FinalWin Prob.pScore
951%108
111
1749%107
88
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
124.78993.4
MIA logo MIA
98.98985.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:10.2PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)111
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatCole Swider makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)111
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.9HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound111
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.9PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point running alley-oop dunk111
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.8HeatJamal Cain turnover (lost ball) (Cody Zeller steals)111
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.4PelicansMatt Ryan makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)111
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.8PelicansJose Alvarado offensive rebound108
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.5PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Jamal Cain assists)108
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)108
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain makes two point putback layup105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain misses two point floating jump shot105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56PelicansJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point driving layup (Matt Ryan assists)105
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving finger roll layup (Orlando Robinson assists)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25PelicansMatt Ryan misses two point driving floating jump shot103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37PelicansCody Zeller defensive rebound103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:40HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller offensive rebound102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59PelicansOrlando Robinson blocks Jose Alvarado's two point layup102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18HeatCole Swider makes two point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05HeatCole Swider defensive rebound99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point pullup jump shot99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:27PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound96
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 296
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 5:15PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point floating jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)96
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 5:39HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)92
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:18PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound92
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop dunk92
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 6:31PelicansNaji Marshall personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)92
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 6:40PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point stepback jump shot92
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 6:48PelicansJose Alvarado offensive rebound89
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 6:51PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point floating jump shot89
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)89
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 7:35PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point layup (Herbert Jones assists)89
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 7:48PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound87
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 7:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running pullup jump shot87
99.2%
69
0.8%
Q4 - 7:58HeatCole Swider defensive rebound87
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 8:01PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot87
98.7%
69
1.3%
Q4 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup87
99.0%
69
1.0%
Q4 - 8:38PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point stepback jump shot87
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 8:50PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound84
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:54HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot84
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 9:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
97.8%
67
2.2%
Q4 - 9:10PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot84
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 9:28PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound84
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 9:31HeatDelon Wright misses regular free throw 2 of 284
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q4 - 9:31HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 284
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q4 - 9:31PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)84
98.1%
66
1.9%
Q4 - 9:42PelicansJose Alvarado makes two point driving floating jump shot84
98.3%
66
1.7%
Q4 - 9:53PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound82
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 9:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q4 - 10:14PelicansJose Alvarado personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)82
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q4 - 10:34PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point running dunk (Jose Alvarado assists)82
96.7%
66
3.3%
Q4 - 10:36PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound80
96.0%
66
4.0%
Q4 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot80
95.7%
66
4.3%
Q4 - 10:58PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)80
95.0%
66
5.0%
Q4 - 11:07PelicansPelicans defensive rebound78
93.0%
66
7.0%
Q4 - 11:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup78
92.6%
66
7.4%
Q4 - 11:26PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)78
91.6%
66
8.4%
Q4 - 11:38PelicansPelicans offensive rebound76
89.9%
66
10.1%
Q4 - 11:41PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot76
88.5%
66
11.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
89.9%
66
10.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound76
87.8%
66
12.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatDelon Wright misses three point pullup jump shot76
89.3%
66
10.7%
Q3 - 0:05.2PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot76
86.8%
66
13.2%
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 273
81.6%
66
18.4%
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 273
82.2%
65
17.8%
Q3 - 0:26.3PelicansJonas Valanciunas personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)73
82.8%
64
17.2%
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatHeat defensive rebound73
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q3 - 0:27.5PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot73
85.2%
64
14.8%
Q3 - 0:51.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 173
86.8%
64
13.2%
Q3 - 0:51.2PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
87.1%
63
12.9%
Q3 - 1:00PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point running pullup jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)73
90.8%
61
9.2%
Q3 - 1:02PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound71
87.7%
61
12.3%
Q3 - 1:07HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running pullup jump shot71
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 1:10HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
85.5%
61
14.5%
Q3 - 1:15PelicansThomas Bryant blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving layup71
86.2%
61
13.8%
Q3 - 1:42HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)71
87.8%
61
12.2%
Q3 - 2:00PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup71
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 2:10PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound69
88.4%
58
11.6%
Q3 - 2:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot69
87.8%
58
12.2%
Q3 - 2:26PelicansHerbert Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
86.4%
58
13.6%
Q3 - 2:26HeatHeat offensive rebound69
86.4%
58
13.6%
Q3 - 2:27HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot69
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 2:47PelicansNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)69
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 3:06HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)66
81.3%
58
18.7%
Q3 - 3:25PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 266
85.5%
55
14.5%
Q3 - 3:25PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 265
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q3 - 3:25HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)64
84.9%
55
15.1%
Q3 - 3:29PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound64
83.7%
55
16.3%
Q3 - 3:32PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot64
81.8%
55
18.2%
Q3 - 3:48HeatTerry Rozier makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)64
83.7%
55
16.3%
Q3 - 4:09HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound64
84.7%
53
15.3%
Q3 - 4:12PelicansNaji Marshall misses three point pullup jump shot64
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q3 - 4:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)64
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q3 - 4:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound64
90.0%
50
10.0%
Q3 - 4:41PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup64
90.5%
50
9.5%
Q3 - 4:53PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound64
91.5%
50
8.5%
Q3 - 4:56HeatZion Williamson blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup64
91.1%
50
8.9%
Q3 - 5:16HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound64
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 5:18PelicansZion Williamson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot64
89.7%
50
10.3%
Q3 - 5:25PelicansZion Williamson defensive rebound64
90.7%
50
9.3%
Q3 - 5:28HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot64
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q3 - 5:51PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot64
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 6:03PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound61
85.4%
50
14.6%
Q3 - 6:05PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot61
83.9%
50
16.1%
Q3 - 6:16PelicansPelicans defensive rebound61
85.4%
50
14.6%
Q3 - 6:17HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot61
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 6:40PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 261
83.2%
50
16.8%
Q3 - 6:40PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 260
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 6:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)59
82.5%
50
17.5%
Q3 - 6:56HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)59
81.4%
50
18.6%
Q3 - 7:17PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point pullup jump shot59
84.3%
47
15.7%
Q3 - 7:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q3 - 7:31HeatHeat offensive rebound57
80.1%
47
19.9%
Q3 - 7:32HeatHerbert Jones blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
81.9%
47
18.1%
Q3 - 7:54PelicansZion Williamson turnover (offensive foul)57
80.2%
47
19.8%
Q3 - 7:54PelicansZion Williamson offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)57
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q3 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
82.0%
47
18.0%
Q3 - 8:27PelicansZion Williamson makes two point cutting dunk (Trey Murphy III assists)57
83.6%
45
16.4%
Q3 - 8:34HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (CJ McCollum steals)55
82.0%
45
18.0%
Q3 - 8:56PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 155
79.5%
45
20.5%
Q3 - 8:56HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)54
79.1%
45
20.9%
Q3 - 9:15PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound52
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q3 - 9:18HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot52
73.4%
45
26.6%
Q3 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q3 - 9:31PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot52
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q3 - 9:40PelicansZion Williamson defensive rebound52
74.4%
45
25.6%
Q3 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot52
73.4%
45
26.6%
Q3 - 10:11PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)52
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q3 - 10:25PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound49
65.5%
45
34.5%
Q3 - 10:28HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot49
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q3 - 10:44HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound49
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 249
62.4%
45
37.6%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 249
64.2%
45
35.8%
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)48
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound48
62.5%
45
37.5%
Q3 - 10:48PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup48
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q3 - 10:55PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound48
62.5%
45
37.5%
Q3 - 10:58PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point running jump shot48
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q3 - 11:03PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound48
62.0%
45
38.0%
Q3 - 11:06HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup48
61.0%
45
39.0%
Q3 - 11:23PelicansZion Williamson makes two point driving layup48
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q3 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 146
55.9%
45
44.1%
Q3 - 11:42PelicansZion Williamson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
61.8%
42
38.2%
Q2 - 0:02.3PelicansTrey Murphy III offensive rebound46
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 0:02.3PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot46
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 0:21.8PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound46
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 0:24.8HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving finger roll layup46
63.9%
42
36.1%
Q2 - 0:34.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
62.2%
42
37.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot46
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 0:43.3PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound46
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 0:46.8PelicansJose Alvarado misses two point driving layup46
63.0%
42
37.0%
Q2 - 1:03HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)46
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 146
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 1:08PelicansJose Alvarado shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
65.0%
41
35.0%
Q2 - 1:11PelicansJose Alvarado turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)46
70.5%
39
29.5%
Q2 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
72.5%
39
27.5%
Q2 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 246
72.8%
38
27.2%
Q2 - 1:24PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
73.2%
37
26.8%
Q2 - 1:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound46
75.3%
37
24.7%
Q2 - 1:43PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot46
75.9%
37
24.1%
Q2 - 1:52PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound46
77.1%
37
22.9%
Q2 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point finger roll layup46
76.6%
37
23.4%
Q2 - 2:18PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)46
74.2%
37
25.8%
Q2 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 244
72.6%
36
27.4%
Q2 - 2:38PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 2:49PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating bank jump shot44
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 2:56PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound42
72.1%
35
27.9%
Q2 - 2:59HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot42
71.3%
35
28.7%
Q2 - 3:18PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)42
68.7%
35
31.3%
Q2 - 3:18PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound42
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 3:19PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Zion Williamson's two point driving layup42
69.6%
35
30.4%
Q2 - 3:36HeatTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot42
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 3:45PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)42
75.6%
32
24.4%
Q2 - 3:58HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)42
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 3:59HeatHeat offensive rebound42
75.6%
32
24.4%
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot42
77.3%
32
22.7%
Q2 - 4:20HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound42
75.1%
32
24.9%
Q2 - 4:22PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point running jump shot42
75.8%
32
24.2%
Q2 - 4:27PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound42
77.4%
32
22.6%
Q2 - 4:29HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot42
76.7%
32
23.3%
Q2 - 4:48PelicansHerbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)42
75.2%
32
24.8%
Q2 - 4:50PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound39
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 4:53PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot39
69.3%
32
30.7%
Q2 - 5:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Delon Wright assists)39
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 5:29PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)39
72.7%
30
27.3%
Q2 - 5:53HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)36
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q2 - 6:07PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 6:18PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound36
74.9%
27
25.1%
Q2 - 6:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot36
74.2%
27
25.8%
Q2 - 6:32PelicansJose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 236
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 6:32PelicansJose Alvarado misses regular free throw 1 of 235
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q2 - 6:32HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Jose Alvarado draws the foul)35
73.5%
27
26.5%
Q2 - 6:37PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound35
72.9%
27
27.1%
Q2 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot35
72.1%
27
27.9%
Q2 - 6:47HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
70.2%
27
29.8%
Q2 - 6:50PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot35
71.1%
27
28.9%
Q2 - 7:13HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)35
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 7:33PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point running pullup jump shot35
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 7:38PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound33
74.4%
24
25.6%
Q2 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot33
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 8:05PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)33
71.9%
24
28.1%
Q2 - 8:21PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound30
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q2 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot30
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q2 - 8:41PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot30
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 9:01PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound28
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q2 - 9:05HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot28
61.9%
24
38.1%
Q2 - 9:29PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point running pullup jump shot28
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q2 - 9:31PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound25
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q2 - 9:32HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup25
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 9:32HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q2 - 9:36HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup25
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 9:44PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)25
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q2 - 9:53PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound25
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q2 - 9:56HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving reverse layup25
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 10:08HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound25
52.9%
24
47.1%
Q2 - 10:10PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot25
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 10:20HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)25
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q2 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound25
57.8%
22
42.2%
Q2 - 10:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot25
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q2 - 10:45PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)25
57.8%
22
42.2%
Q2 - 10:53PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound23
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q2 - 10:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q2 - 11:21PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point driving hook shot (CJ McCollum assists)23
52.9%
22
47.1%
Q2 - 11:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)21
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.1PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound21
55.0%
20
45.0%
Q1 - 0:00.1PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Herbert Jones's two point driving layup21
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q1 - 0:15.1PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound21
55.0%
20
45.0%
Q1 - 0:17.7HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 0:33.3PelicansJose Alvarado makes two point running finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)21
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:36.4HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)19
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q1 - 0:55.3PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point pullup jump shot19
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 0:59.4PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound16
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 1:02HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 1:12PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot16
41.3%
20
58.7%
Q1 - 1:35HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot13
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 1:51PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot13
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 2:02PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot13
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:17PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 2:27PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound13
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 2:31HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot13
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:53PelicansJose Alvarado turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 2:56PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 2:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot13
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 3:13HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup13
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 3:24PelicansJose Alvarado misses two point pullup jump shot13
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 3:39PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 3:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot13
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 4:02PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point stepback jump shot13
39.9%
18
60.1%
Q1 - 4:09PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound10
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 4:13HeatPatty Mills misses three point running pullup jump shot10
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 4:18HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound10
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 4:22PelicansZion Williamson misses two point pullup jump shot10
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 4:38HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 4:45PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)10
33.9%
18
66.1%
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 27
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 27
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 4:57PelicansTrey Murphy III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:06PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point pullup jump shot7
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 5:11PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound7
34.9%
16
65.1%
Q1 - 5:14HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot7
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:42PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (CJ McCollum assists)7
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 5:51PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound5
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 5:55HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot5
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 6:03PelicansZion Williamson misses two point driving layup5
30.3%
16
69.7%
Q1 - 6:17HeatPatty Mills makes two point driving finger roll layup5
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 6:39PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 15
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 6:39HeatPatty Mills shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)4
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 6:49HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup2
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 7:12PelicansZion Williamson turnover (traveling)2
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 7:19PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound2
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 7:32PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point stepback jump shot2
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 7:49HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 8:02PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)2
39.8%
9
60.2%
Q1 - 8:32PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point running layup2
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:39PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 8:42HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot0
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:52PelicansZion Williamson misses two point turnaround bank hook shot0
38.2%
7
61.8%
Q1 - 9:15HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)0
39.8%
7
60.2%
Q1 - 9:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 9:29PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot0
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:39HeatPatty Mills makes two point running layup0
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:44PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 10:06HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 10:10PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 10:19PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 10:19HeatPatty Mills misses two point putback layup0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 10:20HeatPatty Mills offensive rebound0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 10:23HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 10:41PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 10:52PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 10:55HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:09PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:16PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:20HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot0
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:39PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 12:00Jonas Valanciunas vs. Bam Adebayo (CJ McCollum gains possession)0
52.9%
0
47.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.23 61.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
10
14
71%
MIA
12
21
57%
Midrange
NOP
14
32
44%
MIA
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
18
27.0
36
50%
75%
MIA
13
19.5
47
28%
41%
Free Throws
NOP
9
12
75%
MIA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. McCollum3071%15.0 / 21
J. Alvarado1765%8.5 / 13
T. Murphy1458%7.0 / 12
N. Marshall1359%6.5 / 11
H. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas8100%4.0 / 4
L. Nance6100%3.0 / 3
Z. Williamson429%2.0 / 7
J. Hawkins350%1.5 / 3
M. Ryan375%1.5 / 2
J. Robinson-Earl2100%1.0 / 1
C. Zeller1-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler1761%8.5 / 14
C. Swider14100%7.0 / 7
T. Rozier1346%6.5 / 14
B. Adebayo1267%6.0 / 9
N. Jović1056%5.0 / 9
T. Bryant8133%4.0 / 3
D. Wright531%2.5 / 8
P. Mills429%2.0 / 7
J. Jaquez321%1.5 / 7
J. Cain233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
C. Martin0-0.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
77
+13
-12
90
MIA
85
+11
-4
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.23 61.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.7
113.5
NOP 124.7
MIA 98.9 +25.8
Pace
98.5
96.7
NOP 93.4 +8.3
MIA 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.8
NOP 15.4 +1.5
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.8%
53.8%
NOP 62.2% +18.6%
MIA 43.6%
TO %
12.6%
12.2%
NOP 13.0%
MIA 6.1% +6.9%
ORB %
24.4%
21.8%
NOP 30.8% +17.1%
MIA 13.7%
FTrt
26.1
25.7
NOP 14.6
MIA 17.4 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
64.8%
NOP 59.5%
MIA 71.0% +11.5%
STL %
8.4%
7.8%
NOP 3.4%
MIA 3.4%
BLK %
9.5%
6.9%
NOP 5.1%
MIA 8.7% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.7%
56.2%
NOP 61.7% +15.9%
MIA 45.8%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.2%
NOP 71.4% +14.3%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
44.4%
44.2%
NOP 43.8% +10.5%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
38.3%
37.0%
NOP 50.0% +22.3%
MIA 27.7%
FT %
77.1%
81.8%
NOP 75.0%
MIA 86.7% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.4%
NOP 17.1%
MIA 24.4% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
27.2%
30.2%
NOP 39.0%
MIA 20.9% +18.1%
3P Att. %
37.3%
39.4%
NOP 43.9%
MIA 54.7% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points11188
Rebounds5634
Assists2522
Steals33
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)4 (2)
Fouls139
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals42-8231-86
At-the-Rim FG10-1412-21
Midrange FG14-326-18
2-Point FG24-4618-39
3-Point FG18-3613-47
Free Throws9-1213-15
Fast Break Pts138
2nd Chance Pts187
Points in Paint3830
Pts off Turnovers616
Bench Points4532
Biggest Lead2612

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25
38.7
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
35.1
30
71%
5
7
1
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
6-12
50%
#25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24
29.6
14
58%
8
3
0
0
3
1
1
7
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
4-9
44%
#1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24
24.8
4
29%
5
4
0
1
5
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
21.7
8
100%
10
0
0
0
0
4
0
10
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26
31.5
17
65%
7
6
0
0
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
4-7
57%
#22 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31
23.1
6
100%
9
1
0
0
0
0
4
5
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26
22.8
13
59%
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 242 · 23
3.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22
3.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#37 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 27
3.2
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
3.2
1
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bone Contusion
#33 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Meniscectomy
#32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
56
25
3
2
12
13
12
44
9-12
75%
24-46
52%
18-36
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.