FinalWin Prob.pScore
1446%112
110
1354%113
119
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.39396.7
IND logo IND
125.39593.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:09.1PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.7PacersMyles Turner makes two point dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.3PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound110
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.5HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Duncan Robinson's two point pullup jump shot110
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 0:33.7HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound110
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 0:37.3HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot110
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.1PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup110
1.3%
117
98.7%
Q4 - 0:50.3HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
2.9%
115
97.1%
Q4 - 0:50.3HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
2.7%
115
97.3%
Q4 - 0:50.3PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)108
2.5%
115
97.5%
Q4 - 0:52.7PacersMyles Turner makes three point stepback jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)108
1.8%
115
98.2%
Q4 - 1:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot108
7.1%
112
92.9%
Q4 - 1:22PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)105
3.2%
112
96.8%
Q4 - 1:45HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot105
6.2%
110
93.8%
Q4 - 1:50PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving floating bank jump shot102
2.9%
110
97.1%
Q4 - 2:02PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound102
3.6%
108
96.4%
Q4 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup102
4.3%
108
95.7%
Q4 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound102
6.4%
108
93.6%
Q4 - 2:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup102
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 2:26PacersMyles Turner turnover (out of bounds step)102
6.2%
108
93.8%
Q4 - 2:30PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound102
3.4%
108
96.6%
Q4 - 2:30PacersMyles Turner misses two point tip layup102
5.2%
108
94.8%
Q4 - 2:30PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound102
3.4%
108
96.6%
Q4 - 2:34PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot102
5.1%
108
94.9%
Q4 - 2:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
3.3%
108
96.7%
Q4 - 2:50HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
3.0%
108
97.0%
Q4 - 2:50PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
4.4%
108
95.6%
Q4 - 2:58PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)101
5.5%
108
94.5%
Q4 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)101
10.6%
105
89.4%
Q4 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 299
11.8%
105
88.2%
Q4 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 299
12.4%
104
87.6%
Q4 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)99
13.1%
103
86.9%
Q4 - 3:50HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)99
15.0%
103
85.0%
Q4 - 3:50PacersPacers defensive rebound99
15.0%
103
85.0%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot99
16.6%
103
83.4%
Q4 - 4:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
20.6%
103
79.4%
Q4 - 4:12PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot99
18.6%
103
81.4%
Q4 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 299
14.7%
103
85.3%
Q4 - 4:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 298
14.2%
103
85.8%
Q4 - 4:22PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)97
13.6%
103
86.4%
Q4 - 4:38PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point running jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)97
11.0%
103
89.0%
Q4 - 4:43PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound97
19.7%
100
80.3%
Q4 - 4:46HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot97
21.7%
100
78.3%
Q4 - 5:10PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)97
29.2%
100
70.8%
Q4 - 5:11PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound97
42.9%
97
57.1%
Q4 - 5:15PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot97
49.0%
97
51.0%
Q4 - 5:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot97
42.9%
97
57.1%
Q4 - 5:54HeatHeat defensive rebound94
29.1%
97
70.9%
Q4 - 5:56PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating jump shot94
26.9%
97
73.1%
Q4 - 6:20HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 294
24.5%
97
75.5%
Q4 - 6:20HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 293
23.9%
97
76.1%
Q4 - 6:20PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)92
23.2%
97
76.8%
Q4 - 6:20HeatHeat defensive rebound92
20.5%
97
79.5%
Q4 - 6:22PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot92
18.8%
97
81.2%
Q4 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)92
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 7:05PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving finger roll layup92
22.4%
97
77.6%
Q4 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)92
25.9%
95
74.1%
Q4 - 7:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 289
18.1%
95
81.9%
Q4 - 7:42PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 289
18.6%
94
81.4%
Q4 - 7:42HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)89
19.2%
93
80.8%
Q4 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 289
22.7%
93
77.3%
Q4 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 288
22.3%
93
77.7%
Q4 - 8:05PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
21.7%
93
78.3%
Q4 - 8:22PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 287
19.1%
93
80.9%
Q4 - 8:22PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 287
19.9%
92
80.1%
Q4 - 8:22HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)87
20.9%
91
79.1%
Q4 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)87
22.6%
91
77.4%
Q4 - 8:49PacersObi Toppin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)84
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q4 - 8:53PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound84
18.6%
89
81.4%
Q4 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot84
19.9%
89
80.1%
Q4 - 9:13PacersPascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)84
24.2%
89
75.8%
Q4 - 9:13PacersPascal Siakam offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)84
19.7%
89
80.3%
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 384
19.7%
89
80.3%
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 383
19.3%
89
80.7%
Q4 - 9:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 382
18.9%
89
81.1%
Q4 - 9:29PacersQuenton Jackson shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)81
18.5%
89
81.5%
Q4 - 9:38HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound81
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q4 - 9:40PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup81
12.9%
89
87.1%
Q4 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot81
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 10:09PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)78
8.6%
89
91.4%
Q4 - 10:36HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)78
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 10:50PacersQuenton Jackson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)75
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 10:53PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)75
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 11:14PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Obi Toppin assists)75
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q4 - 11:32PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound75
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q4 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q3 - 0:01.8PacersJarace Walker turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)75
12.3%
85
87.7%
Q3 - 0:22.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 0:36.3PacersMyles Turner makes two point putback layup72
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 0:36.8PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound72
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:39.5PacersObi Toppin misses three point running jump shot72
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q3 - 0:44.7PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound72
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:47.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot72
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 0:56.6HeatHeat offensive rebound72
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 0:56.8HeatJarace Walker blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup72
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 1:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q3 - 1:04PacersJarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 272
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q3 - 1:04PacersJarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 272
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q3 - 1:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jarace Walker draws the foul)72
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q3 - 1:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup72
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q3 - 1:37PacersObi Toppin makes two point cutting layup (Myles Turner assists)70
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q3 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)70
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q3 - 1:59PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)67
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 2:10PacersT.J. McConnell offensive rebound67
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q3 - 2:12PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot67
11.9%
78
88.1%
Q3 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)67
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q3 - 2:45PacersJarace Walker turnover (out of bounds step)65
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 3:07HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)65
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 3:17PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 262
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 3:17PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 262
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 3:17HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)62
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q3 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)62
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 3:50PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving layup60
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 4:00PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound60
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot60
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 4:18PacersJarace Walker makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)60
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q3 - 4:27PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound60
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 4:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot60
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 4:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound60
14.1%
71
85.9%
Q3 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot60
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 4:48HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound60
14.1%
71
85.9%
Q3 - 4:51PacersJarace Walker misses three point jump shot60
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 160
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 4:57PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 5:06PacersObi Toppin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)56
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 5:08PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound56
7.4%
71
92.6%
Q3 - 5:12HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot56
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 5:30PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 256
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 5:30PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 256
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 5:30HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)56
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 5:40PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound56
9.7%
69
90.3%
Q3 - 5:43HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot56
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 5:59PacersPascal Siakam makes two point layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)56
11.3%
69
88.7%
Q3 - 6:10PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound56
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q3 - 6:38PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot56
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 6:58PacersPacers defensive rebound56
13.5%
67
86.5%
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot56
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 7:20PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)56
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 7:27PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound56
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 7:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot56
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q3 - 7:58PacersMyles Turner makes two point reverse layup (Pascal Siakam assists)56
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 8:11HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot56
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 8:18HeatKevin Love defensive rebound54
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 8:20PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point jump shot54
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 8:26HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 8:26HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound54
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 8:27HeatMyles Turner blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup54
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 8:32PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup54
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 8:32PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound54
25.7%
60
74.3%
Q3 - 8:38PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running jump shot54
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q3 - 8:42PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound54
25.7%
60
74.3%
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup54
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 8:45HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup54
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 8:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 8:54HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot54
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 9:00PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)54
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 9:24PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)54
29.5%
60
70.5%
Q3 - 9:27HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)54
34.7%
57
65.3%
Q3 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 154
34.7%
57
65.3%
Q3 - 9:49PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)53
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q3 - 10:09PacersMyles Turner makes two point running finger roll layup51
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 10:13PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound51
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q3 - 10:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot51
33.2%
55
66.8%
Q3 - 10:38PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 151
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 10:38HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)51
36.4%
54
63.6%
Q3 - 10:49HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup51
41.2%
52
58.8%
Q3 - 10:54HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound49
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 10:56PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot49
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q3 - 11:07PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound49
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q3 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot49
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q3 - 11:34HeatKevin Love defensive rebound49
38.6%
52
61.4%
Q3 - 11:38PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot49
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q2 - 0:00.6PacersPacers offensive rebound49
36.0%
52
64.0%
Q2 - 0:00.6PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot49
37.9%
52
62.1%
Q2 - 0:02.7HeatBam Adebayo turnover (discontinue dribble)49
35.9%
52
64.1%
Q2 - 0:04.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q2 - 0:07.5PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot49
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q2 - 0:29.7HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)49
35.9%
52
64.1%
Q2 - 0:42.6HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
30.3%
52
69.7%
Q2 - 0:45.9PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound46
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q2 - 0:54.3PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot46
29.5%
52
70.5%
Q2 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q2 - 1:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q2 - 1:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
24.4%
52
75.6%
Q2 - 1:48PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)44
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q2 - 1:48PacersPacers offensive rebound44
23.8%
52
76.2%
Q2 - 1:49PacersBennedict Mathurin misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot44
25.2%
52
74.8%
Q2 - 2:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)44
24.1%
52
75.9%
Q2 - 2:21PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)42
22.3%
52
77.7%
Q2 - 2:30PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound42
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 2:33HeatBen Sheppard blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup42
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q2 - 2:50PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running layup42
22.3%
52
77.7%
Q2 - 2:55HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)42
24.1%
50
75.9%
Q2 - 3:10PacersTyrese Haliburton makes technical free throw 1 of 142
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 3:10HeatDuncan Robinson technical foul42
27.9%
49
72.1%
Q2 - 3:15PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup42
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q2 - 3:17HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)42
31.5%
47
68.5%
Q2 - 3:37PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running finger roll layup42
34.5%
47
65.5%
Q2 - 3:41PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound42
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 3:41HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup42
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 3:41HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound42
39.8%
45
60.2%
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot42
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound42
39.8%
45
60.2%
Q2 - 3:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot42
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 3:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
39.8%
45
60.2%
Q2 - 3:55PacersPascal Siakam misses two point layup42
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier makes two point putback layup42
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 4:07HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound40
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 4:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot40
32.8%
45
67.2%
Q2 - 4:12HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound40
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 4:15HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving finger roll layup40
32.8%
45
67.2%
Q2 - 4:33PacersObi Toppin makes two point layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)40
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)40
36.9%
43
63.1%
Q2 - 5:05HeatHeat defensive rebound38
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 5:07PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot38
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q2 - 5:23PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound38
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 5:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot38
32.9%
43
67.1%
Q2 - 5:39PacersPascal Siakam makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)38
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 5:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)38
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 6:05HeatHeat defensive rebound35
32.9%
41
67.1%
Q2 - 6:07PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point fadeaway bank jump shot35
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 6:29HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 235
30.1%
41
69.9%
Q2 - 6:29HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 234
29.8%
41
70.2%
Q2 - 6:29PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)33
29.5%
41
70.5%
Q2 - 6:37HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound33
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 6:38PacersJarace Walker misses two point tip layup33
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 6:38PacersJarace Walker offensive rebound33
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 6:41PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot33
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 6:47PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound33
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 6:50HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot33
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 6:53HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 6:59PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot33
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 7:15HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)33
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 7:20HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound30
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 7:23PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot30
22.1%
41
77.9%
Q2 - 7:36PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound30
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup30
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 7:52PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot30
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 8:05PacersQuenton Jackson defensive rebound30
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup30
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound30
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 8:08HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup30
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)30
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 8:31PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound30
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 8:35HeatJosh Richardson misses two point driving layup30
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q2 - 8:45PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 130
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)30
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 8:47PacersJarace Walker misses technical free throw 1 of 130
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 8:47Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)30
38.0%
32
62.0%
Q2 - 9:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot30
39.9%
32
60.1%
Q2 - 9:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point running dunk (Jarace Walker assists)28
37.7%
32
62.3%
Q2 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jarace Walker steals)28
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 9:32HeatHeat defensive rebound28
42.4%
30
57.6%
Q2 - 9:33PacersJarace Walker misses two point driving layup28
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 9:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving reverse layup28
39.9%
30
60.1%
Q2 - 10:13PacersBen Sheppard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 10:23HeatJosh Richardson makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)26
35.6%
30
64.4%
Q2 - 10:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound23
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 10:29PacersJarace Walker misses three point stepback jump shot23
30.7%
30
69.3%
Q2 - 10:51HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)23
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 10:51HeatHeat offensive rebound23
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 10:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
29.8%
30
70.2%
Q2 - 11:16PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)23
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 11:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)23
33.6%
28
66.4%
Q2 - 11:42PacersJarace Walker turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)20
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
27.6%
28
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersPacers offensive rebound20
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:00.7PacersJosh Richardson blocks T.J. McConnell's two point fadeaway jump shot20
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q1 - 0:08.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)20
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0PacersPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)20
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q1 - 0:29.2PacersJarace Walker defensive rebound20
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q1 - 0:31.5HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot20
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)20
29.6%
28
70.4%
Q1 - 0:58.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot20
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q1 - 1:11PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 1:23HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)17
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 1:40PacersPascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 1:51PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound15
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 2:15PacersPascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 2:28PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound15
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 2:31HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot15
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q1 - 2:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound15
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 2:48PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 2:58HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)15
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 3:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)15
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 3:22HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound15
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 3:22PacersObi Toppin misses two point tip layup15
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:22PacersObi Toppin offensive rebound15
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 3:25PacersObi Toppin misses two point layup15
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:34PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound15
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q1 - 3:35HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot15
32.8%
21
67.2%
Q1 - 3:58PacersJarace Walker makes two point cutting dunk (Obi Toppin assists)15
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 4:16HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot15
37.3%
19
62.7%
Q1 - 4:29PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 213
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 4:29PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 213
36.1%
18
63.9%
Q1 - 4:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)13
36.5%
17
63.5%
Q1 - 4:43PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound13
37.4%
17
62.6%
Q1 - 4:45HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot13
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 4:54PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)13
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 5:19PacersObi Toppin makes two point running dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)13
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 5:23PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound13
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 5:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup13
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 5:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound13
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 5:34PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving finger roll layup13
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:37PacersTyrese Haliburton offensive rebound13
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 5:41PacersBen Sheppard misses two point running jump shot13
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Obi Toppin steals)13
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 6:04HeatKevin Love defensive rebound13
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 6:09PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot13
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 6:18HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 6:40PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot10
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 6:53HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 6:58HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 7:01PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot7
37.3%
13
62.7%
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 26
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 7:17PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 7:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 7:19HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot5
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 7:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
35.4%
13
64.6%
Q1 - 7:32PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot5
35.0%
13
65.0%
Q1 - 7:46PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound5
34.3%
13
65.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot5
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 7:56PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 25
35.9%
13
64.1%
Q1 - 7:56PacersBennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 25
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 7:56HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)5
36.3%
11
63.7%
Q1 - 8:07PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound5
37.5%
11
62.5%
Q1 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 8:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 8:26PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround hook shot5
38.8%
11
61.2%
Q1 - 8:34PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound5
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 8:38HeatMyles Turner blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point cutting layup5
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 8:51HeatHeat defensive rebound5
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 8:52PacersBen Sheppard misses two point driving floating jump shot5
39.3%
11
60.7%
Q1 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)5
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 9:12PacersBen Sheppard makes three point running jump shot (Bennedict Mathurin assists)3
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 9:15HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)3
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound3
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 9:31PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving floating bank jump shot3
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 9:50HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 13
41.1%
8
58.9%
Q1 - 9:50PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)2
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 9:51HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound0
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 9:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot0
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 10:19PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)0
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 10:29PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 10:32HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 10:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup0
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 11:02PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)0
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 11:19PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 11:24HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:35PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)0
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:45PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:48HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Kevin Love gains possession)0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
25
40%
IND
23
30
77%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
IND
8
26
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
19
28.5
43
44%
66%
IND
13
19.5
29
45%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
19
20
95%
IND
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2870%14.0 / 20
B. Adebayo2460%12.0 / 20
D. Robinson2091%10.0 / 11
N. Jović1458%7.0 / 12
T. Rozier938%4.5 / 12
K. Love867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson550%2.5 / 5
J. Jaquez217%1.0 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner3474%17.0 / 23
P. Siakam2388%11.5 / 13
B. Mathurin2175%10.5 / 14
T. Haliburton1653%8.0 / 15
T. McConnell850%4.0 / 8
O. Toppin850%4.0 / 8
J. Walker638%3.0 / 8
B. Sheppard330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+17
-10
100
IND
85
+13
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.0%
IND
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
115.3
MIA 118.3
IND 125.3 +7.0
Pace
97.2
100.9
MIA 96.7 +2.7
IND 93.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.0
MIA 14.9 +0.4
IND 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
56.2%
MIA 50.6%
IND 59.4% +8.8%
TO %
12.8%
12.0%
MIA 10.0% +0.5%
IND 10.5%
ORB %
22.3%
21.3%
MIA 30.0%
IND 30.3% +0.3%
FTrt
23.2
24.1
MIA 22.2
IND 23.5 +1.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
67.1%
MIA 58.3%
IND 68.2% +9.9%
STL %
8.3%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
IND 6.3% +2.0%
BLK %
7.6%
10.2%
MIA 1.8%
IND 12.8% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.6%
MIA 55.0%
IND 60.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
62.5%
66.7%
MIA 40.0%
IND 76.7% +36.7%
Mid FG%
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 31.8% +1.0%
IND 30.8%
3P %
36.7%
36.8%
MIA 44.2%
IND 44.8% +0.6%
FT %
79.1%
78.9%
MIA 95.0% +5.0%
IND 90.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
31.4%
MIA 27.8%
IND 35.3% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
28.6%
MIA 24.4% +6.1%
IND 30.6%
3P Att. %
42.9%
40.0%
MIA 47.8% +13.7%
IND 34.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.124.3
Points110119
Rebounds3845
Assists2130
Steals46
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)10 (1)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (6)35 (2)
Field Goals36-9044-85
At-the-Rim FG10-2523-30
Midrange FG7-228-26
2-Point FG17-4731-56
3-Point FG19-4313-29
Free Throws19-2018-20
Fast Break Pts1618
2nd Chance Pts99
Points in Paint2862
Pts off Turnovers189
Bench Points4122
Biggest Lead016

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
39.7
24
60%
8
2
0
0
2
1
6
2
4-5
80%
7-14
50%
2-4
50%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
37.8
28
70%
4
4
1
0
1
1
0
4
5-5
100%
1-7
14%
7-11
64%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
27.3
9
38%
4
1
0
0
0
2
4
0
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-5
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
21.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
11.7
8
67%
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
31.1
20
91%
4
4
0
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
31.0
14
58%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
24.2
5
50%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
15.4
2
17%
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
38
21
4
1
10
13
15
23
19-20
95%
17-47
36%
19-43
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.