FinalWin Prob.pScore
2519%103
103
1081%116
125
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
107.396101.7
MIA logo MIA
128.99792.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:01.8HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:25.8HeatJamal Cain defensive rebound103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:27.4RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses three point running pullup jump shot103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0RaptorsJordan Nwora defensive rebound103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:35.9HeatAlondes Williams misses three point jump shot103
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:59.7RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.7RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.7HeatAlondes Williams personal foul (Take) (Javon Freeman-Liberty draws the foul)101
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04RaptorsMalik Williams shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)101
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound101
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes two point cutting dunk (Javon Freeman-Liberty assists)101
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34RaptorsGarrett Temple defensive rebound99
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HeatDelon Wright misses three point running jump shot99
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40RaptorsJordan Nwora turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)99
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)99
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17RaptorsOchai Agbaji misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)99
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57RaptorsGarrett Temple makes two point running finger roll layup99
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty defensive rebound97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HeatOchai Agbaji blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19RaptorsGarrett Temple makes two point running layup97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Ochai Agbaji steals)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Delon Wright assists)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31HeatKevin Love personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running reverse layup93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Kevin Love assists)90
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34HeatKevin Love defensive rebound90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39RaptorsKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point pullup jump shot90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28RaptorsKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31HeatKevin Love misses two point driving floating jump shot87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45RaptorsKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk (Delon Wright assists)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point running layup87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:06RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving dunk87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 187
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37RaptorsImmanuel Quickley turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)85
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44RaptorsBruce Brown defensive rebound85
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 7:48HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot85
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:01RaptorsGarrett Temple makes regular free throw 2 of 285
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:01RaptorsGarrett Temple misses regular free throw 1 of 284
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Garrett Temple draws the foul)84
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:05RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound84
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:07HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot84
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:20HeatKevin Love defensive rebound84
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:23RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point fadeaway jump shot84
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)84
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:50RaptorsBruce Brown makes two point floating jump shot84
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03HeatDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)82
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 9:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound82
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 9:11RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point jump shot82
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 9:27HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 282
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 9:27HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 282
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 9:27RaptorsGarrett Temple shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)82
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 9:41RaptorsRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Ochai Agbaji assists)82
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 10:00HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Delon Wright assists)79
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 10:10HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound79
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 10:14RaptorsGarrett Temple misses three point pullup jump shot79
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 10:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 279
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 10:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 279
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 10:30RaptorsBruce Brown shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)79
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 10:46RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Bruce Brown assists)79
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 10:53RaptorsGarrett Temple offensive rebound77
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 10:53RaptorsGradey Dick misses three point jump shot77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 11:02RaptorsOchai Agbaji defensive rebound77
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 11:02HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup77
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 11:06HeatKevin Love offensive rebound77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot77
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 11:25RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 277
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:25RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 276
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)75
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 11:47HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)75
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatHeat offensive rebound75
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot75
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 0:01.3RaptorsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)75
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:21.6HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)75
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q3 - 0:30.7RaptorsHaywood Highsmith blocks Malik Williams's two point putback layup75
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q3 - 0:31.5RaptorsMalik Williams offensive rebound75
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 0:34.4RaptorsBruce Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q3 - 0:55.3HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)75
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 1:05RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes two point reverse layup (Bruce Brown assists)75
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q3 - 1:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 1:39RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty turnover (out of bounds lost ball)73
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q3 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 2:01RaptorsMalik Williams turnover (offensive foul)73
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q3 - 2:01RaptorsMalik Williams offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)73
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q3 - 2:09RaptorsBruce Brown defensive rebound73
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q3 - 2:12HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 1 of 173
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 2:12RaptorsBruce Brown shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 2:36RaptorsOchai Agbaji makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)73
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Javon Freeman-Liberty draws the foul)70
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q3 - 3:00RaptorsMalik Williams defensive rebound70
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q3 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 270
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 3:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 3:03RaptorsOchai Agbaji personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 3:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 3:13RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot70
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 3:26RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound70
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 3:28HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot70
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 3:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 3:38RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point running jump shot70
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 3:41RaptorsBruce Brown defensive rebound70
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q3 - 3:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot70
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 3:53RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 270
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 3:53RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 269
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 3:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)68
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)68
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 4:15RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 268
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 4:15RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 267
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 4:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)66
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 4:31HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)66
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 4:59RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)66
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 5:07HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 263
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 5:07HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 263
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 5:07RaptorsRJ Barrett shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)63
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 5:14RaptorsImmanuel Quickley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 5:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound63
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 5:30RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot63
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q3 - 5:52RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound63
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot63
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q3 - 6:11RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point running layup63
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 6:18RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound61
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:20HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving finger roll layup61
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:41RaptorsKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 6:55RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound61
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot61
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 7:07RaptorsKelly Olynyk makes two point tip layup61
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 7:07RaptorsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound59
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 7:13RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot59
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 7:22RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound59
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 7:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 7:44RaptorsGradey Dick makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)59
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 7:50RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound56
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 7:53HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot56
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 7:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 7:59RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot56
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 256
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 8:19HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 256
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 8:19RaptorsImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)56
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 8:32HeatHeat defensive rebound56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 8:34RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point running jump shot56
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 8:34RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound56
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 8:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot56
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 8:55RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 8:59RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound56
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot56
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 9:15RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes two point driving layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)56
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 9:30RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound54
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 254
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 9:33HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 254
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 9:33RaptorsKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 9:52RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point putback layup54
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 9:55RaptorsRJ Barrett offensive rebound52
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 9:57RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating jump shot52
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup52
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 10:23RaptorsKelly Olynyk personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 10:40RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot52
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)52
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 11:09RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)52
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 11:28HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)50
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 11:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound50
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 11:41RaptorsKelly Olynyk misses two point layup50
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.6RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving hook shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)50
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q2 - 0:21.5HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)48
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q2 - 0:38.1RaptorsGradey Dick makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)48
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q2 - 0:50.8HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Caleb Martin assists)45
2.6%
64
97.4%
Q2 - 1:11RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point reverse layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)45
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 1:29HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)43
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q2 - 1:44RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 243
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q2 - 1:44RaptorsRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 242
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q2 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)42
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 1:51RaptorsGradey Dick defensive rebound42
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q2 - 1:54HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot42
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 2:03RaptorsKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)42
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 2:12RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 2:15HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot42
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q2 - 2:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound42
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 2:29RaptorsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Immanuel Quickley's two point driving layup42
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q2 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)42
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 2:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound42
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q2 - 2:49RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point running pullup jump shot42
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q2 - 2:59RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q2 - 3:00HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 3:16RaptorsKelly Olynyk makes two point tip layup42
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q2 - 3:17RaptorsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound40
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 3:18RaptorsRJ Barrett misses two point driving layup40
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 3:26RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound40
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot40
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 3:40RaptorsKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 3:55HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)40
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 4:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound40
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 4:14RaptorsOchai Agbaji misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 4:32HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 240
5.4%
54
94.6%
Q2 - 4:32HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 240
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q2 - 4:32RaptorsGary Trent Jr. personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)40
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 4:38RaptorsImmanuel Quickley personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)40
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 4:49RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot40
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup40
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound40
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 5:12HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot40
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 5:31RaptorsKelly Olynyk makes two point jump shot (Ochai Agbaji assists)40
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 5:46RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound38
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 5:55RaptorsImmanuel Quickley personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)38
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 6:06RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 238
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 6:06RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 237
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q2 - 6:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)36
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)36
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 6:17RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)36
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 6:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 6:51RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes two point floating jump shot36
8.0%
45
92.0%
Q2 - 7:05RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound34
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 7:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot34
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 7:28RaptorsImmanuel Quickley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 7:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup34
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 7:54RaptorsRJ Barrett personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)34
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 7:54RaptorsRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)34
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 8:11HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point stepback jump shot (Delon Wright assists)34
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 8:27RaptorsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Javon Freeman-Liberty assists)34
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)31
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 8:59HeatHeat defensive rebound31
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 9:02RaptorsRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot31
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 9:06RaptorsMalik Williams offensive rebound31
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 9:07RaptorsGradey Dick misses two point cutting finger roll layup31
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 9:28HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)31
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 9:28HeatHeat offensive rebound31
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 9:29HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot31
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 9:55RaptorsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)31
9.9%
38
90.1%
Q2 - 10:09HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)28
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 10:23RaptorsRJ Barrett personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)28
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 10:23HeatHeat offensive rebound28
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 10:25HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot28
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 10:31HeatKevin Love defensive rebound28
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 10:31RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses two point driving floating bank jump shot28
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 10:45HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)28
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 10:59RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving finger roll layup28
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 11:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)26
9.2%
35
90.8%
Q2 - 11:21RaptorsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 226
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 11:21RaptorsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 225
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 11:21HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)24
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q2 - 11:24RaptorsBruce Brown defensive rebound24
9.2%
33
90.8%
Q2 - 11:28HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot24
8.9%
33
91.1%
Q2 - 11:46RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bruce Brown assists)24
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q1 - 0:04.1HeatKevin Love defensive rebound22
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q1 - 0:05.1RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses three point jump shot22
7.1%
33
92.9%
Q1 - 0:22.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 222
7.6%
33
92.4%
Q1 - 0:22.2HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 222
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q1 - 0:22.2RaptorsMalik Williams personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)22
7.8%
31
92.2%
Q1 - 0:31.6RaptorsRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 122
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q1 - 0:31.6HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)21
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q1 - 0:35.9HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 0:50.9RaptorsBruce Brown turnover (out of bounds step)19
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q1 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 219
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q1 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 219
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 1:10RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 1:17RaptorsGary Trent Jr. personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)19
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:22HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:28RaptorsJavon Freeman-Liberty misses three point jump shot19
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 1:36RaptorsGary Trent Jr. defensive rebound19
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q1 - 1:38HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot19
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q1 - 1:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound19
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:57RaptorsMalik Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot19
9.3%
27
90.7%
Q1 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)19
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 2:32RaptorsBruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup19
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 2:55HeatKevin Love makes two point reverse layup (Tyler Herro assists)17
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 3:11HeatKevin Love defensive rebound17
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 3:14RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot17
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 3:25RaptorsMalik Williams defensive rebound17
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 3:28HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot17
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 3:40RaptorsBruce Brown personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)17
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 3:51RaptorsBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gary Trent Jr. assists)17
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q1 - 4:17HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)15
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 4:35RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 215
12.7%
19
87.3%
Q1 - 4:35RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 214
12.5%
19
87.5%
Q1 - 4:35HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)13
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 4:47HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)13
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:47RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound13
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 4:48RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot13
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 4:59HeatNikola Jovic makes two point putback layup13
11.9%
19
88.1%
Q1 - 5:01HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound13
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 5:03HeatNikola Jovic misses two point cutting layup13
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 5:22RaptorsGradey Dick misses three point pullup jump shot13
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)13
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 6:06RaptorsImmanuel Quickley turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:09RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound13
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot13
16.3%
14
83.7%
Q1 - 6:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound13
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:19HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot13
16.3%
14
83.7%
Q1 - 6:38RaptorsImmanuel Quickley makes three point pullup jump shot13
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)10
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 6:59HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound10
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:01RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot10
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Gary Trent Jr. draws the foul)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 7:52RaptorsGradey Dick makes two point running dunk (Immanuel Quickley assists)10
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:55RaptorsImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound8
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 7:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot8
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 8:13RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving finger roll layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)8
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 8:19HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)6
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 8:35HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound6
14.0%
8
86.0%
Q1 - 8:38RaptorsGary Trent Jr. misses two point driving layup6
14.4%
8
85.6%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 26
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 8:52RaptorsKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 8:56RaptorsKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 26
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 8:56RaptorsKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 25
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)4
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 8:56RaptorsKelly Olynyk offensive rebound4
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 8:57RaptorsKelly Olynyk misses two point running layup4
13.4%
7
86.6%
Q1 - 9:03RaptorsRJ Barrett defensive rebound4
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 9:07HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot4
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:29RaptorsRJ Barrett makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)4
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 9:52HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)2
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 10:10RaptorsGary Trent Jr. turnover (traveling)2
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:30HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)2
15.0%
4
85.0%
Q1 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:40RaptorsGradey Dick misses three point running jump shot2
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:44RaptorsKelly Olynyk defensive rebound2
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:46HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running layup2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 10:54RaptorsImmanuel Quickley misses three point stepback jump shot2
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:16RaptorsGary Trent Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 12:00Kelly Olynyk vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.5%
MIA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
28
75%
MIA
20
27
74%
Midrange
TOR
6
18
33%
MIA
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
MIA
17
25.5
41
41%
62%
Free Throws
TOR
19
22
86%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Barrett3580%17.5 / 22
I. Quickley1558%7.5 / 13
B. Brown14100%7.0 / 7
G. Dick857%4.0 / 7
K. Olynyk850%4.0 / 8
G. Trent727%3.5 / 13
O. Agbaji770%3.5 / 5
G. Temple563%2.5 / 4
J. Freeman-Liberty433%2.0 / 6
M. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jović2261%11.0 / 18
J. Jaquez2059%10.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1979%9.5 / 12
T. Herro1765%8.5 / 13
J. Butler1488%7.0 / 8
K. Love1450%7.0 / 14
H. Highsmith990%4.5 / 5
D. Wright770%3.5 / 5
C. Martin350%1.5 / 3
A. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+8
-17
87
MIA
93
+9
-4
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.17 58.5%
MIA
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
113.5
TOR 107.3
MIA 128.9 +21.6
Pace
99.6
96.7
TOR 101.7 +8.8
MIA 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.8
TOR 14.2 +1.3
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.5%
53.8%
TOR 54.5%
MIA 62.2% +7.7%
TO %
13.4%
12.2%
TOR 16.4%
MIA 6.8% +9.6%
ORB %
24.2%
21.8%
TOR 18.4% +3.4%
MIA 15.0%
FTrt
24.1
25.7
TOR 28.6 +1.9
MIA 26.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.3%
64.8%
TOR 62.2%
MIA 82.2% +20.0%
STL %
7.7%
7.8%
TOR 1.0%
MIA 7.2% +6.2%
BLK %
8.7%
6.9%
TOR 2.2%
MIA 4.3% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
56.2%
TOR 58.5%
MIA 60.7% +2.2%
Rim FG%
64.1%
61.2%
TOR 75.0% +0.9%
MIA 74.1%
Mid FG%
41.0%
44.2%
TOR 33.3%
MIA 44.4% +11.1%
3P %
34.7%
37.0%
TOR 32.3%
MIA 41.5% +9.2%
FT %
75.6%
81.8%
TOR 86.4% +8.1%
MIA 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
30.4%
TOR 36.4% +5.0%
MIA 31.4%
Mid Att. %
26.5%
30.2%
TOR 23.4%
MIA 20.9% +2.4%
3P Att. %
36.9%
39.4%
TOR 40.3%
MIA 47.7% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes22.625.0
Points103125
Rebounds4137
Assists2337
Steals17
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)4 (3)
Fouls2116
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals37-7745-86
At-the-Rim FG21-2820-27
Midrange FG6-188-18
2-Point FG27-4628-45
3-Point FG10-3117-41
Free Throws19-2218-23
Fast Break Pts107
2nd Chance Pts128
Points in Paint4854
Pts off Turnovers817
Bench Points3050
Biggest Lead025

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 24
32.6
35
80%
11
3
0
0
3
3
1
10
8-10
80%
12-14
86%
1-4
25%
#1 · PF · 6'6" 200 · 20
30.8
8
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
#5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25
30.3
15
58%
4
5
0
0
3
4
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
3-7
43%
#33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25
28.6
7
27%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-7
14%
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33
25.0
8
50%
11
6
0
0
4
3
3
8
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
25.3
7
70%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28
21.5
14
100%
4
4
0
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
#35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26
19.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24
15.2
4
33%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
#17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38
7.8
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24
Inactive – Personal
#3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Partial MCL Tear
#19 · C · 7'0" 260 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hand; Torn Ligament; Fifth Finger
#4 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hand; Fracture; Third Metacarpal
#16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
59%
41
23
1
1
17
21
7
34
19-22
86%
27-46
59%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.