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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 26, 2024
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder47%112119
7Pelicans53%113112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.7
38.3
30.8
24
53%
5
8
2
2
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
8-17
7-13
47%
55%
1-3
33%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 22.9
34.1
28.0
26
64%
2
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
5-5
100%
6-12
6-10
50%
57%
3-6
50%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 21.9
33.5
26.4
16
58%
9
4
0
1
2
1
0
9
1-2
50%
6-7
4-7
86%
61%
1-6
17%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
32.4
23.7
6
47%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 216 · 21.5
30.7
25.0
25
89%
9
4
0
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
5-8
63%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 29.3
18.1
16.6
6
75%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.7
16.2
13.2
6
75%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
2-4
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
13.5
8.8
3
150%
7
2
0
0
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 20.4
13.2
22.9
7
88%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
58%
1-1
100%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 34.0
10.0
17.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.2
15.8
1
2-3
59%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.7
5.8
0
0-0
54%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.6
4.2
0
0-1
54%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
2.7
0
0-0
60%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 20.8
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.5
41.4
32.6
23
45%
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-3
100%
4-13
4-7
31%
51%
4-11
36%
Trey Murphy III
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.8
38.9
29.4
16
77%
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
60%
4-6
67%
Zion Williamson
F · 6'6" 284 · 23.7
38.5
30.7
29
68%
5
10
3
1
0
5
1
4
9-10
90%
10-17
9-14
59%
61%
0-0
-
Herbert Jones
F · 6'7" 206 · 25.5
30.9
32.1
16
55%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
2-8
25%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.9
10.5
19.1
6
56%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
2-3
4-6
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Larry Nance Jr.
F-C · 6'8" 245 · 31.2
32.5
23.3
4
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
63%
0-0
-
Naji Marshall
F · 6'6" 220 · 26.2
23.4
21.4
7
58%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Jose Alvarado
G · 6'0" 179 · 26.0
16.1
22.1
8
57%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
2-6
33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
F · 6'8" 242 · 23.4
5.0
5.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hawkins
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.9
2.8
5.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Matt Ryan
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
3.8
0
0-0
46%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.5
2.4
0
0-0
55%
Malcolm Hill
F · 6'6" 220 · 28.4
Dyson Daniels
G · 6'7" 199 · 21.0
Brandon Ingram
F · 6'8" 190 · 26.6
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 23.3
Dereon Seabron
G · 6'7" 180 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.