FinalWin Prob.pScore
552%108
99
1248%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
107.69289.9
MIA logo MIA
117.29395.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:06.1HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.1HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Caleb Martin assists)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.2HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.6KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.7HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.5KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot99
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q4 - 1:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)97
2.3%
104
97.7%
Q4 - 1:33KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 197
6.2%
102
93.8%
Q4 - 1:33HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)96
5.6%
102
94.4%
Q4 - 1:34KnicksKnicks offensive rebound94
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 1:34KnicksCaleb Martin blocks Donte DiVincenzo's two point pullup jump shot94
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)94
3.1%
102
96.9%
Q4 - 2:10KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)94
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup94
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound94
9.5%
98
90.5%
Q4 - 2:29HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup94
14.6%
98
85.4%
Q4 - 2:45HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound94
9.4%
98
90.6%
Q4 - 2:48KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
11.4%
98
88.6%
Q4 - 3:09HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 3 of 394
19.6%
98
80.4%
Q4 - 3:09HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 394
20.5%
97
79.5%
Q4 - 3:09HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 394
21.7%
96
78.3%
Q4 - 3:09KnicksPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)94
22.9%
95
77.1%
Q4 - 3:23KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot94
33.1%
95
66.9%
Q4 - 3:48HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)92
30.0%
95
70.0%
Q4 - 3:59KnicksPrecious Achiuwa makes two point tip layup92
45.7%
92
54.3%
Q4 - 3:59KnicksPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound90
37.9%
92
62.1%
Q4 - 4:03KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot90
31.6%
92
68.4%
Q4 - 4:05KnicksBojan Bogdanovic offensive rebound90
37.8%
92
62.2%
Q4 - 4:11KnicksBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot90
31.5%
92
68.5%
Q4 - 4:32HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)90
37.7%
92
62.3%
Q4 - 4:32HeatHeat offensive rebound90
28.8%
92
71.2%
Q4 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot90
34.8%
92
65.2%
Q4 - 4:59KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)90
28.7%
92
71.3%
Q4 - 5:10HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)88
25.7%
92
74.3%
Q4 - 5:19KnicksBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound88
25.7%
92
74.3%
Q4 - 5:23HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot88
23.7%
92
76.3%
Q4 - 5:53KnicksMiles McBride makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)88
19.4%
92
80.6%
Q4 - 5:59HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)85
11.6%
92
88.4%
Q4 - 6:06KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)85
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 6:07HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound85
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 6:09KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
11.8%
92
88.2%
Q4 - 6:30HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)85
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q4 - 6:46KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 285
10.6%
92
89.4%
Q4 - 6:46KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 284
10.3%
92
89.7%
Q4 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)83
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 6:50KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound83
8.6%
92
91.4%
Q4 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot83
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 7:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot83
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 7:21KnicksBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound81
6.6%
92
93.4%
Q4 - 7:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 7:40KnicksBojan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 2 of 281
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 7:40KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 281
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 7:40HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)80
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 7:47KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound80
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 7:50HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot80
4.7%
92
95.3%
Q4 - 7:59HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound80
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 8:03KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot80
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 8:17KnicksPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound80
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 8:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot80
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 8:38HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound80
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 8:40KnicksMiles McBride misses two point pullup jump shot80
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 8:55HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 280
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 8:55HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 280
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 8:55KnicksDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)80
6.4%
90
93.6%
Q4 - 9:02KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)80
8.4%
90
91.6%
Q4 - 9:16KnicksPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound80
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 9:19HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot80
9.9%
90
90.1%
Q4 - 9:28HeatHeat offensive rebound80
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q4 - 9:28HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point layup80
9.8%
90
90.2%
Q4 - 9:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound80
8.3%
90
91.7%
Q4 - 9:41KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot80
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q4 - 9:50HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround jump shot80
10.5%
90
89.5%
Q4 - 9:52HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound80
12.6%
88
87.4%
Q4 - 9:53HeatMiles McBride blocks Caleb Martin's two point pullup jump shot80
14.7%
88
85.3%
Q4 - 10:12KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point cutting layup (Josh Hart assists)80
14.1%
88
85.9%
Q4 - 10:28HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Kevin Love assists)78
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 10:53KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes two point stepback jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)78
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 11:04HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)76
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 11:04KnicksKnicks defensive rebound76
13.0%
86
87.0%
Q4 - 11:05HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot76
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 11:17KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)76
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)73
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound73
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot73
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatKevin Love defensive rebound73
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q3 - 0:02.6KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 273
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q3 - 0:02.6KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 273
13.3%
83
86.7%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)73
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q3 - 0:02.6KnicksKnicks offensive rebound73
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q3 - 0:04.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot73
12.8%
83
87.2%
Q3 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 273
14.2%
83
85.8%
Q3 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 273
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q3 - 0:27.2KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q3 - 0:43.1KnicksMiles McBride turnover (traveling)73
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q3 - 0:48.3HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving bank jump shot73
19.6%
81
80.4%
Q3 - 0:58.1KnicksMiles McBride makes two point driving dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)73
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q3 - 1:10KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound71
21.3%
79
78.7%
Q3 - 1:13HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot71
20.3%
79
79.7%
Q3 - 1:32KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (offensive foul)71
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q3 - 1:32KnicksDonte DiVincenzo offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)71
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q3 - 1:39KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound71
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q3 - 1:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot71
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q3 - 2:02KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Miles McBride assists)71
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q3 - 2:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)68
14.7%
79
85.3%
Q3 - 2:40KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 268
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 2:40KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 267
16.5%
77
83.5%
Q3 - 2:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)66
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q3 - 2:55HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)66
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q3 - 2:57KnicksKnicks defensive rebound66
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q3 - 2:58HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot66
14.0%
77
86.0%
Q3 - 3:05KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)66
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 3:20KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)66
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 3:33HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)63
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 3:40HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot63
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 4:03KnicksMiles McBride makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)63
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q3 - 4:19HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)60
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 4:42KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)60
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 4:47HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)58
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 4:56KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)58
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q3 - 5:17KnicksMiles McBride personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)58
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 5:24KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot58
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk58
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q3 - 5:58KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 6:09HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)58
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 6:31HeatHeat defensive rebound58
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 6:32KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot58
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 258
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q3 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 258
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 6:47KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 7:01KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)58
19.5%
68
80.5%
Q3 - 7:09KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound55
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot55
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 7:33KnicksMiles McBride makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)55
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 8:01HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)53
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 8:05HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound53
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 8:10KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot53
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 8:23KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound53
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot53
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 8:44KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point fadeaway jump shot53
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 8:56Jump ball. Isaiah Hartenstein vs. Terry Rozier (Josh Hart gains possession)51
14.4%
65
85.6%
Q3 - 9:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 251
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 9:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 250
13.2%
65
86.8%
Q3 - 9:14HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)49
12.9%
65
87.1%
Q3 - 9:25HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot49
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 9:39KnicksMiles McBride makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)49
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot47
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
14.0%
61
86.0%
Q3 - 10:07KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot47
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q3 - 10:34HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)47
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 10:59KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 247
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 10:59KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 246
19.1%
58
80.9%
Q3 - 10:59HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)45
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 11:15HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)45
18.3%
58
81.7%
Q3 - 11:34KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)45
16.3%
58
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q2 - 0:01.7HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup43
15.4%
58
84.6%
Q2 - 0:03.5HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound43
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q2 - 0:03.5HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup43
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q2 - 0:04.2HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound43
17.4%
56
82.6%
Q2 - 0:04.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot43
18.5%
56
81.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound43
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q2 - 0:30.9KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot43
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q2 - 0:38.2HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot43
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q2 - 0:48.6KnicksMiles McBride makes two point running pullup jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)43
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q2 - 0:53.4HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)41
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q2 - 1:06KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)41
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q2 - 1:12HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)41
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 1:22HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound41
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 1:25KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot41
27.1%
50
72.9%
Q2 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler turnover (3-second violation)41
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q2 - 2:00KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (traveling)41
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 2:20HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 241
29.5%
50
70.5%
Q2 - 2:20HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 241
29.8%
49
70.2%
Q2 - 2:20KnicksMiles McBride shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)41
30.2%
48
69.8%
Q2 - 2:33KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)41
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q2 - 2:50KnicksKnicks defensive rebound39
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q2 - 2:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 3:04HeatHeat defensive rebound39
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 3:06KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point running jump shot39
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 3:12HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Precious Achiuwa steals)39
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 3:21KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point running jump shot (Miles McBride assists)39
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 3:30KnicksMiles McBride defensive rebound36
23.7%
48
76.3%
Q2 - 3:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot36
22.9%
48
77.1%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (back court violation)36
21.3%
48
78.7%
Q2 - 4:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)36
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 4:16HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound36
26.4%
46
73.6%
Q2 - 4:18KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point stepback jump shot36
27.1%
46
72.9%
Q2 - 4:29HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)36
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 4:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)36
28.8%
46
71.2%
Q2 - 4:56KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)36
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q2 - 5:17KnicksAlec Burks defensive rebound36
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot36
33.1%
44
66.9%
Q2 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 5:33KnicksAlec Burks misses three point jump shot36
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 5:40KnicksAlec Burks defensive rebound36
34.0%
44
66.0%
Q2 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot36
33.0%
44
67.0%
Q2 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 5:54KnicksBojan Bogdanovic misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 6:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot36
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q2 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound36
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 6:17KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot36
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 6:37KnicksKnicks defensive rebound36
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup36
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 7:00KnicksBojan Bogdanovic turnover (offensive foul)36
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 7:00KnicksBojan Bogdanovic offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)36
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 7:02KnicksBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound36
39.6%
42
60.4%
Q2 - 7:04HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot36
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q2 - 7:21KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)36
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 7:36HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)33
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 7:58KnicksJosh Hart makes two point layup33
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 7:59HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)31
34.7%
39
65.3%
Q2 - 7:59HeatKevin Love defensive rebound31
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 8:00KnicksCaleb Martin blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point driving layup31
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 8:10KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound31
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot31
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 8:27HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound31
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 8:28KnicksPrecious Achiuwa misses two point tip layup31
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 8:29KnicksPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound31
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 8:30KnicksMiles McBride misses two point bank jump shot31
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 8:48KnicksBojan Bogdanovic defensive rebound31
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 8:52HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Caleb Martin's two point running finger roll layup31
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 8:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound31
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 8:59KnicksMiles McBride misses three point stepback jump shot31
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 9:23HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)31
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 9:37KnicksMiles McBride makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)31
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 9:45KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound28
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 9:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot28
34.1%
36
65.9%
Q2 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound28
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 9:52KnicksKevin Love blocks Miles McBride's two point cutting layup28
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 10:01KnicksPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound28
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 10:02HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup28
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 10:03HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound28
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 10:04HeatKevin Love misses two point driving finger roll layup28
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 10:28KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point driving layup28
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 10:34HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)26
30.9%
36
69.1%
Q2 - 10:49HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 10:58KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 226
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 10:58KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 1 of 225
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Bojan Bogdanovic draws the foul)24
28.1%
36
71.9%
Q2 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kevin Love assists)24
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 11:26KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes two point pullup jump shot24
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 11:29KnicksBojan Bogdanovic offensive rebound22
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 11:30KnicksPrecious Achiuwa misses two point tip layup22
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 11:30KnicksPrecious Achiuwa offensive rebound22
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 11:35KnicksJosh Hart misses two point floating jump shot22
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound22
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q1 - 0:01.2HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot22
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q1 - 0:18.6KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q1 - 0:31.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
27.6%
34
72.4%
Q1 - 0:31.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 222
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q1 - 0:31.1KnicksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q1 - 0:31.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0KnicksJosh Hart misses two point tip layup22
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound22
31.6%
32
68.4%
Q1 - 0:37.4KnicksBojan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot22
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q1 - 1:07HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)22
32.0%
32
68.0%
Q1 - 1:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound22
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q1 - 1:25KnicksBojan Bogdanovic misses three point running jump shot22
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q1 - 1:29KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound22
38.3%
29
61.7%
Q1 - 1:35HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot22
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q1 - 1:48KnicksBojan Bogdanovic makes two point driving finger roll layup22
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q1 - 2:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 120
34.8%
29
65.2%
Q1 - 2:12KnicksPrecious Achiuwa shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)20
35.2%
28
64.8%
Q1 - 2:22HeatHeat defensive rebound20
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 2:23KnicksTerry Rozier blocks Jalen Brunson's two point running layup20
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 2:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)20
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q1 - 2:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound20
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q1 - 2:37KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot20
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 3:02HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 120
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 3:02KnicksMiles McBride shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)20
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 3:09KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)20
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Mitchell Robinson steals)20
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q1 - 3:24KnicksMiles McBride makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)20
47.4%
22
52.6%
Q1 - 3:50HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)18
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 3:55KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point putback layup18
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 3:58KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound18
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 4:00KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot18
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 4:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 4:20KnicksMiles McBride makes regular free throw 2 of 218
49.9%
19
50.1%
Q1 - 4:20KnicksMiles McBride makes regular free throw 1 of 217
49.6%
19
50.4%
Q1 - 4:20HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Miles McBride draws the foul)16
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 216
48.2%
19
51.8%
Q1 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 216
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 4:37KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)16
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 4:50KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot16
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 5:02KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound16
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 5:05HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 5:23KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 216
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 5:23KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 215
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 5:23HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)14
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q1 - 5:31KnicksMiles McBride defensive rebound14
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point reverse layup14
45.7%
18
54.3%
Q1 - 5:46HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:48KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot14
44.8%
18
55.2%
Q1 - 6:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 6:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 6:24KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot14
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)14
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 6:32KnicksMiles McBride turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)14
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 6:39KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound14
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 6:41HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround jump shot14
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 6:55KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 7:09KnicksMiles McBride makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)14
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 7:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 7:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 211
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 7:22KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound11
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 7:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot11
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 7:43HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound11
48.5%
13
51.5%
Q1 - 7:46KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot11
49.2%
13
50.8%
Q1 - 8:05HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 8:18HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound11
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 8:20KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 211
54.9%
10
45.1%
Q1 - 8:20KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 211
56.3%
10
43.7%
Q1 - 8:20HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)10
56.0%
10
44.0%
Q1 - 8:23HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)10
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 8:47KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)10
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 9:04HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
49.1%
10
50.9%
Q1 - 9:28KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)7
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 9:48HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup4
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 9:58KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Hart assists)4
50.9%
5
49.1%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)2
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 10:40HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 10:57KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 11:07KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound0
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 11:11HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot0
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 11:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 11:23KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot0
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 11:45HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 20
51.2%
2
48.8%
Q1 - 11:45HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 20
51.6%
1
48.4%
Q1 - 11:45KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)0
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 12:00Isaiah Hartenstein vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
52.7%
0
47.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.14 56.9%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
12
24
50%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
NYK
11
18
61%
MIA
6
14
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
MIA
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
Free Throws
NYK
17
21
81%
MIA
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DiVincenzo3170%15.5 / 22
M. McBride2471%12.0 / 17
J. Brunson2043%10.0 / 23
B. Bogdanovic1667%8.0 / 12
I. Hartenstein4100%2.0 / 2
J. Hart233%1.0 / 3
P. Achiuwa225%1.0 / 4
M. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
A. Burks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier34100%17.0 / 17
J. Butler1757%8.5 / 15
B. Adebayo1568%7.5 / 11
H. Highsmith1464%7.0 / 11
K. Love844%4.0 / 9
C. Martin744%3.5 / 8
D. Robinson643%3.0 / 7
N. Jović583%2.5 / 3
J. Jaquez375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
78
+9
-14
87
MIA
76
+11
-17
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.14 56.9%
MIA
1.25 62.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.6
113.5
NYK 107.6
MIA 117.2 +9.6
Pace
95.7
96.7
NYK 89.9
MIA 95.2 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.8
NYK 16.0
MIA 15.1 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.0%
53.8%
NYK 53.9%
MIA 60.1% +6.2%
TO %
12.8%
12.2%
NYK 14.1% +3.7%
MIA 17.8%
ORB %
29.5%
21.8%
NYK 17.9%
MIA 23.3% +5.4%
FTrt
24.6
25.7
NYK 27.6
MIA 28.4 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
64.8%
NYK 71.4% +4.7%
MIA 66.7%
STL %
7.8%
7.8%
NYK 12.0% +6.6%
MIA 5.4%
BLK %
8.0%
6.9%
NYK 5.6%
MIA 9.5% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
56.2%
NYK 56.9%
MIA 62.6% +5.7%
Rim FG%
60.3%
61.2%
NYK 50.0%
MIA 59.1% +9.1%
Mid FG%
44.4%
44.2%
NYK 61.1% +18.2%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
36.9%
37.0%
NYK 35.3%
MIA 44.7% +9.4%
FT %
78.0%
81.8%
NYK 81.0%
MIA 95.2% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.7%
30.4%
NYK 31.6% +1.8%
MIA 29.7%
Mid Att. %
27.0%
30.2%
NYK 23.7%
MIA 18.9% +4.8%
3P Att. %
40.4%
39.4%
NYK 44.7%
MIA 51.4% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points99109
Rebounds3039
Assists2524
Steals115
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1717
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)32 (3)
Field Goals35-7636-74
At-the-Rim FG12-2413-22
Midrange FG11-186-14
2-Point FG23-4219-36
3-Point FG12-3417-38
Free Throws17-2120-21
Fast Break Pts149
2nd Chance Pts711
Points in Paint3834
Pts off Turnovers2114
Bench Points1832
Biggest Lead116

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · PF · 6'4" 215 · 29
45.6
2
33%
6
7
2
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24
44.8
24
71%
2
2
0
1
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
4-8
50%
#11 · SG · 6'2" 190 · 28
36.3
20
43%
2
10
0
0
5
2
0
2
9-10
90%
4-12
33%
1-6
17%
#0 · SF · 6'4" 203 · 27
35.3
31
70%
4
4
4
0
4
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-6
83%
6-15
40%
#55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26
18.3
4
100%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 25
26.9
2
25%
6
0
1
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35
19.4
16
67%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
#23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
10.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
3.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#13 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#00 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#1 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Elbow; Tendinopathy
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Dislocated
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
57%
30
25
11
2
14
17
7
23
17-21
81%
23-42
55%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.