FinalWin Prob.pScore
945%114
115
1055%116
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.195106.8
IND logo IND
121.99686.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:03.6HeatKevin Love turnover (lane violation)115
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 0:03.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
8.5%
117
91.5%
Q4 - 0:03.6PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)114
7.2%
117
92.8%
Q4 - 0:06.6PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
4.3%
117
95.7%
Q4 - 0:06.6PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
5.3%
116
94.7%
Q4 - 0:06.6HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Take) (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)114
6.7%
115
93.3%
Q4 - 0:11.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)114
15.7%
115
84.3%
Q4 - 0:17.1PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
3.6%
115
96.4%
Q4 - 0:17.1PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2111
4.2%
114
95.8%
Q4 - 0:17.1HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)111
5.2%
113
94.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 3111
8.9%
113
91.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 3110
8.2%
113
91.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 3109
7.5%
113
92.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
6.9%
113
93.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
2.7%
113
97.3%
Q4 - 0:32.5PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point pullup jump shot108
1.9%
113
98.1%
Q4 - 0:50.6PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound108
2.9%
113
97.1%
Q4 - 0:53.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot108
3.7%
113
96.3%
Q4 - 0:57.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound108
6.1%
113
93.9%
Q4 - 0:59.6PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving reverse layup108
5.2%
113
94.8%
Q4 - 1:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)108
4.0%
113
96.0%
Q4 - 1:25PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
1.9%
113
98.1%
Q4 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)105
2.1%
112
97.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
6.1%
110
93.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
5.8%
110
94.2%
Q4 - 1:47PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
5.4%
110
94.6%
Q4 - 1:47HeatHeat offensive rebound103
4.3%
110
95.7%
Q4 - 1:50HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot103
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 1:58PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1103
4.2%
110
95.8%
Q4 - 1:58HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)103
4.6%
109
95.4%
Q4 - 2:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)103
8.5%
107
91.5%
Q4 - 2:34PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
6.6%
107
93.4%
Q4 - 2:34PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
7.1%
106
92.9%
Q4 - 2:34HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)101
7.8%
105
92.2%
Q4 - 2:38PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound101
8.4%
105
91.6%
Q4 - 2:40HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup101
10.2%
105
89.8%
Q4 - 2:56PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving finger roll layup101
17.7%
105
82.3%
Q4 - 3:21HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot101
21.9%
103
78.1%
Q4 - 3:38HeatHeat defensive rebound99
20.7%
103
79.3%
Q4 - 3:40PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot99
18.8%
103
81.2%
Q4 - 4:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup99
14.5%
103
85.5%
Q4 - 4:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound97
10.9%
103
89.1%
Q4 - 4:20PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot97
9.8%
103
90.2%
Q4 - 4:36HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)97
7.5%
103
92.5%
Q4 - 4:51PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 294
3.9%
103
96.1%
Q4 - 4:51PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 294
4.2%
102
95.8%
Q4 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)94
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)94
7.3%
101
92.7%
Q4 - 5:37PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)92
5.6%
101
94.4%
Q4 - 5:53HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 3 of 392
7.2%
99
92.8%
Q4 - 5:53HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 391
6.8%
99
93.2%
Q4 - 5:53HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 390
6.3%
99
93.7%
Q4 - 5:53PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)89
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound89
5.6%
99
94.4%
Q4 - 6:19PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot89
5.1%
99
94.9%
Q4 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 289
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 288
3.9%
99
96.1%
Q4 - 6:36PacersTyrese Haliburton personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 6:41PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)87
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 6:50PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot87
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 7:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 7:23PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 185
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q4 - 7:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)85
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 7:23PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound85
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 7:25PacersPascal Siakam misses two point layup85
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 7:33PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound85
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot85
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 7:49PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving layup85
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 7:54PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound85
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 7:57HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup85
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 8:03HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound85
7.7%
95
92.3%
Q4 - 8:07PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot85
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 8:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)85
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 8:14PacersPacers offensive rebound85
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 8:14PacersBam Adebayo blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point driving layup85
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 8:31PacersPacers defensive rebound85
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup85
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 8:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound85
7.6%
95
92.4%
Q4 - 8:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot85
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 8:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
7.6%
95
92.4%
Q4 - 8:47PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot85
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot85
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
5.6%
95
94.4%
Q4 - 9:15PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot83
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 9:32PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound83
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot83
4.7%
95
95.3%
Q4 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 9:49PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot83
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 10:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 183
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 10:12PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)82
5.0%
95
95.0%
Q4 - 10:27PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving reverse layup (Obi Toppin assists)80
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 10:36PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound80
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup80
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound80
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup80
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 10:52PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Ben Sheppard assists)80
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 11:02PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound80
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 11:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot80
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q4 - 11:20PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)80
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 11:40HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 280
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 11:40HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 279
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 11:40PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)78
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 11:45PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)78
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound78
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.3PacersObi Toppin misses two point alley-oop layup78
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot78
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q3 - 0:33.1PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point floating jump shot76
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q3 - 0:52.8HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving floating jump shot76
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q3 - 1:10PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup74
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q3 - 1:22HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 274
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q3 - 1:22HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 273
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q3 - 1:22PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)73
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q3 - 1:35PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)73
6.4%
87
93.6%
Q3 - 1:46HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)73
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q3 - 1:46HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Ben Sheppard draws the foul)73
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q3 - 2:03PacersObi Toppin makes three point pullup jump shot73
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q3 - 2:21HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)73
15.7%
81
84.3%
Q3 - 2:31HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound70
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q3 - 2:33PacersJalen Smith misses two point turnaround jump shot70
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q3 - 2:49PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound70
9.9%
81
90.1%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTyrese Haliburton blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup70
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q3 - 3:05PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)70
12.6%
81
87.4%
Q3 - 3:29PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound70
10.6%
81
89.4%
Q3 - 3:30HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 170
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q3 - 3:30PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)70
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q3 - 3:49PacersMyles Turner makes two point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)68
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q3 - 4:06PacersPacers defensive rebound68
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q3 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup68
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 4:10HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound68
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 4:14HeatCaleb Martin misses two point stepback jump shot68
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 4:18HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound68
13.4%
79
86.6%
Q3 - 4:21HeatMyles Turner blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup68
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 4:36PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 268
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q3 - 4:36PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 268
13.6%
78
86.4%
Q3 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)68
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q3 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot68
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q3 - 5:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound66
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 5:14PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot66
13.5%
77
86.5%
Q3 - 5:34PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound66
12.2%
77
87.8%
Q3 - 5:37HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot66
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q3 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q3 - 5:50PacersPascal Siakam misses three point pullup jump shot66
13.5%
77
86.5%
Q3 - 6:05HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)66
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 6:13HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 166
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q3 - 6:13PacersTyrese Haliburton shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)65
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 6:17HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 163
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 6:17Myles Turner technical foul (Defensive three second)62
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 6:38PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot62
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 6:56HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)62
9.8%
75
90.2%
Q3 - 7:00PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)60
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q3 - 7:20HeatNikola Jovic makes three point stepback jump shot60
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q3 - 7:34PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)57
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q3 - 7:41PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound57
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving finger roll layup57
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 7:56PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)57
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 257
12.3%
69
87.7%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 8:09PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 8:16PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot55
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)55
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 8:22PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound55
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 8:26PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 8:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 8:46PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
9.3%
69
90.7%
Q3 - 8:58PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving reverse layup (Aaron Nesmith assists)53
8.7%
69
91.3%
Q3 - 9:03PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound53
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 9:05HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup53
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound53
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 9:22PacersMyles Turner misses three point stepback jump shot53
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot53
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 9:49PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup51
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup51
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 10:19PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup49
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)49
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 10:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 10:55PacersPascal Siakam misses two point pullup bank jump shot46
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)46
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)46
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)46
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 11:26PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running finger roll layup (Aaron Nesmith assists)46
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 11:31HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)46
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 11:45PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point cutting layup46
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
7.8%
63
92.2%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)46
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Take) (Terry Rozier draws the foul)43
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q2 - 0:15.3HeatHeat defensive rebound43
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q2 - 0:17.4PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot43
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q2 - 0:28.4HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot43
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q2 - 0:39.8PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q2 - 0:55.9PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound41
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q2 - 0:58.9HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot41
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q2 - 1:12PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 241
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q2 - 1:12PacersTyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 241
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q2 - 1:12HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)41
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 1:22PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound41
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 1:26PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running pullup jump shot41
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q2 - 1:29HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)41
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 1:41PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)41
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot41
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q2 - 2:15PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)39
7.6%
59
92.4%
Q2 - 2:27PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound39
9.3%
56
90.7%
Q2 - 2:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot39
9.6%
56
90.4%
Q2 - 2:45HeatHeat defensive rebound39
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q2 - 2:46PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point driving layup39
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q2 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 239
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 238
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 3:02PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)37
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q2 - 3:11PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)37
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q2 - 3:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)37
9.8%
54
90.2%
Q2 - 3:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound35
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 3:36PacersJalen Smith misses three point stepback jump shot35
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 3:41HeatKevin Love personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Smith draws the foul)35
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 3:41PacersPacers offensive rebound35
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 3:42PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot35
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)35
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound33
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 4:24PacersJalen Smith misses two point cutting finger roll layup33
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 4:31HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)33
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 4:40PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound33
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 4:44HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot33
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 5:01PacersPascal Siakam makes two point running layup (T.J. McConnell assists)33
8.1%
54
91.9%
Q2 - 5:03PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound33
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup33
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 5:12HeatMyles Turner blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup33
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 5:15PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)33
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 5:21HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)33
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 5:27PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 233
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q2 - 5:27PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 233
10.0%
51
90.0%
Q2 - 5:27HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)33
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 5:41PacersPacers defensive rebound33
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 5:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot33
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 6:02PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 233
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 6:02PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 233
12.7%
49
87.3%
Q2 - 6:02HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)33
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 6:05HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)33
13.3%
48
86.7%
Q2 - 6:23PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)33
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 6:39PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound33
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 6:40HeatAaron Nesmith blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback layup33
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 6:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup33
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 6:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound33
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 6:51PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup33
17.2%
46
82.8%
Q2 - 7:04PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound33
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot33
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 7:18PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot33
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 7:35PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound33
16.5%
46
83.5%
Q2 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot33
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 7:58PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)33
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 8:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 8:26PacersBen Sheppard misses three point running jump shot30
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 8:29PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound30
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 8:33HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot30
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 8:47PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point floating jump shot30
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot30
18.3%
42
81.7%
Q2 - 9:12PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)28
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 9:17HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound28
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 9:20PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot28
16.4%
42
83.6%
Q2 - 9:33PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound28
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 9:37HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot28
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 9:41PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 9:53PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup28
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 10:00PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound28
18.2%
40
81.8%
Q2 - 10:03HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot28
19.1%
40
80.9%
Q2 - 10:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 10:14PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot28
19.7%
40
80.3%
Q2 - 10:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
18.6%
40
81.4%
Q2 - 10:58PacersObi Toppin makes two point turnaround jump shot (Myles Turner assists)26
17.2%
40
82.8%
Q2 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)26
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 11:36HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound24
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 11:41PacersHaywood Highsmith blocks Myles Turner's two point jump shot24
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q1 - 0:01.6PacersPacers offensive rebound24
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q1 - 0:01.6PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup bank jump shot24
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q1 - 0:17.3PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound24
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q1 - 0:20.2HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot24
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q1 - 0:31.4PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Smith assists)24
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q1 - 0:45.9HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)24
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q1 - 0:45.9PacersPacers defensive rebound24
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q1 - 0:48.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot24
19.7%
36
80.3%
Q1 - 1:02PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Jalen Smith assists)24
21.1%
36
78.9%
Q1 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q1 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 223
24.2%
33
75.8%
Q1 - 1:22PacersJalen Smith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q1 - 1:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q1 - 1:29PacersJalen Smith misses three point running jump shot22
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q1 - 1:33PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound22
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q1 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot22
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q1 - 1:55PacersJalen Smith makes two point driving dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)22
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q1 - 2:03PacersPacers offensive rebound22
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q1 - 2:04PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating jump shot22
26.1%
31
73.9%
Q1 - 2:11PacersJalen Smith defensive rebound22
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q1 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot22
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q1 - 2:26PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup22
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q1 - 2:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup22
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q1 - 2:40HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound20
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q1 - 2:44HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot20
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q1 - 2:52PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q1 - 2:52PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound20
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q1 - 2:54HeatKevin Love misses two point layup20
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q1 - 3:15PacersObi Toppin makes two point layup (T.J. McConnell assists)20
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q1 - 3:24HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)20
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 3:47PacersJalen Smith makes two point cutting layup (T.J. McConnell assists)18
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 3:54PacersPacers offensive rebound18
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q1 - 3:56PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot18
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 4:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Kevin Love assists)18
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 4:33PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point pullup jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)16
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q1 - 4:50HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 216
28.9%
23
71.1%
Q1 - 4:50HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 215
28.7%
23
71.3%
Q1 - 4:50PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
28.4%
23
71.6%
Q1 - 5:05PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot14
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)14
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 5:27PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot12
28.0%
21
72.0%
Q1 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 112
31.2%
18
68.8%
Q1 - 5:42PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 5:54PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)9
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
29.7%
16
70.3%
Q1 - 6:22PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround bank jump shot7
28.1%
16
71.9%
Q1 - 6:35PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound7
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 6:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot7
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 6:53PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 27
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:53PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 27
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)7
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:01PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound7
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 7:04HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot7
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 7:15PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 7:18PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)7
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 7:30PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)7
35.3%
12
64.7%
Q1 - 7:49HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot7
36.8%
10
63.2%
Q1 - 8:12PacersAaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)5
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 8:15PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound5
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:19PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point floating jump shot5
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 8:31PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound5
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot5
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:43HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound5
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 8:46PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving finger roll layup5
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 8:49HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)5
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 9:03PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound5
39.0%
7
61.0%
Q1 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup5
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 9:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 9:06HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup5
39.6%
7
60.4%
Q1 - 9:21PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot5
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 25
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 24
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 9:36PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
45.6%
4
54.4%
Q1 - 9:54PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)4
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 10:06HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)4
46.1%
2
53.9%
Q1 - 10:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:15PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot2
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:21PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot2
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:33PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)2
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 11:07PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (discontinue dribble)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:21PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:24HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:31HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:34PacersPascal Siakam misses two point pullup jump shot0
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:41PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound0
42.3%
0
57.7%
Q1 - 11:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
44.3%
0
55.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
IND
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
29
45%
IND
18
29
62%
Midrange
MIA
18
28
64%
IND
17
25
68%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
IND
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
29
32
91%
IND
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2764%13.5 / 21
T. Herro2175%10.5 / 14
B. Adebayo2050%10.0 / 20
C. Martin2083%10.0 / 12
N. Jović1882%9.0 / 11
T. Rozier429%2.0 / 7
J. Jaquez375%1.5 / 2
K. Love225%1.0 / 4
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 4
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2269%11.0 / 16
T. McConnell2279%11.0 / 14
P. Siakam1856%9.0 / 16
A. Nesmith1657%8.0 / 14
O. Toppin1393%6.5 / 7
T. Haliburton1250%6.0 / 12
A. Nembhard1071%5.0 / 7
J. Smith433%2.0 / 6
B. Sheppard0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+9
-7
97
IND
90
+9
-6
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
IND
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
120.7
MIA 121.1
IND 121.9 +0.8
Pace
96.7
102.1
MIA 106.8 +20.4
IND 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
13.8
MIA 13.5 +3.2
IND 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
57.9%
MIA 51.2%
IND 56.4% +5.2%
TO %
12.2%
12.0%
MIA 6.7% +0.1%
IND 6.8%
ORB %
21.8%
23.8%
MIA 19.5% +8.1%
IND 11.4%
FTrt
25.7
22.2
MIA 38.1 +13.7
IND 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
65.4%
MIA 53.8%
IND 61.4% +7.6%
STL %
7.8%
7.5%
MIA 3.2%
IND 4.2% +1.0%
BLK %
6.9%
9.7%
MIA 3.7%
IND 10.5% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
59.4%
MIA 59.3% +0.2%
IND 59.1%
Rim FG%
61.2%
65.5%
MIA 44.8%
IND 62.1% +17.3%
Mid FG%
44.2%
48.9%
MIA 64.3%
IND 68.0% +3.7%
3P %
37.0%
37.4%
MIA 29.6% +1.5%
IND 28.1%
FT %
81.8%
78.2%
MIA 90.6%
IND 95.2% +4.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
37.2%
MIA 34.5% +0.8%
IND 33.7%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
24.7%
MIA 33.3%
IND 29.1% +4.3%
3P Att. %
39.4%
38.0%
MIA 32.1%
IND 37.2% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes21.426.7
Points115117
Rebounds3937
Assists2127
Steals34
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)6 (1)
Fouls2224
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)33 (4)
Field Goals39-8444-86
At-the-Rim FG13-2918-29
Midrange FG18-2817-25
2-Point FG31-5735-54
3-Point FG8-279-32
Free Throws29-3220-21
Fast Break Pts66
2nd Chance Pts411
Points in Paint4258
Pts off Turnovers69
Bench Points4639
Biggest Lead222

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
38.9
27
64%
7
8
1
0
0
1
2
5
12-12
100%
6-13
46%
1-3
33%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
37.0
20
50%
12
3
0
1
1
5
3
9
3-4
75%
7-14
50%
1-4
25%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
24.1
18
82%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
21.8
4
29%
0
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
12.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29
36.0
20
83%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-5
60%
7-9
78%
1-1
100%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
31.1
21
75%
5
1
0
0
1
3
0
5
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
19.1
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
12.6
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
7.5
2
25%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Low Back; Soreness
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
39
21
3
2
7
22
8
31
29-32
91%
31-57
54%
8-27
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.