FinalWin Prob.pScore
1841%108
93
1459%112
134
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
96.99692.9
MIA logo MIA
139.69699.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 0:18.7HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 0:44.5LakersGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 0:57.2LakersArmel Traore defensive rebound93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:00HeatPelle Larsson misses three point running jump shot93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:05HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:07LakersArmel Traore misses two point driving hook shot93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:23LakersArmel Traore defensive rebound93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:26HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:48LakersChristian Koloko makes two point cutting dunk (Cam Reddish assists)93
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:53LakersChristian Koloko offensive rebound91
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 1:55LakersGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot91
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 2:19HeatDru Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)91
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 2:23LakersCam Reddish turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)91
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 2:32HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0%
134
100%
Q4 - 2:32HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 2:32LakersChristian Koloko shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)91
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 2:42HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound91
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 2:43LakersMaxwell Lewis misses two point stepback jump shot91
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 2:56HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)91
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 3:06HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound91
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:08LakersArmel Traore misses regular free throw 2 of 291
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:08LakersArmel Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:08HeatDru Smith personal foul (Armel Traore draws the foul)90
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:13LakersChristian Koloko defensive rebound90
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:15HeatThomas Bryant misses two point running layup90
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:19HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound90
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:22LakersThomas Bryant blocks Armel Traore's two point cutting layup90
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 3:38HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)90
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53LakersCam Reddish misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05LakersArmel Traore defensive rebound90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22LakersThomas Bryant blocks Christian Koloko's two point tip dunk90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22LakersChristian Koloko offensive rebound90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23LakersArmel Traore misses two point driving finger roll layup90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)90
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56LakersChristian Koloko makes two point cutting dunk (Cam Reddish assists)90
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02LakersChristian Koloko offensive rebound88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05LakersGabe Vincent misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33LakersArmel Traore misses regular free throw 2 of 288
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33LakersArmel Traore misses regular free throw 1 of 288
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Armel Traore draws the foul)88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36HeatDru Smith turnover (bad pass) (Armel Traore steals)88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point driving floating jump shot88
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Pelle Larsson assists)86
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23HeatDru Smith offensive rebound86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25HeatDru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42HeatDru Smith defensive rebound86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43LakersMaxwell Lewis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08HeatDru Smith makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21LakersMax Christie makes two point cutting dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)86
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot84
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38HeatDru Smith defensive rebound84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40LakersMax Christie misses two point tip layup84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40LakersMax Christie offensive rebound84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42LakersMax Christie misses two point driving layup84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot84
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11LakersArmel Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 184
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Armel Traore draws the foul)83
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19LakersArmel Traore defensive rebound81
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot81
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45LakersMax Christie makes three point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)81
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48LakersLeBron James defensive rebound78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting layup (Max Christie assists)78
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12LakersMax Christie offensive rebound76
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:15LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Dru Smith assists)76
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44LakersLeBron James defensive rebound76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47HeatPelle Larsson misses two point putback layup76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 10:03LakersLeBron James turnover (traveling)76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Dru Smith assists)76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 276
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 275
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40HeatDru Smith shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:41LakersLeBron James offensive rebound74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43LakersGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 11:03HeatKevin Love makes two point bank hook shot (Pelle Larsson assists)74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 11:19LakersGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 274
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 11:19LakersGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 273
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 11:19HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)72
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)72
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 0:04.3HeatKevin Love defensive rebound72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 0:07.1LakersMax Christie misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.5HeatKevin Love makes three point pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q3 - 0:35.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound72
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q3 - 0:39.7HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running pullup jump shot72
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q3 - 0:43.3LakersDalton Knecht turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)72
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q3 - 1:04HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup72
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q3 - 1:06LakersGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)72
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q3 - 1:26HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup (Kevin Love assists)72
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q3 - 1:32HeatKevin Love defensive rebound72
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 1:34LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot72
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Kevin Love assists)72
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q3 - 2:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 2:06LakersArmel Traore misses three point jump shot72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:14LakersMax Christie offensive rebound72
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 2:15LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:19LakersMax Christie offensive rebound72
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 2:21LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:36LakersArmel Traore defensive rebound72
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 2:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot72
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q3 - 2:51LakersGabe Vincent makes two point running reverse layup (Anthony Davis assists)72
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:00LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound70
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q3 - 3:03HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot70
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:09HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound70
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q3 - 3:10LakersAnthony Davis misses two point floating jump shot70
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 3:13LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound70
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:15LakersAnthony Davis misses two point floating jump shot70
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 3:34HeatKevin Love makes two point putback layup70
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKevin Love offensive rebound70
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q3 - 3:37HeatArmel Traore blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup70
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 3:59LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 170
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)69
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q3 - 4:16HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q3 - 4:30LakersRui Hachimura makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)67
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 4:39LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound65
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 4:41HeatRui Hachimura blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup65
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q3 - 5:01LakersAnthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)65
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q3 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)63
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)63
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 5:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 5:24LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot63
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)63
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 6:03LakersLeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot63
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 6:14HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)63
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q3 - 6:33LakersMax Christie makes two point driving layup (Anthony Davis assists)63
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 6:53HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 7:00LakersBam Adebayo blocks D'Angelo Russell's two point driving floating jump shot61
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 7:10HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)61
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q3 - 7:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound61
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 7:27LakersLeBron James misses three point pullup jump shot61
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q3 - 7:35HeatTyler Herro personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)61
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q3 - 7:43HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)61
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q3 - 7:43HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)61
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 7:49LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 8:05LakersLeBron James defensive rebound61
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 161
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 8:06LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)61
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 8:10LakersLeBron James personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 8:21LakersLeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot61
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 8:34LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound59
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 8:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point cutting layup59
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 8:55LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)59
5.0%
77
95.0%
Q3 - 9:12HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)56
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 9:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 9:27LakersDalton Knecht misses three point jump shot56
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)56
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 10:09LakersRui Hachimura makes two point turnaround hook shot (LeBron James assists)56
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 10:14LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound54
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot54
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q3 - 10:36LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)54
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 10:46LakersLeBron James defensive rebound52
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot52
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 11:13LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot52
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 11:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)52
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 11:46LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot52
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound52
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot52
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q2 - 0:02.5LakersLeBron James personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q2 - 0:06.8LakersDalton Knecht makes two point running reverse layup52
7.1%
69
92.9%
Q2 - 0:09.4HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Dalton Knecht steals)50
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q2 - 0:27.2LakersGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)50
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q2 - 0:35.1LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound48
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q2 - 0:37.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot48
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q2 - 0:44.5LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)48
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q2 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup48
5.0%
69
95.0%
Q2 - 1:20LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting layup (Rui Hachimura assists)48
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q2 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q2 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q2 - 1:53LakersMax Christie misses two point pullup jump shot46
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q2 - 2:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q2 - 2:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q2 - 2:22LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot46
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q2 - 2:25LakersGabe Vincent offensive rebound46
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q2 - 2:27LakersLeBron James misses two point pullup jump shot46
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q2 - 2:49HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q2 - 3:08LakersRui Hachimura makes two point running layup (D'Angelo Russell assists)46
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q2 - 3:14LakersD'Angelo Russell defensive rebound44
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q2 - 3:16HeatCam Reddish blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup44
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q2 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
8.3%
61
91.7%
Q2 - 3:33LakersKevin Love blocks Anthony Davis's two point driving layup44
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q2 - 3:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)44
9.5%
61
90.5%
Q2 - 4:11LakersMax Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 244
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 4:11LakersMax Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 243
10.6%
59
89.4%
Q2 - 4:11HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)42
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q2 - 4:17LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound42
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q2 - 4:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q2 - 4:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 4:30LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 242
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q2 - 4:30LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 242
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q2 - 4:30HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)42
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q2 - 4:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk42
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q2 - 4:44LakersRui Hachimura turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)42
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q2 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)42
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q2 - 5:15LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)42
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 5:26HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q2 - 5:49LakersLeBron James makes two point running layup42
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q2 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)40
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 6:13HeatKevin Love defensive rebound40
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 6:15LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot40
15.2%
52
84.8%
Q2 - 6:21HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)40
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q2 - 6:32HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)40
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q2 - 6:50LakersLeBron James makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Max Christie assists)40
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 6:59LakersLakers offensive rebound38
16.4%
50
83.6%
Q2 - 7:02LakersLeBron James misses two point running pullup jump shot38
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 7:07LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound38
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 7:09HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot38
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 7:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound38
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 7:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot38
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 7:24LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 238
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 7:24LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 237
14.9%
50
85.1%
Q2 - 7:24HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)36
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 7:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)36
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 7:57LakersD'Angelo Russell makes regular free throw 1 of 136
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 7:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (D'Angelo Russell draws the foul)35
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 8:04HeatPelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 8:06HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound33
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q2 - 8:08LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point stepback jump shot33
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 8:19HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Dalton Knecht draws the foul)33
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 8:20LakersDalton Knecht offensive rebound33
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 8:22LakersCam Reddish misses three point jump shot33
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q2 - 8:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)33
13.1%
48
86.9%
Q2 - 8:48LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point driving floating jump shot (LeBron James assists)33
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 131
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 9:03LakersChristian Koloko shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)31
14.7%
44
85.3%
Q2 - 9:25LakersLeBron James makes two point driving dunk31
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 229
15.7%
42
84.3%
Q2 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 229
15.9%
41
84.1%
Q2 - 9:43LakersGabe Vincent shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)29
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 9:49LakersCam Reddish misses two point driving floating bank jump shot29
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk29
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 10:15HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound29
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 10:17LakersGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating bank jump shot29
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 10:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)29
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 10:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound29
20.3%
38
79.7%
Q2 - 10:31LakersGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot29
20.9%
38
79.1%
Q2 - 10:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)29
22.1%
38
77.9%
Q2 - 10:56LakersGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)29
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 11:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)26
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 11:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound26
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 11:41LakersDalton Knecht misses three point jump shot26
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
24.0%
34
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.1LakersLakers offensive rebound26
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.5LakersGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot26
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q1 - 0:03.6HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q1 - 0:08.7HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound26
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q1 - 0:10.7HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot26
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q1 - 0:25.8LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Max Christie assists)26
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q1 - 0:39.1LakersMax Christie defensive rebound24
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q1 - 0:41.1HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot24
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q1 - 0:50.6LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk (Max Christie assists)24
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q1 - 0:52.9LakersMax Christie defensive rebound22
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q1 - 0:55.7HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot22
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q1 - 1:09LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot22
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q1 - 1:28HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Kevin Love assists)20
19.4%
31
80.6%
Q1 - 1:38HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound20
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 1:41HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot20
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q1 - 1:53LakersMax Christie makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)20
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q1 - 2:08HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot18
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q1 - 2:20LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)18
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q1 - 2:32HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound18
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q1 - 2:34LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q1 - 2:49HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)18
26.4%
25
73.6%
Q1 - 3:10LakersRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)18
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q1 - 3:14LakersMax Christie offensive rebound15
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 3:18LakersGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot15
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 3:25HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)15
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 3:29LakersD'Angelo Russell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Anthony Davis assists)15
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 3:39LakersLakers offensive rebound13
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 3:41LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot13
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 3:50LakersGabe Vincent defensive rebound13
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 3:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup13
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 3:51HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 3:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot13
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 4:05LakersRui Hachimura makes two point running dunk (D'Angelo Russell assists)13
19.7%
25
80.3%
Q1 - 4:09HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)11
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 4:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 4:21LakersJimmy Butler blocks D'Angelo Russell's two point driving dunk11
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Tyler Herro assists)11
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 4:48HeatHeat offensive rebound11
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot11
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound11
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 4:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot11
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 5:05LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point running layup11
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q1 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)11
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:21LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 211
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 5:21LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 210
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 5:21HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)9
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 5:25HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Dalton Knecht steals)9
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 5:30LakersDalton Knecht turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)9
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q1 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)9
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 5:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 5:59LakersD'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot9
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)9
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 6:17LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot9
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)9
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 6:53LakersD'Angelo Russell makes three point stepback jump shot9
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 7:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 7:26LakersDalton Knecht misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 7:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 16
31.7%
11
68.3%
Q1 - 7:49Lakers technical foul (Defensive three second)6
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 8:08LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot6
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 8:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running reverse layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)6
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 8:31LakersD'Angelo Russell turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)6
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 8:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)6
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 9:00LakersDalton Knecht turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)6
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound6
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup6
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound6
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 9:35HeatDalton Knecht blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup6
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 9:47LakersLeBron James makes two point running layup (Anthony Davis assists)6
41.5%
3
58.5%
Q1 - 9:53LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound4
40.7%
3
59.3%
Q1 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot4
40.4%
3
59.6%
Q1 - 10:14LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 10:22LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound2
39.1%
3
60.9%
Q1 - 10:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot2
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound2
38.4%
3
61.6%
Q1 - 10:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot2
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 10:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 10:41LakersD'Angelo Russell misses two point pullup jump shot2
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk2
39.5%
3
60.5%
Q1 - 10:57LakersLeBron James turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
39.9%
1
60.1%
Q1 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 22
40.4%
1
59.6%
Q1 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 22
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 11:10LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:21LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup (Dalton Knecht assists)2
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:36LakersDalton Knecht defensive rebound0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 12:00Anthony Davis vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
40.5%
0
59.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.40 69.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
24
38
63%
MIA
22
35
63%
Midrange
LAL
8
28
29%
MIA
6
8
75%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
MIA
24
36.0
47
51%
77%
Free Throws
LAL
14
19
74%
MIA
6
9
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2973%14.5 / 20
R. Hachimura14100%7.0 / 7
D. Russell1246%6.0 / 13
M. Christie1161%5.5 / 9
G. Vincent938%4.5 / 12
A. Davis825%4.0 / 16
C. Koloko467%2.0 / 3
A. Traore429%2.0 / 7
D. Knecht225%1.0 / 4
C. Reddish0-0.0 / 3
M. Lewis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3182%15.5 / 19
J. Butler1771%8.5 / 12
T. Rozier1667%8.0 / 12
H. Highsmith14100%7.0 / 7
B. Adebayo1478%7.0 / 9
K. Love1071%5.0 / 7
J. Jaquez975%4.5 / 6
T. Bryant857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson750%3.5 / 7
P. Larsson550%2.5 / 5
D. Smith375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
83
+15
-13
98
MIA
81
+15
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
0.95 47.4%
MIA
1.40 69.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
112.4
LAL 96.9 +42.7
MIA 139.6
Pace
98.4
97.2
LAL 92.9
MIA 99.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
LAL 15.5
MIA 14.5 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.7%
54.4%
LAL 44.9%
MIA 71.1% +26.2%
TO %
13.3%
12.8%
LAL 11.9% +2.7%
MIA 14.6%
ORB %
23.3%
22.3%
LAL 23.5%
MIA 35.1% +11.6%
FTrt
27.1
23.2
LAL 21.6 +11.6
MIA 10.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
65.3%
LAL 78.4%
MIA 80.8% +2.4%
STL %
7.8%
8.3%
LAL 9.4%
MIA 11.5% +2.1%
BLK %
8.7%
7.6%
LAL 9.3% +1.7%
MIA 7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.6%
56.0%
LAL 47.4%
MIA 69.8% +22.4%
Rim FG%
68.0%
62.5%
LAL 63.2% +0.3%
MIA 62.9%
Mid FG%
42.1%
44.4%
LAL 28.6%
MIA 75.0% +46.4%
3P %
36.6%
36.7%
LAL 22.7%
MIA 51.1% +28.4%
FT %
78.5%
79.1%
LAL 73.7% +7.0%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.4%
29.6%
LAL 43.2% +4.3%
MIA 38.9%
Mid Att. %
26.1%
27.5%
LAL 31.8%
MIA 8.9% +22.9%
3P Att. %
42.5%
42.9%
LAL 25.0%
MIA 52.2% +27.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points93134
Rebounds3652
Assists2942
Steals911
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (1)
Fouls816
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)39 (0)
Field Goals37-8852-90
At-the-Rim FG24-3822-35
Midrange FG8-286-8
2-Point FG32-6628-43
3-Point FG5-2224-47
Free Throws14-196-9
Fast Break Pts2224
2nd Chance Pts1518
Points in Paint5652
Pts off Turnovers2218
Bench Points2851
Biggest Lead343

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 32
31.4
8
25%
7
5
1
0
0
3
1
6
2-4
50%
3-13
23%
0-1
0%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 29
30.0
12
46%
1
4
0
0
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
#23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40
29.1
29
73%
5
8
1
0
5
2
1
4
4-4
100%
11-14
79%
1-4
25%
#28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27
26.5
14
100%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
#4 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24
22.8
2
25%
2
1
2
1
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22
26.3
11
61%
7
5
1
0
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
#7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
24.3
9
38%
2
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
#5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25
15.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#10 · C · 7'0" 225 · 24
13.3
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22
12.7
4
29%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
#20 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain/Contusion
#41 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#9 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 20
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Heel; Contusion
#0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Groin; Soreness
#15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pelvic; Contusion
#2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
36
29
9
4
13
8
12
24
14-19
74%
32-66
48%
5-22
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.