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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 15, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Grizzlies30%112118
2Warriors70%120123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 25.2
32.9
29.9
32
64%
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
10-11
91%
11-16
5-9
69%
54%
0-4
0%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.2
27.2
25.8
16
66%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
2-6
33%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.0
21.9
27.2
3
20%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 7'0" 215 · 23.8
16.0
29.6
4
25%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
59%
0-3
0%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.2
12.8
16.6
2
25%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
61%
0-2
0%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
27.0
24.6
18
61%
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
6-9
4-7
67%
53%
1-4
25%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.2
23.8
9
42%
5
4
0
2
2
2
3
1-4
25%
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.5
23.4
23.1
14
79%
9
0
1
1
1
0
4
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
58%
2-2
100%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'3" 220 · 30.7
19.9
18.7
9
41%
5
6
0
1
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
1-6
17%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.0
16.9
23.0
7
51%
3
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
1-3
33%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 206 · 28.4
12.0
23.1
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-5
0%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.2
6.1
14.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
15.3
1
1-1
57%
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 19.9
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
Ja Morant
G · 6'2" 174 · 25.3
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'6" 230 · 34.7
30.3
28.7
13
59%
8
7
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
3-7
43%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.7
26.0
31.2
13
66%
8
5
4
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
56%
3-7
43%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 29.7
20.8
29.9
13
44%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
17.7
12.8
9
67%
6
2
1
0
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
3-5
3-4
60%
64%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
10.6
5.3
8
100%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
63%
2-3
67%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
30.3
21.5
18
60%
4
2
0
1
0
5
4
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
4-8
50%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
27.8
19.0
11
71%
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
56%
1-4
25%
Kyle Anderson
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 31.2
19.1
11.4
8
57%
4
4
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.1
18.0
26.0
8
27%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
3-9
4-8
33%
55%
0-4
0%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.5
16.5
13.3
14
69%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-5
60%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
3-5
60%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 222 · 28.8
12.5
13.0
6
52%
7
3
0
0
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.0
10.6
10.5
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-2
100%
79%
0-1
0%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.4
1.2
0
0-0
51%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.5
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 24.7
Reece Beekman
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.1
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.