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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 5, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Rockets54%11293
15Warriors46%11099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 197 · 30.8
37.1
34.9
13
41%
4
5
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
3-10
30%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.6
36.6
34.0
5
31%
7
1
1
0
3
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Jalen Green
G · 6'4" 186 · 22.8
36.3
32.0
14
37%
4
3
4
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Dillon Brooks
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
34.5
26.5
15
54%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
2-8
25%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'11" 243 · 22.4
29.2
32.2
16
50%
8
5
2
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
7-14
8-14
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.8
22.1
25.9
14
47%
8
0
0
1
1
0
2
6
2-4
50%
3-8
4-6
38%
58%
2-5
40%
Steven Adams
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
17.6
8.8
6
75%
6
3
0
0
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
13.8
4.4
3
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Reed Sheppard
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.4
12.6
9.7
7
51%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-5
20%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
3.5
0
0-1
56%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 29.1
2.5
0
0-0
57%
Jeff Green
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.3
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Jack McVeigh
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.4
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
N'Faly Dante
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.8
36.7
25.2
8
37%
11
3
0
1
0
2
1
10
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
1-3
33%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 29.8
33.6
30.9
23
64%
9
2
2
1
1
3
0
9
4-7
57%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
3-4
75%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.2
32.9
23.7
33
67%
7
2
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-6
67%
10-16
4-8
63%
51%
3-6
50%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
27.2
19.7
5
28%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
1-6
17%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
26.9
19.6
4
29%
11
3
1
1
0
0
5
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-4
29%
59%
0-0
-
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.5
23.2
15.6
6
31%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-6
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.8
20.8
17.6
6
75%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.0
18.4
13.1
6
43%
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
70%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 31.2
14.0
14.8
8
68%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
6.3
3.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.4
10.3
0
0-1
54%
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.5
0.9
0
0-0
50%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.5
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 24.7
Reece Beekman
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
Draymond Green
F · 6'6" 230 · 34.8
Stephen Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.