for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 26, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Warriors
61%111
113
21
Heat
39%106
92
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
121.59396.8
MIA logo MIA
98.99390.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:10.9HeatCole Swider turnover (out of bounds bad pass)113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0WarriorsGui Santos makes two point driving finger roll layup (Lester Quinones assists)113
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.6HeatAlondes Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1111
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.6WarriorsJerome Robinson shooting foul (Alondes Williams draws the foul)111
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.4WarriorsGui Santos makes three point running jump shot (Moses Moody assists)111
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19WarriorsMoses Moody makes three point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36WarriorsChris Paul defensive rebound105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46WarriorsChris Paul misses two point fadeaway jump shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58WarriorsKlay Thompson offensive rebound105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32WarriorsStephen Curry misses two point driving finger roll layup105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating bank jump shot105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)105
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:45WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)102
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:48WarriorsJonathan Kuminga offensive rebound100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 3:50WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot100
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 4:11WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 4:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 4:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound100
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 4:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot100
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 4:35WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point running layup (Stephen Curry assists)100
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 4:40WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound98
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 4:42HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup98
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 4:59WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point alley-oop dunk (Draymond Green assists)98
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 5:20HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 296
98.0%
85
2.0%
Q4 - 5:20HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 296
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 5:20WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)96
97.7%
84
2.3%
Q4 - 5:37HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound96
97.9%
84
2.1%
Q4 - 5:40WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot96
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 296
97.8%
84
2.2%
Q4 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
97.9%
83
2.1%
Q4 - 6:03WarriorsKevon Looney shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
98.1%
82
1.9%
Q4 - 6:19WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point dunk (Stephen Curry assists)96
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 6:31HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)94
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 6:39WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound94
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 6:40HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot94
97.7%
82
2.3%
Q4 - 6:47WarriorsChris Paul personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 6:54HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound94
97.1%
82
2.9%
Q4 - 6:56WarriorsKevon Looney misses two point driving reverse layup94
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 7:08HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)94
97.2%
82
2.8%
Q4 - 7:22WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound94
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 7:25HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot94
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 7:32HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound94
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 7:34HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot94
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 7:52WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot94
96.3%
82
3.7%
Q4 - 8:02WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound91
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot91
92.8%
82
7.2%
Q4 - 8:18WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point driving finger roll layup91
91.5%
82
8.5%
Q4 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 289
89.5%
82
10.5%
Q4 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
90.0%
81
10.0%
Q4 - 8:28WarriorsKevon Looney shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
88.1%
81
11.9%
Q4 - 8:37WarriorsDraymond Green personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)89
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 8:53WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point running layup (Chris Paul assists)89
89.4%
81
10.6%
Q4 - 8:57WarriorsChris Paul defensive rebound87
87.1%
81
12.9%
Q4 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot87
86.1%
81
13.9%
Q4 - 9:10HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound87
82.8%
81
17.2%
Q4 - 9:13WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot87
83.9%
81
16.1%
Q4 - 9:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running finger roll layup (Delon Wright assists)87
86.2%
81
13.8%
Q4 - 9:28HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound87
88.5%
79
11.5%
Q4 - 9:32WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point pullup jump shot87
89.3%
79
10.7%
Q4 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk87
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q4 - 9:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound87
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q4 - 9:40HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving layup87
93.6%
77
6.4%
Q4 - 9:43HeatDelon Wright offensive rebound87
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot87
93.6%
77
6.4%
Q4 - 9:59WarriorsJonathan Kuminga personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)87
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 9:59WarriorsKlay Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)87
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 10:00WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound87
94.1%
77
5.9%
Q4 - 10:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot87
92.6%
77
7.4%
Q4 - 10:09WarriorsBrandin Podziemski turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)87
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 10:12WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound87
93.1%
77
6.9%
Q4 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup87
92.6%
77
7.4%
Q4 - 10:31HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound87
91.4%
77
8.6%
Q4 - 10:34WarriorsChris Paul misses three point jump shot87
92.0%
77
8.0%
Q4 - 10:44WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound87
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
92.7%
77
7.3%
Q4 - 11:09WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 287
90.7%
77
9.3%
Q4 - 11:09WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 286
90.3%
77
9.7%
Q4 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)85
89.8%
77
10.2%
Q4 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
88.8%
77
11.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
90.7%
75
9.3%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound85
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point jump shot85
91.2%
75
8.8%
Q3 - 0:03.5WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)85
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 0:03.5WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound85
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q3 - 0:03.6WarriorsKlay Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot85
90.6%
75
9.4%
Q3 - 0:25.5WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound85
91.7%
75
8.3%
Q3 - 0:28.3HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot85
91.2%
75
8.8%
Q3 - 0:33.4WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point tip dunk85
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 0:33.4WarriorsJonathan Kuminga offensive rebound83
88.2%
75
11.8%
Q3 - 0:36.5WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot83
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q3 - 0:50.2HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 283
88.2%
75
11.8%
Q3 - 0:50.2HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 283
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q3 - 0:50.2WarriorsBrandin Podziemski shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)83
89.0%
73
11.0%
Q3 - 0:53.1HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound83
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q3 - 0:55.3WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot83
90.6%
73
9.4%
Q3 - 1:16HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)83
90.9%
73
9.1%
Q3 - 1:41WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point running jump shot (Chris Paul assists)83
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)80
90.9%
70
9.1%
Q3 - 2:05WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point layup (Chris Paul assists)80
88.2%
70
11.8%
Q3 - 2:22WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound78
86.4%
70
13.6%
Q3 - 2:27HeatKlay Thompson blocks Thomas Bryant's two point layup78
85.7%
70
14.3%
Q3 - 2:37HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound78
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 2:39WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point running pullup jump shot78
84.9%
70
15.1%
Q3 - 2:42WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound78
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q3 - 2:46HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot78
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 2:55WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)78
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 2:55HeatHeat offensive rebound78
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 2:55HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot78
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q3 - 3:10WarriorsKevon Looney makes regular free throw 2 of 278
83.4%
70
16.6%
Q3 - 3:10WarriorsKevon Looney misses regular free throw 1 of 277
82.6%
70
17.4%
Q3 - 3:10HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)77
84.1%
70
15.9%
Q3 - 3:23WarriorsBrandin Podziemski offensive rebound77
83.8%
70
16.2%
Q3 - 3:26WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot77
81.9%
70
18.1%
Q3 - 3:35WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound77
83.8%
70
16.2%
Q3 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot77
83.0%
70
17.0%
Q3 - 4:05WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point stepback jump shot77
80.6%
70
19.4%
Q3 - 4:17WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound75
78.3%
70
21.7%
Q3 - 4:21HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot75
77.3%
70
22.7%
Q3 - 4:29HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound75
75.1%
70
24.9%
Q3 - 4:29HeatAndrew Wiggins blocks Nikola Jovic's two point layup75
77.3%
70
22.7%
Q3 - 4:32HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound75
75.1%
70
24.9%
Q3 - 4:35HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot75
77.4%
70
22.6%
Q3 - 4:40HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound75
75.1%
70
24.9%
Q3 - 4:43WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot75
76.1%
70
23.9%
Q3 - 4:44WarriorsKevon Looney offensive rebound75
78.3%
70
21.7%
Q3 - 4:48WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
76.1%
70
23.9%
Q3 - 5:05WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound75
77.8%
70
22.2%
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot75
76.9%
70
23.1%
Q3 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
74.7%
70
25.3%
Q3 - 5:18WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot75
75.7%
70
24.3%
Q3 - 5:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 275
77.8%
70
22.2%
Q3 - 5:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 275
78.3%
69
21.7%
Q3 - 5:35WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)75
76.1%
69
23.9%
Q3 - 5:45HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound75
77.6%
69
22.4%
Q3 - 5:47WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point running pullup jump shot75
78.4%
69
21.6%
Q3 - 5:50WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound75
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q3 - 5:55HeatGary Payton II blocks Patty Mills's two point jump shot75
79.5%
69
20.5%
Q3 - 6:21WarriorsGary Payton II makes two point cutting dunk (Draymond Green assists)75
77.3%
69
22.7%
Q3 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot73
74.9%
69
25.1%
Q3 - 7:01WarriorsStephen Curry turnover (traveling)73
76.7%
67
23.3%
Q3 - 7:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 273
79.6%
67
20.4%
Q3 - 7:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 273
80.0%
66
20.0%
Q3 - 7:11WarriorsKlay Thompson shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)73
80.4%
65
19.6%
Q3 - 7:18WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)73
81.5%
65
18.5%
Q3 - 7:23WarriorsJonathan Kuminga offensive rebound70
77.2%
65
22.8%
Q3 - 7:27WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot70
75.1%
65
24.9%
Q3 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)70
77.2%
65
22.8%
Q3 - 7:52WarriorsJonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)70
79.3%
63
20.7%
Q3 - 7:52WarriorsJonathan Kuminga offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)70
81.9%
63
18.1%
Q3 - 8:00HeatPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Draymond Green steals)70
81.9%
63
18.1%
Q3 - 8:11WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Draymond Green assists)70
78.8%
63
21.2%
Q3 - 8:26HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)68
76.9%
63
23.1%
Q3 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
78.8%
61
21.2%
Q3 - 8:39WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 168
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q3 - 8:39HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)68
80.6%
61
19.4%
Q3 - 8:51HeatTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot66
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 9:12WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 266
78.5%
59
21.5%
Q3 - 9:12WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 265
78.0%
59
22.0%
Q3 - 9:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)64
77.2%
59
22.8%
Q3 - 9:13WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound64
76.6%
59
23.4%
Q3 - 9:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot64
75.7%
59
24.3%
Q3 - 9:39WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot64
73.7%
59
26.3%
Q3 - 9:51HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot62
71.5%
59
28.5%
Q3 - 10:09WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point alley-oop dunk (Draymond Green assists)62
73.3%
57
26.7%
Q3 - 10:13WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound60
71.3%
57
28.7%
Q3 - 10:15HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running layup60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 10:20HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound60
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 10:23WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point running pullup jump shot60
69.0%
57
31.0%
Q3 - 10:26WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound60
71.3%
57
28.7%
Q3 - 10:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point tip layup60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 10:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound60
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 10:30HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving layup60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 10:45WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot60
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 10:53WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound58
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 10:56HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot58
64.6%
57
35.4%
Q3 - 11:13WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving finger roll layup58
62.4%
57
37.6%
Q3 - 11:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Nikola Jovic assists)56
59.6%
57
40.4%
Q3 - 11:47WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)56
62.4%
55
37.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
56.5%
55
43.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound53
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q2 - 0:01.6HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot53
56.2%
55
43.8%
Q2 - 0:02.2WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point layup (Chris Paul assists)53
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)51
50.7%
55
49.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)51
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q2 - 0:40.3HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point layup48
47.6%
53
52.4%
Q2 - 0:41.4WarriorsChris Paul turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)48
51.2%
51
48.8%
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
53.8%
51
46.2%
Q2 - 1:01WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving hook shot48
58.1%
49
41.9%
Q2 - 1:13WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound46
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q2 - 1:15HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot46
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q2 - 1:27WarriorsDraymond Green personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
52.0%
49
48.0%
Q2 - 1:37WarriorsMoses Moody turnover (offensive foul)46
52.0%
49
48.0%
Q2 - 1:37WarriorsMoses Moody offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)46
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q2 - 1:47WarriorsStephen Curry defensive rebound46
54.5%
49
45.5%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot46
53.7%
49
46.3%
Q2 - 2:06HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound46
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q2 - 2:09WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point jump shot46
52.9%
49
47.1%
Q2 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running finger roll layup46
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q2 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 2:26WarriorsBam Adebayo blocks Draymond Green's two point driving floating jump shot46
58.7%
47
41.3%
Q2 - 2:43HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)46
60.8%
47
39.2%
Q2 - 2:44HeatHeat offensive rebound46
57.8%
47
42.2%
Q2 - 2:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot46
59.9%
47
40.1%
Q2 - 3:04HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound46
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q2 - 3:09WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot46
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatPatty Mills makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 3:30WarriorsAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)46
63.4%
45
36.6%
Q2 - 3:36WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
63.4%
45
36.6%
Q2 - 3:47WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound44
61.2%
45
38.8%
Q2 - 3:50HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup44
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q2 - 4:06WarriorsMoses Moody makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)44
58.7%
45
41.3%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Draymond Green steals)41
53.5%
45
46.5%
Q2 - 4:27HeatHeat defensive rebound41
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q2 - 4:27WarriorsTerry Rozier blocks Gary Payton II's two point layup41
51.4%
45
48.6%
Q2 - 4:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)41
53.5%
45
46.5%
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
55.9%
43
44.1%
Q2 - 4:44WarriorsGary Payton II misses two point alley-oop layup41
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 5:02HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)41
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 5:15WarriorsMoses Moody misses regular free throw 2 of 241
64.3%
40
35.7%
Q2 - 5:15WarriorsMoses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 241
65.9%
40
34.1%
Q2 - 5:15HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)40
65.3%
40
34.7%
Q2 - 5:23HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)40
64.5%
40
35.5%
Q2 - 5:26HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound40
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 5:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot40
68.4%
38
31.6%
Q2 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q2 - 5:43WarriorsDraymond Green misses two point floating jump shot40
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q2 - 5:50HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)40
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 5:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point fadeaway jump shot40
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 6:06WarriorsGary Payton II personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
71.1%
36
28.9%
Q2 - 6:24HeatHeat defensive rebound40
71.1%
36
28.9%
Q2 - 6:28WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot40
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 6:43HeatThomas Bryant turnover (3-second violation)40
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 6:53HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound40
71.1%
36
28.9%
Q2 - 6:55WarriorsKevon Looney misses two point layup40
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 7:08WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound40
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 7:10HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving finger roll layup40
72.8%
36
27.2%
Q2 - 7:22HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound40
71.2%
36
28.8%
Q2 - 7:25WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point pullup jump shot40
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 7:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)40
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 7:57WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point running finger roll layup40
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 8:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)38
73.3%
34
26.7%
Q2 - 8:10WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point pullup jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)38
71.1%
34
28.9%
Q2 - 8:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)36
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 8:57WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point running layup (Klay Thompson assists)36
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 9:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Brandin Podziemski steals)34
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 9:24WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point stepback jump shot (Chris Paul assists)34
68.6%
31
31.4%
Q2 - 9:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point reverse layup (Delon Wright assists)31
64.2%
31
35.8%
Q2 - 9:56WarriorsKlay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)31
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 10:05WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound28
62.1%
29
37.9%
Q2 - 10:07WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 128
60.0%
29
40.0%
Q2 - 10:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)28
61.3%
29
38.7%
Q2 - 10:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)26
57.3%
29
42.7%
Q2 - 10:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound26
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q2 - 10:43WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot26
62.7%
26
37.3%
Q2 - 10:51WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound26
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 10:56HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot26
63.6%
26
36.4%
Q2 - 11:10HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound26
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q2 - 11:13WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point driving floating jump shot26
62.8%
26
37.2%
Q2 - 11:20WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound26
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 11:22HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot26
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 11:39WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)26
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
59.9%
26
40.1%
Q1 - 0:01.4WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound24
59.9%
26
40.1%
Q1 - 0:01.4HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot24
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q1 - 0:08.7HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound24
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q1 - 0:10.9WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot24
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q1 - 0:29.5WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound24
59.9%
26
40.1%
Q1 - 0:31.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot24
59.2%
26
40.8%
Q1 - 0:54.2HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound24
57.6%
26
42.4%
Q1 - 0:54.2WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot24
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q1 - 1:22HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)24
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q1 - 1:31WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point stepback jump shot (Chris Paul assists)24
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q1 - 1:55HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)22
62.3%
23
37.7%
Q1 - 2:22WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point floating jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)22
66.5%
20
33.5%
Q1 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)20
64.8%
20
35.2%
Q1 - 2:54WarriorsWarriors turnover (8-second violation)20
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q1 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)20
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 3:12WarriorsChris Paul turnover (out of bounds lost ball)20
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Caleb Martin assists)20
72.4%
16
27.6%
Q1 - 3:48WarriorsChris Paul turnover (offensive foul)20
73.7%
14
26.3%
Q1 - 3:48WarriorsChris Paul offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)20
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 3:51WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound20
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 3:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot20
75.2%
14
24.8%
Q1 - 4:10HeatHeat defensive rebound20
73.5%
14
26.5%
Q1 - 4:12WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot20
74.0%
14
26.0%
Q1 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
75.4%
14
24.6%
Q1 - 4:30WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot20
76.6%
12
23.4%
Q1 - 4:55WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound18
75.4%
12
24.6%
Q1 - 4:57WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point stepback jump shot18
74.1%
12
25.9%
Q1 - 5:06WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound18
75.2%
12
24.8%
Q1 - 5:08HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot18
74.7%
12
25.3%
Q1 - 5:21WarriorsAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)18
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 5:34HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)18
75.2%
12
24.8%
Q1 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound18
76.5%
10
23.5%
Q1 - 5:44HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot18
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 6:02WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot18
76.4%
10
23.6%
Q1 - 6:22HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)15
73.4%
10
26.6%
Q1 - 6:41WarriorsStephen Curry makes two point jump shot15
76.4%
7
23.6%
Q1 - 6:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Nikola Jovic assists)13
74.9%
7
25.1%
Q1 - 7:11WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point running layup (Stephen Curry assists)13
76.3%
5
23.7%
Q1 - 7:14WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound11
75.1%
5
24.9%
Q1 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup11
74.6%
5
25.4%
Q1 - 7:34WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot11
73.4%
5
26.6%
Q1 - 7:47WarriorsKlay Thompson defensive rebound9
72.0%
5
28.0%
Q1 - 7:51HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup9
71.5%
5
28.5%
Q1 - 7:59HeatHeat offensive rebound9
70.2%
5
29.8%
Q1 - 7:59HeatJonathan Kuminga blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup9
71.5%
5
28.5%
Q1 - 8:09WarriorsAndrew Wiggins makes two point cutting layup (Klay Thompson assists)9
70.5%
5
29.5%
Q1 - 8:30WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound7
69.1%
5
30.9%
Q1 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot7
68.5%
5
31.5%
Q1 - 8:45WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point driving layup7
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 8:50WarriorsAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound5
65.7%
5
34.3%
Q1 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot5
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 8:58HeatNikola Jovic misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 9:07WarriorsStephen Curry personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)5
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 9:22WarriorsAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot5
64.2%
5
35.8%
Q1 - 9:32WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound5
65.6%
5
34.4%
Q1 - 9:35HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot5
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 9:44WarriorsDraymond Green personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)5
63.7%
5
36.3%
Q1 - 9:47WarriorsJonathan Kuminga personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)5
63.7%
5
36.3%
Q1 - 10:04WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)5
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 10:07WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound5
65.5%
5
34.5%
Q1 - 10:09HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot5
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 10:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound5
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 10:22WarriorsKlay Thompson misses three point jump shot5
64.2%
5
35.8%
Q1 - 10:26WarriorsStephen Curry offensive rebound5
65.5%
5
34.5%
Q1 - 10:27WarriorsStephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot5
64.2%
5
35.8%
Q1 - 10:39HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)5
65.5%
5
34.5%
Q1 - 10:55WarriorsKlay Thompson makes two point layup (Stephen Curry assists)5
67.0%
3
33.0%
Q1 - 11:04WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound3
65.7%
3
34.3%
Q1 - 11:07HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot3
65.2%
3
34.8%
Q1 - 11:28WarriorsStephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)3
63.9%
3
36.1%
Q1 - 11:45HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
60.8%
3
39.2%
Q1 - 12:00Draymond Green vs. Bam Adebayo (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
63.9%
0
36.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.22 60.8%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
22
28
79%
MIA
16
30
53%
Midrange
GSW
12
19
63%
MIA
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
13
19.5
38
34%
51%
MIA
8
12.0
33
24%
36%
Free Throws
GSW
6
10
60%
MIA
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thompson2870%14.0 / 20
J. Kuminga1864%9.0 / 14
S. Curry1757%8.5 / 15
A. Wiggins1765%8.5 / 13
M. Moody9113%4.5 / 4
K. Looney758%3.5 / 6
B. Podziemski660%3.0 / 5
G. Santos5125%2.5 / 2
D. Green440%2.0 / 5
G. Payton II233%1.0 / 3
C. Paul0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2452%12.0 / 23
T. Rozier1542%7.5 / 18
H. Highsmith15107%7.5 / 7
J. Jaquez1250%6.0 / 12
N. Jović1146%5.5 / 12
C. Martin1038%5.0 / 13
A. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
P. Mills220%1.0 / 5
D. Wright0-0.0 / 3
T. Bryant0-0.0 / 3
C. Swider0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
83
+10
-10
93
MIA
85
+16
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.22 60.8%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
117.1
113.5
GSW 121.5
MIA 98.9 +22.6
Pace
99.8
96.7
GSW 96.8 +6.0
MIA 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.8
GSW 14.9 +1.0
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.7%
53.8%
GSW 62.9% +18.3%
MIA 44.6%
TO %
13.6%
12.2%
GSW 11.8%
MIA 8.4% +3.4%
ORB %
27.5%
21.8%
GSW 20.0%
MIA 23.4% +3.4%
FTrt
21.9
25.7
GSW 11.8
MIA 14.1 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
64.8%
GSW 66.0% +1.1%
MIA 64.9%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
GSW 6.5% +3.3%
MIA 3.2%
BLK %
8.6%
6.9%
GSW 8.5% +4.2%
MIA 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
56.2%
GSW 60.8% +15.3%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
65.7%
61.2%
GSW 78.6% +25.3%
MIA 53.3%
Mid FG%
41.0%
44.2%
GSW 63.2% +18.4%
MIA 44.8%
3P %
38.0%
37.0%
GSW 34.2% +10.0%
MIA 24.2%
FT %
78.0%
81.8%
GSW 60.0%
MIA 76.9% +16.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.4%
GSW 32.9% +0.3%
MIA 32.6%
Mid Att. %
25.3%
30.2%
GSW 22.4% +9.2%
MIA 31.5%
3P Att. %
42.5%
39.4%
GSW 44.7% +8.8%
MIA 35.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.124.6
Points11392
Rebounds4339
Assists3124
Steals63
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)8 (1)
Fouls209
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)28 (3)
Field Goals47-8537-92
At-the-Rim FG22-2816-30
Midrange FG12-1913-29
2-Point FG34-4729-59
3-Point FG13-388-33
Free Throws6-1010-13
Fast Break Pts1810
2nd Chance Pts136
Points in Paint5246
Pts off Turnovers1314
Bench Points2928
Biggest Lead225

BOXSCORE

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3 Golden State Warriors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jonathan Kuminga
#00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21
31.7
18
64%
7
3
0
1
1
3
3
4
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36
31.0
17
57%
2
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
3-10
30%
Klay Thompson
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34
31.0
28
70%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
83%
6-14
43%
Andrew Wiggins
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 29
30.6
17
65%
7
1
0
2
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
1-5
20%
Draymond Green
#23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34
27.7
4
40%
9
8
2
0
1
5
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39
23.0
0
0%
2
7
2
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Brandin Podziemski
#2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21
22.0
6
60%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
Kevon Looney
#5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28
18.7
7
58%
6
1
0
0
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
#0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 31
13.5
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Moses Moody
#4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22
6.0
9
113%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Gui Santos
#15 · PF · 6'6" 185 · 22
1.6
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Lester Quinones
#25 · SG · 6'4" 208 · 23
1.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jerome Robinson
#18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dario Saric
#20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis
#32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
Usman Garuba
#12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pat Spencer
#61 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
61%
43
31
6
5
10
20
7
36
6-10
60%
34-47
72%
13-38
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.