FinalWin Prob.pScore
1568%115
108
2732%108
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.29893.3
DET logo DET
96.099105.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:11.9PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point stepback jump shot108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.3PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.6HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.7PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53PistonsJalen Duren makes two point tip dunk108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58PistonsJalen Duren misses two point driving floating bank jump shot108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting layup (Terry Rozier assists)108
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound106
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point running jump shot106
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:38PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound106
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:39HeatThomas Bryant misses three point pullup jump shot106
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 3:55PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)106
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup106
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)104
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02HeatThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 5:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 5:34PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 5:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 5:47HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound102
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point fadeaway jump shot102
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 6:05HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 6:17PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Jalen Duren assists)100
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 6:34HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)100
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 6:58PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)97
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 7:01PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound97
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 7:02PistonsThomas Bryant blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving layup97
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 7:22HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 197
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 7:22PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)96
98.8%
81
1.2%
Q4 - 7:34PistonsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 294
98.3%
81
1.7%
Q4 - 7:34PistonsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 294
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 7:34HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)94
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 7:40PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound94
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 7:42HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot94
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 7:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound94
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 7:57PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point pullup jump shot94
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 8:16HeatThomas Bryant makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)94
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 8:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound92
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 8:21PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot92
97.7%
79
2.3%
Q4 - 8:31PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound92
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 8:33HeatIsaiah Stewart blocks Thomas Bryant's two point putback layup92
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 8:34HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound92
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 8:35HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup92
97.5%
79
2.5%
Q4 - 8:47PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)92
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 8:49PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)92
97.9%
79
2.1%
Q4 - 9:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)92
96.8%
79
3.2%
Q4 - 9:20PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point alley-oop dunk (Isaiah Stewart assists)90
96.1%
79
3.9%
Q4 - 9:26PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound90
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q4 - 9:31HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot90
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 9:46PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 9:51PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound90
96.8%
77
3.2%
Q4 - 9:53PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot90
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q4 - 10:16HeatThomas Bryant makes two point reverse layup (Caleb Martin assists)90
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 10:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
95.5%
77
4.5%
Q4 - 10:27PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot88
95.1%
77
4.9%
Q4 - 10:34HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)88
94.3%
77
5.7%
Q4 - 10:37PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound88
94.3%
77
5.7%
Q4 - 10:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot88
94.7%
77
5.3%
Q4 - 10:59PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point fadeaway jump shot (James Wiseman assists)88
95.5%
77
4.5%
Q4 - 11:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup88
95.8%
75
4.2%
Q4 - 11:29PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)86
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q4 - 11:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)86
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q4 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)86
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
95.8%
72
4.2%
Q3 - 0:00.7PistonsPistons offensive rebound84
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q3 - 0:00.7PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point hook shot84
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q3 - 0:08.2PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound84
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q3 - 0:10.9HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 284
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q3 - 0:10.9HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 284
95.3%
72
4.7%
Q3 - 0:10.9PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q3 - 0:27.7PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)83
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q3 - 0:34.8PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound83
96.2%
69
3.8%
Q3 - 0:38.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot83
96.4%
69
3.6%
Q3 - 1:01PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point alley-oop dunk (Evan Fournier assists)83
96.4%
69
3.6%
Q3 - 1:06PistonsPistons offensive rebound83
96.9%
67
3.1%
Q3 - 1:08PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point stepback jump shot83
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 1:27PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound83
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q3 - 1:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 1:32HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound83
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 1:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 1:43HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound83
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 1:45HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot83
97.1%
67
2.9%
Q3 - 1:59PistonsStanley Umude personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 2:14PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point turnaround jump shot83
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q3 - 2:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot83
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q3 - 2:42PistonsMarcus Sasser turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)80
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 2:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)80
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q3 - 3:01PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)77
93.9%
65
6.1%
Q3 - 3:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)77
92.7%
65
7.3%
Q3 - 3:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound74
90.3%
65
9.7%
Q3 - 3:41PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot74
89.8%
65
10.2%
Q3 - 3:57PistonsPistons defensive rebound74
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q3 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot74
89.1%
65
10.9%
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
89.9%
65
10.1%
Q3 - 4:06PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point pullup jump shot74
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 4:17PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound74
88.2%
65
11.8%
Q3 - 4:20HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 3 of 374
88.4%
65
11.6%
Q3 - 4:20HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 374
89.5%
65
10.5%
Q3 - 4:20HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 373
89.3%
65
10.7%
Q3 - 4:20PistonsMarcus Sasser shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)72
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q3 - 4:36PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot72
86.0%
65
14.0%
Q3 - 4:43HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)72
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q3 - 4:50HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
84.4%
65
15.6%
Q3 - 5:05HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound72
86.1%
65
13.9%
Q3 - 5:07PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup72
85.5%
65
14.5%
Q3 - 5:26HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot72
84.0%
65
16.0%
Q3 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
82.1%
65
17.9%
Q3 - 5:36PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point driving floating jump shot70
81.3%
65
18.7%
Q3 - 5:50HeatTerry Rozier makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler assists)70
79.5%
65
20.5%
Q3 - 6:09PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
77.2%
65
22.8%
Q3 - 6:18PistonsJalen Duren makes two point driving reverse layup (Cade Cunningham assists)68
77.2%
65
22.8%
Q3 - 6:22PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound68
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot68
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q3 - 6:39PistonsSimone Fontecchio turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)68
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 6:42PistonsCade Cunningham offensive rebound68
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 6:46PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot68
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 6:52HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)68
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 7:05HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 268
79.0%
63
21.0%
Q3 - 7:05HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 267
78.7%
63
21.3%
Q3 - 7:05PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)66
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q3 - 7:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound66
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 7:11PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Jaden Ivey's two point driving reverse layup66
76.1%
63
23.9%
Q3 - 7:28PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound66
73.9%
63
26.1%
Q3 - 7:30HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot66
74.9%
63
25.1%
Q3 - 7:48PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point layup (Cade Cunningham assists)66
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 7:56PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound66
79.1%
61
20.9%
Q3 - 7:58HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot66
79.9%
61
20.1%
Q3 - 8:12PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)66
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q3 - 8:27PistonsPistons defensive rebound66
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 8:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
85.7%
58
14.3%
Q3 - 8:43HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound66
87.1%
58
12.9%
Q3 - 8:47PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot66
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)66
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 9:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound64
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 9:13PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot64
82.7%
58
17.3%
Q3 - 9:21HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)64
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q3 - 9:25PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound64
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q3 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot64
81.8%
58
18.2%
Q3 - 9:50PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point stepback jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)64
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)64
84.9%
56
15.1%
Q3 - 10:11PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Duncan Robinson assists)62
80.8%
56
19.2%
Q3 - 10:43PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)60
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 11:00HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup60
76.4%
56
23.6%
Q3 - 11:16PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup58
74.5%
56
25.5%
Q3 - 11:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot58
76.7%
54
23.3%
Q3 - 11:37HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound56
74.5%
54
25.5%
Q3 - 11:41PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point turnaround hook shot56
73.7%
54
26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.56
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q2 - 0:02.4PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound56
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q2 - 0:02.4HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot56
73.5%
54
26.5%
Q2 - 0:19.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
74.8%
54
25.2%
Q2 - 0:23.1PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot56
74.2%
54
25.8%
Q2 - 0:38.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot56
72.8%
54
27.2%
Q2 - 0:40.4HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound54
69.8%
54
30.2%
Q2 - 0:44.9HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot54
68.2%
54
31.8%
Q2 - 1:01PistonsJalen Duren makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)54
70.4%
54
29.6%
Q2 - 1:04PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound54
73.3%
52
26.7%
Q2 - 1:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup54
73.9%
52
26.1%
Q2 - 1:23PistonsJalen Duren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)54
75.2%
52
24.8%
Q2 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 254
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q2 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 253
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q2 - 1:34PistonsIsaiah Stewart personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)53
79.0%
50
21.0%
Q2 - 1:34HeatHeat offensive rebound53
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q2 - 1:34HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q2 - 1:48PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 253
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q2 - 1:48PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 253
77.7%
49
22.3%
Q2 - 1:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)53
75.9%
49
24.1%
Q2 - 1:57PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound53
77.8%
49
22.2%
Q2 - 2:00HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup53
78.3%
49
21.7%
Q2 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound53
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q2 - 2:06HeatJalen Duren blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup53
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q2 - 2:18PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving dunk53
79.4%
49
20.6%
Q2 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup53
81.1%
47
18.9%
Q2 - 2:45PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point putback layup51
79.4%
47
20.6%
Q2 - 2:47PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound51
81.1%
45
18.9%
Q2 - 2:49PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot51
82.5%
45
17.5%
Q2 - 2:52PistonsCade Cunningham offensive rebound51
81.1%
45
18.9%
Q2 - 2:57PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot51
82.5%
45
17.5%
Q2 - 3:07PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound51
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q2 - 3:09HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running finger roll layup51
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q2 - 3:17HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound51
82.9%
45
17.1%
Q2 - 3:20PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot51
82.3%
45
17.7%
Q2 - 3:34HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup51
80.9%
45
19.1%
Q2 - 3:38PistonsStanley Umude turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)49
79.4%
45
20.6%
Q2 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 249
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q2 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 1 of 248
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q2 - 4:03PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)48
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q2 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
77.6%
45
22.4%
Q2 - 4:18PistonsStanley Umude misses three point running jump shot48
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q2 - 4:20PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound48
75.4%
45
24.6%
Q2 - 4:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot48
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 4:44PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point running jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)48
77.6%
45
22.4%
Q2 - 4:50HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Stanley Umude steals)48
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 4:58PistonsCade Cunningham personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)48
82.8%
42
17.2%
Q2 - 5:01HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound48
83.1%
42
16.9%
Q2 - 5:05PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving floating jump shot48
82.5%
42
17.5%
Q2 - 5:22PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound48
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 5:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot48
81.7%
42
18.3%
Q2 - 5:39PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 248
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q2 - 5:39PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 248
83.3%
41
16.7%
Q2 - 5:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)48
83.7%
40
16.3%
Q2 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)48
84.1%
40
15.9%
Q2 - 5:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound46
83.0%
40
17.0%
Q2 - 5:59PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving bank hook shot46
82.4%
40
17.6%
Q2 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)46
81.1%
40
18.9%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
78.0%
40
22.0%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 143
76.0%
40
24.0%
Q2 - 6:33PistonsSimone Fontecchio shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 6:37PistonsJalen Duren turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)41
74.2%
40
25.8%
Q2 - 6:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)41
71.6%
40
28.4%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound39
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 7:01PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point running pullup jump shot39
69.2%
40
30.8%
Q2 - 7:05PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound39
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 7:09HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot39
68.3%
40
31.7%
Q2 - 7:24PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)39
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 7:44HeatPatty Mills turnover (offensive foul)39
74.0%
37
26.0%
Q2 - 7:44HeatPatty Mills offensive foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)39
76.1%
37
23.9%
Q2 - 7:54PistonsJalen Duren makes two point driving dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)39
76.1%
37
23.9%
Q2 - 8:01HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)39
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Patty Mills assists)39
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 8:15PistonsMarcus Sasser turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)37
76.0%
35
24.0%
Q2 - 8:30HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)37
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 8:40PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point turnaround bank jump shot34
70.0%
35
30.0%
Q2 - 8:51PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound34
71.9%
33
28.1%
Q2 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot34
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
73.7%
33
26.3%
Q2 - 9:09PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point pullup jump shot34
73.1%
33
26.9%
Q2 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk34
71.6%
33
28.4%
Q2 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound32
69.6%
33
30.4%
Q2 - 9:21HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot32
68.0%
33
32.0%
Q2 - 9:39PistonsSimone Fontecchio turnover (offensive foul)32
69.6%
33
30.4%
Q2 - 9:39PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)32
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 9:41PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound32
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 9:46HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot32
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 10:06PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 232
69.9%
33
30.1%
Q2 - 10:06PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 232
70.3%
32
29.7%
Q2 - 10:06HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)32
70.8%
31
29.2%
Q2 - 10:10HeatPatty Mills turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)32
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound32
73.9%
31
26.1%
Q2 - 10:30PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point stepback jump shot32
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 10:39HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)32
71.8%
31
28.2%
Q2 - 10:52PistonsMarcus Sasser makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)32
73.9%
31
26.1%
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 132
77.4%
28
22.6%
Q2 - 11:00PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)31
77.1%
28
22.9%
Q2 - 11:01HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound29
73.9%
28
26.1%
Q2 - 11:05PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point alley-oop dunk29
73.3%
28
26.7%
Q2 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 229
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 228
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 11:24PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)27
71.4%
28
28.6%
Q2 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound27
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q2 - 11:26HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot27
68.6%
28
31.4%
Q2 - 11:47PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)27
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q1 - 0:01.9PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)27
70.1%
28
29.9%
Q1 - 0:12.8HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Patty Mills assists)27
68.1%
28
31.9%
Q1 - 0:29.6PistonsMarcus Sasser turnover (out of bounds lost ball)25
66.0%
28
34.0%
Q1 - 0:37.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 3 of 325
63.9%
28
36.1%
Q1 - 0:37.8HeatTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 324
63.6%
28
36.4%
Q1 - 0:37.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 324
65.4%
28
34.6%
Q1 - 0:37.8PistonsMarcus Sasser shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)23
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q1 - 0:53.4PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)23
61.6%
28
38.4%
Q1 - 1:04PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound23
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q1 - 1:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup23
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q1 - 1:11HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound23
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q1 - 1:15PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point running jump shot23
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q1 - 1:20PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound23
64.3%
26
35.7%
Q1 - 1:24HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot23
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q1 - 1:46PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)23
66.3%
26
33.7%
Q1 - 1:53HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Sasser steals)23
70.4%
23
29.6%
Q1 - 2:13PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)23
72.6%
23
27.4%
Q1 - 2:24PistonsEvan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 123
74.1%
21
25.9%
Q1 - 2:24Thomas Bryant technical foul (Defensive three second)23
74.5%
20
25.5%
Q1 - 2:38HeatTerry Rozier makes technical free throw 1 of 123
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q1 - 2:38Simone Fontecchio technical foul (Flopping)22
75.4%
20
24.6%
Q1 - 2:38PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound22
74.1%
20
25.9%
Q1 - 2:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot22
74.7%
20
25.3%
Q1 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound22
76.1%
20
23.9%
Q1 - 2:51PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point turnaround hook shot22
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q1 - 3:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup22
73.8%
20
26.2%
Q1 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
72.5%
20
27.5%
Q1 - 3:20PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot20
71.8%
20
28.2%
Q1 - 3:27PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound20
70.2%
20
29.8%
Q1 - 3:30PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot20
71.8%
20
28.2%
Q1 - 3:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot20
70.2%
20
29.8%
Q1 - 4:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)18
68.8%
20
31.2%
Q1 - 4:04PistonsPistons offensive rebound18
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 4:05PistonsTerry Rozier blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving layup18
72.0%
18
28.0%
Q1 - 4:14PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound18
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 4:17HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup18
71.2%
18
28.8%
Q1 - 4:28PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 118
72.6%
18
27.4%
Q1 - 4:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)18
73.0%
17
27.0%
Q1 - 4:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)18
75.6%
15
24.4%
Q1 - 4:54PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup (Jaden Ivey assists)16
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 5:11HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup16
75.8%
13
24.2%
Q1 - 5:32PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point running layup14
74.5%
13
25.5%
Q1 - 5:37PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound14
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot14
76.3%
11
23.7%
Q1 - 5:50PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot14
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 6:06PistonsCade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 114
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 6:06HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 6:08HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Simone Fontecchio steals)14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:10HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 6:13PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point running finger roll layup14
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 6:21HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Jaden Ivey steals)14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 6:37PistonsJalen Duren misses two point turnaround jump shot14
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 6:44PistonsCade Cunningham offensive rebound14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:48PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point running jump shot14
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 6:52PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot14
77.7%
10
22.3%
Q1 - 7:08PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)14
79.1%
10
20.9%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 114
81.3%
7
18.7%
Q1 - 7:30PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
81.2%
7
18.8%
Q1 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
79.0%
7
21.0%
Q1 - 7:42PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point driving floating jump shot11
78.6%
7
21.4%
Q1 - 7:49PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound11
77.5%
7
22.5%
Q1 - 7:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot11
77.9%
7
22.1%
Q1 - 8:08PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)11
79.4%
7
20.6%
Q1 - 8:13PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound11
80.4%
5
19.6%
Q1 - 8:16HeatJimmy Butler misses three point running jump shot11
80.8%
5
19.2%
Q1 - 8:20HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound11
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 8:23PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving bank jump shot11
81.4%
5
18.6%
Q1 - 8:28PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound11
80.4%
5
19.6%
Q1 - 8:32HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot11
80.8%
5
19.2%
Q1 - 8:43PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 211
81.8%
5
18.2%
Q1 - 8:43PistonsJalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 211
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 8:43HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)11
81.2%
4
18.8%
Q1 - 8:44PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound11
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 8:44PistonsDuncan Robinson blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point running layup11
82.5%
4
17.5%
Q1 - 8:47PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound11
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup11
82.0%
4
18.0%
Q1 - 8:54PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)11
82.9%
4
17.1%
Q1 - 9:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot11
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 9:29PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 29
80.4%
4
19.6%
Q1 - 9:29PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 29
80.6%
3
19.4%
Q1 - 9:29HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)9
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 9:31PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound9
81.4%
2
18.6%
Q1 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot9
81.8%
2
18.2%
Q1 - 9:48HeatHeat defensive rebound9
82.7%
2
17.3%
Q1 - 9:50PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot9
82.3%
2
17.7%
Q1 - 10:06HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)9
81.2%
2
18.8%
Q1 - 10:12PistonsJalen Duren turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)6
79.0%
2
21.0%
Q1 - 10:25HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running reverse layup6
77.6%
2
22.4%
Q1 - 10:29PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)4
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 10:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving reverse layup4
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
73.7%
2
26.3%
Q1 - 11:00PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot2
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 11:09PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound2
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 11:12HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot2
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 11:31PistonsJalen Duren makes two point cutting dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)2
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 11:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)2
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jalen Duren (Nikola Jovic gains possession)0
74.0%
0
26.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
31
74%
DET
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
13
26
50%
DET
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
34
21%
31%
DET
10
15.0
38
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
DET
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2273%11.0 / 15
T. Rozier1847%9.0 / 19
C. Martin1864%9.0 / 14
D. Robinson1657%8.0 / 14
J. Butler1454%7.0 / 13
T. Bryant1169%5.5 / 8
N. Jović758%3.5 / 6
J. Jaquez220%1.0 / 5
P. Mills0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Fontecchio2471%12.0 / 17
J. Duren1575%7.5 / 10
J. Ivey1441%7.0 / 17
E. Fournier1267%6.0 / 9
C. Cunningham1134%5.5 / 16
I. Stewart1083%5.0 / 6
J. Wiseman650%3.0 / 6
M. Sasser325%1.5 / 6
S. Umude0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+10
-8
100
DET
82
+12
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
109.3
MIA 110.2
DET 96.0 +14.2
Pace
96.7
100.2
MIA 93.3
DET 105.3 +12.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.1
MIA 15.4
DET 13.7 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.6%
MIA 51.1% +2.3%
DET 48.8%
TO %
12.2%
14.6%
MIA 7.4% +9.2%
DET 16.6%
ORB %
21.8%
23.9%
MIA 18.8%
DET 20.5% +1.7%
FTrt
25.7
24.6
MIA 23.1 +5.2
DET 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
62.3%
MIA 53.5%
DET 75.0% +21.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.4%
MIA 14.3% +9.2%
DET 5.1%
BLK %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 13.0% +9.5%
DET 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.9%
MIA 54.0% +3.5%
DET 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.2%
61.6%
MIA 74.2% +7.5%
DET 66.7%
Mid FG%
44.2%
41.7%
MIA 50.0% +4.5%
DET 45.5%
3P %
37.0%
34.8%
MIA 20.6%
DET 26.3% +5.7%
FT %
81.8%
78.6%
MIA 71.4%
DET 86.7% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.6%
MIA 34.1% +5.5%
DET 28.6%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
28.4%
MIA 28.6%
DET 26.2% +2.4%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.0%
MIA 37.4%
DET 45.2% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes25.222.6
Points10895
Rebounds4448
Assists2327
Steals145
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)17 (1)
Fouls1616
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals43-9136-84
At-the-Rim FG23-3116-24
Midrange FG13-2610-22
2-Point FG36-5726-46
3-Point FG7-3410-38
Free Throws15-2113-15
Fast Break Pts1811
2nd Chance Pts109
Points in Paint6438
Pts off Turnovers3312
Bench Points3121
Biggest Lead215

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
33.5
18
47%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
8-11
73%
5-10
50%
0-5
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
32.9
16
57%
2
5
3
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
31.4
14
54%
4
3
2
0
1
2
1
3
4-5
80%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
28.9
22
73%
9
2
2
3
0
1
3
6
1-3
33%
9-13
69%
1-1
100%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
15.3
7
58%
5
0
1
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
33.5
18
64%
8
6
2
0
2
0
3
5
1-1
100%
7-9
78%
1-5
20%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
25.9
2
20%
5
4
1
0
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
17.2
11
69%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
0-2
0%
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
15.1
0
0%
0
2
2
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'6" 191 · 25
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Bruise
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
44
23
14
6
8
16
9
35
15-21
71%
36-57
63%
7-34
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.