FinalWin Prob.pScore
2137%105
107
1563%110
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.68885.4
CLE logo CLE
115.69092.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
100%
104
0%
Q4 - 0:02.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
98.1%
104
1.9%
Q4 - 0:02.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
97.7%
104
2.3%
Q4 - 0:02.8CavaliersIsaac Okoro personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)105
97.1%
104
2.9%
Q4 - 0:03.7CavaliersGeorges Niang makes two point driving layup (Caris LeVert assists)105
95.7%
104
4.3%
Q4 - 0:14.5HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot105
90.4%
102
9.6%
Q4 - 0:31.9CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point cutting dunk (Darius Garland assists)102
58.6%
102
41.4%
Q4 - 0:39.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
70.5%
100
29.5%
Q4 - 1:00CavaliersCavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)100
54.9%
100
45.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
37.0%
100
63.0%
Q4 - 1:24CavaliersIsaac Okoro shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)99
35.4%
100
64.6%
Q4 - 1:34CavaliersGeorges Niang makes regular free throw 2 of 296
12.8%
100
87.2%
Q4 - 1:34CavaliersGeorges Niang makes regular free throw 1 of 296
13.5%
99
86.5%
Q4 - 1:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)96
14.3%
98
85.7%
Q4 - 1:42CavaliersDarius Garland offensive rebound96
18.6%
98
81.4%
Q4 - 1:44CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot96
25.4%
98
74.6%
Q4 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 296
18.0%
98
82.0%
Q4 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 295
16.8%
98
83.2%
Q4 - 2:04CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)94
15.3%
98
84.7%
Q4 - 2:17CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 294
14.1%
98
85.9%
Q4 - 2:17CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 294
15.4%
97
84.6%
Q4 - 2:17HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)94
17.1%
96
82.9%
Q4 - 2:30CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound94
17.6%
96
82.4%
Q4 - 2:33HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot94
21.0%
96
79.0%
Q4 - 2:56HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound94
30.8%
96
69.2%
Q4 - 2:58CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot94
27.2%
96
72.8%
Q4 - 3:15CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound94
19.8%
96
80.2%
Q4 - 3:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot94
22.7%
96
77.3%
Q4 - 3:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound94
31.0%
96
69.0%
Q4 - 3:30CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot94
27.1%
96
72.9%
Q4 - 3:50CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound94
23.3%
96
76.7%
Q4 - 3:51HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup94
25.5%
96
74.5%
Q4 - 3:51HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound94
31.0%
96
69.0%
Q4 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
25.5%
96
74.5%
Q4 - 4:19CavaliersGeorges Niang makes regular free throw 1 of 194
30.9%
96
69.1%
Q4 - 4:19HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)94
31.9%
95
68.1%
Q4 - 4:31CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound94
47.2%
93
52.8%
Q4 - 4:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
50.3%
93
49.7%
Q4 - 4:49CavaliersJarrett Allen personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)94
57.3%
93
42.7%
Q4 - 5:05CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point driving layup94
54.5%
93
45.5%
Q4 - 5:29HeatTerry Rozier makes two point floating jump shot94
61.6%
91
38.4%
Q4 - 5:53CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)92
54.7%
91
45.3%
Q4 - 6:13HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)92
65.0%
88
35.0%
Q4 - 6:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass)92
65.0%
88
35.0%
Q4 - 6:23CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point stepback jump shot92
72.4%
88
27.6%
Q4 - 6:35CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound92
81.5%
85
18.5%
Q4 - 6:35CavaliersNikola Jovic blocks Caris LeVert's two point driving layup92
84.8%
85
15.2%
Q4 - 6:53HeatNikola Jovic makes three point stepback jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)92
81.6%
85
18.4%
Q4 - 7:08CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 289
69.4%
85
30.6%
Q4 - 7:08CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 289
70.6%
84
29.4%
Q4 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)89
72.0%
83
28.0%
Q4 - 7:20HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)89
73.6%
83
26.4%
Q4 - 7:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound89
79.4%
83
20.6%
Q4 - 7:31CavaliersCaris LeVert misses three point running jump shot89
77.7%
83
22.3%
Q4 - 7:39CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound89
73.7%
83
26.3%
Q4 - 7:42HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot89
75.6%
83
24.4%
Q4 - 7:52CavaliersCaris LeVert personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)89
79.5%
83
20.5%
Q4 - 8:21CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point pullup jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)89
77.1%
83
22.9%
Q4 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
84.4%
80
15.6%
Q4 - 8:56CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 287
81.2%
80
18.8%
Q4 - 8:56CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 287
82.1%
79
17.9%
Q4 - 8:56HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)87
83.0%
78
17.0%
Q4 - 9:11HeatDelon Wright turnover (out of bounds bad pass)87
82.4%
78
17.6%
Q4 - 9:23HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound87
85.9%
78
14.1%
Q4 - 9:25CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point reverse layup87
84.9%
78
15.1%
Q4 - 9:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Caleb Martin assists)87
82.5%
78
17.5%
Q4 - 9:51CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)85
79.4%
78
20.6%
Q4 - 10:09CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound85
83.7%
75
16.3%
Q4 - 10:09HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point putback layup85
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q4 - 10:09HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound85
86.7%
75
13.3%
Q4 - 10:11HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving layup85
84.7%
75
15.3%
Q4 - 10:36CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)85
86.8%
75
13.2%
Q4 - 10:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup85
83.8%
75
16.2%
Q4 - 10:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound83
81.1%
75
18.9%
Q4 - 11:02CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point stepback jump shot83
78.1%
75
21.9%
Q4 - 11:19HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)83
75.6%
75
24.4%
Q4 - 11:43HeatHeat defensive rebound83
79.3%
75
20.7%
Q4 - 11:43CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point pullup jump shot83
78.2%
75
21.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound83
75.7%
75
24.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot83
78.2%
75
21.8%
Q3 - 0:05.3CavaliersTristan Thompson defensive rebound83
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q3 - 0:07.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point reverse layup83
75.0%
75
25.0%
Q3 - 0:26.1HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound83
77.5%
75
22.5%
Q3 - 0:28.6CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point pullup jump shot83
76.5%
75
23.5%
Q3 - 0:34.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
74.1%
75
25.9%
Q3 - 0:57.8CavaliersTristan Thompson personal foul (Loose ball) (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)81
70.0%
75
30.0%
Q3 - 0:57.8HeatHeat defensive rebound81
70.0%
75
30.0%
Q3 - 0:57.8CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot81
68.8%
75
31.2%
Q3 - 1:05CavaliersTristan Thompson offensive rebound81
63.9%
75
36.1%
Q3 - 1:07CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot81
67.0%
75
33.0%
Q3 - 1:22HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point layup81
64.0%
75
36.0%
Q3 - 1:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound79
59.9%
75
40.1%
Q3 - 1:47CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point floating jump shot79
58.5%
75
41.5%
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 279
53.8%
75
46.2%
Q3 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 278
53.2%
75
46.8%
Q3 - 2:12CavaliersTristan Thompson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
56.8%
75
43.2%
Q3 - 2:32CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. makes regular free throw 2 of 278
54.1%
75
45.9%
Q3 - 2:32CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. misses regular free throw 1 of 278
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q3 - 2:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Marcus Morris Sr. draws the foul)78
51.2%
74
48.8%
Q3 - 2:50HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds step)78
53.9%
74
46.1%
Q3 - 3:02HeatHeat offensive rebound78
57.9%
74
42.1%
Q3 - 3:02HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup78
54.5%
74
45.5%
Q3 - 3:17CavaliersSam Merrill turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
57.9%
74
42.1%
Q3 - 3:39HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot78
53.1%
74
46.9%
Q3 - 4:03CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)76
48.7%
74
51.3%
Q3 - 4:14HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)76
44.2%
74
55.8%
Q3 - 4:14CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound76
44.2%
74
55.8%
Q3 - 4:16HeatThomas Bryant misses two point layup76
45.6%
74
54.4%
Q3 - 4:30CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 176
48.7%
74
51.3%
Q3 - 4:30HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)76
49.6%
73
50.4%
Q3 - 4:39CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound76
60.2%
70
39.8%
Q3 - 4:39HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot76
61.5%
70
38.5%
Q3 - 4:56HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound76
64.5%
70
35.5%
Q3 - 5:01CavaliersJarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 276
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 5:01CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 276
60.3%
70
39.7%
Q3 - 5:01HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)76
61.3%
69
38.7%
Q3 - 5:12CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound76
62.8%
69
37.2%
Q3 - 5:16HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot76
64.0%
69
36.0%
Q3 - 5:28CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point pullup jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)76
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q3 - 5:42HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)76
69.8%
67
30.2%
Q3 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound73
63.2%
67
36.8%
Q3 - 5:53HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot73
60.5%
67
39.5%
Q3 - 6:21CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)73
62.3%
67
37.7%
Q3 - 6:32HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)73
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 6:39CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound73
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 6:42HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot73
69.8%
64
30.2%
Q3 - 6:54HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound73
72.2%
64
27.8%
Q3 - 6:56CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point pullup jump shot73
71.1%
64
28.9%
Q3 - 7:06HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)73
67.3%
64
32.7%
Q3 - 7:28HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
64.7%
64
35.3%
Q3 - 7:30CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot71
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 7:33CavaliersCaris LeVert offensive rebound71
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q3 - 7:34CavaliersThomas Bryant blocks Caris LeVert's two point layup71
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 7:50HeatTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot71
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q3 - 7:52CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)68
54.4%
64
45.6%
Q3 - 7:59HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)68
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 8:14HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound66
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q3 - 8:18CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point running jump shot66
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 8:20CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound66
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q3 - 8:24HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot66
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q3 - 8:29CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)66
46.6%
64
53.4%
Q3 - 8:31CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound66
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q3 - 8:34HeatPatty Mills misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q3 - 8:56CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point reverse layup (Caris LeVert assists)66
46.7%
64
53.3%
Q3 - 9:10HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 266
48.7%
62
51.3%
Q3 - 9:10HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 265
48.1%
62
51.9%
Q3 - 9:10CavaliersJarrett Allen shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)64
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 9:10HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound64
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 9:10HeatCaris LeVert blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup64
43.3%
62
56.7%
Q3 - 9:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound64
46.0%
62
54.0%
Q3 - 9:22CavaliersCaris LeVert misses three point jump shot64
44.8%
62
55.2%
Q3 - 9:40HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)64
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 9:50HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound61
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q3 - 9:53CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot61
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q3 - 10:13CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
32.5%
62
67.5%
Q3 - 10:15HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 10:22HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound61
36.1%
62
63.9%
Q3 - 10:24CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot61
35.0%
62
65.0%
Q3 - 10:35CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
32.6%
62
67.4%
Q3 - 10:38HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 10:59CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point bank hook shot (Caris LeVert assists)61
36.1%
62
63.9%
Q3 - 11:12CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
38.4%
60
61.6%
Q3 - 11:13HeatNikola Jovic misses two point cutting layup61
39.4%
60
60.6%
Q3 - 11:32CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)61
41.7%
60
58.3%
Q3 - 11:41CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
47.8%
57
52.2%
Q3 - 11:45HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot61
48.8%
57
51.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.61
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q2 - 0:01.9CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
47.7%
57
52.3%
Q2 - 0:01.9HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot61
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q2 - 0:26.9CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point hook shot (Caris LeVert assists)61
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q2 - 0:32.4CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound61
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q2 - 0:34.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
54.7%
55
45.3%
Q2 - 0:58.6CavaliersCaris LeVert makes three point pullup jump shot61
56.6%
55
43.4%
Q2 - 1:05CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound61
62.5%
52
37.5%
Q2 - 1:09HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot61
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q2 - 1:24CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 261
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q2 - 1:24CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 261
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q2 - 1:24HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)61
66.2%
50
33.8%
Q2 - 1:39HeatTerry Rozier makes two point turnaround bank jump shot61
68.1%
50
31.9%
Q2 - 1:58CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point running dunk (Darius Garland assists)59
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q2 - 2:02HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)59
66.3%
48
33.7%
Q2 - 2:10HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound59
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q2 - 2:13CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot59
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q2 - 2:23CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound59
66.4%
48
33.6%
Q2 - 2:23CavaliersGeorges Niang misses two point driving layup59
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q2 - 2:32CavaliersGeorges Niang defensive rebound59
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 2:36HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot59
67.3%
48
32.7%
Q2 - 2:44HeatPatty Mills makes technical free throw 1 of 159
69.3%
48
30.7%
Q2 - 2:44CavaliersGeorges Niang technical foul58
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q2 - 2:44HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound58
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q2 - 2:44CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot58
65.9%
48
34.1%
Q2 - 2:56HeatPatty Mills makes two point stepback jump shot58
63.9%
48
36.1%
Q2 - 3:18CavaliersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)56
60.3%
48
39.7%
Q2 - 3:36HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 256
65.1%
45
34.9%
Q2 - 3:36HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 255
64.8%
45
35.2%
Q2 - 3:36CavaliersCaris LeVert shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)54
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q2 - 3:36CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)54
66.9%
45
33.1%
Q2 - 3:38CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound54
59.8%
45
40.2%
Q2 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot54
60.8%
45
39.2%
Q2 - 4:03CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving layup54
61.9%
45
38.1%
Q2 - 4:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Georges Niang draws the foul)54
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q2 - 4:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 154
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q2 - 4:22CavaliersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)53
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q2 - 4:37CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point reverse layup (Darius Garland assists)51
59.3%
43
40.7%
Q2 - 4:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup51
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 5:02CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Darius Garland assists)49
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 5:17CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound49
60.9%
39
39.1%
Q2 - 5:20HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving layup49
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 5:31HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound49
64.1%
39
35.9%
Q2 - 5:36CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point fadeaway jump shot49
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 5:53CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound49
60.9%
39
39.1%
Q2 - 5:55HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot49
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 6:04HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound49
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 6:07CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot49
62.4%
39
37.6%
Q2 - 6:25HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 149
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 6:25CavaliersJB Bickerstaff technical foul48
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 6:25HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup48
57.8%
39
42.2%
Q2 - 6:25HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound46
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 6:27HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot46
53.5%
39
46.5%
Q2 - 6:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound46
55.8%
39
44.2%
Q2 - 6:36CavaliersTristan Thompson misses two point layup46
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q2 - 6:57CavaliersTristan Thompson defensive rebound46
52.5%
39
47.5%
Q2 - 7:00HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot46
53.5%
39
46.5%
Q2 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 146
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 7:10CavaliersDarius Garland technical foul45
54.4%
39
45.6%
Q2 - 7:10CavaliersDarius Garland personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)45
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 7:17CavaliersGeorges Niang makes two point driving layup (Darius Garland assists)45
52.5%
39
47.5%
Q2 - 7:33CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound45
54.9%
37
45.1%
Q2 - 7:33HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot45
55.7%
37
44.3%
Q2 - 7:36HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound45
57.6%
37
42.4%
Q2 - 7:39CavaliersCaris LeVert misses three point stepback bank jump shot45
56.8%
37
43.2%
Q2 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 245
54.4%
37
45.6%
Q2 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 8:03CavaliersTristan Thompson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
53.7%
37
46.3%
Q2 - 8:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound43
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 8:15CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot43
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 8:37HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)43
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 8:46CavaliersSam Merrill personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)40
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 8:54CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)40
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 9:08HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)40
49.0%
34
51.0%
Q2 - 9:08CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound40
49.0%
34
51.0%
Q2 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup40
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound40
51.6%
34
48.4%
Q2 - 9:13CavaliersCraig Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot40
50.8%
34
49.2%
Q2 - 9:28CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. defensive rebound40
49.0%
34
51.0%
Q2 - 9:32HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot40
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 9:47CavaliersCaris LeVert makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Marcus Morris Sr. assists)40
51.7%
34
48.3%
Q2 - 10:04HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)40
53.7%
32
46.3%
Q2 - 10:19CavaliersCraig Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 10:19CavaliersCraig Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 238
51.9%
31
48.1%
Q2 - 10:19HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Craig Porter Jr. draws the foul)38
52.5%
30
47.5%
Q2 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Caleb Martin assists)38
53.8%
30
46.2%
Q2 - 10:42CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)36
51.4%
30
48.6%
Q2 - 10:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)36
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 11:01CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)34
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 11:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 134
43.4%
30
56.6%
Q2 - 11:17CavaliersCraig Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
43.0%
30
57.0%
Q2 - 11:25HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound31
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 11:29CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. misses three point jump shot31
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 11:41CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound31
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 11:45HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot31
37.2%
30
62.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q1 - 0:00.2CavaliersTristan Thompson defensive rebound31
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot31
36.7%
30
63.3%
Q1 - 0:09.2CavaliersSam Merrill personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)31
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q1 - 0:23.5CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris Sr. assists)31
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q1 - 0:27.9CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound31
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q1 - 0:30.1CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot31
44.4%
27
55.6%
Q1 - 0:39.1CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound31
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q1 - 0:41.6HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot31
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q1 - 1:09CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)31
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q1 - 1:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Orlando Robinson assists)31
49.7%
24
50.3%
Q1 - 1:38CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point layup (Isaac Okoro assists)29
47.3%
24
52.7%
Q1 - 1:50CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound29
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot29
50.4%
22
49.6%
Q1 - 2:17CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris Sr. assists)29
51.7%
22
48.3%
Q1 - 2:35HeatOrlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 129
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 2:35CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)28
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 2:35HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound26
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 2:37HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot26
49.9%
19
50.1%
Q1 - 2:58CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. turnover (offensive foul)26
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 2:58CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)26
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 3:17HeatOrlando Robinson makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)26
48.5%
19
51.5%
Q1 - 3:31CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point jump shot (Tristan Thompson assists)23
44.6%
19
55.4%
Q1 - 3:42CavaliersMarcus Morris Sr. offensive rebound23
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 3:44CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
50.5%
16
49.5%
Q1 - 3:53CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound23
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 3:56HeatTristan Thompson blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup23
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:13CavaliersGeorges Niang turnover (out of bounds step)23
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 4:32HeatPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)23
47.8%
16
52.2%
Q1 - 4:57CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point driving layup (Caris LeVert assists)20
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 5:08CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound20
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 5:10HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot20
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:19CavaliersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot20
46.8%
14
53.2%
Q1 - 5:31CavaliersCaris LeVert defensive rebound20
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 5:36HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot20
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 5:46HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound20
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:50CavaliersCaris LeVert misses regular free throw 3 of 320
47.2%
14
52.8%
Q1 - 5:50CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 320
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 5:50CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 320
46.5%
13
53.5%
Q1 - 5:50HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)20
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 6:18HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 6:30CavaliersCaris LeVert personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)17
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 6:41CavaliersCaris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 117
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 6:41HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Caris LeVert draws the foul)17
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 6:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot17
49.0%
9
51.0%
Q1 - 7:03HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound15
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 7:06CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point driving bank hook shot15
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 7:18HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Isaac Okoro draws the foul)15
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 7:23HeatThomas Bryant makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)15
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound13
42.8%
9
57.2%
Q1 - 7:34CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot13
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 7:39HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)13
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 7:50HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)13
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 8:10CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Georges Niang assists)10
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 8:28HeatPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot10
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 8:28HeatPatty Mills offensive rebound8
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 8:29HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot8
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 8:38CavaliersDarius Garland personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)8
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 8:38HeatHeat offensive rebound8
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 8:38HeatPatty Mills misses three point stepback jump shot8
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 8:47CavaliersCaris LeVert turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)8
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 8:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup8
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 9:12CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot6
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 9:31HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)6
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 9:52CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point putback layup3
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 9:54CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound3
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 9:55CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses two point running layup3
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 10:02HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Caris LeVert steals)3
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:08HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound3
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:10CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point hook shot3
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 10:23CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound3
31.4%
4
68.6%
Q1 - 10:26HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot3
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 10:37CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes two point running alley-oop layup (Darius Garland assists)3
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 10:42HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Georges Niang steals)3
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 10:49HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound3
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:52CavaliersIsaac Okoro misses three point jump shot3
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:05HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)3
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 11:21HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)3
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 11:41CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Caris LeVert assists)0
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 12:00Thomas Bryant vs. Jarrett Allen (Darius Garland gains possession)0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
CLE
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
26
58%
CLE
17
24
71%
Midrange
MIA
10
21
48%
CLE
3
9
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
CLE
15
22.5
42
36%
54%
Free Throws
MIA
18
19
95%
CLE
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3071%15.0 / 21
T. Rozier2471%12.0 / 17
N. Jović1458%7.0 / 12
P. Mills1042%5.0 / 12
O. Robinson8100%4.0 / 4
J. Jaquez788%3.5 / 4
T. Bryant650%3.0 / 6
C. Martin425%2.0 / 8
D. Wright233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Allen2578%12.5 / 16
D. Garland2056%10.0 / 18
G. Niang1856%9.0 / 16
C. LeVert1667%8.0 / 12
S. Merrill1267%6.0 / 9
I. Okoro758%3.5 / 6
M. Morris450%2.0 / 4
C. Porter250%1.0 / 2
T. Thompson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+9
-7
90
CLE
79
+10
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
CLE
1.17 58.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
114.8
MIA 121.6 +6.0
CLE 115.6
Pace
96.7
97.5
MIA 85.4
CLE 92.8 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.8
MIA 16.9
CLE 15.5 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
55.7%
MIA 53.6%
CLE 56.7% +3.1%
TO %
12.2%
13.0%
MIA 8.1% +4.3%
CLE 12.4%
ORB %
21.8%
23.2%
MIA 18.4% +1.7%
CLE 16.7%
FTrt
25.7
23.4
MIA 22.9
CLE 29.3 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
67.1%
MIA 50.0%
CLE 85.7% +35.7%
STL %
7.8%
7.5%
MIA 8.0% +4.7%
CLE 3.3%
BLK %
6.9%
8.7%
MIA 6.1% +1.8%
CLE 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
57.1%
MIA 59.4% +1.0%
CLE 58.4%
Rim FG%
61.2%
63.2%
MIA 57.7%
CLE 70.8% +13.1%
Mid FG%
44.2%
44.8%
MIA 47.6% +14.3%
CLE 33.3%
3P %
37.0%
36.7%
MIA 36.1% +0.4%
CLE 35.7%
FT %
81.8%
76.5%
MIA 94.7% +8.3%
CLE 86.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.4%
MIA 31.3%
CLE 32.0% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
22.4%
MIA 25.3%
CLE 12.0% +13.3%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.2%
MIA 43.4%
CLE 56.0% +12.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points107104
Rebounds3737
Assists1930
Steals73
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)11 (1)
Fouls2019
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)31 (5)
Field Goals38-8335-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2617-24
Midrange FG10-213-9
2-Point FG25-4720-33
3-Point FG13-3615-42
Free Throws18-1919-22
Fast Break Pts64
2nd Chance Pts1213
Points in Paint3836
Pts off Turnovers1814
Bench Points2318
Biggest Lead114

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
37.0
30
71%
4
5
4
0
2
1
1
3
6-7
86%
9-15
60%
2-4
50%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
33.4
14
58%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
33.1
24
71%
3
2
1
0
2
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
5-6
83%
#88 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 36
25.4
10
42%
1
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
1-8
13%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
15.0
6
50%
10
0
0
1
0
4
1
9
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
32.1
4
25%
6
2
0
0
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
31.2
7
88%
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
15.4
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
12.6
8
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
4.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Contusion
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Discomfort
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Bruise
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
59%
37
19
7
2
7
20
7
30
18-19
95%
25-47
53%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.