FinalWin Prob.pScore
2334%108
111
1566%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
115.69696.0
MIA logo MIA
126.09696.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:03.6HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound111
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:05.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.4HeatHeat offensive rebound111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.4HeatScottie Barnes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.5RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.7HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.7RaptorsJakob Poeltl personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.4RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.7RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.5HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)109
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.6RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point layup (RJ Barrett assists)109
0.8%
116
99.2%
Q4 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot107
0.6%
116
99.4%
Q4 - 1:23RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 1:23RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
1.2%
114
98.8%
Q4 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)106
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 1:26RaptorsOchai Agbaji defensive rebound106
1.6%
114
98.4%
Q4 - 1:31HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot106
1.5%
114
98.5%
Q4 - 1:54RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes two point reverse layup (Scottie Barnes assists)106
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)104
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 2:24RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter turnover (out of bounds lost ball)104
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 2:32RaptorsOchai Agbaji defensive rebound104
3.3%
111
96.7%
Q4 - 2:35HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot104
2.7%
111
97.3%
Q4 - 2:45RaptorsJakob Poeltl personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)104
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 2:45HeatHeat offensive rebound104
1.8%
111
98.2%
Q4 - 2:45HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot104
2.7%
111
97.3%
Q4 - 2:57RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
2.8%
111
97.2%
Q4 - 2:57RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
2.6%
111
97.4%
Q4 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)102
2.3%
111
97.7%
Q4 - 3:04RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound102
2.0%
111
98.0%
Q4 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 3:20HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound102
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 3:23RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point running pullup jump shot102
1.3%
111
98.7%
Q4 - 3:28RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound102
1.9%
111
98.1%
Q4 - 3:33HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot102
3.2%
111
96.8%
Q4 - 3:57RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes two point cutting finger roll layup (RJ Barrett assists)102
2.3%
111
97.7%
Q4 - 4:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot100
1.6%
111
98.4%
Q4 - 4:27HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound100
3.1%
108
96.9%
Q4 - 4:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot100
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound100
3.1%
108
96.9%
Q4 - 4:50RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot100
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 4:50RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound100
4.5%
108
95.5%
Q4 - 4:53RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter misses two point driving layup100
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 5:03HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)100
6.2%
108
93.8%
Q4 - 5:31RaptorsRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)100
4.3%
108
95.7%
Q4 - 5:38RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound97
2.4%
108
97.6%
Q4 - 5:41HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot97
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 5:57RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point tip layup97
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 5:57RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound95
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 6:01RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point running layup95
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 6:07RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound95
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 6:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot95
1.8%
108
98.2%
Q4 - 6:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 6:21RaptorsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving reverse layup95
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 6:50HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)95
1.9%
108
98.1%
Q4 - 7:11RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)95
4.0%
105
96.0%
Q4 - 7:24RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound92
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 7:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup92
2.3%
105
97.7%
Q4 - 7:32RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point cutting layup (Scottie Barnes assists)92
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 7:39RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound90
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot90
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 8:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound90
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 8:08RaptorsDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot90
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 8:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)90
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 8:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound90
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 8:27RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point floating jump shot90
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 8:47RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound90
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 8:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot90
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 9:03RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 9:20HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)90
2.2%
105
97.8%
Q4 - 9:36RaptorsJonathan Mogbo makes two point cutting dunk (RJ Barrett assists)90
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 9:52HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)88
2.7%
102
97.3%
Q4 - 9:59RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 10:11RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Jonathan Mogbo assists)88
4.8%
99
95.2%
Q4 - 10:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 10:38RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
5.9%
96
94.1%
Q4 - 10:39HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)86
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 10:41RaptorsRJ Barrett offensive rebound86
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 10:45RaptorsJamison Battle misses three point jump shot86
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 11:01RaptorsJamison Battle defensive rebound86
8.0%
96
92.0%
Q4 - 11:06HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot86
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 11:12RaptorsDavion Mitchell personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 11:27RaptorsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jonathan Mogbo assists)86
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 11:43HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)84
5.4%
96
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
5.4%
96
94.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)84
6.0%
96
94.0%
Q3 - 0:05.7RaptorsChris Boucher makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)84
5.0%
96
95.0%
Q3 - 0:24.6RaptorsJonathan Mogbo defensive rebound81
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q3 - 0:29.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot81
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q3 - 0:33.3RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)81
2.8%
96
97.2%
Q3 - 0:41.4RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound81
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q3 - 0:43.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 181
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q3 - 0:43.7RaptorsRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)81
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q3 - 0:46.7HeatKevin Love defensive rebound81
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q3 - 0:50.7RaptorsJamison Battle misses three point jump shot81
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)81
5.6%
94
94.4%
Q3 - 1:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound81
7.9%
91
92.1%
Q3 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot81
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q3 - 1:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound81
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q3 - 1:27RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot81
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q3 - 1:38HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)81
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q3 - 1:48RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)81
12.8%
88
87.2%
Q3 - 2:00HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)79
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q3 - 2:00HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)79
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q3 - 2:21RaptorsDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)79
9.9%
88
90.1%
Q3 - 2:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)79
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q3 - 2:42HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound79
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q3 - 2:44RaptorsJamison Battle misses three point jump shot79
16.4%
85
83.6%
Q3 - 3:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)79
18.9%
85
81.1%
Q3 - 3:24RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
24.0%
82
76.0%
Q3 - 3:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 279
27.8%
82
72.2%
Q3 - 3:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 279
28.3%
81
71.7%
Q3 - 3:37RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)79
28.8%
80
71.2%
Q3 - 3:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound79
30.6%
80
69.4%
Q3 - 3:52RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot79
31.9%
80
68.1%
Q3 - 4:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)79
34.5%
80
65.5%
Q3 - 4:23RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point running layup (Chris Boucher assists)79
41.7%
77
58.3%
Q3 - 4:24RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound77
38.3%
77
61.7%
Q3 - 4:28HeatKevin Love misses two point cutting layup77
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 4:44RaptorsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup77
34.2%
77
65.8%
Q3 - 4:52RaptorsDavion Mitchell defensive rebound75
31.1%
77
68.9%
Q3 - 4:55HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot75
29.9%
77
70.1%
Q3 - 5:23RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point running layup (RJ Barrett assists)75
27.6%
77
72.4%
Q3 - 5:27RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound73
24.8%
77
75.2%
Q3 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot73
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q3 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
21.8%
77
78.2%
Q3 - 5:54RaptorsScottie Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 273
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q3 - 5:54RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 273
23.9%
77
76.1%
Q3 - 5:54HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)72
23.2%
77
76.8%
Q3 - 5:58RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound72
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q3 - 6:00HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup72
21.2%
77
78.8%
Q3 - 6:16RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes three point jump shot (Scottie Barnes assists)72
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q3 - 6:27RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound69
15.5%
77
84.5%
Q3 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot69
14.8%
77
85.2%
Q3 - 6:37RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 269
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 6:37RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 268
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 6:37HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)67
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q3 - 6:50RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)67
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q3 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk67
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q3 - 7:35RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup67
19.9%
72
80.1%
Q3 - 7:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)65
18.0%
72
82.0%
Q3 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
19.9%
70
80.1%
Q3 - 8:02RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving layup65
20.7%
70
79.3%
Q3 - 8:14HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)65
22.6%
70
77.4%
Q3 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
24.6%
68
75.4%
Q3 - 8:21RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot65
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 8:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 265
27.9%
68
72.1%
Q3 - 8:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 265
28.3%
67
71.7%
Q3 - 8:47RaptorsRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)65
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 8:50RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)65
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q3 - 8:55HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)65
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 8:55RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound65
33.8%
66
66.2%
Q3 - 8:56RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point pullup jump shot65
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 9:10HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)65
33.6%
66
66.4%
Q3 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
33.6%
66
66.4%
Q3 - 9:41RaptorsJakob Poeltl personal foul (Loose ball) (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)65
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 9:41HeatHeat defensive rebound65
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q3 - 9:41RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter misses two point floating jump shot65
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q3 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 165
43.1%
63
56.9%
Q3 - 9:57RaptorsOchai Agbaji shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)65
43.4%
62
56.6%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 10:03RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point layup65
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 10:19RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound65
52.3%
60
47.7%
Q3 - 10:21HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot65
51.1%
60
48.9%
Q3 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
48.3%
60
51.7%
Q3 - 10:39RaptorsOchai Agbaji misses three point running jump shot65
49.5%
60
50.5%
Q3 - 10:46RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound65
52.3%
60
47.7%
Q3 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup65
51.1%
60
48.9%
Q3 - 10:59RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 265
48.3%
60
51.7%
Q3 - 10:59RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 264
47.1%
60
52.9%
Q3 - 10:59HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)63
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q3 - 11:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)63
44.9%
60
55.1%
Q3 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q3 - 11:09RaptorsOchai Agbaji misses two point tip layup63
48.8%
58
51.2%
Q3 - 11:09RaptorsOchai Agbaji offensive rebound63
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 11:13RaptorsJakob Poeltl misses two point running layup63
48.8%
58
51.2%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Ja'Kobe Walter steals)63
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 11:25RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point tip layup63
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q3 - 11:25RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound61
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 11:30RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter misses two point cutting layup61
42.5%
58
57.5%
Q3 - 11:40RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter defensive rebound61
44.9%
58
55.1%
Q3 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot61
43.9%
58
56.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
41.5%
58
58.5%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatHeat offensive rebound61
41.2%
58
58.8%
Q2 - 0:01.2HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot61
43.2%
58
56.8%
Q2 - 0:14.5RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Scottie Barnes assists)61
41.2%
58
58.8%
Q2 - 0:34.1HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)59
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q2 - 0:46.8RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Ochai Agbaji assists)59
44.3%
55
55.7%
Q2 - 1:03HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
40.8%
55
59.2%
Q2 - 1:24RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter makes two point pullup jump shot57
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup55
40.8%
53
59.2%
Q2 - 1:48RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point tip layup55
44.0%
51
56.0%
Q2 - 1:52RaptorsJakob Poeltl offensive rebound53
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 1:52RaptorsOchai Agbaji misses two point driving finger roll layup53
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q2 - 1:56RaptorsOchai Agbaji defensive rebound53
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 1:59HeatTyler Herro misses two point reverse layup53
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q2 - 2:07RaptorsJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)53
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q2 - 2:21HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
40.6%
51
59.4%
Q2 - 2:37RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)53
46.0%
48
54.0%
Q2 - 2:49HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)50
40.6%
48
59.4%
Q2 - 2:49HeatHeat offensive rebound50
37.5%
48
62.5%
Q2 - 2:49HeatJa'Kobe Walter blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot50
39.6%
48
60.4%
Q2 - 3:15RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point floating jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)50
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q2 - 3:34HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)48
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q2 - 3:38RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)48
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q2 - 3:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)48
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 4:04RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 248
47.3%
42
52.7%
Q2 - 4:04RaptorsScottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 247
46.7%
42
53.3%
Q2 - 4:04HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)46
46.0%
42
54.0%
Q2 - 4:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)46
45.0%
42
55.0%
Q2 - 4:34RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point running dunk46
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Scottie Barnes steals)44
45.0%
40
55.0%
Q2 - 4:47RaptorsRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)44
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)41
36.8%
40
63.2%
Q2 - 5:16RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Ochai Agbaji assists)41
38.7%
38
61.3%
Q2 - 5:30HeatKevin Love turnover (inbound)39
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 5:33RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 2 of 239
33.7%
38
66.3%
Q2 - 5:33RaptorsJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 238
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 5:33HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)38
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 6:07HeatHeat offensive rebound38
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 6:07HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving layup38
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 6:27RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point layup (Jamal Shead assists)38
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup36
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler makes clear path free throw 2 of 236
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler makes clear path free throw 1 of 236
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 6:54RaptorsJamison Battle clear path foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)36
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 6:54RaptorsJakob Poeltl turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)36
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 7:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot36
38.4%
34
61.6%
Q2 - 7:18RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 136
40.7%
32
59.3%
Q2 - 7:18HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)35
39.7%
32
60.3%
Q2 - 7:30RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter defensive rebound33
36.1%
32
63.9%
Q2 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 133
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 7:35RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 7:43RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot33
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 7:57HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)33
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q2 - 8:09RaptorsJamison Battle makes regular free throw 2 of 233
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 8:09RaptorsJamison Battle makes regular free throw 1 of 232
44.8%
27
55.2%
Q2 - 8:09HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Jamison Battle draws the foul)31
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 8:19HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 231
43.1%
27
56.9%
Q2 - 8:19HeatAlec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 231
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 8:19RaptorsJamal Shead shooting foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)31
43.9%
25
56.1%
Q2 - 8:29HeatHeat offensive rebound31
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 8:30HeatJakob Poeltl blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup31
47.3%
25
52.7%
Q2 - 8:41RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter makes two point cutting layup (Jamison Battle assists)31
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q2 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jonathan Mogbo draws the foul)29
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 8:52RaptorsJamison Battle defensive rebound29
43.2%
25
56.8%
Q2 - 8:56HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot29
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 9:10HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 9:14RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot29
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q2 - 9:21RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound29
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q2 - 9:25HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot29
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q2 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 9:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot29
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q2 - 9:43RaptorsJonathan Mogbo makes two point cutting dunk (Scottie Barnes assists)29
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 10:00HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Jamison Battle steals)27
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q2 - 10:11HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound27
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:14RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter misses three point jump shot27
36.3%
25
63.7%
Q2 - 10:25RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound27
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q2 - 10:25HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot27
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q2 - 10:42RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point jump shot (Chris Boucher assists)27
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 10:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup24
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 11:06RaptorsJamison Battle makes three point pullup jump shot (Jamal Shead assists)24
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q2 - 11:09RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound21
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q2 - 11:11RaptorsJonathan Mogbo misses two point bank hook shot21
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q2 - 11:22HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)21
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q2 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 121
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q2 - 11:43RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)21
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 0:00.8RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound21
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:00.8RaptorsJonathan Mogbo misses three point jump shot21
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 0:11.4RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound21
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:16.3HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot21
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 0:32.5RaptorsJonathan Mogbo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)21
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:45.7HeatTerry Rozier turnover (offensive foul)18
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 0:45.7HeatTerry Rozier offensive foul (Jonathan Mogbo draws the foul)18
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 0:55.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound18
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 1:00RaptorsJonathan Mogbo misses two point floating jump shot18
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 1:14HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Jonathan Mogbo draws the foul)18
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 1:14RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound18
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 1:17RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot18
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 1:22RaptorsJonathan Mogbo offensive rebound18
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 1:26RaptorsScottie Barnes misses three point jump shot18
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 1:40HeatKevin Love makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)18
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 1:52RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (offensive foul)18
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 1:52RaptorsChris Boucher offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)18
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 1:53RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound18
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point running layup18
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 2:00RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)18
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 2:12RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound18
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 2:15HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot18
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 2:32RaptorsScottie Barnes makes two point tip layup18
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 2:32RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive rebound16
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:38RaptorsJamison Battle misses three point jump shot16
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 2:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point tip layup16
28.9%
18
71.1%
Q1 - 2:53HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound16
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 2:54HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot16
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 2:56HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound16
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot16
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 3:08HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound16
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 3:11RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot16
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 3:22RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound16
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler misses three point fadeaway jump shot16
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 3:47HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 3:50RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point driving floating jump shot16
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 3:54RaptorsJonathan Mogbo offensive rebound16
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 3:57RaptorsChris Boucher misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 216
32.4%
16
67.6%
Q1 - 4:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 216
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 4:12RaptorsJakob Poeltl shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 4:28RaptorsRaptors turnover (shot clock violation)16
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 4:49RaptorsChris Boucher defensive rebound16
35.8%
14
64.2%
Q1 - 4:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot16
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound16
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 4:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot16
35.2%
14
64.8%
Q1 - 5:12RaptorsDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)16
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot16
35.4%
14
64.6%
Q1 - 5:39RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 5:46HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)16
38.7%
12
61.3%
Q1 - 6:04RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point jump shot (Ja'Kobe Walter assists)16
41.3%
9
58.7%
Q1 - 6:11RaptorsJakob Poeltl defensive rebound13
38.1%
9
61.9%
Q1 - 6:17HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot13
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:27HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound13
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 6:30HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot13
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 6:45RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point driving floating jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)13
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 6:53HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)11
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup11
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:23HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 111
36.0%
7
64.0%
Q1 - 7:23RaptorsScottie Barnes technical foul11
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 7:23RaptorsScottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)11
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 7:23RaptorsScottie Barnes offensive foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 7:32HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)11
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 7:48RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point running layup (Scottie Barnes assists)11
40.1%
4
59.9%
Q1 - 7:52RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound9
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot9
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 8:01HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound9
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 8:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot9
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 8:24RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter makes two point driving finger roll layup (RJ Barrett assists)9
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 8:31RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound7
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot7
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 8:57RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup7
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)5
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 9:22RaptorsScottie Barnes makes three point jump shot (Ochai Agbaji assists)5
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 9:29RaptorsScottie Barnes defensive rebound2
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 9:49RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter misses three point stepback jump shot2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:16RaptorsJakob Poeltl makes two point layup (Scottie Barnes assists)2
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 10:23RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 10:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 10:44RaptorsScottie Barnes misses two point pullup jump shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:05RaptorsJa'Kobe Walter defensive rebound0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:20RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:28RaptorsOchai Agbaji defensive rebound0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:45RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)0
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 12:00Jakob Poeltl vs. Bam Adebayo (Scottie Barnes gains possession)0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.22 61.0%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
27
38
71%
MIA
15
25
60%
Midrange
TOR
5
13
38%
MIA
7
15
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
MIA
21
31.5
54
39%
58%
Free Throws
TOR
14
17
82%
MIA
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Barrett2563%12.5 / 20
S. Barnes2467%12.0 / 18
J. Poeltl2492%12.0 / 13
O. Agbaji1381%6.5 / 8
J. Mogbo758%3.5 / 6
J. Walter638%3.0 / 8
J. Battle542%2.5 / 6
D. Mitchell450%2.0 / 4
C. Boucher330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2676%13.0 / 17
T. Herro2361%11.5 / 19
J. Jaquez1583%7.5 / 9
B. Adebayo1444%7.0 / 16
T. Rozier1275%6.0 / 8
D. Robinson1045%5.0 / 11
K. Love867%4.0 / 6
H. Highsmith650%3.0 / 6
P. Larsson563%2.5 / 4
A. Burks233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
78
+13
-18
91
MIA
88
+15
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.22 61.0%
MIA
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.5
112.4
TOR 115.6
MIA 126.0 +10.4
Pace
100.6
97.2
TOR 96.0 +0.1
MIA 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.8
14.9
TOR 15.0 +0.0
MIA 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.2%
54.4%
TOR 60.6% +3.7%
MIA 56.9%
TO %
14.5%
12.8%
TOR 17.8%
MIA 9.0% +8.8%
ORB %
27.3%
22.3%
TOR 29.4% +9.4%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
23.2
23.2
TOR 21.3 +3.2
MIA 18.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
68.5%
65.3%
TOR 79.1% +4.7%
MIA 74.4%
STL %
8.0%
8.3%
TOR 4.2%
MIA 10.4% +6.2%
BLK %
8.4%
7.6%
TOR 7.5% +7.5%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
56.0%
TOR 61.0% +2.3%
MIA 58.7%
Rim FG%
60.2%
62.5%
TOR 71.1% +11.1%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.5%
44.4%
TOR 38.5%
MIA 46.7% +8.2%
3P %
34.8%
36.7%
TOR 37.9%
MIA 38.9% +1.0%
FT %
74.8%
79.1%
TOR 82.4%
MIA 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
29.6%
TOR 47.5% +20.9%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
26.5%
27.5%
TOR 16.3%
MIA 16.0% +0.3%
3P Att. %
37.3%
42.9%
TOR 36.3%
MIA 57.4% +21.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points111121
Rebounds4633
Assists3432
Steals410
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)8 (2)
Fouls1719
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)24 (1)
Field Goals43-8043-94
At-the-Rim FG27-3815-25
Midrange FG5-137-15
2-Point FG32-5122-40
3-Point FG11-2921-54
Free Throws14-1714-17
Fast Break Pts814
2nd Chance Pts1112
Points in Paint6236
Pts off Turnovers1427
Bench Points1942
Biggest Lead715

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 6'6" 214 · 24
38.8
25
63%
6
7
0
0
6
2
1
5
3-4
75%
8-14
57%
2-4
50%
#4 · SG · 6'7" 237 · 23
38.3
24
67%
10
10
1
1
5
1
1
9
5-6
83%
5-7
71%
3-8
38%
#19 · C · 7'0" 260 · 29
32.4
24
92%
10
1
0
1
2
6
4
6
4-5
80%
10-11
91%
0-0
-
#30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
32.4
13
81%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 180 · 20
25.7
6
38%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
#45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 26
20.4
4
50%
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
#77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24
16.7
5
42%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-5
20%
#2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23
15.3
7
58%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 32
12.6
3
30%
6
2
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22
7.4
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Contusion
#5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Elbow; Partial UCL Tear
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28
INACTIVE
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Lumbar; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
61%
46
34
4
3
18
17
10
36
14-17
82%
32-51
63%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.