FinalWin Prob.pScore
1553%112
98
2347%110
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.49391.9
CHA logo CHA
100.09495.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.98
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound98
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0HornetsTidjane Salaun misses three point jump shot98
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.5HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 0:04.5HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 297
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 0:04.5HornetsTidjane Salaun personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)96
99.1%
94
0.9%
Q4 - 0:04.5HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound96
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 0:04.8HornetsCody Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 296
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 0:04.8HornetsCody Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 296
92.7%
94
7.3%
Q4 - 0:04.8HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Cody Martin draws the foul)96
78.0%
94
22.0%
Q4 - 0:06.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 296
86.9%
94
13.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 295
85.3%
94
14.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0HornetsBrandon Miller personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)95
94.7%
94
5.3%
Q4 - 0:08.8HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)95
86.3%
94
13.7%
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)95
59.4%
94
40.6%
Q4 - 0:28.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)95
56.9%
94
43.1%
Q4 - 0:42.3HornetsTidjane Salaun makes three point jump shot (Moussa Diabate assists)92
27.8%
94
72.2%
Q4 - 0:45.5HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound92
57.3%
91
42.7%
Q4 - 0:48.4HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot92
69.2%
91
30.8%
Q4 - 1:10HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)92
57.1%
91
42.9%
Q4 - 1:22HeatHeat defensive rebound92
71.2%
91
28.8%
Q4 - 1:25HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot92
66.7%
91
33.3%
Q4 - 1:33HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound92
55.8%
91
44.2%
Q4 - 1:34HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving finger roll layup92
60.2%
91
39.8%
Q4 - 1:57HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot92
68.0%
91
32.0%
Q4 - 2:08HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound92
76.2%
89
23.8%
Q4 - 2:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot92
79.6%
89
20.4%
Q4 - 2:23HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)92
86.1%
89
13.9%
Q4 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)92
93.5%
86
6.5%
Q4 - 2:50HornetsBrandon Miller personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)90
91.2%
86
8.8%
Q4 - 3:04HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)90
88.5%
86
11.5%
Q4 - 3:11HornetsLaMelo Ball makes technical free throw 1 of 190
94.3%
83
5.7%
Q4 - 3:11Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)90
94.8%
82
5.2%
Q4 - 3:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup90
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 3:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound88
91.1%
82
8.9%
Q4 - 3:38HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving layup88
90.2%
82
9.8%
Q4 - 3:45HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)88
87.7%
82
12.3%
Q4 - 4:08HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving layup86
84.1%
82
15.9%
Q4 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)86
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q4 - 4:44HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point pullup jump shot84
84.4%
80
15.6%
Q4 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)84
91.5%
77
8.5%
Q4 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)84
94.2%
77
5.8%
Q4 - 5:10HeatHeat offensive rebound84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 5:13HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot84
89.9%
77
10.1%
Q4 - 5:27HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)84
92.0%
77
8.0%
Q4 - 5:48HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 284
93.9%
75
6.1%
Q4 - 5:48HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 283
93.5%
75
6.5%
Q4 - 5:48HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)82
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q4 - 5:54HornetsMoussa Diabate turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)82
92.0%
75
8.0%
Q4 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Moussa Diabate steals)82
89.0%
75
11.0%
Q4 - 6:14HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running jump shot (Nick Smith Jr. assists)82
89.9%
75
10.1%
Q4 - 6:21HornetsNick Smith Jr. defensive rebound82
93.7%
72
6.3%
Q4 - 6:22HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving reverse layup82
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound82
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 6:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot82
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 6:33HornetsMoussa Diabate personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 6:53HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)82
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 7:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup82
96.3%
69
3.7%
Q4 - 7:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound80
95.5%
69
4.5%
Q4 - 7:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup80
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 7:46HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point pullup jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)80
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 7:57HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound80
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q4 - 8:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
97.4%
66
2.6%
Q4 - 8:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound80
97.3%
66
2.7%
Q4 - 8:22HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot80
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q4 - 8:31HornetsHornets offensive rebound80
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q4 - 8:33HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving reverse layup80
97.1%
66
2.9%
Q4 - 8:41HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound80
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q4 - 8:44HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup80
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q4 - 9:03HornetsTidjane Salaun makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)80
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q4 - 9:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot80
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 9:31HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound78
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q4 - 9:34HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot78
97.3%
63
2.7%
Q4 - 9:49HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot78
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 10:04HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Cody Martin assists)75
94.1%
63
5.9%
Q4 - 10:07HornetsCody Martin offensive rebound75
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 10:09HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Josh Green's two point running layup75
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 10:12HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound75
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 10:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup75
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q4 - 10:31HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound75
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q4 - 10:33HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point running jump shot75
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 10:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Cody Martin steals)75
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 10:41HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)75
96.9%
60
3.1%
Q4 - 10:50HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Tidjane Salaun steals)75
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 11:10HornetsJosh Green makes two point tip layup75
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q4 - 11:11HornetsJosh Green offensive rebound75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q4 - 11:14HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot75
97.3%
58
2.7%
Q4 - 11:16HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q4 - 11:19HornetsJosh Green misses three point running jump shot75
97.3%
58
2.7%
Q4 - 11:25HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q4 - 11:27HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot75
97.1%
58
2.9%
Q4 - 11:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound75
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q4 - 11:33HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup75
97.3%
58
2.7%
Q4 - 11:43HeatPelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Brandon Miller steals)75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q4 - 11:55HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)75
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
97.5%
58
2.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound75
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot75
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.9HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (traveling)75
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.9HornetsHornets offensive rebound75
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.9HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup75
96.8%
58
3.2%
Q3 - 0:06.4HeatPelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)75
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 0:07.4HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound75
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:09.4HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot75
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 0:26.5HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound75
97.0%
58
3.0%
Q3 - 0:27.5HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 0:28.7HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound75
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 0:30.8HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot75
96.9%
58
3.1%
Q3 - 0:47.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot75
96.4%
58
3.6%
Q3 - 0:59.9HornetsCody Martin makes two point running dunk72
94.8%
58
5.2%
Q3 - 1:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)72
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q3 - 1:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q3 - 1:18HornetsVasilije Micic misses three point jump shot72
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q3 - 1:24HornetsHornets offensive rebound72
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q3 - 1:25HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup72
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q3 - 1:38HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 272
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q3 - 1:38HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 271
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 1:38HornetsVasilije Micic shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)71
95.3%
56
4.7%
Q3 - 1:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound71
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 1:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot71
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 1:48HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound71
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 1:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses regular free throw 2 of 271
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q3 - 1:51HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 271
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 1:51HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)71
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 1:58HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound71
95.0%
55
5.0%
Q3 - 1:59HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot71
95.2%
55
4.8%
Q3 - 2:18HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
95.1%
55
4.9%
Q3 - 2:20HornetsSeth Curry misses three point jump shot71
94.8%
55
5.2%
Q3 - 2:35HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound71
94.1%
55
5.9%
Q3 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
94.4%
55
5.6%
Q3 - 2:58HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point jump shot (Cody Martin assists)71
95.1%
55
4.9%
Q3 - 3:03HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound71
96.0%
52
4.0%
Q3 - 3:07HornetsVasilije Micic misses three point stepback jump shot71
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)71
96.0%
52
4.0%
Q3 - 3:33HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
94.7%
52
5.3%
Q3 - 3:35HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot68
94.3%
52
5.7%
Q3 - 3:45HornetsVasilije Micic defensive rebound68
93.6%
52
6.4%
Q3 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot68
93.9%
52
6.1%
Q3 - 4:01HornetsCody Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Brandon Miller assists)68
94.0%
52
6.0%
Q3 - 4:25HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)68
94.8%
50
5.2%
Q3 - 4:25HeatHeat offensive rebound68
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 4:25HeatCody Martin blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point stepback jump shot68
95.0%
50
5.0%
Q3 - 4:39HornetsMoussa Diabate personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)68
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 4:39HeatHeat offensive rebound68
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 4:40HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot68
95.0%
50
5.0%
Q3 - 5:00HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point driving layup68
95.6%
50
4.4%
Q3 - 5:05HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound68
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 5:06HornetsTidjane Salaun misses three point jump shot68
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q3 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)68
95.7%
48
4.3%
Q3 - 5:31HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
95.1%
48
4.9%
Q3 - 5:33HornetsVasilije Micic misses two point running reverse layup66
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q3 - 5:40HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound66
94.3%
48
5.7%
Q3 - 5:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
94.5%
48
5.5%
Q3 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound66
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 6:03HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Vasilije Micic's two point pullup jump shot66
94.4%
48
5.6%
Q3 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
93.7%
48
6.3%
Q3 - 6:21HornetsTidjane Salaun turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)66
94.6%
48
5.4%
Q3 - 6:42HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 266
93.8%
48
6.2%
Q3 - 6:42HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 265
93.5%
48
6.5%
Q3 - 6:42HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)64
93.1%
48
6.9%
Q3 - 7:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
92.1%
48
7.9%
Q3 - 7:04HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point stepback jump shot64
91.8%
48
8.2%
Q3 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 264
91.0%
48
9.0%
Q3 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
90.7%
48
9.3%
Q3 - 7:24HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
90.4%
48
9.6%
Q3 - 7:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound62
89.9%
48
10.1%
Q3 - 7:38HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot62
89.4%
48
10.6%
Q3 - 7:49HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound62
88.4%
48
11.6%
Q3 - 7:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot62
88.9%
48
11.1%
Q3 - 8:07HornetsJosh Green makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)62
89.4%
48
10.6%
Q3 - 8:11HornetsHornets offensive rebound62
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q3 - 8:13HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot62
91.4%
46
8.6%
Q3 - 8:20HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Tidjane Salaun draws the foul)62
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q3 - 8:39HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point pullup jump shot62
90.4%
46
9.6%
Q3 - 8:54HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point driving layup59
88.1%
46
11.9%
Q3 - 9:09HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Tidjane Salaun steals)59
88.6%
44
11.4%
Q3 - 9:21HornetsBrandon Miller personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q3 - 9:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q3 - 9:29HornetsJosh Green misses three point jump shot59
89.7%
44
10.3%
Q3 - 9:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q3 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q3 - 9:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot59
89.8%
44
10.2%
Q3 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
88.7%
44
11.3%
Q3 - 10:06HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot56
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)56
86.6%
42
13.4%
Q3 - 10:41HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (offensive foul)53
83.7%
42
16.3%
Q3 - 10:41HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)53
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q3 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Tidjane Salaun steals)53
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q3 - 11:11HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point jump shot (Tidjane Salaun assists)53
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q3 - 11:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
84.6%
40
15.4%
Q3 - 11:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound50
81.2%
40
18.8%
Q3 - 11:35HornetsTidjane Salaun misses three point jump shot50
80.6%
40
19.4%
Q3 - 11:40HornetsTaj Gibson offensive rebound50
79.0%
40
21.0%
Q3 - 11:42HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot50
80.6%
40
19.4%
Q3 - 11:44HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound50
79.0%
40
21.0%
Q3 - 11:45HornetsLaMelo Ball misses regular free throw 2 of 250
80.9%
40
19.1%
Q3 - 11:45HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 250
79.5%
40
20.5%
Q3 - 11:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)50
79.8%
39
20.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
81.0%
39
19.0%
Q2 - 0:19.4HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)50
80.9%
39
19.1%
Q2 - 0:36.7HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds lost ball)47
76.7%
39
23.3%
Q2 - 0:44.3HeatPelle Larsson makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)47
74.5%
39
25.5%
Q2 - 0:54.8HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound45
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 0:56.7HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point fadeaway jump shot45
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 1:06HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound45
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 1:08HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot45
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 1:27HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound45
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 1:29HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot45
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 1:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
71.8%
39
28.2%
Q2 - 1:47HornetsCody Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
71.1%
39
28.9%
Q2 - 2:11HornetsTaj Gibson defensive rebound45
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 2:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot45
69.5%
39
30.5%
Q2 - 2:24HornetsTaj Gibson makes two point cutting layup (Tidjane Salaun assists)45
71.5%
39
28.5%
Q2 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Cody Martin steals)45
73.5%
37
26.5%
Q2 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
76.0%
37
24.0%
Q2 - 2:53HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot45
75.3%
37
24.7%
Q2 - 3:04HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound45
72.8%
37
27.2%
Q2 - 3:06HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot45
73.7%
37
26.3%
Q2 - 3:18HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
75.5%
37
24.5%
Q2 - 3:35HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
72.9%
37
27.1%
Q2 - 3:38HeatHeat offensive rebound42
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 3:40HeatCody Martin blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup42
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 3:48HornetsCody Martin misses two point driving layup42
67.8%
37
32.2%
Q2 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)42
65.6%
37
34.4%
Q2 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 4:25HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot39
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 4:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)39
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 4:33HeatHeat offensive rebound39
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 4:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot39
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 4:49HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 4:50HornetsTidjane Salaun misses two point driving layup39
60.0%
37
40.0%
Q2 - 5:01HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound39
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot39
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound39
61.1%
37
38.9%
Q2 - 5:27HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point driving layup39
60.1%
37
39.9%
Q2 - 5:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup39
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 6:10HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point stepback jump shot37
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 6:27HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound37
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot37
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 6:48HornetsBrandon Miller makes two point driving layup (Vasilije Micic assists)37
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 6:53HornetsHornets offensive rebound37
65.3%
32
34.7%
Q2 - 6:55HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point stepback jump shot37
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)37
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q2 - 7:13HeatHeat offensive rebound35
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 7:14HeatJosh Green blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point running layup35
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 7:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound35
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 7:20HornetsCody Martin misses two point running finger roll layup35
62.3%
32
37.7%
Q2 - 7:27HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound35
60.4%
32
39.6%
Q2 - 7:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot35
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 7:40HornetsVasilije Micic makes two point pullup jump shot35
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)35
65.2%
30
34.8%
Q2 - 7:56HornetsBrandon Miller turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)35
69.4%
30
30.6%
Q2 - 7:56HornetsBrandon Miller misses technical free throw 1 of 135
65.2%
30
34.8%
Q2 - 7:56Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)35
63.4%
30
36.6%
Q2 - 8:05HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving layup35
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 8:19HornetsVasilije Micic makes two point driving layup (Cody Martin assists)33
62.9%
30
37.1%
Q2 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
64.9%
28
35.1%
Q2 - 8:50HornetsVasilije Micic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
67.5%
28
32.5%
Q2 - 9:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 233
64.7%
28
35.3%
Q2 - 9:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 232
64.2%
28
35.8%
Q2 - 9:04HornetsCody Martin shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)31
63.5%
28
36.5%
Q2 - 9:09HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound31
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q2 - 9:12HornetsVasilije Micic misses two point pullup jump shot31
61.8%
28
38.2%
Q2 - 9:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup31
60.0%
28
40.0%
Q2 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound29
57.7%
28
42.3%
Q2 - 9:35HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot29
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 9:44HornetsBrandon Miller defensive rebound29
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot29
56.0%
28
44.0%
Q2 - 9:57HornetsTaj Gibson personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)29
57.8%
28
42.2%
Q2 - 9:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound29
57.8%
28
42.2%
Q2 - 10:01HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot29
57.2%
28
42.8%
Q2 - 10:08HeatAlec Burks personal foul (Cody Martin draws the foul)29
55.4%
28
44.6%
Q2 - 10:09HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Taj Gibson steals)29
55.4%
28
44.6%
Q2 - 10:21HornetsVasilije Micic makes two point pullup jump shot29
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q2 - 10:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 129
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 10:40HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)28
59.6%
26
40.4%
Q2 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound26
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 10:51HornetsTaj Gibson misses two point floating jump shot26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q2 - 11:02HornetsTaj Gibson defensive rebound26
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 11:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot26
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 11:16HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound26
55.4%
26
44.6%
Q2 - 11:18HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point pullup jump shot26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q2 - 11:27HornetsVasilije Micic defensive rebound26
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 11:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup26
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 11:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound26
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 11:38HornetsCody Martin misses two point stepback jump shot26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound26
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q1 - 0:05.2HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)26
52.9%
26
47.1%
Q1 - 0:05.2HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound26
55.2%
26
44.8%
Q1 - 0:06.2HeatSeth Curry blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving floating jump shot26
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q1 - 0:30.7HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound26
55.2%
26
44.8%
Q1 - 0:32.3HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot26
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q1 - 0:45.6HeatPelle Larsson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)26
52.9%
26
47.1%
Q1 - 1:05HornetsSeth Curry makes three point jump shot (Moussa Diabate assists)24
50.7%
26
49.3%
Q1 - 1:08HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound24
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q1 - 1:13HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot24
56.9%
23
43.1%
Q1 - 1:22HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound24
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q1 - 1:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot24
56.0%
23
44.0%
Q1 - 1:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound24
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q1 - 1:44HornetsKel'el Ware blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving floating jump shot24
56.9%
23
43.1%
Q1 - 2:01HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 224
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q1 - 2:01HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 223
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 2:01HornetsMoussa Diabate shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)23
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q1 - 2:23HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound23
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q1 - 2:24HornetsCody Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot23
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 2:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 223
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 2:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 222
52.5%
23
47.5%
Q1 - 2:41HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)21
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 2:59HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point stepback jump shot21
51.1%
23
48.9%
Q1 - 3:15HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)21
54.9%
20
45.1%
Q1 - 3:15HeatHeat offensive rebound21
57.5%
20
42.5%
Q1 - 3:17HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot21
55.7%
20
44.3%
Q1 - 3:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 3:43HornetsCody Martin misses three point jump shot21
56.8%
20
43.2%
Q1 - 4:01HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)21
54.9%
20
45.1%
Q1 - 4:27HornetsJosh Green makes two point floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)19
53.3%
20
46.7%
Q1 - 4:30HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound19
54.9%
18
45.1%
Q1 - 4:32HornetsMoussa Diabate misses two point floating jump shot19
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q1 - 4:33HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound19
54.9%
18
45.1%
Q1 - 4:34HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks LaMelo Ball's three point stepback jump shot19
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q1 - 4:54HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
54.8%
18
45.2%
Q1 - 4:57HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot19
57.0%
18
43.0%
Q1 - 5:06HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)19
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 5:08HornetsJosh Green offensive rebound19
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 5:10HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot19
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 5:19HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound19
58.5%
16
41.5%
Q1 - 5:21HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot19
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 5:37HornetsTidjane Salaun makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)19
60.2%
16
39.8%
Q1 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)19
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 6:04HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running pullup jump shot17
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 6:13HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound17
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 6:15HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot17
64.9%
10
35.1%
Q1 - 6:23HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point jump shot (Josh Green assists)17
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 6:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)17
66.9%
8
33.1%
Q1 - 6:57HornetsBrandon Miller makes three point pullup jump shot14
64.0%
8
36.0%
Q1 - 7:10HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound14
66.2%
5
33.8%
Q1 - 7:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot14
66.7%
5
33.3%
Q1 - 7:26HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)14
67.4%
5
32.6%
Q1 - 7:41HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)14
65.6%
5
34.4%
Q1 - 7:50HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point driving dunk (Brandon Miller assists)14
66.8%
5
33.2%
Q1 - 7:56HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)14
67.6%
3
32.4%
Q1 - 8:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup14
67.0%
3
33.0%
Q1 - 8:26HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (traveling)12
65.7%
3
34.3%
Q1 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)12
64.0%
3
36.0%
Q1 - 8:51HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
62.8%
3
37.2%
Q1 - 9:04HornetsTaj Gibson turnover (offensive goaltending)10
62.1%
3
37.9%
Q1 - 9:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
60.4%
3
39.6%
Q1 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
58.4%
3
41.6%
Q1 - 9:35HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot7
58.1%
3
41.9%
Q1 - 9:40HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound7
57.2%
3
42.8%
Q1 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot7
57.5%
3
42.5%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 9:57HornetsBrandon Miller misses two point pullup jump shot7
57.6%
3
42.4%
Q1 - 10:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup7
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 10:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
55.6%
3
44.4%
Q1 - 10:25HornetsTidjane Salaun misses three point jump shot5
55.3%
3
44.7%
Q1 - 10:39HornetsTaj Gibson defensive rebound5
54.5%
3
45.5%
Q1 - 10:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot5
54.7%
3
45.3%
Q1 - 10:53HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)5
54.9%
3
45.1%
Q1 - 11:02HornetsTaj Gibson offensive rebound5
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:05HornetsJosh Green misses two point driving layup5
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 11:24HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
54.1%
0
45.9%
Q1 - 11:27HornetsBrandon Miller misses three point jump shot2
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 32
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 31
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 30
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:39HornetsBrandon Miller shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)0
53.6%
0
46.4%
Q1 - 11:41HeatHeat offensive rebound0
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 11:42HeatBrandon Miller blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving floating jump shot0
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Taj Gibson (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
53.1%
0
46.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
CHA
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
24
67%
CHA
10
20
50%
Midrange
MIA
3
12
25%
CHA
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
CHA
17
25.5
51
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
CHA
3
8
38%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2759%13.5 / 23
D. Robinson2285%11.0 / 13
J. Jaquez1146%5.5 / 12
B. Adebayo844%4.0 / 9
T. Rozier744%3.5 / 8
J. Butler6150%3.0 / 2
P. Larsson660%3.0 / 5
H. Highsmith536%2.5 / 7
K. Ware467%2.0 / 3
A. Burks2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Ball3243%16.0 / 37
B. Miller2155%10.5 / 19
T. Salaün1771%8.5 / 12
J. Green643%3.0 / 7
V. Micić638%3.0 / 8
C. Martin418%2.0 / 11
N. Smith375%1.5 / 2
S. Curry375%1.5 / 2
T. Gibson250%1.0 / 2
M. Diabaté0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+13
-18
88
CHA
81
+23
-13
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
CHA
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
106.7
MIA 105.4 +5.4
CHA 100.0
Pace
97.2
98.2
MIA 91.9
CHA 95.0 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.9
MIA 15.7
CHA 15.2 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
50.3%
MIA 54.8% +8.4%
CHA 46.4%
TO %
12.8%
15.1%
MIA 21.0%
CHA 11.4% +9.6%
ORB %
22.3%
26.5%
MIA 12.9%
CHA 28.6% +15.7%
FTrt
23.2
22.2
MIA 30.1 +21.9
CHA 8.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.5%
MIA 63.6% +4.1%
CHA 59.5%
STL %
8.3%
7.5%
MIA 6.5%
CHA 10.6% +4.1%
BLK %
7.6%
9.2%
MIA 10.6%
CHA 13.9% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
52.5%
MIA 55.7% +10.5%
CHA 45.2%
Rim FG%
62.5%
59.7%
MIA 66.7% +16.7%
CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%
44.4%
38.5%
MIA 25.0%
CHA 37.0% +12.0%
3P %
36.7%
33.9%
MIA 37.8% +4.5%
CHA 33.3%
FT %
79.1%
78.3%
MIA 81.8% +44.3%
CHA 37.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
30.7%
MIA 32.9% +12.5%
CHA 20.4%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
26.3%
MIA 16.4% +11.1%
CHA 27.6%
3P Att. %
42.9%
43.0%
MIA 50.7%
CHA 52.0% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points9894
Rebounds4443
Assists2122
Steals610
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)18 (4)13 (0)
Fouls919
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (9)16 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals33-7337-98
At-the-Rim FG16-2410-20
Midrange FG3-1210-27
2-Point FG19-3620-47
3-Point FG14-3717-51
Free Throws18-223-8
Fast Break Pts128
2nd Chance Pts927
Points in Paint3430
Pts off Turnovers1323
Bench Points3016
Biggest Lead202

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
38.0
27
59%
8
5
1
0
6
2
0
8
1-2
50%
7-10
70%
4-12
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.0
8
44%
10
10
2
0
3
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 31
32.9
22
85%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
6-9
67%
#24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 28
30.1
5
36%
2
1
1
4
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
25.0
6
150%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
24.8
7
44%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
20.5
11
46%
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
14.7
6
60%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
12.0
4
67%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
6.0
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
44
21
6
5
18
9
4
40
18-22
82%
19-36
53%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.