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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 2, 2024
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Spurs23%106105
9Nuggets77%116110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.8
37.3
29.1
11
49%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'4" 180 · 20.9
37.1
22.4
24
60%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
7-11
3-5
64%
51%
3-8
38%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 20.2
34.0
29.6
23
36%
15
8
1
1
9
2
5
10
3-6
50%
7-18
6-10
39%
55%
2-11
18%
Tre Jones
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.2
32.3
29.9
10
45%
12
11
1
1
1
0
3
9
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
2-5
40%
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
18.2
24.3
10
71%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
2-4
50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
24.1
12.1
10
56%
9
1
0
0
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
56%
2-4
50%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
19.4
9.9
2
20%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-4
0%
Zach Collins
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
17.6
16.8
13
57%
8
2
0
0
1
0
1
7
0-1
0%
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
1-3
33%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.0
15.1
13.5
2
17%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'6" 200 · 20.0
5.0
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
RaiQuan Gray
F · 6'7" 269 · 24.7
10.6
0
1-2
49%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.5
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Jamaree Bouyea
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.8
2.9
0
0-0
45%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.9
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.6
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'8" 215 · 20.9
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.1
37.6
34.5
42
61%
16
6
1
1
2
4
4
12
5-6
83%
17-26
10-15
65%
65%
1-6
17%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 25.8
35.2
30.0
15
43%
16
3
1
1
1
1
2
14
2-3
67%
2-8
4-7
25%
61%
3-8
38%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
33.0
30.0
23
86%
7
4
1
1
1
0
2
5
3-3
100%
7-8
5-8
88%
63%
2-4
50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 31.1
32.8
30.8
4
23%
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 34.0
25.9
25.4
9
35%
0
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
51%
1-3
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
27.5
24.3
5
43%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 35.0
22.6
16.4
5
42%
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
54%
1-2
50%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 21.6
19.8
17.6
7
58%
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
1-3
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
5.5
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
69%
0-0
-
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'1" 195 · 24.8
8.9
0
1-1
56%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
5.0
0
0-1
57%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
3.3
0
0-1
58%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.6
3.1
0
0-0
63%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 24.4
3.1
0
0-0
56%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.