FinalWin Prob.pScore
1467%114
104
2833%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
109.59594.4
DET logo DET
107.49494.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound101
56.5%
101
43.5%
Q4 - 0:09.0PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot101
59.8%
101
40.2%
Q4 - 0:23.7HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)101
39.7%
101
60.3%
Q4 - 0:42.5PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup101
64.8%
101
35.2%
Q4 - 0:49.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)101
76.2%
99
23.8%
Q4 - 0:51.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound101
86.3%
99
13.7%
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatSimone Fontecchio blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup101
79.5%
99
20.5%
Q4 - 1:15PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)101
84.7%
99
15.3%
Q4 - 1:23PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound101
93.1%
96
6.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
94.1%
96
5.9%
Q4 - 1:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
95.1%
96
4.9%
Q4 - 1:42PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point stepback jump shot101
94.0%
96
6.0%
Q4 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
91.1%
96
8.9%
Q4 - 2:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)100
90.7%
96
9.3%
Q4 - 2:13PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point stepback jump shot97
75.1%
96
24.9%
Q4 - 2:26PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound97
86.7%
93
13.3%
Q4 - 2:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot97
89.0%
93
11.0%
Q4 - 2:46PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 297
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 2:46PistonsJalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 297
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 2:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)97
91.1%
92
8.9%
Q4 - 2:52PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound97
89.4%
92
10.6%
Q4 - 2:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot97
90.9%
92
9.1%
Q4 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound97
93.8%
92
6.2%
Q4 - 3:21PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving floating jump shot97
92.9%
92
7.1%
Q4 - 3:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)97
86.8%
92
13.2%
Q4 - 4:04PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point stepback jump shot95
83.0%
92
17.0%
Q4 - 4:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)95
87.2%
90
12.8%
Q4 - 4:43HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
77.4%
90
22.6%
Q4 - 4:46PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot92
75.2%
90
24.8%
Q4 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)92
69.2%
90
30.8%
Q4 - 5:21PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 290
62.8%
90
37.2%
Q4 - 5:21PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 290
64.5%
89
35.5%
Q4 - 5:21HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)90
66.4%
88
33.6%
Q4 - 5:28PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound90
69.2%
88
30.8%
Q4 - 5:30HeatCade Cunningham blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup90
71.4%
88
28.6%
Q4 - 5:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound90
76.2%
88
23.8%
Q4 - 5:49PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot90
74.2%
88
25.8%
Q4 - 5:56PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound90
69.2%
88
30.8%
Q4 - 6:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot90
71.0%
88
29.0%
Q4 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound90
75.6%
88
24.4%
Q4 - 6:09HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot90
71.0%
88
29.0%
Q4 - 6:26PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)90
75.6%
88
24.4%
Q4 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup90
83.9%
85
16.1%
Q4 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound88
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup88
76.5%
85
23.5%
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound88
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 6:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot88
76.5%
85
23.5%
Q4 - 6:58PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 6:58HeatHeat offensive rebound88
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 6:59HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot88
76.5%
85
23.5%
Q4 - 7:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
80.1%
85
19.9%
Q4 - 7:21PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot88
78.5%
85
21.5%
Q4 - 7:27PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound88
74.5%
85
25.5%
Q4 - 7:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot88
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 7:38HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 188
80.1%
85
19.9%
Q4 - 7:38PistonsSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Away from play) (Patty Mills draws the foul)87
79.4%
85
20.6%
Q4 - 7:50PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)87
75.6%
85
24.4%
Q4 - 7:56PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound87
79.1%
83
20.9%
Q4 - 7:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
80.7%
83
19.3%
Q4 - 8:07PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)87
82.7%
83
17.3%
Q4 - 8:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 287
82.8%
83
17.2%
Q4 - 8:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 287
83.7%
82
16.3%
Q4 - 8:15HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)87
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 8:19PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound87
85.8%
81
14.2%
Q4 - 8:22HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
86.7%
81
13.3%
Q4 - 8:48PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point stepback jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)87
88.8%
81
11.2%
Q4 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)87
91.9%
78
8.1%
Q4 - 9:21PistonsMarcus Sasser turnover (palming)85
90.3%
78
9.7%
Q4 - 9:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 285
87.8%
78
12.2%
Q4 - 9:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 284
87.4%
78
12.6%
Q4 - 9:41PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)84
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q4 - 9:57PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point floating jump shot84
88.1%
78
11.9%
Q4 - 10:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)84
89.0%
76
11.0%
Q4 - 10:24HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound81
84.4%
76
15.6%
Q4 - 10:27PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point floating jump shot81
83.4%
76
16.6%
Q4 - 10:31PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound81
80.9%
76
19.1%
Q4 - 10:35HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving layup81
82.1%
76
17.9%
Q4 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
84.5%
76
15.5%
Q4 - 10:48PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot81
83.5%
76
16.5%
Q4 - 11:05HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot81
80.5%
76
19.5%
Q4 - 11:24Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Heat gains possession)79
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q4 - 11:39PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
73.2%
76
26.8%
Q4 - 11:42HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot79
74.4%
76
25.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
77.1%
76
22.9%
Q3 - 0:01.1HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound79
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q3 - 0:03.4PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point stepback jump shot79
75.9%
76
24.1%
Q3 - 0:20.1PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
73.4%
76
26.6%
Q3 - 0:23.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot79
74.5%
76
25.5%
Q3 - 0:42.3PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 279
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q3 - 0:42.3PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 279
77.9%
75
22.1%
Q3 - 0:42.3HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)79
79.0%
74
21.0%
Q3 - 0:56.4PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound79
80.4%
74
19.6%
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatSimone Fontecchio blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup79
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q3 - 1:09PistonsMarcus Sasser makes two point driving floating jump shot79
82.7%
74
17.3%
Q3 - 1:19PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q3 - 1:22HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup79
85.8%
72
14.2%
Q3 - 1:41PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)79
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q3 - 1:53PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound79
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q3 - 1:55HeatDelon Wright misses two point tip layup79
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatDelon Wright offensive rebound79
92.4%
69
7.6%
Q3 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q3 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound79
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q3 - 2:10PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point jump shot79
91.1%
69
8.9%
Q3 - 2:27PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
90.1%
69
9.9%
Q3 - 2:30HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving finger roll layup79
90.6%
69
9.4%
Q3 - 2:44PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 179
91.6%
69
8.4%
Q3 - 2:44HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)79
91.8%
68
8.2%
Q3 - 3:05HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Evan Fournier steals)79
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q3 - 3:20PistonsCaleb Martin blocks Evan Fournier's two point running layup79
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q3 - 3:22HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)79
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
94.5%
66
5.5%
Q3 - 3:35PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot79
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q3 - 3:46PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound79
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 3:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot79
93.8%
66
6.2%
Q3 - 4:10PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)79
94.1%
66
5.9%
Q3 - 4:27PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound79
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 4:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q3 - 4:35PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)79
96.3%
63
3.7%
Q3 - 4:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 279
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q3 - 4:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 278
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 4:40PistonsCade Cunningham personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)77
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q3 - 4:58PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)77
94.9%
63
5.1%
Q3 - 5:08PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound77
95.8%
60
4.2%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 277
95.9%
60
4.1%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 277
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 5:11PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
96.2%
60
3.8%
Q3 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
95.9%
60
4.1%
Q3 - 5:16PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup76
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 5:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound76
95.2%
60
4.8%
Q3 - 5:18PistonsJalen Duren misses two point driving layup76
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 5:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)76
95.2%
60
4.8%
Q3 - 5:32HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound74
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q3 - 5:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot74
93.9%
60
6.1%
Q3 - 5:51PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)74
94.5%
60
5.5%
Q3 - 6:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 274
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q3 - 6:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 273
94.8%
58
5.2%
Q3 - 6:08PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)73
95.3%
58
4.7%
Q3 - 6:21PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk73
95.0%
58
5.0%
Q3 - 6:40HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q3 - 6:55PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (out of bounds step)71
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 6:59PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound71
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 7:01HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot71
93.9%
56
6.1%
Q3 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q3 - 7:09PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot71
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 7:24PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound71
93.7%
56
6.3%
Q3 - 7:29HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 271
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 7:29HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 271
94.3%
56
5.7%
Q3 - 7:29PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)70
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 7:39PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point running jump shot70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 7:44PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound70
92.8%
56
7.2%
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
93.1%
56
6.9%
Q3 - 8:10PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 8:10HeatHeat defensive rebound70
93.5%
56
6.5%
Q3 - 8:10PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot70
93.2%
56
6.8%
Q3 - 8:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)70
92.5%
56
7.5%
Q3 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)68
91.7%
56
8.3%
Q3 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)68
90.3%
56
9.7%
Q3 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)68
90.3%
56
9.7%
Q3 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)68
91.7%
56
8.3%
Q3 - 9:01PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot68
91.3%
56
8.7%
Q3 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot68
92.1%
54
7.9%
Q3 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 9:30PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot66
90.9%
54
9.1%
Q3 - 9:46HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
90.0%
54
10.0%
Q3 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
91.3%
54
8.7%
Q3 - 9:59PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot66
90.9%
54
9.1%
Q3 - 10:18HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot66
89.6%
54
10.4%
Q3 - 10:41PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk64
88.6%
54
11.4%
Q3 - 10:42PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound64
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 10:44PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot64
90.6%
52
9.4%
Q3 - 11:01HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup64
89.5%
52
10.5%
Q3 - 11:08PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)62
88.3%
52
11.7%
Q3 - 11:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)62
86.8%
52
13.2%
Q3 - 11:46PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)60
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
86.8%
50
13.2%
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)60
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q2 - 0:20.8HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound58
85.4%
50
14.6%
Q2 - 0:24.1PistonsJalen Duren misses two point layup58
84.9%
50
15.1%
Q2 - 0:36.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)58
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q2 - 0:46.4PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)56
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q2 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 256
84.0%
48
16.0%
Q2 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 255
83.8%
48
16.2%
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)54
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q2 - 1:15PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot54
82.0%
48
18.0%
Q2 - 1:20PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound54
84.1%
46
15.9%
Q2 - 1:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot54
84.5%
46
15.5%
Q2 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound54
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q2 - 1:27HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot54
84.5%
46
15.5%
Q2 - 1:39PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)54
85.3%
46
14.7%
Q2 - 1:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)54
84.1%
46
15.9%
Q2 - 2:05PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)52
81.9%
46
18.1%
Q2 - 2:26HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot52
85.0%
43
15.0%
Q2 - 2:33HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound49
81.9%
43
18.1%
Q2 - 2:37PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot49
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q2 - 2:43PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound49
79.9%
43
20.1%
Q2 - 2:43PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot49
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q2 - 3:02HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup49
79.6%
43
20.4%
Q2 - 3:09PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup47
78.1%
43
21.9%
Q2 - 3:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)47
79.6%
41
20.4%
Q2 - 3:32PistonsSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)44
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q2 - 3:42PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)44
76.1%
41
23.9%
Q2 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running pullup jump shot44
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound42
78.1%
38
21.9%
Q2 - 4:06PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot42
77.5%
38
22.5%
Q2 - 4:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 242
76.0%
38
24.0%
Q2 - 4:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 241
75.6%
38
24.4%
Q2 - 4:14PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)40
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 4:25PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)40
74.1%
38
25.9%
Q2 - 4:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)40
75.9%
36
24.1%
Q2 - 4:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 4:55PistonsJalen Duren misses two point driving layup37
71.2%
36
28.8%
Q2 - 5:02HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)37
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 5:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)37
69.6%
36
30.4%
Q2 - 5:32HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound34
65.4%
36
34.6%
Q2 - 5:35PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
64.5%
36
35.5%
Q2 - 5:44PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound34
62.3%
36
37.7%
Q2 - 5:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot34
63.3%
36
36.7%
Q2 - 5:56HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound34
65.4%
36
34.6%
Q2 - 6:01PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup34
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup34
62.8%
36
37.2%
Q2 - 6:30HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound32
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 6:32PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving layup32
59.9%
36
40.1%
Q2 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)32
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 7:03PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)30
56.0%
36
44.0%
Q2 - 7:20HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving reverse layup30
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 7:35PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (offensive foul)28
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 7:35PistonsJames Wiseman offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)28
53.3%
34
46.7%
Q2 - 7:40PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound28
53.3%
34
46.7%
Q2 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
54.1%
34
45.9%
Q2 - 8:09PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 8:10PistonsMarcus Sasser misses two point pullup jump shot28
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 8:23PistonsPistons defensive rebound28
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 8:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot28
54.3%
34
45.7%
Q2 - 8:39PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving finger roll layup (Stanley Umude assists)28
56.2%
34
43.8%
Q2 - 8:43PistonsStanley Umude offensive rebound28
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 8:46PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point driving layup28
60.3%
32
39.7%
Q2 - 9:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)28
58.3%
32
41.7%
Q2 - 9:19PistonsMarcus Sasser makes three point pullup jump shot25
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
58.4%
29
41.6%
Q2 - 9:36PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)25
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 9:53PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)25
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 9:57PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound25
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 10:00HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot25
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q2 - 10:23PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)25
68.1%
26
31.9%
Q2 - 10:33HeatDelon Wright makes two point running layup (Patty Mills assists)25
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q2 - 10:39PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)23
68.1%
24
31.9%
Q2 - 10:49PistonsEvan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 123
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 10:49Bam Adebayo technical foul (Defensive three second)23
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q2 - 10:55HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)23
67.9%
23
32.1%
Q2 - 10:55PistonsPistons offensive rebound23
67.9%
23
32.1%
Q2 - 10:56PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point stepback jump shot23
69.5%
23
30.5%
Q2 - 11:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup23
68.2%
23
31.8%
Q2 - 11:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound21
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 11:26HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q2 - 11:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound21
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 11:33HeatStanley Umude blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot21
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q2 - 11:45HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound21
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 11:47PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point layup21
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)21
66.2%
23
33.8%
Q1 - 0:19.2PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound21
70.3%
20
29.7%
Q1 - 0:20.9HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot21
70.9%
20
29.1%
Q1 - 0:31.3HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound21
72.2%
20
27.8%
Q1 - 0:33.7PistonsEvan Fournier misses regular free throw 2 of 221
72.0%
20
28.0%
Q1 - 0:33.7PistonsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 221
70.6%
20
29.4%
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)21
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0PistonsStanley Umude defensive rebound21
72.3%
19
27.7%
Q1 - 0:42.6HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot21
72.8%
19
27.2%
Q1 - 0:54.2PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)21
74.1%
19
25.9%
Q1 - 0:59.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
74.1%
19
25.9%
Q1 - 1:03PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot21
73.7%
19
26.3%
Q1 - 1:28HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)21
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q1 - 1:52PistonsMarcus Sasser makes two point running jump shot18
68.5%
19
31.5%
Q1 - 1:57PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound18
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q1 - 2:00HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
71.1%
17
28.9%
Q1 - 2:13PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (James Wiseman assists)18
72.7%
17
27.3%
Q1 - 2:26HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 2:33PistonsEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)18
77.7%
14
22.3%
Q1 - 2:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)18
75.9%
14
24.1%
Q1 - 3:03PistonsEvan Fournier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)15
72.5%
14
27.5%
Q1 - 3:12PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound15
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 3:15HeatThomas Bryant misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
71.0%
14
29.0%
Q1 - 3:28PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)15
72.5%
14
27.5%
Q1 - 3:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound15
72.5%
14
27.5%
Q1 - 3:35PistonsJalen Duren misses two point layup15
71.9%
14
28.1%
Q1 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup15
70.3%
14
29.7%
Q1 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
68.9%
14
31.1%
Q1 - 3:58PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot13
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q1 - 4:09PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound13
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 4:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot13
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 4:20PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot13
68.4%
14
31.6%
Q1 - 4:22PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound13
66.9%
14
33.1%
Q1 - 4:25PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup13
68.4%
14
31.6%
Q1 - 4:40PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound13
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot13
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 5:05PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)13
69.3%
14
30.7%
Q1 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)13
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 5:10PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound13
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 5:12PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot13
73.8%
11
26.2%
Q1 - 5:25PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound13
72.5%
11
27.5%
Q1 - 5:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot13
73.1%
11
26.9%
Q1 - 5:42PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup13
74.3%
11
25.7%
Q1 - 5:54PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound13
75.7%
9
24.3%
Q1 - 5:56HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot13
76.2%
9
23.8%
Q1 - 6:14PistonsJalen Duren makes two point running layup (Cade Cunningham assists)13
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Cade Cunningham steals)13
78.5%
7
21.5%
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
79.9%
7
20.1%
Q1 - 6:29PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot13
79.5%
7
20.5%
Q1 - 6:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)13
78.5%
7
21.5%
Q1 - 7:02HeatHeat defensive rebound13
80.2%
7
19.8%
Q1 - 7:03PistonsJalen Duren misses two point putback layup13
79.7%
7
20.3%
Q1 - 7:04PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound13
78.6%
7
21.4%
Q1 - 7:08PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point running layup13
79.7%
7
20.3%
Q1 - 7:15PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound13
78.6%
7
21.4%
Q1 - 7:17HeatJaden Ivey blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup13
79.1%
7
20.9%
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 213
80.1%
7
19.9%
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 213
80.4%
6
19.6%
Q1 - 7:37HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)13
79.4%
6
20.6%
Q1 - 7:39PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound13
79.9%
6
20.1%
Q1 - 7:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving hook shot13
80.3%
6
19.7%
Q1 - 8:07PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup (Cade Cunningham assists)13
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 8:27HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup13
82.5%
4
17.5%
Q1 - 8:31PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)11
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)11
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 8:54HeatHeat offensive rebound9
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 8:54HeatIsaiah Stewart blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point pullup jump shot9
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 9:14PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point running layup (Jalen Duren assists)9
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 9:19PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound9
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 9:21HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running layup9
80.4%
2
19.6%
Q1 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
81.3%
2
18.7%
Q1 - 9:31PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving floating jump shot9
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup9
80.0%
2
20.0%
Q1 - 9:54PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point driving dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)7
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup7
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 10:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound5
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 10:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot5
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 10:15HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound5
78.7%
0
21.3%
Q1 - 10:19PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot5
78.2%
0
21.8%
Q1 - 10:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot5
77.2%
0
22.8%
Q1 - 10:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound2
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 10:48HeatJalen Duren blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup2
73.6%
0
26.4%
Q1 - 10:52HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound2
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 10:54PistonsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Jalen Duren's two point layup2
74.2%
0
25.8%
Q1 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
73.3%
0
26.7%
Q1 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
72.1%
0
27.9%
Q1 - 11:26PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot0
71.6%
0
28.4%
Q1 - 11:36PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound0
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jalen Duren (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
72.1%
0
27.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
28
71%
DET
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
8
26
31%
DET
15
27
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
DET
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DET
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson3094%15.0 / 16
B. Adebayo2071%10.0 / 14
T. Rozier1743%8.5 / 20
J. Jaquez1547%7.5 / 16
C. Martin1050%5.0 / 10
D. Wright643%3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith321%1.5 / 7
T. Bryant250%1.0 / 2
P. Mills113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier1860%9.0 / 15
C. Cunningham1745%8.5 / 19
S. Fontecchio1354%6.5 / 12
I. Stewart1267%6.0 / 9
J. Duren1146%5.5 / 12
J. Ivey1063%5.0 / 8
S. Umude990%4.5 / 5
M. Sasser770%3.5 / 5
J. Wiseman450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+13
-9
99
DET
82
+8
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
109.3
MIA 109.5 +2.0
DET 107.4
Pace
96.7
100.2
MIA 94.4
DET 94.6 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.1
MIA 15.3
DET 15.2 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.6%
MIA 51.7%
DET 54.2% +2.5%
TO %
12.2%
14.6%
MIA 9.4% +2.5%
DET 11.9%
ORB %
21.8%
23.9%
MIA 22.9% +6.6%
DET 16.3%
FTrt
25.7
24.6
MIA 18.0 +1.1
DET 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
62.3%
MIA 60.0%
DET 63.2% +3.2%
STL %
7.8%
6.4%
MIA 7.4% +3.1%
DET 4.3%
BLK %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
DET 13.0% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.9%
MIA 52.5%
DET 55.5% +3.0%
Rim FG%
61.2%
61.6%
MIA 71.4% +26.4%
DET 45.0%
Mid FG%
44.2%
41.7%
MIA 30.8%
DET 55.6% +24.8%
3P %
37.0%
34.8%
MIA 34.3%
DET 38.9% +4.6%
FT %
81.8%
78.6%
MIA 75.0%
DET 78.6% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.6%
MIA 31.5% +7.4%
DET 24.1%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
28.4%
MIA 29.2% +3.3%
DET 32.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.0%
MIA 39.3%
DET 43.4% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points104101
Rebounds4744
Assists2424
Steals74
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1119
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals40-8938-83
At-the-Rim FG20-289-20
Midrange FG8-2615-27
2-Point FG28-5424-47
3-Point FG12-3514-36
Free Throws12-1611-14
Fast Break Pts97
2nd Chance Pts137
Points in Paint5034
Pts off Turnovers1913
Bench Points1938
Biggest Lead177

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
37.5
20
71%
17
3
1
0
3
2
4
13
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
1-1
100%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
35.6
17
43%
6
9
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-14
50%
1-6
17%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
35.4
30
94%
4
5
0
0
3
2
0
4
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 23
34.6
15
47%
3
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
25.5
3
21%
2
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
30.6
10
50%
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
20.7
6
43%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
10.4
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
9.6
1
13%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Contusion
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
INACTIVE
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
INACTIVE
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
INACTIVE
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
53%
47
24
7
2
9
11
11
36
12-16
75%
28-54
52%
12-35
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.