
1.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot108
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 4:52HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound108
99.3%
94
0.7%
Q4 - 4:56WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot108
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 5:09HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 3 of 3108
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 5:09HeatAlec Burks misses regular free throw 2 of 3107
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 5:09HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 3107
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 5:09WarriorsAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)106
98.2%
94
1.8%
Q4 - 5:19HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound106
97.2%
94
2.8%
Q4 - 5:22WarriorsBam Adebayo blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point cutting layup106
96.9%
94
3.1%
Q4 - 5:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot106
96.2%
94
3.8%
Q4 - 5:48WarriorsLindy Waters III makes two point driving floating jump shot104
95.0%
94
5.0%
Q4 - 6:03WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound104
93.9%
92
6.1%
Q4 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1104
94.2%
92
5.8%
Q4 - 6:05WarriorsKyle Anderson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)104
95.1%
92
4.9%
Q4 - 6:15HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound102
92.6%
92
7.4%
Q4 - 6:19WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot102
91.9%
92
8.1%
Q4 - 6:21HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)102
90.0%
92
10.0%
Q4 - 6:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
90.1%
92
9.9%
Q4 - 6:54WarriorsLindy Waters III makes two point layup (Draymond Green assists)99
84.6%
92
15.4%
Q4 - 7:07WarriorsLindy Waters III defensive rebound99
84.0%
90
16.0%
Q4 - 7:10HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot99
85.3%
90
14.7%
Q4 - 7:26WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)99
88.0%
90
12.0%
Q4 - 7:39HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 199
89.9%
88
10.1%
Q4 - 7:39WarriorsLindy Waters III shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)98
89.6%
88
10.4%
Q4 - 7:39HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound96
85.0%
88
15.0%
Q4 - 7:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup96
82.0%
88
18.0%
Q4 - 8:02WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point layup (Kyle Anderson assists)96
82.6%
88
17.4%
Q4 - 8:17HeatAlec Burks makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)96
85.5%
86
14.5%
Q4 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
78.9%
86
21.1%
Q4 - 8:26WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot93
77.5%
86
22.5%
Q4 - 8:45WarriorsLindy Waters III defensive rebound93
74.1%
86
25.9%
Q4 - 8:47HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 193
74.8%
86
25.2%
Q4 - 8:47WarriorsStephen Curry shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)93
77.9%
86
22.1%
Q4 - 8:51HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound90
64.5%
86
35.5%
Q4 - 8:54WarriorsLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot90
62.6%
86
37.4%
Q4 - 9:13HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)90
56.1%
86
43.9%
Q4 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
45.6%
86
54.4%
Q4 - 9:27WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot87
43.6%
86
56.4%
Q4 - 9:34WarriorsStephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 187
39.2%
86
60.8%
Q4 - 9:34HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Away from play) (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)87
41.1%
85
58.9%
Q4 - 9:34WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound87
44.7%
85
55.3%
Q4 - 9:35WarriorsBuddy Hield misses two point stepback jump shot87
49.3%
85
50.7%
Q4 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)87
44.8%
85
55.2%
Q4 - 9:54WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point driving layup87
51.4%
85
48.6%
Q4 - 10:11WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound87
54.8%
83
45.2%
Q4 - 10:14HeatNikola Jovic misses three point fadeaway jump shot87
56.6%
83
43.4%
Q4 - 10:28WarriorsBuddy Hield personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)87
60.7%
83
39.3%
Q4 - 10:49WarriorsKyle Anderson makes two point putback dunk87
60.8%
83
39.2%
Q4 - 10:50WarriorsKyle Anderson offensive rebound87
65.1%
81
34.9%
Q4 - 10:53WarriorsLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot87
68.9%
81
31.1%
Q4 - 11:13HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)87
63.9%
81
36.1%
Q4 - 11:32WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot84
54.3%
81
45.7%
Q4 - 11:39WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound84
64.0%
78
36.0%
Q4 - 11:45HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot84
65.5%
78
34.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
68.8%
78
31.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound84
62.2%
78
37.8%
Q3 - 0:01.5WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point driving floating jump shot84
65.3%
78
34.7%
Q3 - 0:04.2WarriorsDennis Schroder defensive rebound84
62.2%
78
37.8%
Q3 - 0:07.4HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot84
63.6%
78
36.4%
Q3 - 0:26.7HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound84
66.8%
78
33.2%
Q3 - 0:30.1WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot84
65.5%
78
34.5%
Q3 - 0:52.8HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)84
62.4%
78
37.6%
Q3 - 1:07WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Buddy Hield assists)81
51.4%
78
48.6%
Q3 - 1:18WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound81
55.9%
76
44.1%
Q3 - 1:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot81
57.3%
76
42.7%
Q3 - 1:39WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)81
60.5%
76
39.5%
Q3 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 381
68.8%
73
31.2%
Q3 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 380
68.4%
73
31.6%
Q3 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 379
67.9%
73
32.1%
Q3 - 1:51WarriorsDennis Schroder shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)78
67.4%
73
32.6%
Q3 - 2:00HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound78
60.6%
73
39.4%
Q3 - 2:05WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point running jump shot78
57.5%
73
42.5%
Q3 - 2:09WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound78
54.2%
73
45.8%
Q3 - 2:12HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot78
55.7%
73
44.3%
Q3 - 2:32WarriorsMoses Moody makes three point stepback jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)78
59.0%
73
41.0%
Q3 - 2:47HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)78
66.7%
70
33.3%
Q3 - 3:03WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 176
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q3 - 3:03HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)76
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 3:07WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound76
69.0%
67
31.0%
Q3 - 3:08HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip dunk76
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q3 - 3:08HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound76
73.1%
67
26.9%
Q3 - 3:11HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot76
70.3%
67
29.7%
Q3 - 3:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound76
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 3:20HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot76
70.4%
67
29.6%
Q3 - 3:31Jump ball. Nikola Jovic vs. Stephen Curry (Tyler Herro gains possession)76
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 3:42WarriorsMoses Moody defensive rebound76
69.1%
67
30.9%
Q3 - 3:44HeatKel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 276
69.7%
67
30.3%
Q3 - 3:44HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 276
71.6%
67
28.4%
Q3 - 3:44WarriorsKyle Anderson shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)75
70.5%
67
29.5%
Q3 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound75
69.8%
67
30.2%
Q3 - 3:51WarriorsKyle Anderson misses two point floating jump shot75
68.5%
67
31.5%
Q3 - 4:00HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving bank hook shot75
65.4%
67
34.6%
Q3 - 4:24WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)73
60.6%
67
39.4%
Q3 - 4:33WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound73
67.6%
64
32.4%
Q3 - 4:36HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot73
68.8%
64
31.2%
Q3 - 4:56WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)73
71.4%
64
28.6%
Q3 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)73
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 5:15WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound73
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 5:17HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot73
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 5:25HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound73
78.7%
61
21.3%
Q3 - 5:27WarriorsTerry Rozier blocks Dennis Schroder's two point driving layup73
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 5:39WarriorsDennis Schroder defensive rebound73
75.8%
61
24.2%
Q3 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot73
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q3 - 5:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
78.7%
61
21.3%
Q3 - 5:53WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot73
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 6:03WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound73
74.1%
61
25.9%
Q3 - 6:09HeatKyle Anderson blocks Terry Rozier's two point stepback jump shot73
75.1%
61
24.9%
Q3 - 6:37WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point floating jump shot73
77.3%
61
22.7%
Q3 - 6:58HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)73
79.6%
59
20.4%
Q3 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
72.8%
59
27.2%
Q3 - 7:15WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot70
71.9%
59
28.1%
Q3 - 7:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)70
69.6%
59
30.4%
Q3 - 7:49WarriorsDennis Schroder makes three point stepback jump shot (Draymond Green assists)68
67.0%
59
33.0%
Q3 - 7:56WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound68
72.6%
56
27.4%
Q3 - 8:00HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot68
73.6%
56
26.4%
Q3 - 8:08WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)68
74.4%
56
25.6%
Q3 - 8:28HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup68
71.1%
56
28.9%
Q3 - 8:57WarriorsDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot66
68.9%
56
31.1%
Q3 - 9:04WarriorsDennis Schroder defensive rebound66
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q3 - 9:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot66
70.9%
54
29.1%
Q3 - 9:17HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound66
73.2%
54
26.8%
Q3 - 9:19WarriorsStephen Curry misses two point running layup66
72.2%
54
27.8%
Q3 - 9:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Stephen Curry steals)66
69.9%
54
30.1%
Q3 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound66
73.2%
54
26.8%
Q3 - 9:33HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot66
70.9%
54
29.1%
Q3 - 9:43WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point tip layup66
73.3%
54
26.7%
Q3 - 9:43WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound66
75.3%
52
24.7%
Q3 - 9:45WarriorsDraymond Green misses two point driving layup66
77.3%
52
22.7%
Q3 - 9:57HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)66
75.3%
52
24.7%
Q3 - 10:13WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Draymond Green assists)63
69.2%
52
30.8%
Q3 - 10:32HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)63
71.4%
50
28.6%
Q3 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound61
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q3 - 10:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot61
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 11:03WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point tip layup61
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q3 - 11:03WarriorsAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound61
70.3%
48
29.7%
Q3 - 11:06WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating bank jump shot61
72.3%
48
27.7%
Q3 - 11:19WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound61
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q3 - 11:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot61
71.3%
48
28.7%
Q3 - 11:36WarriorsAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
73.3%
48
26.7%
Q3 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
73.3%
48
26.7%
Q3 - 11:46WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot61
72.4%
48
27.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup61
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound59
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q2 - 0:02.6HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot59
64.7%
48
35.3%
Q2 - 0:11.9WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)59
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q2 - 0:27.8WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound59
72.1%
45
27.9%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot59
72.8%
45
27.2%
Q2 - 0:47.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
74.4%
45
25.6%
Q2 - 0:50.7WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot59
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 0:58.3HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)59
72.1%
45
27.9%
Q2 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound57
69.4%
45
30.6%
Q2 - 1:03WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis misses two point driving layup57
67.7%
45
32.3%
Q2 - 1:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup57
66.0%
45
34.0%
Q2 - 1:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound55
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 1:17HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot55
61.2%
45
38.8%
Q2 - 1:43WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Buddy Hield assists)55
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 1:49WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound55
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q2 - 1:51HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot55
69.4%
42
30.6%
Q2 - 2:08WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Draymond Green assists)55
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q2 - 2:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)55
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q2 - 2:46HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound52
67.4%
40
32.6%
Q2 - 2:50WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot52
66.5%
40
33.5%
Q2 - 3:03WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound52
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 3:06WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot52
65.0%
40
35.0%
Q2 - 3:08WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound52
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 3:09WarriorsKyle Anderson misses two point floating jump shot52
65.0%
40
35.0%
Q2 - 3:24HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)52
62.9%
40
37.1%
Q2 - 3:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound49
58.1%
40
41.9%
Q2 - 3:36WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis misses two point layup49
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot49
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 4:26WarriorsKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)46
48.7%
40
51.3%
Q2 - 4:32WarriorsKyle Anderson defensive rebound46
53.8%
37
46.2%
Q2 - 4:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot46
54.8%
37
45.2%
Q2 - 5:00WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point running dunk (Buddy Hield assists)46
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q2 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Buddy Hield steals)46
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
61.4%
35
38.6%
Q2 - 5:25WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot46
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 5:27WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound46
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 5:31WarriorsLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot46
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot46
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 5:53WarriorsKyle Anderson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
56.2%
35
43.8%
Q2 - 6:04HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound44
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 6:08WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot44
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q2 - 6:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup44
52.2%
35
47.8%
Q2 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound42
50.1%
35
49.9%
Q2 - 6:18HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
47.9%
35
52.1%
Q2 - 6:43WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point running dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)42
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 6:49HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)42
52.2%
33
47.8%
Q2 - 6:58WarriorsBuddy Hield makes two point putback layup42
55.4%
33
44.6%
Q2 - 6:58WarriorsBuddy Hield offensive rebound42
57.4%
31
42.6%
Q2 - 7:02WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point pullup jump shot42
58.6%
31
41.4%
Q2 - 7:07WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound42
56.7%
31
43.3%
Q2 - 7:10HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot42
57.6%
31
42.4%
Q2 - 7:29WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting layup (Dennis Schroder assists)42
59.5%
31
40.5%
Q2 - 7:41HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup (Duncan Robinson assists)42
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 7:45WarriorsStephen Curry turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)40
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 7:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)40
56.8%
29
43.2%
Q2 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 8:17WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot37
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q2 - 8:18WarriorsDraymond Green offensive rebound37
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q2 - 8:22WarriorsLindy Waters III misses two point running jump shot37
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q2 - 8:23WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound37
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 8:26HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running layup37
49.4%
29
50.6%
Q2 - 8:31HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound37
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 8:35WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot37
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)37
48.6%
29
51.4%
Q2 - 9:02WarriorsStephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 9:13HeatAlec Burks personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)35
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 9:21WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound35
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 9:24WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot35
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 9:38HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)35
43.4%
29
56.6%
Q2 - 9:51WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)32
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 9:57WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound32
43.4%
26
56.6%
Q2 - 9:59HeatKel'el Ware misses two point bank hook shot32
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q2 - 10:00HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound32
46.0%
26
54.0%
Q2 - 10:03HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot32
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 10:23WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)32
45.7%
26
54.3%
Q2 - 10:35WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound32
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 10:37HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot32
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q2 - 10:43WarriorsLindy Waters III turnover (out of bounds lost ball)32
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Lindy Waters III steals)32
50.4%
23
49.6%
Q2 - 10:52HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound32
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q2 - 10:55WarriorsDraymond Green misses two point driving floating jump shot32
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q2 - 11:02HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)32
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q2 - 11:13HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound32
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q2 - 11:16WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot32
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q2 - 11:34HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 132
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 11:34WarriorsLindy Waters III shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)31
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q2 - 11:45HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
44.9%
23
55.1%
Q2 - 11:49WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot29
44.1%
23
55.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.29
42.4%
23
57.6%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)29
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 0:10.2WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)26
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 0:10.2WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound26
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 0:10.8WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot26
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 0:35.5WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound26
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:37.1WarriorsDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot26
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 0:44.2WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound26
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:46.3HeatKyle Anderson blocks Nikola Jovic's two point running layup26
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q1 - 0:51.9WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot26
36.7%
23
63.3%
Q1 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)26
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q1 - 1:22WarriorsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 223
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q1 - 1:22WarriorsBuddy Hield misses regular free throw 1 of 223
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 1:22HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)23
29.6%
22
70.4%
Q1 - 1:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)23
31.0%
22
69.0%
Q1 - 1:33WarriorsBuddy Hield makes two point driving layup23
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 1:57HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 123
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 1:57WarriorsMoses Moody shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)22
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 2:08WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point pullup jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)20
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 2:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup20
34.6%
17
65.4%
Q1 - 2:43WarriorsKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 2:52WarriorsMoses Moody offensive rebound18
30.8%
17
69.2%
Q1 - 2:54WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot18
32.3%
17
67.7%
Q1 - 3:04HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Anderson steals)18
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 3:12HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound18
32.8%
17
67.2%
Q1 - 3:12WarriorsMoses Moody misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot18
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 3:16WarriorsMoses Moody offensive rebound18
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 3:18WarriorsMoses Moody misses two point floating jump shot18
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 3:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 218
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 3:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 217
30.2%
17
69.8%
Q1 - 3:33WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)16
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 3:46WarriorsDraymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 116
29.1%
17
70.9%
Q1 - 3:46HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)16
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 4:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)16
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound14
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 4:19WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot14
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 4:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 114
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 4:30WarriorsStephen Curry shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)13
28.6%
14
71.4%
Q1 - 4:35HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 4:36WarriorsKyle Anderson misses two point layup11
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 4:55HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)11
24.6%
14
75.4%
Q1 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 5:02WarriorsKel'el Ware blocks Kyle Anderson's two point putback layup8
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:03WarriorsKyle Anderson offensive rebound8
21.1%
14
78.9%
Q1 - 5:05WarriorsDraymond Green misses two point cutting layup8
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 5:16WarriorsKyle Anderson defensive rebound8
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:19HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot8
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 5:35WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk (Draymond Green assists)8
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 5:39WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot8
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 6:00WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)8
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 6:04HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)8
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 6:07WarriorsKyle Anderson defensive rebound8
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot8
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 6:28WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)8
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 6:34WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound8
30.4%
7
69.6%
Q1 - 6:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 18
30.6%
7
69.4%
Q1 - 6:36WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)8
31.6%
7
68.4%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
29.2%
7
70.8%
Q1 - 6:51WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot6
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 6:58WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound6
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 7:01HeatTrayce Jackson-Davis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup6
28.2%
7
71.8%
Q1 - 7:16WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)6
29.2%
7
70.8%
Q1 - 7:26WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound6
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 7:29HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup6
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 7:36WarriorsDennis Schroder personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 7:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound6
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 7:41WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis misses two point driving layup6
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)6
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 8:09HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound4
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 8:13WarriorsStephen Curry misses two point driving floating bank jump shot4
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 8:20WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound4
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 8:25HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot4
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 8:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound4
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 8:31WarriorsDennis Schroder misses two point driving finger roll layup4
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:37WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot4
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 8:46HeatHeat offensive rebound4
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 8:46HeatStephen Curry blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating bank jump shot4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 8:54HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound4
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 8:57WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot4
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)4
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 9:27HeatHeat defensive rebound2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 9:29WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot2
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:35WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound2
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:37HeatStephen Curry blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup2
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:44WarriorsAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)2
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)2
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound2
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 10:12WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point running jump shot2
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 10:13WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound2
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:17HeatAndrew Wiggins blocks Terry Rozier's two point stepback jump shot2
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 10:27WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point putback layup2
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 10:27WarriorsAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound2
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:31WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:42WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:57WarriorsStephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:58WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot2
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:16WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting layup (Dennis Schroder assists)2
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot2
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Trayce Jackson-Davis (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
GSW
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
21
76%
GSW
20
28
71%
Midrange
MIA
11
30
37%
GSW
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
GSW
14
21.0
50
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
12
17
71%
GSW
4
5
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jović2059%10.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1968%9.5 / 14
J. Jaquez1869%9.0 / 13
T. Herro1447%7.0 / 15
D. Robinson12100%6.0 / 6
A. Burks1179%5.5 / 7
T. Rozier938%4.5 / 12
K. Ware643%3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3170%15.5 / 22
T. Jackson-Davis1979%9.5 / 12
B. Hield1142%5.5 / 13
A. Wiggins945%4.5 / 10
D. Green739%3.5 / 9
L. Waters638%3.0 / 8
D. Schröder525%2.5 / 10
K. Anderson536%2.5 / 7
M. Moody325%1.5 / 6
P. Spencer2100%1.0 / 1
G. Santos0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+10
-9
96
GSW
86
+18
-10
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
GSW
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
114.2
MIA 120.0 +17.9
GSW 102.1
Pace
97.2
99.4
MIA 91.3
GSW 100.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.3
MIA 15.8
GSW 14.4 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
53.6%
MIA 56.0% +8.0%
GSW 48.0%
TO %
12.8%
13.2%
MIA 9.2% +1.5%
GSW 10.7%
ORB %
22.3%
27.3%
MIA 18.0%
GSW 22.0% +4.0%
FTrt
23.2
24.4
MIA 18.7 +13.6
GSW 5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
71.4%
MIA 74.4% +4.4%
GSW 70.0%
STL %
8.3%
9.4%
MIA 6.3%
GSW 9.4% +3.1%
BLK %
7.6%
9.5%
MIA 6.3%
GSW 11.8% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.3%
MIA 59.4% +12.7%
GSW 46.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
62.7%
MIA 76.2% +4.8%
GSW 71.4%
Mid FG%
44.4%
39.9%
MIA 36.7% +6.7%
GSW 30.0%
3P %
36.7%
36.4%
MIA 40.0% +12.0%
GSW 28.0%
FT %
79.1%
76.3%
MIA 70.6%
GSW 80.0% +9.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.1%
MIA 23.1%
GSW 28.6% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
23.1%
MIA 33.0%
GSW 20.4% +12.6%
3P Att. %
42.9%
46.9%
MIA 44.0%
GSW 51.0% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points11498
Rebounds4852
Assists3228
Steals69
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (2)
Fouls915
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)41 (1)
Field Goals43-9140-98
At-the-Rim FG16-2120-28
Midrange FG11-306-20
2-Point FG27-5126-48
3-Point FG16-4014-50
Free Throws12-174-5
Fast Break Pts107
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint4446
Pts off Turnovers136
Bench Points4927
Biggest Lead206

BOXSCORES

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
32.1
9
38%
5
5
0
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
29.8
19
68%
9
5
2
1
1
1
3
6
0-1
0%
8-13
62%
1-1
100%
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 24
28.5
18
69%
5
1
0
0
3
0
2
3
3-4
75%
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
26.3
14
47%
8
3
1
0
0
1
0
8
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
3-9
33%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
23.3
5
63%
6
5
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
34.2
20
59%
6
4
1
0
2
0
1
5
2-3
67%
6-9
67%
2-8
25%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
24.7
11
79%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
0-0
-
3-6
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
21.1
12
100%
1
8
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
18.2
6
43%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Inflammation
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Team Suspension
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
59%
48
32
6
3
9
9
9
39
12-17
71%
27-51
53%
16-40
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.