FinalWin Prob.pScore
2039%109
106
1161%113
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
120.58877.4
MIA logo MIA
117.088101.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:01.2BucksTaurean Prince makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
98.9%
103
1.1%
Q4 - 0:01.2BucksTaurean Prince makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
98.5%
103
1.5%
Q4 - 0:01.2HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)104
98.0%
103
2.0%
Q4 - 0:01.2BucksTaurean Prince defensive rebound104
95.2%
103
4.8%
Q4 - 0:03.2HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot104
93.0%
103
7.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0BucksBucks turnover (shot clock violation)104
84.6%
103
15.4%
Q4 - 0:30.5HeatTerry Rozier makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)104
76.2%
103
23.8%
Q4 - 0:34.5BucksAndre Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
93.1%
100
6.9%
Q4 - 0:46.3BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound104
94.5%
100
5.5%
Q4 - 0:48.5HeatBrook Lopez blocks Tyler Herro's three point stepback jump shot104
92.9%
100
7.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound104
86.9%
100
13.1%
Q4 - 1:01BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot104
88.9%
100
11.1%
Q4 - 1:23BucksAJ Green defensive rebound104
90.2%
100
9.8%
Q4 - 1:25HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot104
88.1%
100
11.9%
Q4 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound104
81.1%
100
18.9%
Q4 - 1:40BucksDamian Lillard misses three point stepback jump shot104
83.2%
100
16.8%
Q4 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)104
87.2%
100
12.8%
Q4 - 2:06BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound104
88.7%
100
11.3%
Q4 - 2:07HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot104
86.8%
100
13.2%
Q4 - 2:24BucksAJ Green makes three point pullup jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)104
81.2%
100
18.8%
Q4 - 2:51HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot101
62.1%
100
37.9%
Q4 - 3:05BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)101
78.2%
97
21.8%
Q4 - 3:24HeatPelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 298
63.3%
97
36.7%
Q4 - 3:24HeatPelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 298
65.7%
96
34.3%
Q4 - 3:24BucksDamian Lillard shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)98
58.2%
96
41.8%
Q4 - 3:44BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 298
56.7%
96
43.3%
Q4 - 3:44BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 297
55.8%
96
44.2%
Q4 - 3:44HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)96
54.9%
96
45.1%
Q4 - 4:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup96
48.9%
96
51.1%
Q4 - 4:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound96
57.0%
94
43.0%
Q4 - 4:13BucksGary Trent Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot96
60.0%
94
40.0%
Q4 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk96
66.6%
94
33.4%
Q4 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound96
73.4%
92
26.6%
Q4 - 4:39HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot96
78.5%
92
21.5%
Q4 - 4:54BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)96
73.5%
92
26.5%
Q4 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
55.5%
92
44.5%
Q4 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 293
56.6%
91
43.4%
Q4 - 5:07BucksAJ Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
50.0%
91
50.0%
Q4 - 5:21BucksBucks turnover (shot clock violation)93
54.7%
91
45.3%
Q4 - 5:21BucksBucks offensive rebound93
63.2%
91
36.8%
Q4 - 5:22BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot93
57.4%
91
42.6%
Q4 - 5:45HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)93
63.3%
91
36.7%
Q4 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
65.9%
89
34.1%
Q4 - 6:08BucksPat Connaughton misses three point stepback jump shot93
68.2%
89
31.8%
Q4 - 6:35HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)93
73.1%
89
26.9%
Q4 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound93
82.1%
86
17.9%
Q4 - 6:46BucksDamian Lillard misses two point driving floating jump shot93
83.5%
86
16.5%
Q4 - 6:56BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound93
86.5%
86
13.5%
Q4 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
85.3%
86
14.7%
Q4 - 7:19BucksPat Connaughton makes two point tip layup93
78.9%
86
21.1%
Q4 - 7:19BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound91
75.5%
86
24.5%
Q4 - 7:20BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot91
71.2%
86
28.8%
Q4 - 7:27BucksBucks offensive rebound91
75.6%
86
24.4%
Q4 - 7:27BucksGary Trent Jr. misses two point running layup91
71.2%
86
28.8%
Q4 - 7:32HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Gary Trent Jr. steals)91
75.6%
86
24.4%
Q4 - 7:40HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound91
69.2%
86
30.8%
Q4 - 7:42BucksTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot91
71.3%
86
28.7%
Q4 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup91
73.3%
86
26.7%
Q4 - 8:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound91
77.3%
84
22.7%
Q4 - 8:17BucksDelon Wright misses three point stepback jump shot91
78.8%
84
21.2%
Q4 - 8:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)91
81.8%
84
18.2%
Q4 - 9:00HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound91
84.8%
82
15.2%
Q4 - 9:02BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot91
83.9%
82
16.1%
Q4 - 9:23BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound91
86.3%
82
13.7%
Q4 - 9:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot91
85.4%
82
14.6%
Q4 - 9:41BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving layup91
83.0%
82
17.0%
Q4 - 9:49BucksDelon Wright offensive rebound89
80.1%
82
19.9%
Q4 - 9:52BucksTerry Rozier blocks Gary Trent Jr.'s two point running layup89
77.0%
82
23.0%
Q4 - 9:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Gary Trent Jr. steals)89
80.1%
82
19.9%
Q4 - 10:13BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)89
73.6%
82
26.4%
Q4 - 10:31BucksTaurean Prince defensive rebound86
65.2%
82
34.8%
Q4 - 10:34HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot86
63.5%
82
36.5%
Q4 - 10:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound86
59.5%
82
40.5%
Q4 - 10:51BucksDelon Wright misses regular free throw 2 of 286
60.3%
82
39.7%
Q4 - 10:51BucksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 286
64.0%
82
36.0%
Q4 - 10:51HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)85
63.2%
82
36.8%
Q4 - 10:51BucksDelon Wright offensive rebound85
60.2%
82
39.8%
Q4 - 10:53BucksGary Trent Jr. misses three point running jump shot85
56.0%
82
44.0%
Q4 - 10:58BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound85
60.2%
82
39.8%
Q4 - 10:59HeatPat Connaughton blocks Kel'el Ware's two point cutting layup85
58.4%
82
41.6%
Q4 - 11:15HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound85
53.7%
82
46.3%
Q4 - 11:16BucksAlec Burks blocks Bobby Portis's two point reverse layup85
55.3%
82
44.7%
Q4 - 11:20BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound85
58.9%
82
41.1%
Q4 - 11:21BucksBobby Portis misses two point tip layup85
55.3%
82
44.7%
Q4 - 11:21BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound85
59.0%
82
41.0%
Q4 - 11:22BucksPat Connaughton misses two point driving reverse layup85
55.3%
82
44.7%
Q4 - 11:41HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)85
59.0%
82
41.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
63.7%
80
36.3%
Q3 - 0:19.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kel'el Ware assists)85
66.8%
80
33.2%
Q3 - 0:38.1BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving reverse layup (Damian Lillard assists)85
71.1%
78
28.9%
Q3 - 0:56.4HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup83
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q3 - 1:01HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound83
69.1%
76
30.9%
Q3 - 1:05BucksGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot83
70.3%
76
29.7%
Q3 - 1:17BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound83
73.0%
76
27.0%
Q3 - 1:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot83
71.9%
76
28.1%
Q3 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
69.2%
76
30.8%
Q3 - 1:30BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot83
70.4%
76
29.6%
Q3 - 1:44HeatPelle Larsson makes two point tip layup83
73.1%
76
26.9%
Q3 - 1:45HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound83
76.5%
74
23.5%
Q3 - 1:45HeatPelle Larsson misses two point tip layup83
78.8%
74
21.2%
Q3 - 1:46HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound83
76.5%
74
23.5%
Q3 - 1:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot83
78.8%
74
21.2%
Q3 - 2:07BucksDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 283
74.5%
74
25.5%
Q3 - 2:07BucksDelon Wright misses regular free throw 1 of 282
74.1%
74
25.9%
Q3 - 2:07HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)82
76.8%
74
23.2%
Q3 - 2:25BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound82
74.9%
74
25.1%
Q3 - 2:26HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip layup82
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q3 - 2:26HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound82
71.2%
74
28.8%
Q3 - 2:27HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip layup82
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q3 - 2:28HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound82
71.2%
74
28.8%
Q3 - 2:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot82
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q3 - 2:41BucksGary Trent Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
71.2%
74
28.8%
Q3 - 2:41HeatHeat offensive rebound82
71.2%
74
28.8%
Q3 - 2:42HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot82
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q3 - 2:54BucksBobby Portis turnover (out of bounds step)82
71.2%
74
28.8%
Q3 - 3:07HeatPelle Larsson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)82
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q3 - 3:19HeatHeat defensive rebound82
76.6%
72
23.4%
Q3 - 3:21BucksGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot82
77.6%
72
22.4%
Q3 - 3:47HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot82
80.0%
72
20.0%
Q3 - 3:55BucksDamian Lillard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)82
84.4%
69
15.6%
Q3 - 4:06BucksGary Trent Jr. offensive rebound82
85.3%
69
14.7%
Q3 - 4:08BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot82
83.8%
69
16.2%
Q3 - 4:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
85.5%
69
14.5%
Q3 - 4:48BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 282
88.9%
66
11.1%
Q3 - 4:48BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 281
88.7%
66
11.3%
Q3 - 4:48HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)80
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 180
86.2%
66
13.8%
Q3 - 5:07BucksAJ Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)80
86.5%
65
13.5%
Q3 - 5:11HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
89.4%
63
10.6%
Q3 - 5:14BucksDamian Lillard misses three point stepback jump shot80
89.9%
63
10.1%
Q3 - 5:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)80
90.9%
63
9.1%
Q3 - 5:45HeatHeat offensive rebound80
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot80
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q3 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 5:57BucksTaurean Prince misses two point driving finger roll layup80
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 6:03BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound80
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 6:06HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot80
93.0%
60
7.0%
Q3 - 6:23BucksAndre Jackson Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup (Damian Lillard assists)80
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 6:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 278
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 6:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 278
91.4%
59
8.6%
Q3 - 6:47BucksDamian Lillard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
91.6%
58
8.4%
Q3 - 7:06BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 278
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 7:06BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 277
91.1%
58
8.9%
Q3 - 7:06HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)76
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Andre Jackson Jr. draws the foul)76
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q3 - 7:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Pelle Larsson assists)76
90.2%
58
9.8%
Q3 - 7:39BucksTaurean Prince turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)76
91.3%
56
8.7%
Q3 - 7:47BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound76
92.5%
56
7.5%
Q3 - 7:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot76
92.1%
56
7.9%
Q3 - 8:05BucksBucks turnover (shot clock violation)76
90.4%
56
9.6%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)76
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)76
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 8:56BucksDamian Lillard makes three point stepback jump shot76
92.6%
54
7.4%
Q3 - 9:03BucksDamian Lillard defensive rebound73
89.9%
54
10.1%
Q3 - 9:05HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot73
89.5%
54
10.5%
Q3 - 9:21BucksAJ Green makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)73
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 9:36BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound70
85.7%
54
14.3%
Q3 - 9:36HeatDamian Lillard blocks Jimmy Butler's two point putback layup70
85.1%
54
14.9%
Q3 - 9:41HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound70
83.6%
54
16.4%
Q3 - 9:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot70
85.1%
54
14.9%
Q3 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
83.6%
54
16.4%
Q3 - 9:49BucksAJ Green misses three point pullup jump shot70
84.3%
54
15.7%
Q3 - 10:00HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)70
85.7%
54
14.3%
Q3 - 10:00HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Damian Lillard draws the foul)70
83.6%
54
16.4%
Q3 - 10:21BucksDamian Lillard makes three point pullup jump shot70
82.5%
54
17.5%
Q3 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)67
79.0%
54
21.0%
Q3 - 11:04BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
81.8%
51
18.2%
Q3 - 11:26BucksDamian Lillard defensive rebound65
80.0%
51
20.0%
Q3 - 11:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot65
79.4%
51
20.6%
Q3 - 11:47BucksAJ Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)65
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0BucksBucks offensive rebound65
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0BucksDamian Lillard misses three point floating jump shot65
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 265
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 265
79.3%
50
20.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0BucksAndre Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)65
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q2 - 0:29.3BucksDamian Lillard turnover (traveling)65
79.2%
50
20.8%
Q2 - 0:40.2HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)65
81.1%
50
18.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (AJ Green assists)65
84.7%
47
15.3%
Q2 - 1:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup62
80.3%
47
19.7%
Q2 - 1:36BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Andre Jackson Jr. assists)62
82.3%
45
17.7%
Q2 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 259
78.4%
45
21.6%
Q2 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 259
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q2 - 1:55BucksTaurean Prince shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)59
78.8%
43
21.2%
Q2 - 2:09BucksDamian Lillard makes three point stepback jump shot59
79.1%
43
20.9%
Q2 - 2:22HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Andre Jackson Jr. draws the foul)56
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q2 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)56
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q2 - 3:04BucksDamian Lillard makes two point stepback jump shot56
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q2 - 3:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)54
74.2%
41
25.8%
Q2 - 3:38BucksTaurean Prince makes three point stepback jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)54
75.8%
39
24.2%
Q2 - 3:50BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound51
72.0%
39
28.0%
Q2 - 3:51HeatBrook Lopez blocks Kevin Love's two point layup51
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound51
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q2 - 3:53HeatKevin Love misses two point putback layup51
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 3:58HeatKevin Love offensive rebound51
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q2 - 3:59HeatKevin Love misses two point cutting layup51
71.2%
39
28.8%
Q2 - 4:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound51
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 4:12BucksDamian Lillard misses three point stepback jump shot51
69.0%
39
31.0%
Q2 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 251
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 251
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q2 - 4:23BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)51
69.1%
38
30.9%
Q2 - 4:37BucksDamian Lillard makes three point pullup jump shot51
70.6%
38
29.4%
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 248
66.2%
38
33.8%
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
66.5%
37
33.5%
Q2 - 4:47BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
66.9%
36
33.1%
Q2 - 4:56BucksDamian Lillard turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)48
68.3%
36
31.7%
Q2 - 5:03BucksDamian Lillard defensive rebound48
70.3%
36
29.7%
Q2 - 5:05HeatPat Connaughton blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup48
69.5%
36
30.5%
Q2 - 5:14BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving bank hook shot (Damian Lillard assists)48
67.5%
36
32.5%
Q2 - 5:38HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 246
65.7%
36
34.3%
Q2 - 5:38HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 5:38BucksAndre Jackson Jr. personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)46
66.2%
34
33.8%
Q2 - 5:40BucksAndre Jackson Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)46
67.5%
34
32.5%
Q2 - 5:45BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound46
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 5:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point cutting layup46
69.5%
34
30.5%
Q2 - 5:54BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)46
67.5%
34
32.5%
Q2 - 6:08HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 244
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 6:08HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 244
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 6:08BucksTaurean Prince shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)44
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 6:21BucksAndre Jackson Jr. personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 6:38BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)44
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 6:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)41
62.5%
32
37.5%
Q2 - 7:10BucksDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)41
63.8%
30
36.2%
Q2 - 7:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 7:39BucksDamian Lillard turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)38
63.8%
27
36.2%
Q2 - 7:52BucksMarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound38
66.4%
27
33.6%
Q2 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 238
66.1%
27
33.9%
Q2 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 238
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q2 - 7:54BucksGary Trent Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q2 - 8:06HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound38
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 8:08BucksBobby Portis misses two point jump shot38
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q2 - 8:12BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound38
68.1%
26
31.9%
Q2 - 8:16BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround bank jump shot38
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q2 - 8:35BucksMarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound38
68.1%
26
31.9%
Q2 - 8:37HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 1 of 138
67.8%
26
32.2%
Q2 - 8:37BucksDelon Wright shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)38
66.3%
26
33.8%
Q2 - 8:59BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes three point pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)38
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q2 - 9:08BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound35
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 9:09HeatAlec Burks misses two point driving floating bank jump shot35
64.6%
24
35.4%
Q2 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
62.9%
24
37.1%
Q2 - 9:25BucksBobby Portis misses two point bank jump shot35
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q2 - 9:29BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound35
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 9:30BucksBobby Portis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot35
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q2 - 9:37BucksDelon Wright offensive rebound35
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 9:39BucksDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot35
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q2 - 9:58HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)35
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q2 - 10:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q2 - 10:14BucksGary Trent Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot35
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q2 - 10:24BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound35
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q2 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot35
68.5%
22
31.5%
Q2 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q2 - 10:34BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q2 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)35
69.2%
22
30.8%
Q2 - 11:00BucksBobby Portis makes two point jump shot35
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 11:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)33
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q2 - 11:23BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q2 - 11:40BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Delon Wright assists)33
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
63.9%
20
36.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound31
60.8%
20
39.2%
Q1 - 0:03.9BucksDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot31
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 0:23.9BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound31
63.1%
20
36.9%
Q1 - 0:24.8HeatAlec Burks misses two point stepback jump shot31
62.4%
20
37.6%
Q1 - 0:47.7BucksPat Connaughton makes regular free throw 2 of 231
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 0:47.7BucksPat Connaughton misses regular free throw 1 of 230
60.4%
20
39.6%
Q1 - 0:47.7HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)30
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q1 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 230
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 0:58.9BucksTaurean Prince shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
61.9%
18
38.1%
Q1 - 1:17BucksTaurean Prince makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Delon Wright assists)30
62.7%
18
37.3%
Q1 - 1:41BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound28
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q1 - 1:42HeatPelle Larsson misses two point tip layup28
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 1:44HeatPelle Larsson offensive rebound28
58.3%
18
41.7%
Q1 - 1:47HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot28
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 2 of 228
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 1 of 228
57.6%
17
42.4%
Q1 - 2:02BucksGary Trent Jr. flagrant 1 (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)28
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 2:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 2:09BucksGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot28
62.3%
16
37.7%
Q1 - 2:20BucksDelon Wright defensive rebound28
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 2:21HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot28
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 2:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound28
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 2:39BucksTaurean Prince misses three point jump shot28
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 2:45BucksGary Trent Jr. defensive rebound28
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 2:48HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot28
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 2:58BucksGary Trent Jr. makes two point running finger roll layup28
61.7%
16
38.3%
Q1 - 3:00HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Gary Trent Jr. steals)26
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 3:10HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound26
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 3:13BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 3:24BucksDelon Wright defensive rebound26
59.5%
16
40.5%
Q1 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup26
58.7%
16
41.3%
Q1 - 3:47BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
56.9%
16
43.1%
Q1 - 4:06HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)24
52.9%
16
47.1%
Q1 - 4:20HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q1 - 4:22BucksDamian Lillard misses two point cutting finger roll layup24
55.1%
14
44.9%
Q1 - 4:35BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound24
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 224
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 4:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 224
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 4:36BucksAJ Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)24
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 4:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
56.2%
13
43.8%
Q1 - 4:43BucksDamian Lillard misses three point running pullup jump shot24
56.8%
13
43.2%
Q1 - 4:47BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound24
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 4:49HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot24
57.6%
13
42.4%
Q1 - 4:56BucksAndre Jackson Jr. makes two point running layup (Damian Lillard assists)24
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 4:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Damian Lillard steals)22
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 5:22HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound22
51.4%
13
48.6%
Q1 - 5:23BucksAJ Green misses three point jump shot22
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup22
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 5:55BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 3 of 322
54.5%
11
45.5%
Q1 - 5:55BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 321
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 5:55BucksDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 320
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)19
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 6:02BucksTaurean Prince defensive rebound19
50.7%
11
49.3%
Q1 - 6:05HeatAndre Jackson Jr. blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running layup19
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 6:08BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)19
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 6:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)19
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 6:49BucksDamian Lillard makes three point stepback jump shot19
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 216
48.1%
9
51.9%
Q1 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 216
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 7:05BucksAJ Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
49.2%
7
50.8%
Q1 - 7:17BucksAndre Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot16
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 7:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)16
50.5%
7
49.5%
Q1 - 8:08BucksDamian Lillard makes two point driving finger roll layup (Brook Lopez assists)16
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 8:30BucksBucks defensive rebound14
49.1%
5
50.9%
Q1 - 8:32HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot14
48.6%
5
51.4%
Q1 - 8:49BucksDamian Lillard makes three point pullup jump shot14
47.1%
5
52.9%
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)11
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Taurean Prince draws the foul)11
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:13BucksTaurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)11
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 9:27HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Andre Jackson Jr. steals)8
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 9:29BucksDamian Lillard makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)8
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Tyler Herro assists)5
38.0%
5
62.0%
Q1 - 9:59HeatHeat offensive rebound5
38.7%
3
61.3%
Q1 - 10:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot5
39.2%
3
60.8%
Q1 - 10:16BucksAndre Jackson Jr. makes two point running dunk (Damian Lillard assists)5
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 10:24BucksAndre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound3
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot3
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound3
37.5%
3
62.5%
Q1 - 10:46BucksAJ Green misses three point stepback jump shot3
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 11:16HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
38.4%
3
61.6%
Q1 - 11:35BucksDamian Lillard makes three point jump shot (AJ Green assists)3
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:45BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:47HeatBrook Lopez blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
38.9%
0
61.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.18 58.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
4
12
33%
MIA
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIL
12
23
52%
MIA
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
20
30.0
42
48%
71%
MIA
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIL
14
17
82%
MIA
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard3788%18.5 / 21
B. Lopez13108%6.5 / 6
B. Portis1137%5.5 / 15
T. Prince1071%5.0 / 7
P. Connaughton1056%5.0 / 9
A. Green964%4.5 / 7
A. Jackson675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright542%2.5 / 6
M. Beauchamp3150%1.5 / 1
G. Trent211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2368%11.5 / 17
T. Herro1853%9.0 / 17
T. Rozier1794%8.5 / 9
B. Adebayo1673%8.0 / 11
D. Robinson1169%5.5 / 8
P. Larsson840%4.0 / 10
H. Highsmith233%1.0 / 3
J. Jaquez250%1.0 / 2
A. Burks233%1.0 / 3
K. Ware225%1.0 / 4
K. Love220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+12
-10
90
MIA
80
+12
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.18 58.9%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.2
112.4
MIL 120.5 +3.4
MIA 117.0
Pace
99.9
97.2
MIL 77.4
MIA 101.9 +24.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.9
MIL 18.6
MIA 14.1 +4.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.8%
54.4%
MIL 59.7% +7.8%
MIA 51.9%
TO %
12.7%
12.8%
MIL 13.3%
MIA 8.1% +5.2%
ORB %
19.3%
22.3%
MIL 23.7% +1.7%
MIA 22.0%
FTrt
26.8
23.2
MIL 22.1
MIA 39.0 +16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
65.3%
MIL 63.9%
MIA 74.3% +10.4%
STL %
7.3%
8.3%
MIL 5.7%
MIA 6.8% +1.1%
BLK %
9.1%
7.6%
MIL 14.6% +8.9%
MIA 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.6%
56.0%
MIL 58.9% +2.9%
MIA 56.0%
Rim FG%
66.9%
62.5%
MIL 33.3%
MIA 57.7% +24.4%
Mid FG%
44.1%
44.4%
MIL 52.2% +6.7%
MIA 45.5%
3P %
38.7%
36.7%
MIL 47.6% +13.1%
MIA 34.5%
FT %
75.0%
79.1%
MIL 82.4% +5.7%
MIA 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.0%
29.6%
MIL 15.6%
MIA 33.8% +18.2%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
27.5%
MIL 29.9%
MIA 28.6% +1.3%
3P Att. %
42.4%
42.9%
MIL 54.5% +16.9%
MIA 37.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes27.320.7
Points106103
Rebounds4138
Assists2326
Steals56
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)10 (3)8 (0)
Fouls1914
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)29 (1)
Field Goals36-7735-77
At-the-Rim FG4-1215-26
Midrange FG12-2310-22
2-Point FG16-3525-48
3-Point FG20-4210-29
Free Throws14-1723-30
Fast Break Pts913
2nd Chance Pts59
Points in Paint1846
Pts off Turnovers1617
Bench Points3133
Biggest Lead220

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 34
37.9
37
88%
3
12
1
1
4
2
0
3
9-9
100%
2-4
50%
8-13
62%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 31
31.4
10
71%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37
29.6
13
108%
2
3
0
3
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-3
100%
#20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 25
28.3
9
64%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23
26.4
6
75%
9
1
1
1
2
3
0
9
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
23.5
2
11%
2
0
3
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32
21.4
10
56%
8
1
0
2
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
#9 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 30
18.4
11
37%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-3
33%
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 33
16.6
5
42%
5
3
0
0
0
1
3
2
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#3 · SF · 6'6" 199 · 24
6.4
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE
#21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Non-covid; Illness
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30
DNP – Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Effusion
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Ankle; Surgery
#77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
59%
41
23
5
7
10
19
9
32
14-17
82%
16-35
46%
20-42
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.