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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 6, 2024
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks31%110110
4Nuggets69%118142
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'4" 180 · 27.5
35.9
39.7
14
42%
2
12
1
2
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-7
7-13
14%
52%
3-8
38%
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 219 · 22.3
33.9
34.6
17
47%
6
4
1
1
0
6
1
5
0-0
-
7-13
6-10
54%
57%
1-5
20%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'5" 225 · 31.6
30.9
38.6
18
80%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 256 · 29.9
30.4
32.4
19
84%
12
3
1
1
0
1
5
7
9-12
75%
5-6
6-11
83%
59%
0-0
-
De'Andre Hunter
F-G · 6'8" 221 · 26.3
29.4
38.9
18
64%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
3-3
4-8
100%
52%
2-8
25%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 23.8
25.3
24.5
3
50%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
1-2
50%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 27.4
19.2
20.6
11
75%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
2-5
40%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 25.6
17.6
22.3
6
33%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
58%
0-0
-
Kobe Bufkin
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.5
13.7
15.3
4
33%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Mouhamed Gueye
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.4
3.7
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 37.5
7.6
0
0-1
43%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.8
4.8
0
0-1
48%
Seth Lundy
G-F · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
Trae Young
G · 6'1" 164 · 25.5
Dylan Windler
G-F · 6'8" 196 · 27.5
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.6
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
Saddiq Bey
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.1
30.7
36.1
19
61%
14
11
2
1
0
4
1
13
5-6
83%
4-10
11-17
40%
65%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 31.1
27.9
32.6
24
100%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
6-9
67%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 25.8
24.9
33.4
20
78%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
5-8
75%
61%
4-8
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
24.6
28.1
5
83%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
20.9
32.5
16
67%
3
6
0
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
7-12
57%
54%
2-4
50%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 21.6
27.1
18.4
13
73%
6
2
1
1
5
0
1
5
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
58%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 34.0
23.9
23.2
18
65%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
3-6
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 35.0
23.6
14.4
8
133%
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
2-2
100%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
14.1
8.1
5
83%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
1-1
100%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
12.2
3.8
5
51%
4
3
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
57%
1-3
33%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
3.7
2.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 24.5
3.3
2.3
3
75%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
1-2
50%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.6
3.3
2.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
62%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
6.9
0
1-2
69%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'1" 195 · 24.8
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.