FinalWin Prob.pScore
1916%106
100
184%120
135
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
102.098106.0
BOS logo BOS
137.89891.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)100
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:30.9CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound100
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:31.9ThunderGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot100
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:50.4CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup100
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 1:01ThunderLindy Waters III makes two point driving floating jump shot100
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsOshae Brissett makes regular free throw 2 of 298
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsOshae Brissett makes regular free throw 1 of 298
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:20ThunderLindy Waters III shooting foul (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)98
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 1:24ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Luke Kornet steals)98
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 1:36CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot98
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 1:50ThunderBismack Biyombo makes two point hook shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)98
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 2:00CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop layup (Payton Pritchard assists)96
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 2:11CelticsCeltics offensive rebound96
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 2:11CelticsMike Muscala blocks Payton Pritchard's two point running layup96
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 2:16CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound96
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 2:17ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point driving floating bank jump shot96
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 2:30CelticsSam Hauser makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)96
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 2:50CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound96
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:51ThunderLindy Waters III misses three point jump shot96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01CelticsSam Hauser makes two point pullup jump shot (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound96
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22ThunderGordon Hayward misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Take) (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)96
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 396
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 396
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 396
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35ThunderKenrich Williams shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)96
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07ThunderMike Muscala makes two point driving layup (Lindy Waters III assists)96
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26ThunderLindy Waters III defensive rebound94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59ThunderKristaps Porzingis blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving dunk94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point driving layup94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49ThunderLindy Waters III makes two point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Jaylen Brown assists)90
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point cutting layup90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44ThunderCason Wallace turnover (traveling)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound90
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:34CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot90
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsAl Horford turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)90
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:56CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57ThunderKristaps Porzingis blocks Kenrich Williams's two point cutting dunk90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point stepback jump shot90
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 8:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound90
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 8:28ThunderCason Wallace misses two point driving layup90
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)90
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 8:56ThunderAaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 190
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 8:56CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)89
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 9:12CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)87
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 9:36ThunderCason Wallace turnover (out of bounds lost ball)87
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 10:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk87
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 10:07ThunderCason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)87
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 10:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 10:43ThunderCason Wallace makes two point pullup jump shot87
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 10:58CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Derrick White assists)85
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 11:04CelticsCeltics offensive rebound85
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 11:06CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot85
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 11:09ThunderChet Holmgren personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)85
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 11:17ThunderCason Wallace makes two point stepback jump shot85
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 11:43CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)83
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1ThunderThunder offensive rebound83
4.8%
93
95.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating jump shot83
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q3 - 0:06.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 283
4.8%
93
95.2%
Q3 - 0:06.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 283
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q3 - 0:06.4ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)83
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q3 - 0:18.4ThunderChet Holmgren turnover (traveling)83
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q3 - 0:27.2ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound83
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q3 - 0:29.8CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot83
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q3 - 0:49.4CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound83
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q3 - 0:50.4ThunderGordon Hayward misses two point driving floating jump shot83
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q3 - 1:01CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q3 - 1:18ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point driving reverse layup (Gordon Hayward assists)83
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q3 - 1:36CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot81
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q3 - 1:58ThunderIsaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)81
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q3 - 2:08ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound78
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q3 - 2:10CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot78
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q3 - 2:25ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 278
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q3 - 2:25ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 277
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q3 - 2:25CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)76
3.7%
89
96.3%
Q3 - 2:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point driving layup76
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q3 - 2:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound76
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q3 - 2:56ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point driving layup76
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q3 - 3:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot76
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q3 - 3:23CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound76
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q3 - 3:26CelticsSam Hauser misses two point running jump shot76
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q3 - 3:33ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)76
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q3 - 3:33ThunderThunder offensive rebound76
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q3 - 3:35ThunderIsaiah Joe misses regular free throw 2 of 276
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q3 - 3:35ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 276
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q3 - 3:35CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)75
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q3 - 3:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 275
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q3 - 3:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 275
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 3:43ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)75
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 4:00ThunderKenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)75
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q3 - 4:10CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)72
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q3 - 4:13ThunderCason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)72
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q3 - 4:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 272
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 4:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 272
9.6%
78
90.4%
Q3 - 4:29ThunderLuguentz Dort shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 4:41ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 272
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 4:41ThunderIsaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 271
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q3 - 4:41CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)70
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q3 - 4:53ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound70
9.4%
77
90.6%
Q3 - 4:55CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot70
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q3 - 5:10ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 270
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 5:10ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 269
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 5:10CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 5:22CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)68
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 5:42ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point cutting layup (Cason Wallace assists)68
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 5:54ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound66
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 5:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot66
7.9%
74
92.1%
Q3 - 6:13ThunderCason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 266
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q3 - 6:13ThunderCason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 265
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 6:13CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)64
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 6:14ThunderThunder offensive rebound64
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 6:15ThunderJrue Holiday blocks Cason Wallace's two point driving layup64
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 6:28CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)64
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 6:44ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 164
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 6:44CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)63
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 6:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot61
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 7:16ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Wiggins assists)61
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 7:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip layup59
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 7:29CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound59
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 7:30CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup59
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 7:46ThunderChet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 259
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 7:46ThunderChet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 258
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 7:46CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)58
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 8:01CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Payton Pritchard assists)58
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 8:24CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound58
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 8:26ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot58
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 8:31CelticsKristaps Porzingis personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)58
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:38ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound58
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 8:39CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot58
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 8:44CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound58
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 8:48ThunderCason Wallace misses three point pullup jump shot58
8.8%
65
91.2%
Q3 - 9:04ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound58
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup58
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 9:19CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound58
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 9:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot58
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 9:39ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)58
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 9:44ThunderCason Wallace defensive rebound55
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsCason Wallace blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup55
6.4%
65
93.6%
Q3 - 10:03ThunderJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 2 of 255
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 10:03ThunderJosh Giddey makes regular free throw 1 of 254
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Josh Giddey draws the foul)53
5.6%
65
94.4%
Q3 - 10:12CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)53
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 10:17CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound53
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 10:18ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 253
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 253
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 10:28ThunderCason Wallace shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)53
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q3 - 10:45ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup (Cason Wallace assists)53
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 10:56CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)51
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 11:06ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving reverse dunk51
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 11:22CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 249
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 11:22CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 249
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 11:22ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)49
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 11:43ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point pullup jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)49
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound47
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.9CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot47
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 0:03.5ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:03.5ThunderThunder offensive rebound47
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q2 - 0:04.5ThunderJaylen Brown blocks Chet Holmgren's two point running layup47
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q2 - 0:07.6ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound47
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q2 - 0:09.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot47
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 0:30.9CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound47
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:30.9ThunderJaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 247
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 0:30.9ThunderJaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 247
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q2 - 0:30.9CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)46
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)46
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q2 - 0:55.3ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 246
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q2 - 0:55.3ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 245
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q2 - 0:55.3CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)44
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 1:01ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound44
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 1:02CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot44
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 1:20ThunderJaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 244
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:20ThunderJaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 243
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:20CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)42
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 1:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup42
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 2:05CelticsCeltics defensive rebound42
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q2 - 2:06ThunderAl Horford blocks Luguentz Dort's two point cutting layup42
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 2:07ThunderThunder offensive rebound42
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 2:08ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point floating jump shot42
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 2:09ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound42
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 2:10ThunderJaylin Williams misses three point jump shot42
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 2:27CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)42
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q2 - 2:37ThunderIsaiah Joe makes two point running finger roll layup42
4.9%
54
95.1%
Q2 - 2:43ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound40
4.4%
54
95.6%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot40
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 2:59ThunderIsaiah Joe makes two point driving reverse layup (Jaylin Williams assists)40
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 3:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup38
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q2 - 3:16CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound38
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 3:17CelticsIsaiah Joe blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup38
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 3:41ThunderJaylin Williams makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)38
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 3:56CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)36
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 4:12ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating jump shot36
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 4:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)34
3.8%
50
96.2%
Q2 - 4:43CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound34
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 4:46ThunderKristaps Porzingis blocks Chet Holmgren's two point driving dunk34
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 5:02CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)34
5.2%
47
94.8%
Q2 - 5:20ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cason Wallace assists)34
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 5:31ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound32
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 5:34CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot32
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 5:53ThunderIsaiah Joe makes three point stepback jump shot32
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q2 - 6:16CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)29
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 6:32CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound29
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 6:34ThunderCason Wallace misses three point jump shot29
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 6:45ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound29
4.7%
43
95.3%
Q2 - 6:48CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot29
4.6%
43
95.4%
Q2 - 6:59CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound29
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 7:01ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot29
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 7:10CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)29
4.8%
43
95.2%
Q2 - 7:40ThunderCason Wallace makes two point driving floating jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)29
5.3%
41
94.7%
Q2 - 7:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)27
4.8%
41
95.2%
Q2 - 7:55CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound27
5.8%
38
94.2%
Q2 - 7:56CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point alley-oop layup27
6.2%
38
93.8%
Q2 - 8:08ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point putback layup27
5.8%
38
94.2%
Q2 - 8:10ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound25
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:12ThunderAaron Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot25
4.9%
38
95.1%
Q2 - 8:23CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)25
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q2 - 8:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound25
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:40ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point driving layup25
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 8:50ThunderGordon Hayward defensive rebound25
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point running reverse layup25
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 8:56CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound25
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 8:57ThunderChet Holmgren misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point tip dunk25
6.5%
36
93.5%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound25
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 9:18CelticsAl Horford misses three point running jump shot25
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 9:24CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound25
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 9:25ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving finger roll layup25
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 9:35ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound25
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 9:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 9:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound25
7.1%
34
92.9%
Q2 - 9:47ThunderKristaps Porzingis blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point layup25
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 9:51ThunderThunder offensive rebound25
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 9:52ThunderKristaps Porzingis blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point driving layup25
7.3%
34
92.7%
Q2 - 10:12CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point running layup25
7.9%
34
92.1%
Q2 - 10:18CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound25
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q2 - 10:19ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot25
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q2 - 10:31ThunderGordon Hayward defensive rebound25
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q2 - 10:32CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot25
9.2%
32
90.8%
Q2 - 10:50ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point running layup (Gordon Hayward assists)25
8.6%
32
91.4%
Q2 - 10:55CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)23
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 11:01ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q2 - 11:12ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound23
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 11:14CelticsAaron Wiggins blocks Al Horford's two point driving layup23
7.7%
32
92.3%
Q2 - 11:24ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)23
7.3%
32
92.7%
Q2 - 11:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 223
7.9%
32
92.1%
Q2 - 11:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 223
8.0%
31
92.0%
Q2 - 11:32ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)23
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q2 - 11:48CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound23
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 11:51ThunderGordon Hayward misses two point pullup jump shot23
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound23
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q1 - 0:01.5CelticsSam Hauser misses three point pullup jump shot23
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q1 - 0:17.8ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 223
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q1 - 0:17.8ThunderLuguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 222
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q1 - 0:17.8CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)21
8.2%
30
91.8%
Q1 - 0:27.6CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point running reverse layup (Payton Pritchard assists)21
7.8%
30
92.2%
Q1 - 0:31.6CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound21
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q1 - 0:33.2ThunderIsaiah Joe misses three point jump shot21
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q1 - 0:44.8CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup21
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q1 - 0:45.8CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound21
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 0:46.1CelticsLuguentz Dort blocks Payton Pritchard's two point pullup jump shot21
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:51.2CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound21
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 0:52.5CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot21
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q1 - 0:59.4CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound21
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 1:02ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point driving reverse layup21
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q1 - 1:16CelticsAl Horford makes two point layup (Payton Pritchard assists)21
11.0%
26
89.0%
Q1 - 1:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound21
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:28ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot21
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 1:41CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 1:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound21
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q1 - 1:50ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot21
12.2%
24
87.8%
Q1 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)21
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 2:13CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound21
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 2:14CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot21
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 2:29ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)21
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 2:53CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 221
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 2:53CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 221
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 2:53ThunderKenrich Williams shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)21
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 3:12ThunderCason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 221
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 3:12ThunderCason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 220
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 3:12CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)19
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 3:18ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound19
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:19ThunderJaylen Brown blocks Kenrich Williams's two point pullup jump shot19
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:30ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound19
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup19
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 3:35CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound19
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:37ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point driving bank hook shot19
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:47ThunderThunder offensive rebound19
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:50ThunderJaylin Williams misses three point jump shot19
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 4:02CelticsAl Horford makes two point layup (Payton Pritchard assists)19
16.0%
19
84.0%
Q1 - 4:13CelticsCeltics offensive rebound19
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 4:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 4:44ThunderJosh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)19
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 4:46ThunderJaylin Williams offensive rebound16
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 4:48ThunderCason Wallace misses three point running jump shot16
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Joe steals)16
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 5:01CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound16
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:03ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot16
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 5:07CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Cason Wallace steals)16
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 5:09ThunderJaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 216
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:09ThunderJaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 215
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 5:09CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)14
13.2%
17
86.8%
Q1 - 5:29CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)14
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 5:45ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup (Jaylin Williams assists)14
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 5:54ThunderIsaiah Joe defensive rebound12
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 5:56CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot12
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 6:03CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound12
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 6:05ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving floating bank jump shot12
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 6:13ThunderJaylin Williams defensive rebound12
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:14CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot12
13.2%
14
86.8%
Q1 - 6:33ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Cason Wallace assists)12
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)10
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 7:06ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving floating bank jump shot10
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 7:23CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)8
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 7:42ThunderAaron Wiggins makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 7:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup (Jrue Holiday assists)6
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:06CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound6
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 8:08ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point pullup jump shot6
13.2%
7
86.8%
Q1 - 8:16ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound6
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 8:17CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot6
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 8:36ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving finger roll layup6
12.9%
7
87.1%
Q1 - 8:45ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound4
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 8:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot4
11.9%
7
88.1%
Q1 - 8:57ThunderCason Wallace makes two point running dunk (Josh Giddey assists)4
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:00CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)2
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 9:11ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 9:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)2
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 9:37CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound2
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 9:40ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot2
12.4%
4
87.6%
Q1 - 9:46ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound2
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 9:49CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 9:54ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip layup2
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating bank jump shot2
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:23CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:25ThunderDerrick White blocks Chet Holmgren's two point driving floating jump shot2
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:39ThunderChet Holmgren defensive rebound2
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 10:58ThunderChet Holmgren makes two point driving layup2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:03ThunderChet Holmgren offensive rebound0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:05ThunderChet Holmgren misses three point jump shot0
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:21CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:35ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 12:00Chet Holmgren vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics gains possession)0
13.3%
0
86.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.03 51.5%
BOS
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
18
32
56%
BOS
22
31
71%
Midrange
OKC
12
25
48%
BOS
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
BOS
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
OKC
25
28
89%
BOS
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Giddey1771%8.5 / 12
L. Dort1554%7.5 / 14
I. Joe1393%6.5 / 7
C. Wallace1255%6.0 / 11
C. Holmgren1137%5.5 / 15
A. Wiggins1045%5.0 / 11
K. Williams739%3.5 / 9
J. Williams758%3.5 / 6
L. Waters467%2.0 / 3
M. Muscala2100%1.0 / 1
B. Biyombo2100%1.0 / 1
G. Hayward0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Porziņģis2790%13.5 / 15
J. Tatum2463%12.0 / 19
J. Brown2355%11.5 / 21
A. Horford1680%8.0 / 10
J. Holiday1267%6.0 / 9
P. Pritchard1150%5.5 / 11
S. Hauser1063%5.0 / 8
D. White867%4.0 / 6
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
O. Brissett2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
85
+12
-13
97
BOS
88
+16
-10
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.03 51.5%
BOS
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.4
122.4
OKC 102.0
BOS 137.8 +35.7
Pace
100.8
97.7
OKC 106.0 +15.1
BOS 91.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.1
OKC 13.6 +2.3
BOS 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
57.8%
OKC 46.3%
BOS 63.6% +17.3%
TO %
11.7%
11.5%
OKC 13.0%
BOS 9.9% +3.1%
ORB %
21.2%
24.9%
OKC 12.5%
BOS 29.7% +17.2%
FTrt
24.0
22.4
OKC 34.6 +13.9
BOS 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
61.3%
OKC 60.0%
BOS 66.0% +6.0%
STL %
8.4%
6.9%
OKC 8.2% +1.1%
BOS 7.1%
BLK %
12.6%
12.0%
OKC 9.6%
BOS 17.5% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.2%
59.5%
OKC 51.5%
BOS 64.9% +13.4%
Rim FG%
65.1%
67.2%
OKC 56.3%
BOS 71.0% +14.7%
Mid FG%
46.4%
43.7%
OKC 48.0%
BOS 52.4% +4.4%
3P %
38.8%
38.8%
OKC 20.8%
BOS 42.5% +21.7%
FT %
82.5%
80.7%
OKC 89.3%
BOS 94.7% +5.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.1%
31.1%
OKC 39.5% +5.8%
BOS 33.7%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
21.8%
OKC 30.9%
BOS 22.8% +8.0%
3P Att. %
38.3%
47.1%
OKC 29.6%
BOS 43.5% +13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsOKCBOS
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.225.9
Points100135
Rebounds3146
Assists2133
Steals87
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (1)
Fouls1118
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (7)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)35 (1)
Field Goals35-8150-92
At-the-Rim FG18-3222-31
Midrange FG12-2511-21
2-Point FG30-5733-52
3-Point FG5-2417-40
Free Throws25-2818-19
Fast Break Pts1121
2nd Chance Pts1127
Points in Paint5458
Pts off Turnovers1323
Bench Points3541
Biggest Lead235

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PF · 6'5" 190 · 25
28.7
10
45%
1
5
1
1
4
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
#5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25
28.4
15
54%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
9-9
100%
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
#22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20
28.3
12
55%
1
5
4
1
4
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
#3 · PG · 6'8" 216 · 21
28.3
17
71%
6
2
0
0
2
0
2
4
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
#7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22
27.5
11
37%
7
2
0
0
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
#34 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29
25.4
7
39%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
#11 · SG · 6'3" 165 · 25
20.4
13
93%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
#33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34
18.3
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
14.9
7
58%
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27
10.2
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33
6.1
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#15 · C · 6'9" 255 · 32
3.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#30 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
#2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Quad; Contusion
#13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#14 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
31
21
8
5
13
11
5
26
25-28
89%
30-57
53%
5-24
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.