for complete access.
All Games Friday, November 8, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Heat
37%112
122
12
Nuggets
63%116
135
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.4103107.2
DEN logo DEN
131.110399.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.122
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:03.4NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)122
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:27.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)122
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.4NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)120
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.2HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)120
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point driving finger roll layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)120
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)120
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20HeatChristian Braun blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup118
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)118
0.2%
131
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)118
0.6%
128
99.4%
Q4 - 1:56NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
0.2%
128
99.8%
Q4 - 1:56NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
0.3%
127
99.7%
Q4 - 1:56HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)115
0.3%
126
99.7%
Q4 - 2:13NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound115
0.3%
126
99.7%
Q4 - 2:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot115
0.3%
126
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
0.5%
126
99.5%
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
0.5%
125
99.5%
Q4 - 2:31HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)115
0.6%
124
99.4%
Q4 - 2:31NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound115
0.7%
124
99.3%
Q4 - 2:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot115
0.9%
124
99.1%
Q4 - 2:51NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)115
2.2%
124
97.8%
Q4 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)115
2.9%
122
97.1%
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk115
2.8%
122
97.2%
Q4 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound113
2.0%
122
98.0%
Q4 - 3:28NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point cutting layup113
1.7%
122
98.3%
Q4 - 3:42NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound113
2.5%
122
97.5%
Q4 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot113
2.8%
122
97.2%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot113
3.5%
122
96.5%
Q4 - 4:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)113
4.7%
120
95.3%
Q4 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound110
2.4%
120
97.6%
Q4 - 4:42NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point driving finger roll layup110
2.1%
120
97.9%
Q4 - 4:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)110
1.6%
120
98.4%
Q4 - 5:04NuggetsHunter Tyson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)108
2.0%
120
98.0%
Q4 - 5:10NuggetsHunter Tyson defensive rebound108
1.4%
120
98.6%
Q4 - 5:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot108
1.5%
120
98.5%
Q4 - 5:21HeatHeat offensive rebound108
1.9%
120
98.1%
Q4 - 5:21HeatRussell Westbrook blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup108
1.5%
120
98.5%
Q4 - 5:24HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound108
1.9%
120
98.1%
Q4 - 5:26HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup108
1.5%
120
98.5%
Q4 - 5:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting layup (Christian Braun assists)108
1.9%
120
98.1%
Q4 - 5:44HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)108
2.5%
118
97.5%
Q4 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)108
3.5%
118
96.5%
Q4 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)105
2.2%
118
97.8%
Q4 - 6:21HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point reverse layup105
1.5%
118
98.5%
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound103
1.2%
118
98.8%
Q4 - 6:40NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point running jump shot103
1.1%
118
98.9%
Q4 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)103
0.9%
118
99.1%
Q4 - 6:58NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point driving layup103
1.2%
118
98.8%
Q4 - 7:15HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 1103
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 7:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)102
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 7:18NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)100
1.3%
116
98.7%
Q4 - 7:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot100
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 7:45NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)97
0.6%
116
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)97
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 7:55HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)97
1.0%
114
99.0%
Q4 - 8:13NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point pullup jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)97
1.3%
114
98.7%
Q4 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)97
2.0%
111
98.0%
Q4 - 8:22NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound97
2.0%
111
98.0%
Q4 - 8:24HeatTerry Rozier misses three point fadeaway jump shot97
2.1%
111
97.9%
Q4 - 8:28HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound97
2.5%
111
97.5%
Q4 - 8:30HeatJulian Strawther blocks Josh Richardson's two point pullup jump shot97
2.1%
111
97.9%
Q4 - 8:38HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound97
2.5%
111
97.5%
Q4 - 8:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot97
2.3%
111
97.7%
Q4 - 8:50HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)97
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 9:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)97
2.3%
111
97.7%
Q4 - 9:12NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)94
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 9:32HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)94
2.3%
108
97.7%
Q4 - 9:42NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)92
1.9%
108
98.1%
Q4 - 9:58HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 292
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 9:58HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 291
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 9:58NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)90
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 10:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)90
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 10:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound90
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 10:12HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup90
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 10:36NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Russell Westbrook assists)90
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 11:22NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot90
2.7%
106
97.3%
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound90
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot90
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.90
4.0%
104
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound90
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q3 - 0:00.2NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point floating jump shot90
4.4%
104
95.6%
Q3 - 0:01.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup90
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q3 - 0:07.5NuggetsRussell Westbrook personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q3 - 0:12.5NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)88
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q3 - 0:33.4NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound88
3.8%
102
96.2%
Q3 - 0:33.4HeatJosh Richardson misses two point pullup jump shot88
4.0%
102
96.0%
Q3 - 0:44.1NuggetsHunter Tyson makes two point reverse layup (Russell Westbrook assists)88
4.6%
102
95.4%
Q3 - 0:52.5HeatNikola Jovic turnover (traveling)88
5.5%
100
94.5%
Q3 - 1:08NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)88
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q3 - 1:08NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)88
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q3 - 1:18HeatJosh Richardson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q3 - 1:18NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)88
7.3%
100
92.7%
Q3 - 1:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup88
6.1%
100
93.9%
Q3 - 1:37NuggetsHunter Tyson makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)86
5.2%
100
94.8%
Q3 - 1:58HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)86
6.1%
98
93.9%
Q3 - 2:17NuggetsHunter Tyson makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)83
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q3 - 2:30HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)83
6.8%
95
93.2%
Q3 - 2:34NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)80
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q3 - 2:45NuggetsHunter Tyson offensive rebound80
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q3 - 2:49NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot80
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q3 - 3:02NuggetsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound80
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q3 - 3:05HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot80
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q3 - 3:13HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound80
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q3 - 3:16NuggetsJulian Strawther misses two point driving floating jump shot80
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q3 - 3:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point dunk (Josh Richardson assists)80
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q3 - 3:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)78
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q3 - 3:54HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)78
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q3 - 4:04HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)78
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q3 - 4:20NuggetsJulian Strawther turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q3 - 4:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)75
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q3 - 4:51HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound73
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 4:51NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot73
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound73
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q3 - 4:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot73
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 5:04NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound73
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot73
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 5:22NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running layup73
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q3 - 5:28NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound73
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q3 - 5:33HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot73
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q3 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound73
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q3 - 5:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup73
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q3 - 6:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q3 - 6:04NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot73
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q3 - 6:08NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound73
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q3 - 6:09HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup73
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q3 - 6:10HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound73
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q3 - 6:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot73
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q3 - 6:31HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound73
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q3 - 6:33NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q3 - 7:00HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)73
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q3 - 7:05NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)70
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q3 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot70
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q3 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound67
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q3 - 7:26NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point jump shot67
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 7:29NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive rebound67
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 7:30NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup67
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 8:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup65
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 8:01NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound65
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q3 - 8:07NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot65
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q3 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)65
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q3 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)65
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q3 - 8:31NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)65
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 265
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 264
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 8:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)64
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound64
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q3 - 8:46HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround jump shot64
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 8:50HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound64
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q3 - 8:52HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup64
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 9:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 164
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q3 - 9:01HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)64
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q3 - 9:11NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 9:11HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot64
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q3 - 9:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot64
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 9:30NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound64
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q3 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot64
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q3 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 9:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot64
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q3 - 10:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)62
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q3 - 10:24HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)62
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 10:42NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 260
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q3 - 10:42NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 260
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 10:42HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)60
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 10:48NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound60
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)60
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 11:22HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)60
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 11:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)60
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatHeat offensive rebound60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot60
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q2 - 0:03.2NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q2 - 0:07.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)60
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q2 - 0:07.6HeatHeat offensive rebound60
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q2 - 0:08.1HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot60
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q2 - 0:32.8NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)60
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q2 - 0:43.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 260
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q2 - 0:43.7HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 259
22.4%
65
77.6%
Q2 - 0:43.7NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q2 - 0:55.5NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q2 - 1:01NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound58
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q2 - 1:03HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot58
19.8%
65
80.2%
Q2 - 1:18NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)58
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q2 - 1:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)58
25.5%
62
74.5%
Q2 - 1:45NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)55
21.0%
62
79.0%
Q2 - 1:53HeatTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot55
19.2%
62
80.8%
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 252
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q2 - 2:04NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 252
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q2 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)52
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q2 - 2:17NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound52
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q2 - 2:18HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running layup52
18.2%
60
81.8%
Q2 - 2:23NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)52
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q2 - 2:31NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound52
17.5%
60
82.5%
Q2 - 2:31HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Tyler Herro's two point layup52
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q2 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
19.6%
60
80.4%
Q2 - 2:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot52
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q2 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)52
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q2 - 3:06HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q2 - 3:10NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot50
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q2 - 3:13HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)50
14.8%
60
85.2%
Q2 - 3:41NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q2 - 3:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound50
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q2 - 3:51HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot50
18.5%
58
81.5%
Q2 - 4:05NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)50
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q2 - 4:13NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound50
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q2 - 4:14HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup50
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q2 - 4:14HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound50
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup50
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q2 - 4:22NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)50
26.1%
55
73.9%
Q2 - 4:38HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)50
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 247
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 247
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 4:53HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)47
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q2 - 5:07HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 247
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 5:07HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 246
21.3%
53
78.7%
Q2 - 5:07NuggetsPeyton Watson shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)45
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q2 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
20.4%
53
79.6%
Q2 - 5:17NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot45
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q2 - 5:30NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound45
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q2 - 5:32HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 245
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q2 - 5:32HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 245
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 5:32NuggetsRussell Westbrook shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)45
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 5:46NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)45
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 5:58HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)45
23.6%
50
76.4%
Q2 - 6:12NuggetsPeyton Watson personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)45
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 6:26NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)45
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 6:32NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound45
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 6:34HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot45
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 6:46NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point putback layup45
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 6:46NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound45
32.2%
46
67.8%
Q2 - 6:49NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot45
34.2%
46
65.8%
Q2 - 7:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)45
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 7:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)42
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q2 - 7:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot42
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 7:38NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 7:50NuggetsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound39
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
28.7%
42
71.3%
Q2 - 8:09NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Russell Westbrook assists)39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 8:23HeatJosh Richardson makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)39
32.2%
40
67.8%
Q2 - 8:32HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound37
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 8:34NuggetsThomas Bryant blocks Peyton Watson's two point reverse layup37
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 8:54HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
28.0%
40
72.0%
Q2 - 9:00NuggetsJulian Strawther turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)34
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 9:21HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 9:26HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 9:28NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses three point pullup jump shot31
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 9:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound31
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 9:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot31
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 9:50NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point running layup31
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 9:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound31
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot31
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 10:10NuggetsHunter Tyson personal foul (Loose ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)31
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 10:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (lost ball)31
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 10:19NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound31
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup31
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 10:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound31
19.5%
40
80.5%
Q2 - 10:35NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot31
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)31
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 11:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point pullup jump shot29
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 229
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 228
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 11:23NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)27
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 11:29NuggetsHunter Tyson personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)27
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 11:29HeatHeat offensive rebound27
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 11:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 11:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 11:43NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot27
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 11:54HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)27
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q1 - 0:03.8HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q1 - 0:12.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 224
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q1 - 0:12.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 224
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q1 - 0:12.8HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)24
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q1 - 0:31.1NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound24
12.3%
38
87.7%
Q1 - 0:32.5HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot24
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point stepback jump shot24
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q1 - 0:54.6HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)24
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q1 - 1:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running layup (Russell Westbrook assists)21
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q1 - 1:15NuggetsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound21
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 1:18HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot21
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 1:28NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q1 - 1:38NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound21
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q1 - 1:42HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot21
15.0%
33
85.0%
Q1 - 1:56NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 221
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q1 - 1:56NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 221
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q1 - 1:56HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)21
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 1:58NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound21
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 2:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot21
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q1 - 2:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 2:16NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point pullup bank jump shot21
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q1 - 2:35HeatPelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds step)21
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 2:52NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Russell Westbrook assists)21
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q1 - 2:56NuggetsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound21
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q1 - 3:01HeatKel'el Ware misses two point jump shot21
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 3:24NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 221
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 3:24NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 221
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 3:24HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)21
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q1 - 3:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup21
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 3:42HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound19
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 3:46NuggetsJulian Strawther misses two point driving floating jump shot19
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)19
21.9%
27
78.1%
Q1 - 4:27NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)17
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q1 - 4:53HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)17
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 5:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q1 - 5:06NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 5:16HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)14
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 5:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)14
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)12
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q1 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot12
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 6:10NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point floating jump shot10
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 6:11NuggetsPeyton Watson offensive rebound10
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 6:16NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot10
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 6:19NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound10
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot10
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 6:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot10
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 7:00HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup10
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 7:06HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 7:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot8
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 7:25HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
23.8%
17
76.2%
Q1 - 7:50NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 7:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)6
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 8:10NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 8:26HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)6
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 8:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)4
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 8:56HeatNikola Jovic makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 9:05HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound2
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 9:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot2
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 9:22NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot2
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 9:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound2
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 9:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)2
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Peyton Watson steals)2
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 10:19NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)2
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:22NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound2
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 10:25HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:25HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound2
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 10:30HeatPeyton Watson blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving finger roll layup2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:54NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)2
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:54HeatHeat defensive rebound2
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)2
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:26NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:31NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:34HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
37.3%
0
62.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
DEN
1.45 72.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
28
64%
DEN
24
29
83%
Midrange
MIA
8
23
35%
DEN
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
20
30.0
43
47%
70%
DEN
18
27.0
35
51%
77%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
DEN
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2457%12.0 / 21
B. Adebayo2048%10.0 / 21
D. Robinson2083%10.0 / 12
T. Rozier1558%7.5 / 13
H. Highsmith1575%7.5 / 10
N. Jović1169%5.5 / 8
J. Richardson1063%5.0 / 8
P. Larsson583%2.5 / 3
J. Butler250%1.0 / 2
T. Bryant0-0.0 / 1
K. Ware0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3094%15.0 / 16
J. Murray2870%14.0 / 20
M. Porter2170%10.5 / 15
C. Braun2188%10.5 / 12
P. Watson1673%8.0 / 11
H. Tyson7117%3.5 / 3
J. Strawther638%3.0 / 8
R. Westbrook660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
92
+13
-11
105
DEN
86
+7
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 58.1%
DEN
1.45 72.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
118.9
MIA 118.4
DEN 131.1 +12.6
Pace
97.2
100.6
MIA 107.2 +8.1
DEN 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.2
MIA 13.4 +1.1
DEN 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
57.3%
MIA 59.6%
DEN 72.8% +13.2%
TO %
12.8%
13.3%
MIA 12.3% +4.5%
DEN 16.8%
ORB %
22.3%
26.7%
MIA 21.4% +1.4%
DEN 20.0%
FTrt
23.2
25.9
MIA 13.8
DEN 23.5 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
68.3%
MIA 71.7%
DEN 74.0% +2.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
MIA 10.7% +5.8%
DEN 4.9%
BLK %
7.6%
9.0%
MIA 2.2%
DEN 9.8% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
58.8%
MIA 58.1%
DEN 72.6% +14.5%
Rim FG%
62.5%
66.2%
MIA 64.3%
DEN 82.8% +18.5%
Mid FG%
44.4%
45.5%
MIA 34.8%
DEN 47.1% +12.3%
3P %
36.7%
37.6%
MIA 46.5%
DEN 51.4% +4.9%
FT %
79.1%
77.0%
MIA 76.9%
DEN 89.5% +12.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
38.3%
MIA 29.8%
DEN 35.8% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
26.1%
MIA 24.5%
DEN 21.0% +3.5%
3P Att. %
42.9%
35.6%
MIA 45.7% +2.5%
DEN 43.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points122135
Rebounds3339
Assists3337
Steals115
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)17 (1)
Fouls1913
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals46-9450-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2824-29
Midrange FG8-238-17
2-Point FG26-5132-46
3-Point FG20-4318-35
Free Throws10-1317-19
Fast Break Pts2625
2nd Chance Pts56
Points in Paint5058
Pts off Turnovers2923
Bench Points5019
Biggest Lead026

BOXSCORE

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14 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
40.2
24
57%
7
11
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
6-11
55%
4-10
40%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
38.7
20
48%
9
4
2
0
3
3
2
7
5-6
83%
6-13
46%
1-5
20%
Terry Rozier
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
34.8
15
58%
3
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jović
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
20.0
11
69%
4
2
3
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
6.7
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
35.1
15
75%
0
2
0
0
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
21.1
10
63%
2
3
4
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
20.3
20
83%
3
3
1
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
6-10
60%
Pelle Larsson
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
14.0
5
83%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
7.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Kel'el Ware
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
INACTIVE
Josh Christopher
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
58%
33
33
11
1
11
19
9
24
10-13
77%
26-51
51%
20-43
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.